new model

  1. obsidic

    Built an MLB Projection Engine from scratch

    I've been lurking here for a while and figured I'd share what I've been working on. I have been building an MLB projection model that doesn't try to predict who wins but rather it simulates full nine-inning games from the pitch level up. The basic idea: Baseball decomposes into discrete events...
  2. Tracking new system (picks)

    Hey Guys, Been lurking for a little bit and trying to piece together my own system (for fun first and foremost) Essentially I'm indexing offense performance against the defenses they've played (I'm sure I'm just another in a long list of ppl who have done this). When I backtested this over the...
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