Here's some of the numbers for these matchups.
Wisc-Milwaukee at Miami OH
Wisc-Milwaukee
18 - Loyola Marymount
23 - UC Davis
24 - Iowa St.
NR - Upper Iowa
23 - Marquette
24 - Ball St.
29 - Wisconsin
19 - Detroit
20 - Wright St.
Miami-OH
22 - Weber St.
18 - UCLA
17 - Pittsburgh
13 - Wright St.
18 - Xavier
12 - Temple
16 - Northwestern St.
Wisc-Milwaukee's road games, 23, 24, 29, now coming off two above average efforts at home, I see them retreating to 23.
Miami OH nice solid pattern, coming back off a 4 pt drop after the Northwestern St. game. If they can pull 12 and 13's on the road without major bounces, they should be good for a 10s at home. I like them for atleast a 13 here which gives them nice value at -14.
Miami OH -14 (1.5 unit) [Posted Earlier]
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Fairfield at Fordham
Fairfield
28 - Memphis
15 - Sacred Heart
23 - Virginia Tech
24 - Missouri
16 - Chattanooga
19 - American
19 - Holy Cross
14 - St. Peter's
15 - Iona
Fordham
27 - Columbia
27 - Villanova
24 - Manhattan
25 - Princeton
28 - James Madison
28 - Hofstra
17 - Lafayette
Lineup change spurs Fordham to a major boost with a 17 at home against Lafayette. Fluke performance where the shots were falling and ball were bouncing their way? Likely IMO. I'll be shocked if they can turn that trick twice in a row. I can see them retreating to back to their season mean. I'll go 26.
I'm not totally thrilled with Fairfield's pattern, but they are beginning to show some cosistancy the last 5 games. A 3 pt drop to 18 still has them covering here easily.
Fairfield -9.5 (2 units) [Posted Earlier]
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St. Josephs at Villanova
St. Josephs
18 - Rider
24 - Holy Cross
17 - Texas
15 - Indiana
25 - Alabama
16 - Lehigh
23 - Creighton
10 - Towson St.
Villanova
11 - Albany
10 - Fordham
12 - Niagara
12 - Monmouth
15 - Towson St.
9 - Rhode Island
9 - Pennsylvania
13 - Houston Baptist
17 - Texas
St. Joes was a big money play on Tuesday for us, now we're going to bag on them in this one. We thought they were going to pull of a big one there vs Towson, and that 10 on the road is a wipe-out performance that could send them back into the low 20s.
Nova has been consistantly sharp all year long until their last outing. The last time they threw a clunker (for their standards, the 15 vs Towson St. was a clunker), they ripped off a pair of 9s. I can see them getting back to a 10 here.
Villanova -10 (3.5 units) [Posted Earlier]
Wisc-Milwaukee at Miami OH
Wisc-Milwaukee
18 - Loyola Marymount
23 - UC Davis
24 - Iowa St.
NR - Upper Iowa
23 - Marquette
24 - Ball St.
29 - Wisconsin
19 - Detroit
20 - Wright St.
Miami-OH
22 - Weber St.
18 - UCLA
17 - Pittsburgh
13 - Wright St.
18 - Xavier
12 - Temple
16 - Northwestern St.
Wisc-Milwaukee's road games, 23, 24, 29, now coming off two above average efforts at home, I see them retreating to 23.
Miami OH nice solid pattern, coming back off a 4 pt drop after the Northwestern St. game. If they can pull 12 and 13's on the road without major bounces, they should be good for a 10s at home. I like them for atleast a 13 here which gives them nice value at -14.
Miami OH -14 (1.5 unit) [Posted Earlier]
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Fairfield at Fordham
Fairfield
28 - Memphis
15 - Sacred Heart
23 - Virginia Tech
24 - Missouri
16 - Chattanooga
19 - American
19 - Holy Cross
14 - St. Peter's
15 - Iona
Fordham
27 - Columbia
27 - Villanova
24 - Manhattan
25 - Princeton
28 - James Madison
28 - Hofstra
17 - Lafayette
Lineup change spurs Fordham to a major boost with a 17 at home against Lafayette. Fluke performance where the shots were falling and ball were bouncing their way? Likely IMO. I'll be shocked if they can turn that trick twice in a row. I can see them retreating to back to their season mean. I'll go 26.
I'm not totally thrilled with Fairfield's pattern, but they are beginning to show some cosistancy the last 5 games. A 3 pt drop to 18 still has them covering here easily.
Fairfield -9.5 (2 units) [Posted Earlier]
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St. Josephs at Villanova
St. Josephs
18 - Rider
24 - Holy Cross
17 - Texas
15 - Indiana
25 - Alabama
16 - Lehigh
23 - Creighton
10 - Towson St.
Villanova
11 - Albany
10 - Fordham
12 - Niagara
12 - Monmouth
15 - Towson St.
9 - Rhode Island
9 - Pennsylvania
13 - Houston Baptist
17 - Texas
St. Joes was a big money play on Tuesday for us, now we're going to bag on them in this one. We thought they were going to pull of a big one there vs Towson, and that 10 on the road is a wipe-out performance that could send them back into the low 20s.
Nova has been consistantly sharp all year long until their last outing. The last time they threw a clunker (for their standards, the 15 vs Towson St. was a clunker), they ripped off a pair of 9s. I can see them getting back to a 10 here.
Villanova -10 (3.5 units) [Posted Earlier]
I assign a rating for each performance and handicap on the theory that teams will often come back to earth after a really good performance and get a fire lit under their asses after a really bad performance. You can also spot which teams are consistant/inconsistant. We can also see which teams may have had a sudden true form reversal/improvements (as we spotted with Indiana in yesterday's analysis).
Idaho St. at Wisc-Green Bay
Idaho St.
NR - Eastern Oregon
21 - Hawaii
22 - Boise St.
19 - Long Beach St.
17 - Brigham Young
24 - Washington St.
12 - Utah
21 - Wisconsin
Wisc-Green Bay
22 - Utah
NR - Rollins
19 - Marshall
15 - Morgan St.
13 - Massachussetts
18 - Wright St.
18 - Detroit
Idaho St's best player Matt Stucki missed the Washington St. game, certaintly that could account for the bounce to 24 (which they were due to have anyway after the 17) They got a nice pattern off the 21 at Wisconsin Tuesday. I believe they stayed in Wisconsin for this game so there was no major travel here. Their road form hasn't been great, but they had some negative patterns going into those other games. They have a positive one here. I see them moving back to the 17-19 range.
Wisc-Green Bay has a fairly decent pattern. I think they can move a couple points forward off those 18s to a 15 or 16.
12 is way too many points to be laying here. Wisc-Green Bay should be no more than a 6 or 7 point favorite.
Idaho +12 (1.5 unit) [Already Posted]
Idaho St.
NR - Eastern Oregon
21 - Hawaii
22 - Boise St.
19 - Long Beach St.
17 - Brigham Young
24 - Washington St.
12 - Utah
21 - Wisconsin
Wisc-Green Bay
22 - Utah
NR - Rollins
19 - Marshall
15 - Morgan St.
13 - Massachussetts
18 - Wright St.
18 - Detroit
Idaho St's best player Matt Stucki missed the Washington St. game, certaintly that could account for the bounce to 24 (which they were due to have anyway after the 17) They got a nice pattern off the 21 at Wisconsin Tuesday. I believe they stayed in Wisconsin for this game so there was no major travel here. Their road form hasn't been great, but they had some negative patterns going into those other games. They have a positive one here. I see them moving back to the 17-19 range.
Wisc-Green Bay has a fairly decent pattern. I think they can move a couple points forward off those 18s to a 15 or 16.
12 is way too many points to be laying here. Wisc-Green Bay should be no more than a 6 or 7 point favorite.
Idaho +12 (1.5 unit) [Already Posted]
Yea Redhawks! Run those bums off the court!
Now if we can just get Fairfield to stop turning over the ball.. They have been superior to Fordham in shooting and rebounding, but trying to get too flashy with the passing. They don't need to. If they K.I.S.S, Keep it simple stupid, they'll get the cover here.
Now if we can just get Fairfield to stop turning over the ball.. They have been superior to Fordham in shooting and rebounding, but trying to get too flashy with the passing. They don't need to. If they K.I.S.S, Keep it simple stupid, they'll get the cover here.
Well, we had an awful 2-4 night, down over 6 units.
I'm going to chalk this up to pattern reading because I'm very confident in that these numbers and this method is gold.
I'm going to do some studying tonight and do some analysis on a several teams from 2008 and look at the ebbs and flows of a season. Hopefully I can improve my chart reading.
Sorry guys.
I'm going to chalk this up to pattern reading because I'm very confident in that these numbers and this method is gold.
I'm going to do some studying tonight and do some analysis on a several teams from 2008 and look at the ebbs and flows of a season. Hopefully I can improve my chart reading.
Sorry guys.
