1 Sunday w/analysis

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,203
Tokens
RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday000.000.00
Last 30 Days320.00+1.82
Season to Date1050.00+9.46

Wake Forest +14 over LOUISVILLE

8:00 PM EST. Louisville is 11-2 and they’re ranked #18 in the nation. One of our favorite angles in all of sports is to fade over-ranked and overpriced teams and the Cardinals fit that bill to a tee. Louisville has 11 wins against 11 cupcakes. That’s what Rick Pitino does every year. He schedules out of conference games against marshmallow after marshmallow and goes into conference play with a misleading record. Let us point out that Louisville was not ranked in the preseason polls. Louisville was so close to reaching the Final Four last year but this team is much different than it was a year ago. Four double-digit scorers are gone and that leaves sophomore guard Quentin Snider and his 4.1 points per game from last season as the top returning scorer. That’s not to say that Louisville is void of talent. Trey Lewis is a graduate transfer from Cleveland State who is averaging 14.7 points already and Damion Lee is a grad transfer as well. Lee comes from Drexel where he averaged 21.4 points per game, ranking fourth in all of Division I basketball and he’s the Cardinals leading scorer this year. Much to our surprise, the Cardinals have two credible losses this season to Kentucky and Michigan State by just four and two points respectively but we’re not buying in that they’re a top-20 team just yet.

Wake is no pushover. First, the Demon Deacons are 5-1 away from home, which includes three true road games and three neutral site games. They already have a win over then #13 Indiana back on November 23 and they had #6 Xavier by the ropes on December 22. Wake led by 15 at the half against the Musketeers but let it get away from them in the second half. There’s a saying in college basketball that states that you have to lose games to get better and that loss to Xavier was a great lesson for this talented squad. Most recently, Wake went into LSU and as a 7-point pooch, they won outright. The Deacs went 5-13 in ACC play last year so their stock is still low coming into their ACC opener here. Wake has quietly won nine of its first 12 games and has played some damn good teams already like Richmond, Vandy, UCLA, Xavier, LSU, Indiana and an underrated Arkansas team as well. Now Wake is taking back a massive price against a Louisville club that has beaten up on teams like Grand Canyon, Kennesaw State and North Florida to name a few. The points are inflated. Pick: Wake +14 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
 

New member
Joined
Dec 30, 2015
Messages
377
Tokens
Excellent stuff. Your write ups and research are second to none. I totally agree that Wake Forest is undervalued here. I'll take them with that amount of cushion. Keep up the great work.
 

New member
Joined
Jan 9, 2015
Messages
999
Tokens
Sherwood I'll give you my two cents as an avid follower of uofl, best of luck with your play!

First of all good write up, I appreciate the time and effort put into each one you do. I was actually in 100% agreement with you on the play until they announced that trey Lewis will be playing, he changes the dynamic of the team. There were reports he would be out this game with a sprained ankle. Wake forest is underrated, I will agree with you on that. I like the fact that uofl is coming off of a tough loss @ UK last game and pitino has had a week to prepare for his opponent. Wake just went to lsu and won last game so they have momentum. I've been going back and forth all day. If I had to pick I would have to lean uofl with their second best player active, a week of preparation, coming off of a loss and being at home. Again thanks for posting! Goodluck.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 30, 2015
Messages
377
Tokens
Great Job Sherwood. Wake had a chance to win that. I'm surprised you don't post more college hoops because your numbers this season are great. Thanks again.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,203
Tokens
Thank you everyone. Had Wake hit their free throws, they would have won that game. Still, watching Pitino squirm was worth the price of admission
 

Grappler
Joined
Oct 20, 2009
Messages
917
Tokens
Thank you sir for a fantastic write up that sold me on Wake. Looking forward to your next picks.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,869
Messages
13,574,413
Members
100,879
Latest member
am_sports
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com