jetplane - Let's get it..
cowpokes - There has to be a certain "statistical" (I guess that's the best word) difference for the computer to make a certain team a play. Certain ones have a bigger difference in that regard, and those have hit at a greater percentage (at least in the past) than the ones with a lesser difference. So when it hits a certain point, difference wise, the computer tells me it is more likely to hit and I make that a stronger play, with respect to unit sizing. Anything less than that certain difference (but that is still a play) is a normal 1 unit play. There's a second threshold, if you will, that I would make a 3 unit play, but those are rare - I think there's been maybe one or two since I began testing. Hope that explains it better..
MikRet - I analyze/research all the plays the computer gives. Northridge beat Fullerton by 26 earlier this year on the road...they are a very experienced team that rebounds offensively very well and shoots the three pretty good - although they do turn it over frequently. Fullerton is a small team who gives up a lot of offensive rebounds. The computer seems to like Northridge a lot for some reason...
But I just want to clarify...none of my research/analysis goes into these plays. These are all strictly from the computer -- no personal subjectivity involved.
cowpokes - There has to be a certain "statistical" (I guess that's the best word) difference for the computer to make a certain team a play. Certain ones have a bigger difference in that regard, and those have hit at a greater percentage (at least in the past) than the ones with a lesser difference. So when it hits a certain point, difference wise, the computer tells me it is more likely to hit and I make that a stronger play, with respect to unit sizing. Anything less than that certain difference (but that is still a play) is a normal 1 unit play. There's a second threshold, if you will, that I would make a 3 unit play, but those are rare - I think there's been maybe one or two since I began testing. Hope that explains it better..
MikRet - I analyze/research all the plays the computer gives. Northridge beat Fullerton by 26 earlier this year on the road...they are a very experienced team that rebounds offensively very well and shoots the three pretty good - although they do turn it over frequently. Fullerton is a small team who gives up a lot of offensive rebounds. The computer seems to like Northridge a lot for some reason...
But I just want to clarify...none of my research/analysis goes into these plays. These are all strictly from the computer -- no personal subjectivity involved.
Updated Record: 6-2 (75%), +4.7 units
Really wish one of the last two would have hit after the 3-0 start, but that's how it goes some times. That's the first loss for a play as big as Cal St. Northridge since I began testing. I'll see if I can put tomorrow's games through the system and I'll be back in a little to post them, if there are any
It's going good so far pokes...it was like this for a long time previously but then went into a slump for about a week. Might be back steady again. Guess we'll see...
hannowsky - There are lots of factors that go into the system. I have tried many different approaches to a system but never could get home court advantage factored in well enough - strong enough for some and too strong for others, etc... This one's basis uses the home team as the first factor. The computer runs through all the stats (offense, defense, adjusted for SOS, rebounding (offensive weighted a little more), turnovers, pace, and many others, etc, etc, but looks for home team plays first. If a game meets certain criteria, the home team is the play. If it meets a different criteria, the away team becomes the play. Obviously, the majority don't meet either and are not plays. Now that's a simplified version but is the main gist of what's going on. I hope it can continue like it has been, the results have been very promising to date...
Really wish one of the last two would have hit after the 3-0 start, but that's how it goes some times. That's the first loss for a play as big as Cal St. Northridge since I began testing. I'll see if I can put tomorrow's games through the system and I'll be back in a little to post them, if there are any
It's going good so far pokes...it was like this for a long time previously but then went into a slump for about a week. Might be back steady again. Guess we'll see...
hannowsky - There are lots of factors that go into the system. I have tried many different approaches to a system but never could get home court advantage factored in well enough - strong enough for some and too strong for others, etc... This one's basis uses the home team as the first factor. The computer runs through all the stats (offense, defense, adjusted for SOS, rebounding (offensive weighted a little more), turnovers, pace, and many others, etc, etc, but looks for home team plays first. If a game meets certain criteria, the home team is the play. If it meets a different criteria, the away team becomes the play. Obviously, the majority don't meet either and are not plays. Now that's a simplified version but is the main gist of what's going on. I hope it can continue like it has been, the results have been very promising to date...
