Starting Bankroll: $1,000
Current Bankroll: $980.99
Goal Bankroll: $10,000
Days Remaining: 235
Today's Bet: Parlay PHILADELPHIA -104 and ATLANTA -131
Today's Bet Amount: $39.66
The Details:
Interest rate formula tells us that we need to expect $9.74 of winnings today.
With 60% confidence on each of Atlanta and Philadelphia to win, we are getting .2456 of EV on the dollar for our parlay.
9.74 / .2456 = 39.66
Because we are only doing a two team parlay today, our EV is lower and therefore our bet size is significantly larger.
Guys, please let me know what you would prefer from now on. Would you prefer a 2 team parlay that wins much more often for us, or a 4 team parlay that rarely wins, but is actually better for the system? The only reason I ask is because I know it's hard for some people to follow a system that loses day after day, even if it's a winning system. Make sense?
Best of luck to all! :toast:
Current Bankroll: $980.99
Goal Bankroll: $10,000
Days Remaining: 235
Today's Bet: Parlay PHILADELPHIA -104 and ATLANTA -131
Today's Bet Amount: $39.66
The Details:
Interest rate formula tells us that we need to expect $9.74 of winnings today.
With 60% confidence on each of Atlanta and Philadelphia to win, we are getting .2456 of EV on the dollar for our parlay.
9.74 / .2456 = 39.66
Because we are only doing a two team parlay today, our EV is lower and therefore our bet size is significantly larger.
Guys, please let me know what you would prefer from now on. Would you prefer a 2 team parlay that wins much more often for us, or a 4 team parlay that rarely wins, but is actually better for the system? The only reason I ask is because I know it's hard for some people to follow a system that loses day after day, even if it's a winning system. Make sense?
Best of luck to all! :toast: