12/16/16 Dubnation23 December Warmup 12-4 in our last 16 plays (75.0%)

[DubNation23]

YTD 12-9 (57.14%) +5.95016 units
12-4 in our last 16 plays (75.0% cheersgif)

Full Schedule of 10 games for tomorrow. I will be back tomorrow for our value plays.

 

[DubNation23]

Both plays here I am buying a half point

New Orleans/Houston over 222.5 -122(1.863)
Risk 3.66300 to win 3.00000 units

Utah -10.5 -122(1.819)
Risk 3.66300 to win 3.00000 units

 

[DubNation23]

3 team parlay (all first half wagers)

risk 1.5 units to win 7.34250

charlotte hornets +4.5 1.812 (-123)
memphis grizzlies -2.5 1.841 (-119)
houston rockets -6.5 1.767 (-130)

Good luck!

 

[DubNation23]

2nd Half
New Orleans / Houston over 109 1.90 (-111)

risk 2.22222 to win 2 units

 

[DubNation23]

Line moved to 1.999 -101

 

[DubNation23]

Risk adjusted to 2.10526

 

[DubNation23]

Once again one play cost us huge parlay :/

one more parlay today today if this doesn't hit may take a break from parlays

risk 2 units to win 4.83200

2 team parlay
2nd Half Memphis -5.5 1.90 (-111)
1st Half Utah -5.5 1.798 (-125)

good luck be back later for recap

 

[DubNation23]

WOW!!! what a tragic ending.... we fall short by half a point....

for second half I should have seen the line move as a line and stayed away...

Sorry for all those who followed...

 

[DubNation23]

New Orleans/Houston over 222.5 -122(1.863)
Risk 3.66300 to win 3.00000 units


LOSE -3.66300 units


2nd Half New Orleans / Houston over 109 1.90 (-111)
risk 2.10526 to win 2 units


LOSE -2.10526 Units

 

[DubNation23]

correction second half was -101

 

[DubNation23]

Live Value Play

Mavericks LIVE v Jazz LIVE over 207.5 1.870 (-115)
Risk 2.87356 Units to win 2.5 Units

 

[DubNation23]

Live Value Play and great middle...

[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Mavericks LIVE v Jazz LIVE under 221.5 1.870 (-115)[/FONT]
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Risk 2.99875 units to win 2 units[/FONT]

 

[DubNation23]

2 team parlay (Risk 2 units to win 4.83200 Units WIN +4.83200 units)
2nd Half: Memphis -5.5 1.90 (-111) W
1st Half: Utah -5.5 1.798 (-125) W

 

[DubNation23]

Second Half Line

2nd Half DAL Mavericks v 2nd Half UTA Jazz:
2nd Half UTA Jazz -5 1.900 (-111)

This line falls right at the game line of -11 juicing -111 both ways. No value present.

Good Luck

 

[DubNation23]

Total in the second half.

Over 94 juiced at -127 (1.790)
Under 94 juiced at +102 (2.020)


122 points scored in the first Half.


Pending Live Value Plays.

over 207.5 1.870 (-115)
risk 2.873356 units to win 2.5 units

under 221.5 1.870 (-115)

risk 2.29885 to win 2 units
(correction, risk above posted incorrectly at 2.99875)


86+(or more) points scored and we win 2.5 units
99- (or less) points scored and we win 2 units

86-99 points scored we Win 4.5 Units

over 99 points scored we win 0.20115 units
under 86 points scored we lose 0.873356 units


We have a great opportunity here....

 

[DubNation23]

Utah Live -7.5 1.910 (-120)

very tempting....

 

[DubNation23]

-110 i mean.

+7.5 is -120 (1.830)

don't like this... lets wait and see how things turn out.

 

[DubNation23]

Line Now

-8.5 -119
+8.5 -111

 

[DubNation23]

Line Now

+11.5 -120
-11.5 -105

 

[DubNation23]

+13.5 -120
-13.5 -110

Let's see if this gets any higher so we can look for a middle but for the most part I think we are just going to let it ride...