Week 6

[Kaboom]

Colorado St QB Clay Millen has been downgraded to doubtful, QB Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi is expected to start tonight versus Nevada.

Lean Nevada ML - 165

 

[Kaboom]

UNLV - WR Kyle Williams (foot) & WR Jeff Weimer (shoulder) are out tonight versus San Jose St.

Unlv Receivers Below

Player	#	G	REC	YDS	AVG	TD
R. White	11	5	25	360	14.4	3
K. Williams	1	4	18	235	13.1	4
J. Weimer	6	4	16	180	11.3	0
N. Williams	10	4	9	158	17.6	0
S. Mckie	0	4	8	113	14.1	0
S. Zeon III	88	4	8	74	9.3	0
K. Souders	16	1	4	57	14.3	0
C. Reese	26	5	9	38	4.2	0
A. Robbins	9	5	10	29	2.9	1
Z. Griffin	14	1	2	23	11.5	1
K. Ballungay	19	1	1	5	5.0	0

adding

$10 San Jose St - 4 - 145

 

[Kaboom]

Wyo vs NM last 4

Pts scored .. 17 / 33/ 33/ 34

Leaning Under 37 ... may buy a point or 2 and go Under

G	Date	Day	School		Opponent	Conf		Pts	Opp	Diff	W	L	T	Streak	Notes
73	2021-10-23	Sat	New Mexico	@	Wyoming	MWC	W	14	3	11	36	37	0	W 2
72	2020-12-05	Sat	New Mexico		Wyoming	MWC	W	17	16	1	35	37	0	W 1
71	2019-10-19	Sat	New Mexico	@	Wyoming	MWC	L	10	23	-13	34	37	0	L 3	Jonah Field War Memorial Stadium - Laramie, Wyoming
70	2018-11-24	Sat	New Mexico		Wyoming	MWC	L	3	31	-28	34	36	0	L 2	Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, New Mexico

 

[Kaboom]

Tailing 5 star play from Marc Lawrence

Wazzu stat yields this diamond: 7-0 ATS on
the road against double-digit unbeaten favorites. USC makes
this decision easier by being 2-11 ATS in Game 6, 1-6 ATS home
versus conference triple vengeance, and 2-6 ATS in game two of
a back-to-back conference affair at home. Add to that the risk
of SC looking ahead to a big-time revenge matchup with Utah
next week and the LA crowd might be distracted reading their
phones.


Play

$10 Wash St + 15 - 135

 

[Kaboom]

2 Pick Parlay+330

Wager: $7.00To Pay: $30.13


TCU -9
+105

San Jose State -8
+110

 

[Kaboom]

Wake Forest ... off back to back games ...Clemson and Fsu ...may let down a bit here

but that's on the D part of the team ...

I feel the Offense still should click and if wake falls behind they will need to score

Wake scored 70 on the Cadets last yr ...

Sat ...I'm hoping for 42

Play

$7 Over 41.5 TT Wake Forest


2 Pick Parlay+320

Wager: $7.00To Pay: $29.41

Eastern Michigan +3.5
+105

Duke -5
+105

 

[indiana]

K/Boom.........BOL this weekend buddy......
on TCU and S. Jose with you.....indy

 

[Cheddar]

Combined overs are 29-1-1
Bowling Green 5-0
Northern Ilinois 5-0
Rice 5-0
UTSA 5-0
Washington 4-0-1
Charlotte 5-1

 

[Kaboom]

Various Parlays I have going ......... I hope for .500 record at least ?

3 Pick Parlay+193
Mississippi State, S Fla TT Over 15.5, Colorado State +4.5
Open
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $20.51

3 Pick Parlay−147
SE Melbourne Phoenix +13, Mississippi State, Colorado State +5.5
Open
Wager: $10.00To Pay: $16.86

2 Pick Parlay+320
Eastern Michigan +3.5, Duke -5
Open
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $29.41

2 Pick Parlay+330
TCU -9, San Jose State -8
Open
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $30.13

2 Pick Parlay−104
Texas, Duke +2.5
Open
Wager: $10.00To Pay: $19.60

3 Pick Parlay+117
Soccer...Molde Over 1.5, San Jose State, TCU
Open
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $15.23

2 Pick Parlay−105
TB Buccaneers, Smu Under 67.5
Open
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $13.68

3 Pick Parlay−196
Chg Under 56.5, Mia Under 57.5, Hou Under 57.5
Open
Wager: $10.00To Pay: $15.15

2 Pick Parlay−103
TCU, San Jose State
Open
Wager: $10.00To Pay: $19.76

 

[Kaboom]

Wagers may change before kickoff because of the amount I wager .... fyi

$5 a Unit

1 U S Fla + 27...........Cin has met S Fla .... 19 times ..... they have never won by 27 or more Pts

Cin	….	Pts	….	Opp	….	Diff
W	….	45	….	28	….	17
W	….	28	….	7	….	21
W	….	20	….	17	….	3
W	….	35	….	23	….	12
L	….	3	….	33	….	-30
L	….	20	….	45	….	-25
L	….	27	….	65	….	-38
W	….	34	….	17	….	17
L	….	20	….	26	….	-6
W	….	27	….	10	….	17
W	….	37	….	34	….	3
L	….	30	….	38	….	-8
W	….	34	….	17	….	17
W	….	24	….	10	….	14
W	….	38	….	33	….	5
W	….	23	….	6	….	17
L	….	16	….	31	….	-15
W	….	45	….	23	….	22
L	….	17	….	24	….	-7

2 U SJ ST ML - 210

2 U Tcu - 5 ......... Kansas 8 Straight Ats Wins comes to an end here

2 U SJ ST ML - 210

I added 2 U SJ ST - 4 before game ....no time to post here or on twitter........................

 

[Kaboom]

$5 S Fla + 27...........Cin has met S Fla .... 19 times ..... they have never won by 27 or more Pts

$7 Boise St - 6 - 140

$7 Mia Fla ML - 165 ....embarrassed at home in last game ....

$10 SJ ST ML - 210... and added SJ St - 4 - 165 before kickoff.............

$10 Tcu - 5 ......... Kansas 8 Straight Ats Wins comes to an end here...line now - 6.5

$10 Duke ML - 165 ........ double revenge ...and GT off huge + 19.5 SU Dog win vs Pitt

and GT falls into this small sampled trend .....Teams of a WIN as Dog of 17.5+ that are now a Home Dog have gone 2-14-1 (12.5%) ATS!!!!!

Waiting

Eastern Michigan ...hope to get + 6


Fantasy Play

$7 Tex A/M RB Achane Over 16.5 Rec Yds

UNLV - WR Kyle Williams (foot) & WR Jeff Weimer (shoulder) are out tonight versus San Jose St.

Unlv Receivers Below

Player	#	G	REC	YDS	AVG	TD
R. White	11	5	25	360	14.4	3
K. Williams	1	4	18	235	13.1	4
J. Weimer	6	4	16	180	11.3	0
N. Williams	10	4	9	158	17.6	0
S. Mckie	0	4	8	113	14.1	0
S. Zeon III	88	4	8	74	9.3	0
K. Souders	16	1	4	57	14.3	0
C. Reese	26	5	9	38	4.2	0
A. Robbins	9	5	10	29	2.9	1
Z. Griffin	14	1	2	23	11.5	1
K. Ballungay	19	1	1	5	5.0	0

adding

$10 San Jose St - 4 - 145

I did post it ... $10 San Jose St - 4 - 145..................

 

[Kaboom]

$5 S Fla + 27...........Cin has met S Fla .... 19 times ..... they have never won by 27 or more Pts

$7 Boise St - 6 - 140

$7 Mia Fla ML - 165 ....embarrassed at home in last game ....

$10 SJ ST ML - 210... and added SJ St - 4 - 165 before kickoff.............

$10 Tcu - 5 ......... Kansas 8 Straight Ats Wins comes to an end here...line now - 6.5

$10 Duke ML - 165 ........ double revenge ...and GT off huge + 19.5 SU Dog win vs Pitt

and GT falls into this small sampled trend .....Teams of a WIN as Dog of 17.5+ that are now a Home Dog have gone 2-14-1 (12.5%) ATS!!!!!

$10 Wash St + 15 - 135

$10 Eastern Michigan + 6.5 - 120



Fantasy Play

$7 Tex A/M RB Achane Over 16.5 Rec Yds

 

[Kaboom]

Clemson in a big sandwich spot ... off win vs NC ST and at Fsu next weekend

BC off a bye

Not an awful spot for a BC Cover here ....imo

Clemson is 2-8 ATS as a double-digit favorite since the start of the 2021 season.

Since the start of the 2017 season, BC is 10-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

 

[Kaboom]

Indiana is 0-6 ATS and SU against ranked opponents since the start of last season.

Michigan is 12-4 ATS as a favorite since the start of last season, and 4-1 ATS as a road favorite over the same span.

 

[Kaboom]

$5 S Fla + 27...........Cin has met S Fla .... 19 times ..... they have never won by 27 or more Pts

$7 Over 41.5 TT Wake Forest

$7 Over 37.5 TT Tcu

$7 Boise St - 6 - 140

$7 Mia Fla ML - 165 ....embarrassed at home in last game ....

$10 SJ ST ML - 210... and added SJ St - 4 - 165 before kickoff............. Both Winners

$10 Tcu - 5 ......... Kansas 8 Straight Ats Wins comes to an end here...line now - 6.5

$10 Duke ML - 165 ........ double revenge ...and GT off huge + 19.5 SU Dog win vs Pitt

and GT falls into this small sampled trend .....Teams of a WIN as Dog of 17.5+ that are now a Home Dog have gone 2-14-1 (12.5%) ATS!!!!!

$10 Wash St + 15 - 135

$10 Eastern Michigan + 6.5 - 120



Fantasy Play

$7 Tex A/M RB Achane Over 16.5 Rec Yds

 

[Kaboom]

Adding $15 Over 33.5 Air Force TT .... AF lost at home to Utah St last year 45-49 .... Utah St's Run Def in 2021 was ranked # 83 giving up 4.5 Yards per Rush .......... this year Utah St Run def Ranked # 118 out of 130 Teams ...giving up 5.3 Yards Per Rush

AF runs the ball 87% of the time ... ranked # 1 in the Country as far as Run Percentage

 

[indiana]

K/Boom......on E. Mich. and Wash. St. with you.....
thank you for the updates buddy......indy

 

[rolltide]

some systems for Sat

PLAY ON elite team off huge away win scoring 42+ vs opp off loss allowing 36+ (51-11 = on ALA)
PLAY ON home conf fav>=4 seeking revenge for loss as 10+ fav LY (35-6 = on ALA)
OPPOSE terrible home dog >12 off away dog 15+ vs opp off conf fav game (6-44 = on WASH)
OPPOSE favs or tiny dogs off a loss as a fav of >20 points (4-27 = on VT, UNC)
OPPOSE 5-0 road fav off home fav game and beat this team h2h last meeting (10-39 = on BC, UL Monroe)
PLAY ON 5-0 dog vs opp just scored 43+ (19-4 = on Kansas)
OPPOSE home off b2b2b games with <280 yards (19-52 = on Liberty)

tons of systems/trends playing against 5-0 teams especially if they're not 3 TD+ favs. BC, ULM, WSU, and VANDY show up a lot. The one below is against 5-0 favs of less than 19 off a fav game and beat opponent h2h as fav or small dog last meeting

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and F and line > -19 and season > 1989 and P:W and p:F and o:wins > 0 and P:line < 2.5 and p:site != neutral and op:site != neutral SU: 63-37-1 (5.53, 63.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-70-3 (-4.00, 28.6%) avg line: -9.5 +6: 54-46-1 (54.0%) -6: 16-83-2 (16.2%) +10: 70-25-6 (73.7%) -10: 11-90-0 (10.9%) O/U: 25-32-0 (2.24, 43.9%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 21-36-0 (36.8%) -6: 37-19-1 (66.1%) +10: 17-40-0 (29.8%) -10: 39-17-1 (69.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.7 180.5 32.7 264.7 20.0 1.6 6.6 9.1 7.3 9.2 30.4 Opp 38.3 143.3 31.8 212.1 17.5 1.6 6.9 7.9 5.3 5.6 24.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 CSTC LMON away -13.0 58.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 USC WAST home -12.5 65.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 MIS VAN away -17.0 61.0

 

[rolltide]

The one below is against 5-0 favs of less than 19 off a fav game and beat opponent h2h as fav or small dog last meeting

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and F and line > -19 and season > 1989 and P:W and p:F and o:wins > 0 and P:line < 2.5 and p:site != neutral and op:site != neutral SU: 63-37-1 (5.53, 63.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-70-3 (-4.00, 28.6%) avg line: -9.5 +6: 54-46-1 (54.0%) -6: 16-83-2 (16.2%) +10: 70-25-6 (73.7%) -10: 11-90-0 (10.9%) O/U: 25-32-0 (2.24, 43.9%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 21-36-0 (36.8%) -6: 37-19-1 (66.1%) +10: 17-40-0 (29.8%) -10: 39-17-1 (69.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.7 180.5 32.7 264.7 20.0 1.6 6.6 9.1 7.3 9.2 30.4 Opp 38.3 143.3 31.8 212.1 17.5 1.6 6.9 7.9 5.3 5.6 24.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 CSTC LMON away -13.0 58.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 USC WAST home -12.5 65.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 MIS VAN away -17.0 61.0

and you can tighten this one by only opposing teams that aren't ranked in the top 20. It highlights Coastal Carolina as the play against 5-0 fav today in a 10-38 ATS spot

 

[Kaboom]

Date/Time	…...	Teams	…...	Open	…...	Draft King	…...	Since 2008 Opening Totals 41 to 45.5
8-Oct	…...	Virginia Tech	…...	44o-10	…...	42o-10	…...	Totals that moved 2 to 2.5 Pts …
2:30p	…...	Pittsburgh	…...	44u-10	…...	42u-10	…...	37-23-1 or 62% Over Total
								So If Tailing the play would be Over Total