Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:...........109-95-3.........53.43%..........-53.75


BEST BETS:

11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.....- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........60-64-2............48.38%.........-31.75


UPDATED 11/23/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

Six college basketball teams with some of least continuity from last year:
— Tennessee-Martin
— Portland
— Georgia
— New Mexico
— Minnesota
— Tennessee State

Quote of the Day
“A lot of people ask me, ‘What’s the difference between being an assistant coach and being a head coach?’ As an assistant coach, you know, all day, you’re just making suggestions. But as a head coach, you’re all day making decisions. And that’s the biggest difference.”
North Carolina basketball coach Hubert Davis

Wednesday’s quiz
Which NBA team did Dick Vitale coach?

Tuesday’s quiz
Al Pacino’s character coached the Miami Sharks in Any Given Sunday.

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ QB, the one time they played in a Super Bowl.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) New Jersey Giants fired offensive coordinator Jason Garrett Tuesday because there have to be scapegoats when things go off the rails. Giants are 21-53 the last five years, but Garrett was only in his second year as the Giants’ OC.

Dave Gettleman became the Giants’ GM after the 2017 season:
— He drafted oft-injured RB Saquon Barkley, instead of QB’s Josh Allen/Lamar Jackson.
— The next year, he drafted QB Daniel Jones; Jones is 11-25 as an NFL starter.
— Allen is 34-19 as an NFL starter; Jackson 36-10.
— He hired Joe Judge as head coach; that’s not going well.

Maybe Gettleman is the guy who needs to be fired.

12) Gonzaga 83, UCLA 63:
— This was no contest, Gonzaga waxed them from wire-to-wire.
— Zags led 29-8 after the first 10:00.
— Gonzaga shot 70.4% inside arc.

11) By the way, speaking of UCLA, we’ll be deluged the rest of this college basketball season with stories/tributes about Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski, who is retiring after this season, He has a few former players working on TV these days; one of them called him “the greatest coach in college basketball history”

John Wooden won seven national titles in a row, and back in those days, you had to win your league’s regular season title just to make it into the national tournament— ACC was the only major league that had a conference tournament.

Make no mistake about it, John Wooden is the best coach in college basketball history.

10) Handicapping is difficult; you look at the NBA standings and see that Oklahoma City is 6-11, a bad team, so you would never bet on them, right?

Here’s the thing; Thunder covered their last six road games; they’re a team you should back when they’re away from home. Research is essential when you’re risking your money.

9) Arkansas 73, Cincinnati 67:
— Arkansas outscored Bearcats 16-7 over final 5:57
— Razorbacks outscored Cincy 24-11 on foul line.

8) Maui Classic:
— Wisconsin 65, Houston 63— Badgers led by 20 at halftime.
— Saint Mary’s 62, Oregon 50— Ducks were only 2-8 on the arc.

7) Florida Gulf Coast 67, Rhode Island 66:
— URI led by 14 late in first half.
— Rams beat Boston College twice, then lose this game?

6) Golden State star Klay Thompson participated in a full team practice Tuesday for the first time since tearing his Achilles tendon last year. Warriors haven’t set a date for Thompson’s return to game action.

5) Penn State gave football coach James Franklin a 10-year contract extension; Franklin is 67-32 at Penn State, after going 24-15 in three years at Vanderbilt.

Liberty also gave coach Hugh Freeze a contract extension; when other coaches get fired, the coaches who win make even more money.

4) Ole Miss QB Matt Corral sounds like he is going pro after this season; he’s played three years for the Rebels- this isn’t a great year for QB’s in the draft. Mel Kiper has him listed #1 for QB’s to be taken next spring.

3) Tampa Bay Rays signed 20-year old SS Wander Franco to a 12-year, $223M contract; he hit .288 (.810 OPS) in 70 games as a rookie this past summer.

2) More baseball stuff:
— Chicago White Sox signed reliever Kendall Graveman to a 3-year, $24M deal.
— San Francisco Giants re-signed P Anthony DeSclafani to a 3-year deal, are expected to re-sign P Alex Wood to a 2-year deal.

1) Late at night I watch movies/old TV shows; the first-ever episode of Columbo was on the other night, Peter Falk as a quirky LA detective. Jack Cassidy was the bad guy; seemed like he always played a bad guy.

The director of that show? Steven Spielberg, wonder whatever happened to him.
 

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MONTREAL is 6-2 ATS (7.1 Units) against excellent defensive teams - allowing <=2.4 goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 29-21 ATS (11.9 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO
is 4-22 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH
is 1-6 ATS (-8.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

NEW JERSEY
is 0-8 ATS (-8.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 12-18 ATS (-18.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 28-16 ATS (17.9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 36-12 ATS (19.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 9-5 ATS (9.2 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off a road win by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 120-107 ATS (-49.1 Units) in home games against poor offensive teams - scoring <=2.55 goals/game since 1996.

SEATTLE is 1-7 ATS (-8.1 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

OTTAWA is 110-95 ATS (29.2 Units) in road games against good power play killing teams - opp score on <14.5% of chances since 1996.
 

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NHL

Wednesday, November 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Buffalo
Boston
Boston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Buffalo
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston

Winnipeg @ Columbus
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing Winnipeg

Philadelphia @ Florida
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ New Jersey
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home
New Jersey is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Vancouver @ Pittsburgh
Vancouver
Vancouver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver

Montreal @ Washington
Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Montreal's last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games when playing at home against Montreal

St. Louis @ Detroit
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

NY Rangers @ NY Islanders
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers

Vegas @ Nashville
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Toronto @ Los Angeles
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Carolina @ Seattle
Carolina
Carolina is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games

Edmonton @ Arizona
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

Ottawa @ San Jose
Ottawa
Ottawa is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Ottawa's last 14 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Jose's last 14 games when playing Ottawa


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


VAN at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -220
+500

BOS at BUF 07:00 PM
BOS -270
+500

MON at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -200
U 6.0
+500 +500

MIN at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ +100
U 6.0

+500 +500

WIN at CLB 07:00 PM
WIN -135
+500

PHI at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -245
+500

NYR at NYI 07:30 PM
NYR -130
+500

STL at DET 07:30 PM
STL -130
U 6.0
+500 +500

VEG at NAS 08:00 PM
VEG +100
+500

ANA at COL 09:00 PM
COL -230
+500

TOR at LA 10:00 PM
TOR -170
+500

EDM at ARI 10:00 PM
EDM -210
U 6.0
+500 +500

CAR at SEA 10:00 PM
CAR -140
+500

OTT at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ -175
+500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/24/2021.......11-6-1........63.89%.......+18.75
11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:........120-101-3.........54.29%..........-35.00


BEST BETS:

11/24/2021..........2-3-1...........40.00%........-6.00
11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.......- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........62-67-3............48.06%.........-37.75


UPDATED 11/24/2021
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:

Six of college basketball’s most experienced teams:
1) Manhattan
2) Cleveland State
5) Detroit Mercy
7) Penn State
8) Illinois-Chicago
10) Northern Colorado

Quote of the Day
“I’m human, I make mistakes, and I own up to them. I don’t (bleep)ing hide from them, that’s not me,”
Kelly Stafford, Mrs Matthew Stafford; she threw a pretzel at a fan in San Francisco 2 weeks ago

Friday’s quiz
What is the name of the minor league baseball team that Michael Jordan played for?

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Baltimore and becoming the Ravens, the Ravens were the Cleveland Browns. The new Cleveland Browns started playing three years after they became the Ravens.

Wednesday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons after coaching at U of Detroit.

****************************************

Friday’s Den: Hope you had a good Thanksgiving Day

13) Here’s something to store away for March; 11 of the last 12 years, team that won the national title in college basketball won one of these tournaments played before conference play, mostly in November. So teams that are winning tournaments this weekend are improving their chances to go home with a much bigger trophy in April.

Later on this month, I’ll post a list of the teams that win these events.

12) Las Vegas 36, Dallas 33 OT:
— Raiders blew 24-13 third quarter lead, kicked FG in OT for the win.
— Total yards: Las Vegas 509, Dallas 437
— Raiders are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas allowed 20+ points in 10 of 11 games this year.
— Raiders are 6-1 in OT with Carr at QB.

— Prescott threw for 200+ yards, just in 4th quarter.
— Pollard ran kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
— Both teams converted only 3-13 third down plays.
— Cowboys are 2-3 in last five games SU, after a 6-0 run.
— Dallas is 3-5 SU in last eight Thanksgiving games.

11) Chicago 16, Detroit 14:
— Santos kicked 28-yard FG for win, ending 18-play drive.
— Chicago kicked FG at 0:00 of both halves.
— Dalton threw for 317 yards in his first start since Week 2.
— Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Chicago games.
— Bears won seven of last eight series games.

— Chicago ran 69 plays for 378 yards, Lions 45 for 239 yards.
— Detroit is winless, but is 7-4 ATS (4-1 last five).
— Last eight games, Lions were outscored 117-39 in first half.
— Lions lost last five Thanksgiving games (1-4 ATS)

10) Buffalo 31, New Orleans 6:
— Buffalo outgained the Saints, 361-190.
— Bills scored TD’s on 3 of first 4 drives in second half.
— Buffalo is 8-5 ATS last thirteen games as road favorites.
— Bills are 0-3 in games decided by less than 15 points.

— Bills were 8-13 on third down, New Orleans 5-14
— Last four weeks, New Orleans was outscored 60-13 in first half.
— Saints lost last four games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Last three years, home side is 0-9 SU on Thanksgiving.

9) I’ve read for years how the NFL wants more scoring in its games, because more scoring leads to better TV ratings which leads to more money, which is what they really want.

Here’s a hint; CALL FEWER HOLDING PENALTIES!!!!!

No one pays to watch officials throw flags; holding is very subjective- you could call it on most every play, if you wanted to. Penalties grind the game to a halt; the fewer the better.

8) Blind resume for college football coaches. Here is one, for a guy in his third year as a college head coach.
2019— School A- Goes 5-7, then jumps to a new school.
2020— School B— Goes 2-5 in a year where the pandemic screwed things up.
2021— Is 9-2 in his second year at School B, a school in a major league.

Three years as a head coach, 16-14 record. Any guesses who he is?
Will let you know tomorrow.

7) Iona 72, Alabama 68:
— Rick Pitino as a 12-point underdog? Big win for the Gaels.
— Alabama led by 9 with 12:27 left.
— Crimson Tide was only 13-25 on the foul line.

6) UConn 115, Auburn 109, 2OT (Wednesday game)
— Auburn led 21-10 early.
— UConn led by 15 in second half.
— Teams combined to make 27-56 on arc, 65-79 on foul line.

High-level game; looked like a March game.

5) Maryland 86, Richmond 80:
— Richmond led by 12 late in first half.
— Maryland scored 54 points in second half.
— Terps were 10-23 on arc, 20-25 on foul line.

4) There used to be a tournament called the Alaskan Shootout which was played this week; it was fun, the last first round game would start around 2:30am on Thursday night. At one time, big-time schools went up there to play, but then ESPN started sponsoring events in Bahamas and South Carolina, warm weather places with great beaches, and that killed the Alaskan Shootout. Too bad.

3) Pitcher Steven Matz signed on with St Louis for four years, $44M. Matz was 14-7, 3.82 in 29 starts for Toronto LY. He is from Long Island, but spurned the hometown Mets (his old team) to pitch for the Cardinals.

2) Ohio State-Michigan is noon Saturday; can’t remember a time when this game wasn’t the noon game on Saturday of Thanksgiving weekend— they probably moved it to Friday once or twice, but I can’t remember when.

Problem is, when one team wins 16 of 17 meetings, like Ohio State has against the Wolverines, it makes the rivalry a little less appealing. Michigan is 10-1 this year; we’ll see if they can hang with the Buckeyes this time around.

1) Boise State is at San Diego State is also at noon ET Saturday; the thing is, noon ET is 9am in San Diego. Isn’t 9am a little early to play a football game?

Understood that teams are desperate to get TV attention, but having teams eat their pregame meal at 5am seems ridiculous.
 

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BOSTON is 302-236 ATS (-83.2 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal since 1996.

ST LOUIS are 12-19 ATS (-20.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 2-12 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

SEATTLE is 1-9 ATS (-10.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

BUFFALO is 12-43 ATS (-35.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 2-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 18-4 ATS (13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 ATS (9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Friday, November 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Boston
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers

St. Louis @ Chicago
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Winnipeg @ Minnesota
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Carolina @ Philadelphia
Carolina
Carolina is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

Ottawa @ Anaheim
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Anaheim is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games

Florida @ Washington
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Florida
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

New Jersey @ Nashville
New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nashville's last 8 games at home
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey

Montreal @ Buffalo
Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games

Vancouver @ Columbus
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 12 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home

Seattle @ Tampa Bay
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Dallas
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Islanders
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Toronto @ San Jose
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Toronto


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
104,221
Tokens
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


NYR at BOS 01:00 PM
BOS -165
O 5.5
+500 +500

STL at CHI 03:30 PM
STL -140
O 5.5
+500 +500

WIN at MIN 03:30 PM
U 6.0
+500

CAR at PHI 03:30 PM
CAR -150
O 5.5
+500 +500

FLA at WAS 05:00 PM
U 6.0
+500

MON at BUF 07:00 PM
MON -120
U 6.0
+500 +500

SEA at TB 07:00 PM
TB -175
O 5.5
+500 +500

PIT at NYI 07:30 PM
PIT -155
O 5.5
+500 +500

COL at DAL 07:30 PM
COL -130
O 5.5
+500 +500

TOR at SJ 10:30 PM
TOR -155
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/26/2021.......8-10-0........44.44%........-20.75
11/24/2021.......11-6-1........63.89%.......+18.75
11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:........128-111-3.........53.55%..........-55.75


BEST BETS:

11/25/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%.......-13.00
11/24/2021..........2-3-1...........40.00%........-6.00
11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.......- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........66-73-3............47.48%.........-50.75


UPDATED 11/25/2021
 

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Messages
16,759
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

Six of college basketball’s most inexperienced teams:
358) Dayton
357) Wisc-Green Bay
356) Arizona
355) Temple
353) Duquesne
352) Marquette

Quote of the Day
“A little song, a little dance……a little seltzer down your pants.”
Chuckles the Clown

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the first man to walk on the moon?

Friday’s quiz
Michael Jordan played baseball for the Birmingham Barons, the White Sox’ AA team.

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Baltimore and becoming the Ravens, the Ravens were the Cleveland Browns. The new Cleveland Browns started playing three years after they became the Ravens.

*********************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

13) Duke 84, Gonzaga 81:
— Excellent game; seemed like March, or April.
— Duke outscored Gonzaga 15-7 on foul line.
— Banchero scored 20 points in first half, one in second half.
— Zags were only 6-21 on the arc.

12) Dayton 74, Kansas 73:
— 16-point underdogs pull biggest upset of season so far.
— Dayton is least experienced team in country.
— Amzil hit game-winning hoop, his only basket of the game.
— Dayton-Belmont is the final of this tournament, on Sunday.

11) Baylor 75, Michigan State 58:
— Bears win the Battle of Atlantis.
— Baylor outscored Spartans 37-22 in second half.
— Bears shot 65.7% inside the arc.

10) NC State 34, North Carolina 30:
— Tar Heels kicked 50-yard FG to lead 30-21 with 2:12 left.
— NC State then scored two touchdowns in 26 seconds for the win; they recovered an onside kick after the first TD.

9) Weird Stats of the Day:
— Last three years, NFL road teams are 9-0 on Thanksgiving Day
— Nebraska finished 1-8 in conference games this season, but Cornhuskers scored 239 points, gave up 239 points in those games- their one Big 14 win was 49-7 over Northwestern, the eight losses were by total of 42 points.

8) Raiders-Cowboys game Thursday got the NFL’s best TV ratings since 1990; they also the most penalties in a game since 2016. Those two facts are not connected.

7) Cincinnati 35, East Carolina 13— Bearcats finish regular season a perfect 12-0, now have to win the AAC title game, then hope the voting system isn’t corrupt, so they can play for a national title.

6) San Diego State has won its last six basketball games against Big East opponents.

5) Detroit Lions are 0-10-1, but they’ve led four games in 4th quarter, are 7-4 vs spread. Their four blown leads in 4th quarter are most in league this season.

4) College football coaching stuff:
— Louisiana Tech told football coach Skip Holtz to take a hike; is this a landing spot for former LSU coach Ed Orgeron?
— Wake Forest wisely signed coach Dave Clawson to a contract extension.
— TCU signed coach Sonny Dykes away from SMU.

3) There are six bowl games on December 18, not really sure why, but that’ll be a busy TV day.

2) New York Mets were busy Friday:
— They are signing OF Starling Marte to a 4-year, $78M contract
— They signed OF Mark Canha to a 2-year, $26.5M deal
— They signed IF Eduardo Escobar to a 2-year, $20M deal.

1) Blind resume for college football coaches. Here is one, for a guy in his third year as a college head coach.
2019— School A- Goes 5-7, then jumps to a new school.
2020— School B— Goes 2-5 in a year where the pandemic screwed things up.
2021— Is 9-2 in his second year at School B, a school in a major league.

Three years as a head coach, 16-14 record. Any guesses who he is?

Michigan State just gave Mel Tucker a 10-year, $95M contract; he is 16-14 as a head coach. Lot of faith for a coach with one winning season.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
SEATTLE is 1-9 ATS (-10.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

VEGAS are 32-6 ATS (23.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 13-9 ATS (3.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 93-121 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

ST LOUIS are 5-11 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 28-24 ATS (10 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
NHL

Saturday, November 27


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle @ Florida
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Ottawa @ Los Angeles
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Los Angeles's last 17 games at home

Edmonton @ Vegas
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Vegas
Edmonton is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Edmonton

Buffalo @ Detroit
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home

Montreal @ Pittsburgh
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

Dallas @ Arizona
Dallas
Dallas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home

Columbus @ St. Louis
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus

Nashville @ Colorado
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Nashville is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Nashville

Winnipeg @ Calgary
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SEA at FLA 06:00 PM
FLA -210
+500

MON at PIT 07:00 PM
O 5.5
+500

OTT at LA 07:00 PM
LA -192
U 5.5
+500 +500

BUF at DET 07:00 PM
BUF +167
O 5.5

+500 +500

EDM at VEG 07:00 PM
EDM +110
O 6.5

+500 +500

CLB at STL 08:00 PM
CLB +155
O 6.0

+500 +500

DAL at ARI 08:00 PM
DAL -180
O 5.5
+500 +500

NAS at COL 09:00 PM
COL -210
U 6.0
+500 +500

WIN at CAL 10:00 PM
CAL -175
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Tokens
NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/27/2021.........7-9-0........43.75%........-21.25
11/26/2021.......8-10-0........44.44%........-20.75
11/24/2021.......11-6-1........63.89%.......+18.75
11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:........135-120-3.........52.94%..........-77.00


BEST BETS:

11/27/2021..........4-7-0...........36.36%.......-17.00
11/26/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%.......-13.00
11/24/2021..........2-3-1...........40.00%........-6.00
11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.......- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........70-81-3............46.35%.........-67.75


UPDATED 11/27/2021
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

$$$ that college football coaches got after they were fired this year:
$17M— Ed Orgeron, LSU
$12M— Dan Mullen, Florida/Gary Patterson, TCU
$10M— Clay Helton, USC
$9.9M— Jimmy Lake, Washington
$8.7M— Justin Fuente, Virginia Tech
$7.4M— Matt Wells, Texas Tech

Quote of the Day
“There were a lot of things we had to fix, but I think the one thing you can say is … the fact that the players played hard and really wanted to win the game and made an outstanding effort to do it………It was a great comeback. There were many times we could have thrown in the towel.”
Nick Saban

Sunday’s quiz
Which team lost the first Super Bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
Neil Armstrong was the first man to walk on the moon, in 1969.

Friday’s quiz
Michael Jordan played baseball for the Birmingham Barons, the White Sox’ AA team.

*****************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday…….

13) Michigan 42, Ohio State 27:
— Haskins ran ball 28 times for 169 yards and five TD’s.
— Michigan snaps 8-game series losing skid.
— Only 8 of Michigan’s 61 plays were on third down.

12) Alabama 24, Auburn 22, OT:
— Auburn led this game 10-0 in 4th quarter.
— Alabama tied game with 0:24 left in regulation.
— Crimson Tide outgained Auburn, 388-159.

11) Oklahoma State 37, Oklahoma 33:
— Oklahoma’s offense didn’t score in second half; game was 24-24 at halftime.
— Both teams fumbled a punt inside their own 5-yard line.
— OSU’s stadium is weird; very little room between the sidelines and stands.
— Cowboys snap a 6-game series losing skid; with Oklahoma jumping to the SEC, this rivalry might not go on much longer. Too bad.

10) There are rumors on the Interweb that Lincoln Riley is going to bolt Oklahoma for LSU; Oklahoma is jumping to the SEC, so Riley must think the Sooners won’t be faring too well in a deeper league, where even LSU struggled this year, two years after they won the national title. Not a lot of loyalty in the world these days.

9) San Diego Padres traded 2B Adam Frazier to Seattle for two minor leaguers, one of whom is a promising reliever. Frazier hit .305 LY, made All-Star Game for first time.

8) College football upsets:
— Hawai’i (+13) 38, Wyoming 14
— Minnesota (+7) 23, Wisconsin 13
— Virginia Tech (+7) 29, Virginia 24
— Michigan (+6.5) 42, Ohio State 27
— Tulsa (+6.5) 34, SMU 31
— Bowling Green (+6) 21, Ohio U 10

7) Air Force 48, UNLV 14:
— Air Force ran ball 69 times for 511 yards.
— They didn’t throw a pass the whole game; not one.

6) North Texas 45, Tex-San Antonio 23:
— First loss in 12 games this season for the Roadrunners.

5) Minnesota 23, Wisconsin 13— Gophers’ upset win creates an Iowa-Michigan matchup in the Big 14 title game next week.

4) College basketball upsets:
— Eastern Washington (+19) 76, Washington State 71
— Monmouth (+11) 61, Cincinnati 59
— Northern Iowa (+9.5) 90, St Bonaventure 80
— UMBC (+5.5) 87, Pittsburgh 77

3) Monmouth 61, Cincinnati 59:
— Walker Miller scored 13 points for Monmouth; his brother Wes is Cincinnati’s coach.
— Cincinnati led by 12 early in second half.
— Bearcats were 4-28 on arc; Monmouth was 8-16.

2) Northern Iowa 90, St Bonaventure 80— Handicapping is tough; Bonnies looked so good winning the tournament in Charleston last week, then come home and lose this game, to a very mediocre Northern Iowa squad. UNI made 15-31 3-pointers, but Bonnies made 12-31.

1) USC 58, San Diego State 43:
— Teams combined to go 10-29 on foul line. Seriously.
— Teams also combined to go 7-31 on arc; lot of rebounds in this game.
— USC outrebounded the Aztecs, 49-33.
 

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