Werdum -160
Souza inside distance -170
Cyborg won't start 2 -190
Anderson -3.5 +130
Maia-Brown won't start 3 +100
Maia inside distance +120
Alves inside distance -150
Marquardt-Santos starts round 2 -120
Lineker -170
Cummins inside distance +300
Trinando-Medeiros Decision -105
Chagas +370
Tukhugov -155
A couple notes:
-- I'm taking a flyer on Chagas just because I think he's good enough off his back to defend against Moraes. I also believe he will likely get the better of the stand-up.
-- I think Cummins will TKO Lil Nog and it'll probably be sad. Lil Nog isn't as shop worn as his big bro, but it's close. I would've taken Durkin at TKO at +340, but I'm a pussy and I want the safety of the possibility he beats Nog into a roll-over RNC or guillotine.
-- I apparently got a bad line earlier in the week with Lineker at -170. It climbed to about Lineker -220 and I was happy. Now, someone has bet that shit back down to -140 or so. I'm still happy with my spot, but I'm not as confident given the line movement.
-- I feel like Alves inside distance is a gift at -150. Jouban is a much better athlete than Barberena, Covington is a better wrestler, Taleb is much stronger...This is just too much for Bryan. I guess he "earned" it by beating Sage, who was dominating him for a round as well.
-- Name the best wrestler Matt Brown has ever beat. Erick Silva? Mike Pyle? Chris Cope? I think he was a beneficiary of some spectacular match-making over the span of two years - Cope, Wonderboy, Ramos, Swick, Mein, Pyle, Silva. Styles make fights, and all of these guys are perfect for him- even Wonderboy, who at that point in his career, depended fully on keeping range. Brown came inside and beat him in the clinch. Against Maia, you can't clinch.
-- I think Fabricio is better at everything than Stipe. I think he'll keep it at range and beat him in a one-sided decision with kicks and length. I try me best not to play decision bets on HW fights though. On the other end, there are only a few women i give trust for inside distance bets.
Good luck.
Souza inside distance -170
Cyborg won't start 2 -190
Anderson -3.5 +130
Maia-Brown won't start 3 +100
Maia inside distance +120
Alves inside distance -150
Marquardt-Santos starts round 2 -120
Lineker -170
Cummins inside distance +300
Trinando-Medeiros Decision -105
Chagas +370
Tukhugov -155
A couple notes:
-- I'm taking a flyer on Chagas just because I think he's good enough off his back to defend against Moraes. I also believe he will likely get the better of the stand-up.
-- I think Cummins will TKO Lil Nog and it'll probably be sad. Lil Nog isn't as shop worn as his big bro, but it's close. I would've taken Durkin at TKO at +340, but I'm a pussy and I want the safety of the possibility he beats Nog into a roll-over RNC or guillotine.
-- I apparently got a bad line earlier in the week with Lineker at -170. It climbed to about Lineker -220 and I was happy. Now, someone has bet that shit back down to -140 or so. I'm still happy with my spot, but I'm not as confident given the line movement.
-- I feel like Alves inside distance is a gift at -150. Jouban is a much better athlete than Barberena, Covington is a better wrestler, Taleb is much stronger...This is just too much for Bryan. I guess he "earned" it by beating Sage, who was dominating him for a round as well.
-- Name the best wrestler Matt Brown has ever beat. Erick Silva? Mike Pyle? Chris Cope? I think he was a beneficiary of some spectacular match-making over the span of two years - Cope, Wonderboy, Ramos, Swick, Mein, Pyle, Silva. Styles make fights, and all of these guys are perfect for him- even Wonderboy, who at that point in his career, depended fully on keeping range. Brown came inside and beat him in the clinch. Against Maia, you can't clinch.
-- I think Fabricio is better at everything than Stipe. I think he'll keep it at range and beat him in a one-sided decision with kicks and length. I try me best not to play decision bets on HW fights though. On the other end, there are only a few women i give trust for inside distance bets.
Good luck.
