Zona St -1.5
I locked this in at 1 earlier but didn't get a chance to post, it's up to 1.5 now I see and I still like it here. Watched Baylor-Providence last night and I really came away more unimpressed with Providence than impressed by Baylor. This Arizona St team should be a lot more polished than Providence and I think their style of play will give Baylor a lot more trouble. For one they'll look to slow it down. Providence was running a pressure full court press that routinely left just one man back as Baylor's four guards broke it with ease all night resulting in many routine lay-ins. Providence threw up brick after brick from beyond the arc on what I thought were usually very good looks. Baylor also was very foul happy last night and Zona St is a team (Harden in-particular) that will get to the line and will make you pay by hitting their FTs. Two things in this game concern me, Zona St turns it over too much and isn't a great rebounding team. They will need a big effort from Pendergraph and if he can outplay Rogers I think they will be good here. This is a very efficient team that will make Baylor pay for the open looks they granted Providence last year, if they keep turnovers to a minimum and don't get killed on the glass I think they coast here.
Good luck. Probably back with some more plays, have a number of leans.
I locked this in at 1 earlier but didn't get a chance to post, it's up to 1.5 now I see and I still like it here. Watched Baylor-Providence last night and I really came away more unimpressed with Providence than impressed by Baylor. This Arizona St team should be a lot more polished than Providence and I think their style of play will give Baylor a lot more trouble. For one they'll look to slow it down. Providence was running a pressure full court press that routinely left just one man back as Baylor's four guards broke it with ease all night resulting in many routine lay-ins. Providence threw up brick after brick from beyond the arc on what I thought were usually very good looks. Baylor also was very foul happy last night and Zona St is a team (Harden in-particular) that will get to the line and will make you pay by hitting their FTs. Two things in this game concern me, Zona St turns it over too much and isn't a great rebounding team. They will need a big effort from Pendergraph and if he can outplay Rogers I think they will be good here. This is a very efficient team that will make Baylor pay for the open looks they granted Providence last year, if they keep turnovers to a minimum and don't get killed on the glass I think they coast here.
Good luck. Probably back with some more plays, have a number of leans.
