12/4 College Hoops

HoosierDaddy · Dec 4, 2004

0-1 last night with Virginia sprinting out early and Auburn shooting their way back in.

43-50-2 YTD (9-4 L3 nights, 13-9 L5 nights).

12 PM Plays:

Kentucky (+10)
UNC was tired on Wed and Indiana played hard. I still think UNC may be tired after Maui LW. A lot of money going on UNC since UK has not played anyone, but I think UK stays close by making this a half court game.

Connecticut (-15)
Indiana played tough the other night, but go on the road for the first time. Connecticut will run and gun with these guys and IU cannot shoot.

Michigan (-3)
Unranked system play. Notre Dame has looked terrible this year and are not very deep. Michigan off a bad loss at Georgia Tech.

HoosierDaddy · Dec 4, 2004

2 PM Plays:

Arkansas (+9)
Illinois off a huge win over Wake Forest. All of a sudden Illinois looks like the best team in the country (IMO).

In their one game away from home, Illinois was outrebounded by 18 by Gonzaga.

The Hogs know that Vitale and all the others have been calling their schedule a cupcake schedule. They didn't cover against Tulsa b/c they were looking ahead to this one. This is the chance this year to prove that the Razorbacks are on the way back.

Wake Forest (-17')
Off an embarrassing loss in Champaign. Wake will be jacked up for this one.

Richmond has allowed their opp to shoot 44% from 3 this year. Wake will be draining them early and often. Plus, the Spiders are a poor rebounding team.

This line screams to take Richmond, who cas covered the L3 vs. Wake.

GL

HD

HoosierDaddy · Dec 4, 2004

Late afternoon:

Pacific (+20)
Rematch of LY's 2nd Round Tournament game.

Pacific is 16-9 ATS L3Y as an Underdog and 21-9 in Saturday games. I feel that trend shows Bob Thomason to be an excellent preparer of his ball club.

Pacific also shoots the ball well (in fact better on the road). 53% from the floor and 49% from the outside.

Kansas has steamrolled their L2 opponents (both tourney teams St Joe's and Nevada who lost a lot from LY) at home. However, Pacific brings a lot back and is the favorite to win the Big West.

Temple (+4')
I like Villanova as a sleeper this year but they have played one game this year (last time on Nov 23rd against Maryland-Baltimore County).

Temple's played solid defense thus far this year even though they are 1-3. They are only allowing 40% from the floor and 35% from the 3.

Dayton (+7')
UC is only shooting 39% from the floor and 31% from the 3. I love getting points at home (even w/ a Dayton team who lost a lot) against a poor shooting team like the Bearcats.

I think UC may be a little overvalued here after drilling a poor Purdue team in the 2nd half. Combine that with Dayton's loss at DePaul and you have an inflated line.

More to come later (maybe).

HD

HoosierDaddy · Dec 4, 2004

Add:

Seton Hall (+4)

HD

HoosierDaddy · Dec 4, 2004

Luckily, I had Wake as a push not as 17.5. Even if I didn't, I would still count it as a push b/c I have gotten more bad beats this year than ever.

0-5-1 so far today. God I am a great handicapper.

HoosierDaddy · Dec 4, 2004

Evening Slate:

Wisconsin-Milwaukee (+2)

Charlotte (-2')

UAB (-4)

South Carolina (-8)

North Texas (+2)

Bradley (+2')

Texas Tech (+2')

New Mexico State (+6')

Indiana State (-6')

Montana State (+6)

Portland State (+1)