***Super Bowl Play***

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KC opened as favorite vs TB
Teams are largely favored by what they do in the regular season. Means nothing.
Baltimore was favored by 4.5 lol. That means they were suppose to be the better team even on neutral field.

I don't think anyone who knows football would dispute Mahomes is the better QB.
The facts are ppg Chiefs has less defensively. That cannot be disputed.
Who actually thinks 49ers have better coaching?

SF defense hasn't looked like trash?
How about an actual write up about why SF?
I bet I won't get one.
I'm not going to clutter the man's post, arguing. GL
 

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Chiefs are the play, though I suspect most will be on 49ers.
Looking at percentages of what the public is doing are radically different - depending which source you trust.

Here at BAS Odds, the masses are 85% on SF.

Looking at Covers - the percentages are 63% on KC. Which one do you trust?
 

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The revenge factor is what I see going for 9ers. Their team is stacked
 

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Whales begin targeting 49ers with $1 million Super Bowl bet vs. Chiefs​



Whales are swimming around the Super Bowl as Caesars Sportsbook reported a $1 million wager on the 49ers moneyline (-120).

The $1 million wager would win $833,333.33 if Brock Purdy and the 49ers defeat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

This comes as the bettor bought the dip, as line movement for the 2024 Super Bowl showed tons of public support for the Chiefs.

San Francisco opened as 2.5-point favorites for the 2024 Super Bowl, but those odds were bet down to -1 in the early hours of betting.

The massive bet taken by Caesars seems to have been a theme of reverberations across sportsbooks on Tuesday, as the line has since jumped back up to -2.

Caesars Sportsbook assistant director of trading Adam Pullen told The Post on Sunday that they were expecting the Super Bowl to handle a record $190 million break this week.

This bet goes a long way toward making that a reality.

First $1M #SuperBowl bet@CaesarsSports
$1M 49ers ML -120
— Todd Dewey (@tdewey33) January 30, 2024
It is worth noting that this is a moneyline bet, not a spread bet.

BetMGM Sportsbook reported to The Post that 16 percent of bets were on the 49ers moneyline, while 21 percent of the handle was on San Francisco. This could be a sign that the pros are in on San Francisco while the Joes flooded the early market in Kansas City.

There are some heavily bet-on props as well, namely, Travis Kelce to score a touchdown at -110, the most bet-on a player to get in the endzone.

Purdy’s rushing prowess during the playoffs has been the major point of emphasis for bettors as it’s the most bet on for the 2024 Super Bowl.

99 percent of the bets are on Purdy to go over 11.5 rushing yards (-110).

But the buyback has been real on the 49ers as betting continues across the next 12 days.



 
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Everything I have & know points to the Chiefs.........doesnt mean its a guaranteed winner, because as we all know, anything can happen in football. With that said, I feel comfortable enough to put the profits this season all on the Chiefs.
I like the Chiefs too. They're the sharp side.

But I don't think it's a good idea to put ALL of your profits for the entire season on one game. It turns twenty weeks of hard work into one massive gamble.

Suppose Mahomes goes down in the first quarter?

Of course, it's your choice, but I think 10% max would be a more reasonable bet. Put the other 90% in the bank.
 

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With the addition of "American Idol" Taylor Swift to the formula the whole thing seems to be orchestrated, possibly by some heavyweight political powers. You've got "Pfizer fan" Kelce along with "American Idol" Swift appearing together on the award stand accepting the AFC trophy. She is now part of the team, she might as well start sitting on the Chief's bench.
This opens the door for the Chief's to win a fixed game with Kelce winning the MVP. They then probably go into hiding for the summer. Next August however they come back out for football season. Around Sept. when the regular season starts and the presidential election is heating up and these two are the talk of the town they will team up and come out for the Democrat. And of course "Pfizer fan" Kelce will also throw in for the vaccine.
 
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With the addition of "American Idol" Taylor Swift to the formula the whole thing seems to be orchestrated, possibly by some heavyweight political powers. You've got "Pfizer fan" Kelce along with "American Idol" Swift appearing together on the award stand accepting the AFC trophy. She is now part of the team, she might as well start sitting on the Chief's bench.
This opens the door for the Chief's to win a fixed game with Kelce winning the MVP. They then probably go into hiding for the summer. Next August however they come back out for football season. Around Sept. when the regular season starts and the presidential election is heating up and these two are the talk of the town they will team up and come out for the Democrat. And of course "Pfizer fan" Kelce will also throw in for the vaccine.
Yes, of course, it's set up for KC. But . . . I still wouldn't bet my entire season's worth of profits.
 

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Polls are already showing that 18% of the American public will follow Taylor Swift's presidential choice......this is pretty big.
 

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Just take a look at the defenses SF has played since their bye week. Jacksonville, Tamp Bay Seattle twice Arizona Philly Washington, GB , Detroit. Take a better look at the defenses SF has played in their last 4 road games ..4 of the bottom dreg defenses in the league, the absolute worse. If you look in the dictionary under Paper Tiger. SF's team picture will be there...This one will be easy.
 

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Just take a look at the defenses SF has played since their bye week. Jacksonville, Tamp Bay Seattle twice Arizona Philly Washington, GB , Detroit. Take a better look at the defenses SF has played in their last 4 road games ..4 of the bottom dreg defenses in the league, the absolute worse. If you look in the dictionary under Paper Tiger. SF's team picture will be there...This one will be easy.
When Purdy went up against top defenses in college and now in the pros. @Clev,Cinn, Baltimore. We all know what happen there. GB & Det had these guys beat by several TD's ..that was your tell tail sign about their defense right there, The only problem was thet GB & Det couldnt play defense when it mattered, also among the worse in the league with the ones mentioned above, that's why SF came back..they wont come back vs KC . If KC comes out of the gate as did SF last 2 opponents and I believe they will..Game over. KC to the bank and all those fairy tale stories about it being rigged becuase of Taylor Swift..Poppycock. KC is peaking at the right time..especially with " Spags the SB DC running the show on defense..
 

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Yes, of course, it's set up for KC. But . . . I still wouldn't bet my entire season's worth of profits.


Point taken.....& bankroll management should be used by bettors, but I for one dont use it, altho I have in the past.. Gamblers should always play within their means, whether using a bankroll management plan or not.
 

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Polls are already showing that 18% of the American public will follow Taylor Swift's presidential choice......this is pretty big.
Shows the absolute stupidity of the american voter! Makes third world voters look like Einstein.
 

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Hard for me to believe sf is favored or Why is not kc favored -except for futures liability on sf kc bets coming in 6-1 BUT most experts say big calif money is out there for sf -we shall see -right now most books i talk too have kc and over
 

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(+84.03)



Chiefs ML (+114).......50 units to win 57 units



Good luck everyone!
Best bet here. I can’t see Chiefs losing with a soap opera finish of Kelcie and Sailor Twift to get youngins involved in the Big Dance. Perfect publicity stunt. Show them kissing at the end and we may get to see a proposal on TV to boost nfl ratings to the stratosphere

YOURE welcome. Signed: the National Fixed League
 

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Well that was fun......started out very slow but finished with all the hype. I'll see you guys again when March Madness rolls around. Good luck everyone!
 

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