3-1 thus far this week and now back to .500 on the year. I expect a better second half of the season.
Florida State (-6')
The home team is 11-6 ATS in this series. The Noles should have won last season, but gave the game away.
FSU has the much better defense and better running game, which gets a boost with the returns of Lorenzo Booker and Leon Washington.
Brock Berlin has been inconsistent all year and this is the best defense he will face all year.
West Virginia (-17')
This looks like a big line for the Mounties to cover against an improved Rutgers team. WV has only won one game all year, while Rutgers is 3-2 this season.
However, Rutgers has allowed 280 rushing yards the L2 weeks and West Va has ran the ball very well all season.
Oklahoma State (+3)
OSU is 19-12-1 ATS in Big 12 home games and have won their last 3 games outright as a home pup.
K-State's pass defense leaves a lot to be desired and I think the Cowboys will be able to throw on them.
Illinois (+4)
The dog is 5-1 ATS in this series the L6 meetings. Illinois has outgained 5 of their 6 opponents except for Purdue LW.
The Spartans have played a soft schedule and Illinois has played a nightmare schedule.
MSU is only 2-10 SU on the road in Big 10 their L12.
Navy (+5')
The Middies are 14-3 ATS as dogs off a win. Meanwhile, Vandy is 5-15 ATS as favs off a loss and are 1-9 ATS in Homecoming games.
Navy played an option team LW against Air Force and will play Vandy's option this week.
Auburn (+6)
Everyone knows Arkansas is amazing at home, but why is the line only 6? That's why I go with Auburn.
This is not only a revenge game, but the dog is 5-1 ATS the L6 in the series.
Auburn has the running game going now by averaging 256 ypg their L3 games.
Army (+32)
U of L is 0-3 ATS as a fav this year. Meanwhile, Army is 8-1 ATS their L9 as a dog of 21 or more.
I think Army hangs within the number just like UTEP did.
Kansas (+6')
Colorado is circling the drain right now and Kansas comes off a bye week. Mangino has these guys believing and they are the better defense versus Colorado.
The Buffs are struggling running the ball while Kansas has been solid in that area.
UNLV (+7)
The home team is 1-6 ATS in this series and AF is only 6-11 ATS as a HF the L4Y.
UNLV has a bye LW and will be prepared for the option.
Georgia Tech (+4')
The Yellow Jackets are 11-3 ATS off a SU win as an underdog and 25-7 ATS their L32 when they are a dog in ACC games.
Wake is 0-6 ATS at home off a bye week.
The Deacons have been dogs the L14 meetings here and now they are a fav.
Texas (+6')
We all know that OU has dominated the Horns in the L3 meetings. However, OU was a dog in all of those games. Now, Texas is the dog and the Underdog is 12-3 ATS the L15 meetings.
I am not convinced that there is one dominating team in College Football this year (even though OU is the best team right now).
I think Texas is better this year b/c both QB's are much more mobile than Simms and that will not allow OU to tee off with blitzes like they have the L3 years.
I see one down to the wire here.
Florida (+10)
Really going against the logic here. I just don't think LSU is that good.
The visitor is 16-6-1 ATS in this series and LSU is only 8-16-1 ATS after a bye.
Florida has won and covered both of their SEC games as dogs under Zook (LY @ Tennessee and versus Georgia in Jacksonville).
I know Florida is not that good, but they should step up and keep this close here against an overrated LSU team.
Arizona State (+2')
The home team is 6-3 ATS in this series.
Oregon still has a weak pass defense and Andrew Walter has to come out of his funk at some point.
I think Oregon is circling the drain and I am not a fan of their 2 QB system.
ASU is desperate here and I think they sack up and get the win here.
Arkansas State (+26')
Ole Miss comes off a huge win in the Swamp (the Pond), but come home to play a poor Sun Belt team.
Cutcliffe is only 7-14 ATS as a Home Fav. They are also only 1-4 ATS versus Arkansas State in the L5Y. They also failed to cover versus UL Monore last season.
Ole Miss has home tilts with Alabama, Arkansas and South Carolina on tap and I think they may lookahead here.
I like a few night plays, but will hold off for now.
Florida State (-6')
The home team is 11-6 ATS in this series. The Noles should have won last season, but gave the game away.
FSU has the much better defense and better running game, which gets a boost with the returns of Lorenzo Booker and Leon Washington.
Brock Berlin has been inconsistent all year and this is the best defense he will face all year.
West Virginia (-17')
This looks like a big line for the Mounties to cover against an improved Rutgers team. WV has only won one game all year, while Rutgers is 3-2 this season.
However, Rutgers has allowed 280 rushing yards the L2 weeks and West Va has ran the ball very well all season.
Oklahoma State (+3)
OSU is 19-12-1 ATS in Big 12 home games and have won their last 3 games outright as a home pup.
K-State's pass defense leaves a lot to be desired and I think the Cowboys will be able to throw on them.
Illinois (+4)
The dog is 5-1 ATS in this series the L6 meetings. Illinois has outgained 5 of their 6 opponents except for Purdue LW.
The Spartans have played a soft schedule and Illinois has played a nightmare schedule.
MSU is only 2-10 SU on the road in Big 10 their L12.
Navy (+5')
The Middies are 14-3 ATS as dogs off a win. Meanwhile, Vandy is 5-15 ATS as favs off a loss and are 1-9 ATS in Homecoming games.
Navy played an option team LW against Air Force and will play Vandy's option this week.
Auburn (+6)
Everyone knows Arkansas is amazing at home, but why is the line only 6? That's why I go with Auburn.
This is not only a revenge game, but the dog is 5-1 ATS the L6 in the series.
Auburn has the running game going now by averaging 256 ypg their L3 games.
Army (+32)
U of L is 0-3 ATS as a fav this year. Meanwhile, Army is 8-1 ATS their L9 as a dog of 21 or more.
I think Army hangs within the number just like UTEP did.
Kansas (+6')
Colorado is circling the drain right now and Kansas comes off a bye week. Mangino has these guys believing and they are the better defense versus Colorado.
The Buffs are struggling running the ball while Kansas has been solid in that area.
UNLV (+7)
The home team is 1-6 ATS in this series and AF is only 6-11 ATS as a HF the L4Y.
UNLV has a bye LW and will be prepared for the option.
Georgia Tech (+4')
The Yellow Jackets are 11-3 ATS off a SU win as an underdog and 25-7 ATS their L32 when they are a dog in ACC games.
Wake is 0-6 ATS at home off a bye week.
The Deacons have been dogs the L14 meetings here and now they are a fav.
Texas (+6')
We all know that OU has dominated the Horns in the L3 meetings. However, OU was a dog in all of those games. Now, Texas is the dog and the Underdog is 12-3 ATS the L15 meetings.
I am not convinced that there is one dominating team in College Football this year (even though OU is the best team right now).
I think Texas is better this year b/c both QB's are much more mobile than Simms and that will not allow OU to tee off with blitzes like they have the L3 years.
I see one down to the wire here.
Florida (+10)
Really going against the logic here. I just don't think LSU is that good.
The visitor is 16-6-1 ATS in this series and LSU is only 8-16-1 ATS after a bye.
Florida has won and covered both of their SEC games as dogs under Zook (LY @ Tennessee and versus Georgia in Jacksonville).
I know Florida is not that good, but they should step up and keep this close here against an overrated LSU team.
Arizona State (+2')
The home team is 6-3 ATS in this series.
Oregon still has a weak pass defense and Andrew Walter has to come out of his funk at some point.
I think Oregon is circling the drain and I am not a fan of their 2 QB system.
ASU is desperate here and I think they sack up and get the win here.
Arkansas State (+26')
Ole Miss comes off a huge win in the Swamp (the Pond), but come home to play a poor Sun Belt team.
Cutcliffe is only 7-14 ATS as a Home Fav. They are also only 1-4 ATS versus Arkansas State in the L5Y. They also failed to cover versus UL Monore last season.
Ole Miss has home tilts with Alabama, Arkansas and South Carolina on tap and I think they may lookahead here.
I like a few night plays, but will hold off for now.
