| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +2.00 |
| Last 30 Days | 10 | 9 | 0.00 | +1.94 |
| Season to Date | 10 | 9 | 0.00 | +1.94 |
#740 SMU -4½ -106 over TCU
8:00 PM EST. TCU is 8-0 and received 33 votes in Monday’s Associated Press poll. If the poll extended past a Top 25, TCU would be #29 nationally. TCU’s average win margin has been 17 points. The Horned Frogs have brought attention to themselves by being one of 11 teams in the country without a loss and now they’re getting points against a team with a modest 6-3 record. There is a right time to attack teams with a great record that are not that strong and now that the market has taken notice of the Horned Frogs, this would be that time. TCU has defeated a bunch of weak teams on their home court. They nearly blew a 17-point lead against Washington. They have five freshman getting minutes and their leading scorer is sophomore guard Alex Robinson, a transfer from Texas A&M. What we’re seeing is a bunch of skewed numbers from an average team and now we’ll attempt to take advantage of a short-priced favorite who is fully aware of TCU’s 8-0 record and would like nothing more than to be the first blemish.
The Mustangs are a modest 6-3 thus far. Their last two wins occurred against Delaware State and Cal State Bakersfield. Before defeating those two, SMU played a very average Boise State squad and lost, 71-62. However, we pay little attention to results because they cause market over and under-reactions and pay more attention to performances and strength of schedule. The Mustangs went into USC against the 8-0 Trojans and lost by just five. They also lost to Michigan and has an impressive nine-point victory over Pitt. Semi Ojeleye, a transfer from Duke leads the team in scoring (17.2) to go with his 7.7 rebounds per game. Jarrey Foster had a very good freshman campaign and is another one of those big guards who can attack the basket and play solid defense. Ben Moore is monster in the paint that does a lot more than just score points. Shake Milton started 23 games as a freshman and averaged 10.5 points and 2.7 assists. Milton is a great scorer that can also handle the ball and set up his teammates. The Mustangs feature a very good rotation with balanced scoring. You may remember that the Mustangs won 25 games last year but was banned from playing in the post-season. This year, the Mustangs are eligible, they’re determined to get there and they're also so much more than 4½-points better than this intruder.
Risking 2.12 units to win 2
Again, thanks for all the positive comments in previous threads and I write this again because I'm superstitious as hell. Good luck!
