| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1 | 2 | 0.00 | -1.78 |
| Last 30 Days | 30 | 26 | 0.00 | +23.48 |
| Season to Date | 119 | 131 | 0.00 | +36.39 |
2 unit play
Posted at 12:15 PM EST.
Detroit +120 over PITTSBURGH
OT included. Anyone looking to wager on this game will take a look at Pittsburgh’s past performance and see they have won three of five and allowed just one goal in those three wins. They’ll also see that all those victories were on the road. On paper, it looks pretty but a closer looks reveals a Penguins team in serious trouble. Those three wins occurred against New Jersey, Edmonton and Calgary. The win over Calgary is notable but that was Calgary’s most lethargic performance of the year. For whatever reason, the Flames were flat as hell when they faced Pittsburgh. The Pens last three losses since the All-Star break came against Vancouver, Nashville and Washington. That trio outscored the Pens by an eye-opening mark of 13-0. Prior to the break, Pittsburgh had dropped five of six, including a pair to the Rangers and Islanders in which they were outscored 11-5. It gets worse over a larger sample too. The Metropolitan Division is not considered a strong one, yet the Pens are just 7-13 within it. Against the Metro’s playoff bound teams (Washington, N.Y. Rangers, N.Y. Islanders), the Penguins are 2-8 while being outscored 39-19. Pittsburgh’s pedigree, popularity and misleading record in which they’ve beaten up on cupcakes all year while getting slaughtered by playoff bound teams has them so overvalued that we must try to take advantage. Pittsburgh has played five of its last six on the road. They return to the Igloo here after the dreaded three-game trip to the Canadian West Coast. The Pens are ill-prepped to deal with a team like Detroit.
Detroit is not only a serious threat to represent the East in the Cup, they’re a threat to win it. The Red Wings are only getting better with each passing week. They have won three in a row and nine of 10. Over its three game winning streak, Detroit has outscored the opposition 10-2. Just prior to the break, Detroit scored five goals or more in four straight victories. Detroit’s offense is red-hot and it’s not likely to cool off because it’s not just one line that the opposition must contain. For this offense to cool off, 10 guys have to get cold at the same time. The Red Wings defense, and we’ve been saying so since the first game of the year, is as solid as any. Of course this is one game in which anything can happen but put the Penguins are high on our fade radar because they are the NHL’s most overvalued team and it’s not close. This is TRUE Value at its absolute best.
