SEPT'S NFL BEST BETS!
09/14/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS....................................14 - 12............................53.84%............................+ 4.00
09/14/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS....................................14 - 12............................53.84%............................+ 4.00
Armadillo Sports
Eagles 34, Vikings 28:
Down 10-7 in 2nd quarter, Viking WR Jefferson lost fumble on 1-yard line.
Jefferson caught 11 passes for 159 yards, but that was a huge play.
Vikings are 0-2, with seven turnovers (minus-6).
Vikings have run ball 26 times for 69 yards in two games; no bueno.
D’Andre Swift carried ball 28 times for 175 yards and a TD.
Total yardage in this game: Eagles 430, Vikings 374.
Under Sirianni, over is 13-5 in Eagle home games.
Jalen Hurts is 27-13 as an NFL starter.
Eagles 34, Vikings 28:
Down 10-7 in 2nd quarter, Viking WR Jefferson lost fumble on 1-yard line.
Jefferson caught 11 passes for 159 yards, but that was a huge play.
Vikings are 0-2, with seven turnovers (minus-6).
Vikings have run ball 26 times for 69 yards in two games; no bueno.
D’Andre Swift carried ball 28 times for 175 yards and a TD.
Total yardage in this game: Eagles 430, Vikings 374.
Under Sirianni, over is 13-5 in Eagle home games.
Jalen Hurts is 27-13 as an NFL starter.
Saturday’s 6-pack:
Teams who have scored the least runs:
542— Oakland
591— Detroit
602— Miami
603— Cleveland
605— Kansas City/White Sox
622— Pittsburgh
Quote of the Day
“We talked about when he did it, how bad the bone bruise was, that it’s similar to even what a fracture is. Bone bruise, fracture, either way, he’s unable to play right now, and we’re trying to get him back to where he is.”
Angels manager Phil Nevin, talking about 3B Anthony Rendon’s injury
Saturday’s quiz
Which college football team is known as the Chanticleers?
Friday’s quiz
Hall of Fame coach Dick Vermeil was coach of the Philadelphia Eagles the first time they played in a Super Bowl.
Thursday’s quiz
Former Minnesota Vikings coach Bud Grant also played in the NBA; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers from 1949-51.
********************************************
1993 Dallas
2001 New England
2007 New Jersey Giants…….those teams started 0-2, then won the Super Bowl
— Alabama is switching QB’s this week, going with Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner for their game against South Florida today. Jalen Milroe started the Crimson Tide’s first two games.
— Maryland 42, Virginia 14
Virginia led 14-0; Maryland’s first score was a 98-yard kick return for a TD.
Cavaliers turned ball over four times (minus-4); they’re 0-3 already.
Second week in row Maryland won after trailing 14-0.
— Army 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
Army ran ball for 254 yards, never trailed- it was 20-14 at halftime.
UTSA scored on a 46-yard Hail Mary TD pass on last play of first half.
Army threw for 188 yards, averaging 10.4 yards/attempt.
— Air Force 39, Utah State 21
Flyboys led this game 32-7 at halftime.
Air Force ran ball for 344 yards, outgained Utah State 428-302
Air Force was 9-13 on third down, Aggies were 3-11
— This week in college football, there are no games between ranked teams, which means it’ll probably be a fun day filled with exciting games— just seems to happen like that,
— Word of the Day— Pundit— An expert who gives opinions on a topic.
— College Football Trend of the Day— Under Josh Heupel, Tennessee is 12-4 ATS as a favorite.
— Cincinnati Reds have had 16 of their players make their major league debut this year, the most of any team this season.
— Big part of the reason why the Baltimore Orioles have improved so much is that their pitchers are way better now, and moving the fences back at Camden Yards has played a big part in the pitchers having so much more confidence.
Whoever made the decision to move the fences back deserves a raise.
— Rockies 3, Giants 2
Giants led 1-0 in 8th inning but didn’t have a hit yet.
JD Davis got the Giants’ first hit in 9th inning, when SF went ahead 2-1.
Elehuris Montero tied game with single; throwing error allowed winning run to score.
— Arizona 6, Cubs 4
Brandon Pfaadt tossed 5.1 scoreless innings.
Gabriel Moreno went 4-4 for the Diamondbacks.
— Rays 7, Orioles 1
Zach Eflin allowed one run in 7 IP, on 84 pitches.
Manuel Margot went 3-4, with two doubles, two RBI
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Mariners
Teams who have scored the least runs:
542— Oakland
591— Detroit
602— Miami
603— Cleveland
605— Kansas City/White Sox
622— Pittsburgh
Quote of the Day
“We talked about when he did it, how bad the bone bruise was, that it’s similar to even what a fracture is. Bone bruise, fracture, either way, he’s unable to play right now, and we’re trying to get him back to where he is.”
Angels manager Phil Nevin, talking about 3B Anthony Rendon’s injury
Saturday’s quiz
Which college football team is known as the Chanticleers?
Friday’s quiz
Hall of Fame coach Dick Vermeil was coach of the Philadelphia Eagles the first time they played in a Super Bowl.
Thursday’s quiz
Former Minnesota Vikings coach Bud Grant also played in the NBA; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers from 1949-51.
********************************************
Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..
— There have been only three teams who started a season 0-2, then won the Super Bowl, so Week 2 is a pretty big game for teams who lost last week.1993 Dallas
2001 New England
2007 New Jersey Giants…….those teams started 0-2, then won the Super Bowl
— Alabama is switching QB’s this week, going with Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner for their game against South Florida today. Jalen Milroe started the Crimson Tide’s first two games.
— Maryland 42, Virginia 14
Virginia led 14-0; Maryland’s first score was a 98-yard kick return for a TD.
Cavaliers turned ball over four times (minus-4); they’re 0-3 already.
Second week in row Maryland won after trailing 14-0.
— Army 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
Army ran ball for 254 yards, never trailed- it was 20-14 at halftime.
UTSA scored on a 46-yard Hail Mary TD pass on last play of first half.
Army threw for 188 yards, averaging 10.4 yards/attempt.
— Air Force 39, Utah State 21
Flyboys led this game 32-7 at halftime.
Air Force ran ball for 344 yards, outgained Utah State 428-302
Air Force was 9-13 on third down, Aggies were 3-11
— This week in college football, there are no games between ranked teams, which means it’ll probably be a fun day filled with exciting games— just seems to happen like that,
— Word of the Day— Pundit— An expert who gives opinions on a topic.
— College Football Trend of the Day— Under Josh Heupel, Tennessee is 12-4 ATS as a favorite.
— Cincinnati Reds have had 16 of their players make their major league debut this year, the most of any team this season.
— Big part of the reason why the Baltimore Orioles have improved so much is that their pitchers are way better now, and moving the fences back at Camden Yards has played a big part in the pitchers having so much more confidence.
Whoever made the decision to move the fences back deserves a raise.
— Rockies 3, Giants 2
Giants led 1-0 in 8th inning but didn’t have a hit yet.
JD Davis got the Giants’ first hit in 9th inning, when SF went ahead 2-1.
Elehuris Montero tied game with single; throwing error allowed winning run to score.
— Arizona 6, Cubs 4
Brandon Pfaadt tossed 5.1 scoreless innings.
Gabriel Moreno went 4-4 for the Diamondbacks.
— Rays 7, Orioles 1
Zach Eflin allowed one run in 7 IP, on 84 pitches.
Manuel Margot went 3-4, with two doubles, two RBI
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Mariners
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 17
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC at JAC | 01:00 PM | JAC +3.0 U 50.5 | +500 +500 |
| LAC at TEN | 01:00 PM | LAC -2.5 U 45.0 | +500 +500 |
| IND at HOU | 01:00 PM | HOU +1.0 U 40.0 | +500 +500 |
| SEA at DET | 01:00 PM | SEA +5.0 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| GB at ATL | 01:00 PM | ATL -3.0 U 40.5 | +500 +500 |
| CHI at TB | 01:00 PM | CHI +1.0 U 41.0 | +500 +500 |
| BAL at CIN | 01:00 PM | CIN -3.0 U 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| LV at BUF | 01:00 PM | BUF -7.5 U 47.0 | +500 +500 |
| SF at LAR | 04:05 PM | SF -7.5 O 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| NYG at ARI | 04:05 PM | ARI +4.5 U 40.0 | +500 +500 |
| NYJ at DAL | 04:25 PM | NYJ +8.0 U 38.5 | +500 +500 |
| WAS at DEN | 04:25 PM | WAS +3.5 U 39.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at NE | 08:20 PM | MIA -2.5 U 46.0 | +500 +500 |
SEPT'S NFL BEST BETS!
09/17/2023..............................8 - 13............................38.09%...........................- 31.50
09/14/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS...................................22 - 25............................46.80%............................- 27.50
09/17/2023..............................8 - 13............................38.09%...........................- 31.50
09/14/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS...................................22 - 25............................46.80%............................- 27.50
Armadillo Sports
Commanders 35, Broncos 33
— Washington is 2-0 for the first time since 2011.
— Wilson threw 50-yard Hail Mary TD pass at 0:00; tying 2-point play failed.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 3-0 as an NFL starter
— Since 2018, Washington is 19-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Denver’s first three drives: 17 plays, 226 yards, 20 TD’s.
— Denver rest of game: 39 plays, 194 yards, 13 points.
— Second week in row a missed PAT proved costly.
— Broncos lost their first two games, by total of three points.
Seahawks 37, Lions 31
— Seahawks drove 75 yards on nine plays for game-winning TD in OT.
— Lockett caught 8 passes for 59 yards, two TD’s.
— Seattle scored a TD on its first drive of both games this season.
— Last 10+ years, Seattle is 33-23-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Goff threw pick-6; Seattle led 31-21 with 8:14 left.
— Next two drives, Lions ran 16 plays, gained 105 yards, 10 points, tied game.
— Over is 22-10-1 in Detroit’s last 33 home games.
— Over is 12-2 in NFL games so far this weekend.
Titans 27, Chargers 24
— Last three games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34-24 points, lost all three.
— Chargers lost first two games this season by total of five points.
— WR Allen caught 8 passes for 111 yards, two TD’s.
— Bolts are 8-17-7 ATS in last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chargers tied game with 0:03 left on a 33-yard FG.
— Titans drove 38 yards, kicked 41-yard FG in rain for the OT win.
— Tennessee was 6-13 on third down, Chargers 2-14 (3-3 on 4th down).
— Last 2+ years, Titans are 9-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Giants 31, Cardinals 28
— Giants trailed this game 20-0 at halftime.
— Giants in 1st half: 26 plays, 76 yards, no points.
— Giants in 2nd half: 42 plays, 350 yards, 31 points.
— QB Jones was 26-37/321 with two TD passes.
— Cardinals’ first six drives: 46 plays, 341 yards, 28 points.
— Cardinals’ last four drives: 17 plays, 48 yards, no points.
— QB Dobbs is now 0-4 as an NFL starter.
— Cardinals lost their first two games by total of seven points.
Falcons 25, Packers 24
— Falcons drove 66 yards to kick game-winning 25-yard FG with 1:01 left.
— Atlanta outgained the Packers, 446-224.
— Falcons ran ball 45 times for 211 yards.
— Home side won last seven series games.
— Packers’ first two drives of 3rd quarter: 10 plays, 143 yards, two TD’s.
— Packers’ three drives rest of game: 10 plays, 7 yards, no first downs.
— Green Bay was 9-16 on 3rd down last week, 3-9 this week.
— Last 2+ years, Packers are 1-7-1 ATS on artificial turf.
Colts 31, Texans 20
— Colts scored 2 TD’s on Richardson’s 3 drives, then he left (concussion)
— Backup QB Minshew is better than he is (19-23/171 passing, with a TD)
— Colts scored a TD on four of their first six drives.
— Indianapolis is 6-1-1 SU in last series games.
— Opponents are 14-27 on 3rd down so far this season.
— WR Collins caught 7 passes for 146 yards and a TD.
— Texans are 16-24-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years. Houston is 5-8 ATS in AFC South home games.
Buccaneers 27, Bears 17
— Down 20-17, Fields threw an awful pick-6 with 2:12 left.
— Fields is 5-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Tampa Bay outgained the Bears 437-236.
— Last 2+ years, Chicago is 5-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— WR Evans caught six passes for 171 yards and a TD.
— First three drives: 27 plays, 197 yards, 10 points and a blocked FG.
— Last four years, over is 18-13 in Tampa Bay home games.
— Tampa Bay has outrushed opponents 193-108 in two games.
Bills 38, Raiders 10
— Buffalo ran 74 plays for 450 yards; Raiders ran 39 plays for 240 yards.
— Raiders were 3-7 on third down, Bills were 7-13.
— Las Vegas is 4-14 ATS in last 18 games on artificial turf.
— Over is 7-1 in last seven series games.
— Buffalo scored five TD’s on their eight drives.
— Josh Allen was 31-37/274 passing, with three TD’s.
— Bills are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— Last four years, Bills are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Chiefs 17, Jaguars 9
— Chiefs’ first four drives: 19 plays, 81 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Chiefs’ next two drives: 14 plays, 131 yards, 14 points.
— Mahomes was 29-41/305 passing, with two TD’s.
— KC won last eight series games (6-2 ATS).
— Jaguars didn’t score a TD, kicked three FG’s on 11 drives.
— Chiefs had 12 penalties for 94 yards, Jaguars 2 for 10.
— Two games this season, Jaguars are 6-24 on third down.
— Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
Ravens 27, Bengals 24
— Ravens’ last two drives of first half: 22 plays, 102 yards, two FG’s.
— First two drives of second half: 16 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
— First two games, Ravens converted 17-29 on third down.
— Baltimore has allowed two TD’s on opponents’ 19 drives this season.
— Bengals’ first TD came on an 81-yard punt return.
— Cincy’s first offensive TD this season came on their 19th drive.
— First two games, Bengals averaged 2.0/5.1 yards/pass attempt.
— First two games, Cincinnati was outgained 765-434.
49ers 30, Rams 23
— San Francisco ran for 159 yards (347 yards/two games).
— Moody’s 57-yard FG put SF up for good, 20-17.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 9-1 as NFL starter.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +19 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— Rams’ first three drives: 32 plays, 198 yards, 17 points.
— Rams rest of game: 49 plays, 164 yards, 6 points.
— Rookie WR Nacua caught 15 passes for 147 yards.
— 49ers won nine of last ten series games.
Cowboys 30, Jets 10
— Jets’ only TD was a 68-yard pass from Wilson to Wilson.
— Jets in second half: 22 plays, 68 yards, 4 turnovers, no points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Cowboys were 9-18 on third down, Jets were 1-10.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 19-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Dallas outgained first two opponents, 647-386.
— Cowboys outscored first two opponents, 70-10.
Dolphins 24, Patriots 17
— Mostert ran ball 18 times for 121 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Tua Tagovailoa is 5-0 against New England.
— Dolphins in first half: 35 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
— Opponents are 16-30 on third down this year.
— New England is 0-2 for the first time since 2001.
— Patriots averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-27 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
Don’t forget, there are two Monday night NFL games tonight.
Commanders 35, Broncos 33
— Washington is 2-0 for the first time since 2011.
— Wilson threw 50-yard Hail Mary TD pass at 0:00; tying 2-point play failed.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 3-0 as an NFL starter
— Since 2018, Washington is 19-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Denver’s first three drives: 17 plays, 226 yards, 20 TD’s.
— Denver rest of game: 39 plays, 194 yards, 13 points.
— Second week in row a missed PAT proved costly.
— Broncos lost their first two games, by total of three points.
Seahawks 37, Lions 31
— Seahawks drove 75 yards on nine plays for game-winning TD in OT.
— Lockett caught 8 passes for 59 yards, two TD’s.
— Seattle scored a TD on its first drive of both games this season.
— Last 10+ years, Seattle is 33-23-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Goff threw pick-6; Seattle led 31-21 with 8:14 left.
— Next two drives, Lions ran 16 plays, gained 105 yards, 10 points, tied game.
— Over is 22-10-1 in Detroit’s last 33 home games.
— Over is 12-2 in NFL games so far this weekend.
Titans 27, Chargers 24
— Last three games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34-24 points, lost all three.
— Chargers lost first two games this season by total of five points.
— WR Allen caught 8 passes for 111 yards, two TD’s.
— Bolts are 8-17-7 ATS in last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chargers tied game with 0:03 left on a 33-yard FG.
— Titans drove 38 yards, kicked 41-yard FG in rain for the OT win.
— Tennessee was 6-13 on third down, Chargers 2-14 (3-3 on 4th down).
— Last 2+ years, Titans are 9-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Giants 31, Cardinals 28
— Giants trailed this game 20-0 at halftime.
— Giants in 1st half: 26 plays, 76 yards, no points.
— Giants in 2nd half: 42 plays, 350 yards, 31 points.
— QB Jones was 26-37/321 with two TD passes.
— Cardinals’ first six drives: 46 plays, 341 yards, 28 points.
— Cardinals’ last four drives: 17 plays, 48 yards, no points.
— QB Dobbs is now 0-4 as an NFL starter.
— Cardinals lost their first two games by total of seven points.
Falcons 25, Packers 24
— Falcons drove 66 yards to kick game-winning 25-yard FG with 1:01 left.
— Atlanta outgained the Packers, 446-224.
— Falcons ran ball 45 times for 211 yards.
— Home side won last seven series games.
— Packers’ first two drives of 3rd quarter: 10 plays, 143 yards, two TD’s.
— Packers’ three drives rest of game: 10 plays, 7 yards, no first downs.
— Green Bay was 9-16 on 3rd down last week, 3-9 this week.
— Last 2+ years, Packers are 1-7-1 ATS on artificial turf.
Colts 31, Texans 20
— Colts scored 2 TD’s on Richardson’s 3 drives, then he left (concussion)
— Backup QB Minshew is better than he is (19-23/171 passing, with a TD)
— Colts scored a TD on four of their first six drives.
— Indianapolis is 6-1-1 SU in last series games.
— Opponents are 14-27 on 3rd down so far this season.
— WR Collins caught 7 passes for 146 yards and a TD.
— Texans are 16-24-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years. Houston is 5-8 ATS in AFC South home games.
Buccaneers 27, Bears 17
— Down 20-17, Fields threw an awful pick-6 with 2:12 left.
— Fields is 5-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Tampa Bay outgained the Bears 437-236.
— Last 2+ years, Chicago is 5-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— WR Evans caught six passes for 171 yards and a TD.
— First three drives: 27 plays, 197 yards, 10 points and a blocked FG.
— Last four years, over is 18-13 in Tampa Bay home games.
— Tampa Bay has outrushed opponents 193-108 in two games.
Bills 38, Raiders 10
— Buffalo ran 74 plays for 450 yards; Raiders ran 39 plays for 240 yards.
— Raiders were 3-7 on third down, Bills were 7-13.
— Las Vegas is 4-14 ATS in last 18 games on artificial turf.
— Over is 7-1 in last seven series games.
— Buffalo scored five TD’s on their eight drives.
— Josh Allen was 31-37/274 passing, with three TD’s.
— Bills are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— Last four years, Bills are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Chiefs 17, Jaguars 9
— Chiefs’ first four drives: 19 plays, 81 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Chiefs’ next two drives: 14 plays, 131 yards, 14 points.
— Mahomes was 29-41/305 passing, with two TD’s.
— KC won last eight series games (6-2 ATS).
— Jaguars didn’t score a TD, kicked three FG’s on 11 drives.
— Chiefs had 12 penalties for 94 yards, Jaguars 2 for 10.
— Two games this season, Jaguars are 6-24 on third down.
— Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
Ravens 27, Bengals 24
— Ravens’ last two drives of first half: 22 plays, 102 yards, two FG’s.
— First two drives of second half: 16 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
— First two games, Ravens converted 17-29 on third down.
— Baltimore has allowed two TD’s on opponents’ 19 drives this season.
— Bengals’ first TD came on an 81-yard punt return.
— Cincy’s first offensive TD this season came on their 19th drive.
— First two games, Bengals averaged 2.0/5.1 yards/pass attempt.
— First two games, Cincinnati was outgained 765-434.
49ers 30, Rams 23
— San Francisco ran for 159 yards (347 yards/two games).
— Moody’s 57-yard FG put SF up for good, 20-17.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 9-1 as NFL starter.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +19 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— Rams’ first three drives: 32 plays, 198 yards, 17 points.
— Rams rest of game: 49 plays, 164 yards, 6 points.
— Rookie WR Nacua caught 15 passes for 147 yards.
— 49ers won nine of last ten series games.
Cowboys 30, Jets 10
— Jets’ only TD was a 68-yard pass from Wilson to Wilson.
— Jets in second half: 22 plays, 68 yards, 4 turnovers, no points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Cowboys were 9-18 on third down, Jets were 1-10.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 19-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Dallas outgained first two opponents, 647-386.
— Cowboys outscored first two opponents, 70-10.
Dolphins 24, Patriots 17
— Mostert ran ball 18 times for 121 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Tua Tagovailoa is 5-0 against New England.
— Dolphins in first half: 35 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
— Opponents are 16-30 on third down this year.
— New England is 0-2 for the first time since 2001.
— Patriots averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-27 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
Don’t forget, there are two Monday night NFL games tonight.
SEPT'S NFL BEST BETS!
09/18/2023..............................0 - 3 - 1.......................00.00%...........................- 16.50
09/17/2023..............................8 - 13............................38.09%...........................- 31.50
09/14/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS...................................22 - 28............................44.00%............................- 44.00
09/18/2023..............................0 - 3 - 1.......................00.00%...........................- 16.50
09/17/2023..............................8 - 13............................38.09%...........................- 31.50
09/14/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS...................................22 - 28............................44.00%............................- 44.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Purdue
— Boise State (-8) @ San Diego State
— Army @ Syracuse (-9)
— Mississippi State @ South Carolina (-4)
— Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (-3)
— BYU @ Kansas (-7)
Quote of the Day
“The Orioles have a 70-year partnership with the city and the state, and Camden Yards more than 30. And we’re going to have 30 more. That’s a given.”
Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos
Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; who were their QB’s in those two games?
Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.
Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.
***************************************************
— Saints’ defense has allowed one TD on 22 drives this season.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 341-239
— Mobile backup QB Hill ran ball nine times for 75 yards.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Carolina scored 8 points with 1:16 left to cover/push spread, depending on your number.
— Panthers averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— In two games, Carolina has scored only 2 TD’s on 22 drives.
— Panthers are 9-28 on third down in their first two games.
Steelers 26, Browns 22
— Pittsburgh scored two defensive TD’s as they even their record at 1-1.
— Cleveland outgained the Steelers, 408-255
— Pickens caught a 71-yard TD pass that put Steelers ahead 16-11.
— Steelers won five of last six series games.
— Watson threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
— His fumble was returned for game-winning TD with 6:58 left.
— Browns lost star RB Chubb with a knee injury.
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Browns are 4-4 in Deshaun Watson’s starts; they were 30-31 in Baker Mayfield’s starts. Why didn’t they keep Mayfield? He makes hell of a lot less $$$ than Watson.
— Mayfield has played for seven offensive coordinators the last six seasons, which is a lot.
— So far this NFL season, road teams are 19-13 SU.
— In his brief NFL career, Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow is 1-7 in Weeks 1-2, 23-12-1 in all the other games.
— Odd Stat: Denver Broncos lost the last nine games when they led at halftime.
— Cardinals 1, Brewers 0
Adam Wainwright gets his 200th career win.
Willson Contreras homered, for the game’s only run.
— Orioles 8, Astros 7
Baltimore scored three runs in top of the ninth.
Ryan O’Hearn went 5-5, with two RBI.
Orioles clinched their playoff spot Sunday, their first playoff bid since 2016
— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle— a disturbance or commotion caused by a dispute/conflict.
— Football Trend of the Day: Baltimore Ravens are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Vanderbilt is the only college football team that is 0-4 against the spread this year.
— Most people agree that Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he sued MLB because they didn’t make him a crew chief, when he should be thanking them for not firing him.
Last week in Pittsburgh, Hernandez called 34 pitches strikes in a Nationals-Pirates game; 12 of those pitches were actually balls. A 65% accuracy rate on called strikes? Freakin’ Helen Keller could come close to that.
— Tampa Bay Rays are going to announce plans for a new stadium that will seat around 30,000 and cost over $1.2B to build— it is expected to open in 2028.
— This past weekend, Cincinnati Reds played the Mets in New York; Reds’ manager David Bell is the grandson of Gus Bell, who played in 30 games for the original New York Mets in 1962.
— Speaking of the Reds, their CF TJ Friedl is cousins with Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari.
— Minnesota Twins’ IF Royce Lewis has hit 16 home runs in his first 69 major league games; five of those home runs were grand slams.
— Maui Classic basketball tournament in November will be played in Honolulu this year, at the Stan Sheriff Center; the arena where it is usually played in Lahaina is being used as a center to help Maui’s recovery from the terrible damage they have from the wildfires this summer.
— Alabama started Jalen Milroe at QB in their first game; they started Tyler Buchner in their second game, then replaced him with 3rd-stringer Ty Simpson.
This week, Alabama is going back to Milroe at QB for their game with Ole Miss.
College football spreads for this week:
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Purdue
— Boise State (-8) @ San Diego State
— Army @ Syracuse (-9)
— Mississippi State @ South Carolina (-4)
— Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (-3)
— BYU @ Kansas (-7)
Quote of the Day
“The Orioles have a 70-year partnership with the city and the state, and Camden Yards more than 30. And we’re going to have 30 more. That’s a given.”
Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos
Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; who were their QB’s in those two games?
Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.
Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.
***************************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
Saints 20, Panthers 17— Saints’ defense has allowed one TD on 22 drives this season.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 341-239
— Mobile backup QB Hill ran ball nine times for 75 yards.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Carolina scored 8 points with 1:16 left to cover/push spread, depending on your number.
— Panthers averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— In two games, Carolina has scored only 2 TD’s on 22 drives.
— Panthers are 9-28 on third down in their first two games.
Steelers 26, Browns 22
— Pittsburgh scored two defensive TD’s as they even their record at 1-1.
— Cleveland outgained the Steelers, 408-255
— Pickens caught a 71-yard TD pass that put Steelers ahead 16-11.
— Steelers won five of last six series games.
— Watson threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
— His fumble was returned for game-winning TD with 6:58 left.
— Browns lost star RB Chubb with a knee injury.
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Browns are 4-4 in Deshaun Watson’s starts; they were 30-31 in Baker Mayfield’s starts. Why didn’t they keep Mayfield? He makes hell of a lot less $$$ than Watson.
— Mayfield has played for seven offensive coordinators the last six seasons, which is a lot.
— So far this NFL season, road teams are 19-13 SU.
— In his brief NFL career, Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow is 1-7 in Weeks 1-2, 23-12-1 in all the other games.
— Odd Stat: Denver Broncos lost the last nine games when they led at halftime.
— Cardinals 1, Brewers 0
Adam Wainwright gets his 200th career win.
Willson Contreras homered, for the game’s only run.
— Orioles 8, Astros 7
Baltimore scored three runs in top of the ninth.
Ryan O’Hearn went 5-5, with two RBI.
Orioles clinched their playoff spot Sunday, their first playoff bid since 2016
— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle— a disturbance or commotion caused by a dispute/conflict.
— Football Trend of the Day: Baltimore Ravens are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Vanderbilt is the only college football team that is 0-4 against the spread this year.
— Most people agree that Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he sued MLB because they didn’t make him a crew chief, when he should be thanking them for not firing him.
Last week in Pittsburgh, Hernandez called 34 pitches strikes in a Nationals-Pirates game; 12 of those pitches were actually balls. A 65% accuracy rate on called strikes? Freakin’ Helen Keller could come close to that.
— Tampa Bay Rays are going to announce plans for a new stadium that will seat around 30,000 and cost over $1.2B to build— it is expected to open in 2028.
— This past weekend, Cincinnati Reds played the Mets in New York; Reds’ manager David Bell is the grandson of Gus Bell, who played in 30 games for the original New York Mets in 1962.
— Speaking of the Reds, their CF TJ Friedl is cousins with Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari.
— Minnesota Twins’ IF Royce Lewis has hit 16 home runs in his first 69 major league games; five of those home runs were grand slams.
— Maui Classic basketball tournament in November will be played in Honolulu this year, at the Stan Sheriff Center; the arena where it is usually played in Lahaina is being used as a center to help Maui’s recovery from the terrible damage they have from the wildfires this summer.
— Alabama started Jalen Milroe at QB in their first game; they started Tyler Buchner in their second game, then replaced him with 3rd-stringer Ty Simpson.
This week, Alabama is going back to Milroe at QB for their game with Ole Miss.
WEEK 3
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 59-33 ATS (22.7 Units) after 2+ SU losses since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 55-23 ATS (29.7 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-22 ATS (22.8 Units) against the AFC West since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored in the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS are 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.
CAROLINA is 47-27 ATS (17.3 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
ARIZONA is 49-29 ATS (17.1 Units) in home games after 2+ SU losses since 1992.
CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS are 39-20 ATS (17 Units) after 2+ division games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 59-33 ATS (22.7 Units) after 2+ SU losses since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 55-23 ATS (29.7 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-22 ATS (22.8 Units) against the AFC West since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored in the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS are 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.
CAROLINA is 47-27 ATS (17.3 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
ARIZONA is 49-29 ATS (17.1 Units) in home games after 2+ SU losses since 1992.
CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS are 39-20 ATS (17 Units) after 2+ division games since 1992.
NFL
Week 3
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Week 3
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Trend Report
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 3
Thursday’s game
Giants (1-1) @ 49ers (2-0)
— Giants have been outscored 46-0 in first half of their two games.
— Giants outscored Arizona 31-8 in 2nd half of LW’s 31-28 road win.
— Since 2018, Big Blue is 25-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— Giants were 6-3 ATS LY in game coming off a win.
— Giants have only one takeaway in two games (minus-2 turnovers)
— Under is 16-9 in their last 25 road games.
— Daniel Jones is 23-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— LW, Giants’ seven plays that gained 15+ yards all came on first down.
— San Francisco scored 30-30 points in winning first two games, both on road.
— 49ers outscored foes 23-6 in 2nd half; they haven’t allowed a 2nd half TD yet.
— First two games, 49ers won field position by 10-8 yards.
— 49ers are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— SF was 7-1 ATS as a home favorite LY (7-16-1 from 2018-21).
— 49ers are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +19 in turnovers (+5 in two games this year)
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 9-1 as NFL starter.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Giants are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to San Francisco.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 3
Thursday’s game
Giants (1-1) @ 49ers (2-0)
— Giants have been outscored 46-0 in first half of their two games.
— Giants outscored Arizona 31-8 in 2nd half of LW’s 31-28 road win.
— Since 2018, Big Blue is 25-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— Giants were 6-3 ATS LY in game coming off a win.
— Giants have only one takeaway in two games (minus-2 turnovers)
— Under is 16-9 in their last 25 road games.
— Daniel Jones is 23-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— LW, Giants’ seven plays that gained 15+ yards all came on first down.
— San Francisco scored 30-30 points in winning first two games, both on road.
— 49ers outscored foes 23-6 in 2nd half; they haven’t allowed a 2nd half TD yet.
— First two games, 49ers won field position by 10-8 yards.
— 49ers are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— SF was 7-1 ATS as a home favorite LY (7-16-1 from 2018-21).
— 49ers are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +19 in turnovers (+5 in two games this year)
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 9-1 as NFL starter.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Giants are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to San Francisco.
