12/11
673 Appalachian State/East Carolina UNDER 61.5
"Books are pricing it as a slow-to-moderate tempo first half with low offensive efficiency.
Appalachian State
Plays slower than average
Stronger defensively than offensively
Offense relies on halfcourt execution, not transition
They can go on 3–4 minute droughts, especially on the road
East Carolina
Also slow-paced
Unders have been consistent because they defend well enough and play a heavy halfcourt style
Their offense is inconsistent — long possessions, low PPP when threes aren’t falling
Combined:
This is two slow teams with no strong shooting profiles, and both prefer long possessions.
This is not the type of game that suddenly becomes high tempo.
677 Iowa at/Iowa State UNDER 66
Iowa
Offense-first identity every year
Fast pace, especially early in halves
Lots of early-clock threes and rim attempts
Defense is soft → their games usually lean over unless the opponent drags pace down hard
Iowa State
Opposite style
One of the best half-court defenses in the country
Slow, physical, forces turnovers
Offense is very matchup-dependent—can go cold for stretches
At home, ISU tends to control pace more successfully
Stylistic clash
This is a classic fast offense vs elite defense collision.
Key question:
Does Iowa force pace, or does ISU impose their grind?
At Hilton Coliseum, historically and stylistically:

ISU almost always controls tempo.
That means…
Fewer transition possessions than a normal Iowa game
More forced halfcourt offense
YTD 38-37-1