| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | +8.20 |
| Last 30 Days | 18 | 8 | 0.00 | +19.64 |
| Season to Date | 31 | 21 | 0.00 | +20.96 |
#874 NORTHERN IOWA -6½ -110 over Drake
4:00 PM EST. It actually appears that the sportsbooks are giving away money here but don’t get caught into taking the bait. We’ll break it down for you. Northern Iowa is in dead last in the Missouri Valley with a conference mark of 0-5. The Panthers are a mere 5-11 overall too. To make matters worse for the Panthers, their best player Jeremy Morgan is listed as doubtful for this one. Morgan was the preseason MVC player of the year and leads the Panthers in scoring with an average of 16 a game. The next highest scorer is averaging just nine a game. NIU has dropped seven straight and has just one lousy cover over its past 13 games. This is a team that the market understandably is not anxious to get behind, especially when spotting points.
Meanwhile, Drake has been a cash cow lately by covering six of its last seven games. The Bulldogs are off to a 3-2 start in league play. Since conference play began, Drake has looked damn good. The squad kicked off the campaign with a win over Loyola-Illinois before dropping road contests to Southern Illinois and Wichita State. Since then, the team has won back-to-back contests against Evansville and Indiana State, both by double-digits. In their last four wins, the ‘Dogs have averaged 94.5 points per game while shooting over 50 percent from the floor.
What we have here is one team that has covered six of seven getting significant points from a team that is 0-5 in the conference and that has one cover in its past 13 games. Northern Iowa very simply looks like a weak bet and certainly an unappealing one but that’s the best time to jump in. Buy-low, sell high is in play here and we also promise you that the odds makers are fully aware that Morgan is out and that that the Panthers haven’t won a game since December 10. The odds makers did not overlook anything and did not make an error when posting this number. The line says Northern Iowa will win and cover and that has more influence on us than any stat you’ll find on paper (risking 2.2 units to win 2).
