14-0 so far +15 UNITS!!! Not too bad huh?

[tatehill2000]

MINNI has a QUITFACTOR% of 47.615 which makes them a .5 Unit FADE

we have 2 more Plays they are on the Second Game of their Run
4 Units we are FADEING CHICAGO
and
2 UNITS we are FADEING SEATTLE

*******************************************
So todays Plays we ARe TAKEING

DET for .5 Unit {DET -5}

New Jersey for 2 Units {+6}

Golden State for 4 Units {-6.5}

Good luck
Tater
***************************
Good luck to everyone,,,, Please Play within your Means,,, I will lose a Grouping Eventually {It may be tonight} well see,,
My Advice to all newcomers would be if your normal Unit play is 100 then you should be Playing 50 dollars per Unit on my plays,,,

good luck,,,I will be in late this afternnoon I think,,, sooo Maybe ZAP and I can get a Few Agreed Totals Plays today also,,
tater

 

[SSI]

so essentially if the bulls and sonics beat the numbers, you give back 1/2 of your profits tonight, since your not figuring juice on any of the previous losses within a set. kinda need to clear that up..

however tate, i wish you the best and really think your on to something, home teams are the way to go.. all my best to you..

 

[tatehill2000]

thnak you SSI,,, I cleared it up about a Hundred times over the last 2 weeks,,, I guess I should realize newbies are jumping on every day,,, so Maybe I should include an OUTLINE of my formula at the beginning of the thread,,,

tater

 

[SSI]

yeah buddy i knew what you meant, just trying to help some of the newer players that are following you... glad you cut if off at progression 2, instead of one more double down..

 

[tatehill2000]

Hello to all this thread will go at the TOP of all my Initial threads from now on,,, so as to Help everyone understand what it is I am trying to do here,,

This is a FADE formula,,,, I am FADEING TEAMS that go on the ROAD Progressing 1 time if I LOSE the First,,, If I lose the FIRST FADE,,then I will DOUBLE MY BET and FADE THEM 1 more time,,

I AM NOT counting the VIG {too difficult for me to keep track of},,,

I HAVE NOT Lost 2 FADE games in a Row,,that is WHY my Record is 14-0,,,, I WILL Lose a Grouping soon,,(It may be tonight) and When I LOSE that Grouping then I will Have 2 lOSSES to RECORD,,,, and the FULL UNITS LOST,,,

I Have Created what I call a QUITFACTOR%,,,, I will Post this NUMBER for all to see,,, it is a Combined Weight of what I see as the MOST Important Factors a Team Faces when they are on the Road, and May NOT Play as Hard,,
The HIGHER the QUITFACTOR% the More LIKELY they will LOSE in the 2 Game Grouping,,

Good luck,,,
tater

 

[tatehill2000]

SSI,,, its the Third Progression that can Slit your throat,,, Mike did it successfully last year,, In My research I couldnt find a Winning approach with 3 FADE bets, it became too complex,,, I am sure he will make it work,,, the funny part will be when we have AGREED FADE plays,,hahah,,, it Might Turn into another ZAPSTER TATER scenario,,,, hahah

Good luck
Tater

 

[SSI]

sort of a twist to the old martingale system, in theroy sounds good but can really kill you at times, glad you stopped at 2 progression.. a team never has to lose or win, interesting night tonight that you have.. your counting heavily on GST to cover a 6 and the nets to stay in it... like i said, my best to you..

 

[Valarious]

Ok, so the 2 unit bet and the 4 unit bet today are making up for the 1 unit and 2 unit loss yesterday? and the new half unit bet is starting a new progression?

 

[Publius]

Are we waiting for better lines are should we take them now? GS is already up to 7.

 

[tatehill2000]

Valarius Youa re right on,,, my advice,,if you are NOT Into the Plays from last night,, I would recomend you Play them for what I had them as YESTERDAY,,,, the chicago FADE at 2 units and the seattel Fade at 1

PUB,,, Take them now,,, they look to be Moving against us today, Yesterday they Moved With us,,,,

Tater

 

[Valarious]

Gotcha, so if you were to lose the 4 unit game, then you go back to half unit. Thanks tater

 

[tatehill2000]

Valarious,, If we Lose the GSW Play,,, then that Grouping is OVER and we Move on,,,

Again, if you didnt FADE chicago Last ngiht then I would asvise you to Play GSW for only 2 Units tonight,,

good luck
tater

 

[PLayer1]

Tatehill..not to be negative, but i have studied this angle from everything to doubling down first 2 ..all the way to a 6 gamer .. the only way it has been profitable in the past 3 years is to double down to 5. (and that is a scary propostion ) .a team has not covered all 5 of thier road games yet since (don't have my notes with me) but i believe the Lakers did it 3 or 4 years ago..otherwise it has been about 28-0 each of the past few years... If you are going to track this properly you need to count each loss as -3.42 units, cos that is exactly the cost of doubling down to make your original unit and losing i.e - risk 1.1 units to win 1 ..LOSE -game 2 risk 2.31 units to make 2.1 LOSE you are down 1.1 units on your 1st bet and 2.31 on your second meaning a total of 3.41 units .. again i am not bashing or being disrespectful, just letting you know that blindly playing these on every road trip has lost money each of the past 4 years that i studied...however, if you add in your quit factor to pick and choose which ones to play, i hope that is the difference to make it succesful for you ..

 

[PLayer1]

Just checked my numbers ..and a team losing ats in at least on game on a 5 game roadie is as follows


2003-2004 - 29-0
2002-2003 - 42-0
2001-2002 40-1 (Lakers)
2000 - 2001 42-0
1999-2000 35-0

however doubling down to 5 games means if you lose the 5th you just lost about 39 UNITS ! .. not for the faint of heart

 

[tatehill2000]

Hi Player,

thanks for your words,, Youa re right about the Lakes Stat,,, there are actually many other interesting scenarios that I plan to exploit, Many that I wont publish because I broke my ass digging up the info,,, I Will however post the plays accordingly,,

and as far as how I am keeping my thread,,, I understadn you dont agree with it,,,I will track my thread however I wish since I MADE a Disclaimer from the beginning of this season,,,, you are welcome to start your own thread and Lay your NUTS on the line like I am,, then you can be criticised and berated when you lose,,haha,,, thats not the fun part of this,,,haha

This thread is a THEORY I had last year,,, I figured it would come together if I put Hard Hours into it,,,, I may still lose, who knows,,,, It is a work in progress, and If I feel it needs more tweeking then I will Stop Posting picks and Units,,,, I still believe I will Leave NBA with this Formula with 20-40 Units easily,,,,

who knows,,,,
good luck to you
tater

 

[ATSHotSheet]

very nice tate. i know a similar system like that, but you are doin it perfectly good. very nice i enjoy seeing people pull off something like that. you can easily make 50+ units during the NBA season, so good luck tate! keep them comin.
GL!

 

[t1t]

Tate Check This Out !

Tate - I honestly believe you are onto something - however before you lay the points with Golden State tonight as a 4 unit play understand that one of the best plays in the NBA is going against a home team after they return from a 4 game road trip. Look at Dallas last night ! No Cover.

Golden State head home tonight after a 5 game road trip.

Based on the fact you are fading teams on the road it should'nt come up that much but I believe you could be heading into a bus on this game tonight.

Hope this helps you develop and refine your work.

Keep it up !

 

[tatehill2000]

thanks Tit,,, I hadent seen thaqt stat,,, (ugh) lets hope this is the exception,,,

tater

 

[PLayer1]

Tater..again i am not looking to argue,we are on the same side ... I am only responding because I have done many many hours of work researching this stuff, and the FACT is that if you played this fade system blindly last year you would have been 218-72 for -28.24 units .. I post this not to discredit you , but just so that someone else doens't read this thinking they are gonna pull 40-50 units easy using this when they simply are not going to... again,we are on the same side, so i hope you are able to revise this to make it profitable for you .. and if you are looking for any stats in particular let me know, i have many angles and may be able to save you some time ..good luck

 

[kayaman]

Good luck tonight. Looks like another one of those evenings where I'm going to have stay as far away from a television, radio, or anything else that will keep me updated. Just gonna go home, watch Jeopardy and then try to sleep.