2/27
"Major U.S. stock indexes fell on Friday, February 27, 2026, as a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report fueled concerns that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in the near term. The market was further pressured by growing fears over AI's impact on employment after Jack Dorsey's Block (SQ) announced layoffs of nearly half its workforce."
AI analysis
Southern Miss at South Alabama
My Play: UNDER 66.5 First Half
The numbers here are overwhelmingly compelling for the Under.
Pace is the story. South Alabama ranks #338 nationally in pace (61.0 possessions) and Southern Miss ranks #350 (60.0 possessions) — we're looking at approximately 60-61 possessions total. That's glacial. (FanDuel Sportsbook) In a first half, you're realistically looking at 28-31 possessions per team, making 66.5 a very tall ask.
South Alabama's defense is elite. The Jaguars hold opponents to just 38.4% from the field — 4th in all of Division I — and allow only 69.1 points per game, good for #71 in the country. (ESPN)
Southern Miss can't score on the road. Southern Miss' road offense has averaged just 64.54 points per game away from home against home defenses. (Odds Shark) That's the full game total on the road. Getting to 33+ in a half is a major ask.
Model and trends agree. The model projects just 137.1 total points — nearly 6 under the market number — and the Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at Mitchell Center. The Under has also hit in 5 of South Alabama's last 7 home games. (Odds Shark)
If you split the projected 137-point full game at a 46% first-half rate (typical for these slow, defensive games), you get roughly 63 combined first-half points — well under 66.5.
The verdict: This is one of the easiest Unders on the board tonight. Two bottom-15 pace teams, an elite home defense, a struggling road offense, and a trend that screams low-scoring. Take the Under 66.5 first half with confidence.
887 Southern Mississippi/South Alabama UNDER 66.5
YTD 93-114-3
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