Oh, great. We have to deal with
this again?
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 9
Sunday games
Houston (1-7) @ Miami (1-7)
— Texans lost last seven games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Last seven games, Houston was outscored 123-39 in 2nd half.
— Houston was outscored 102-8 in last three road games.
— Last two years, Texans are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five games, Texans are minus-8 in turnovers (3-11)
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 11-24 ATS so far this season.
— First-time head coaches are 21-31 ATS this season.
— AFC South non-divisional dogs are 11-8 ATS, 7-3 on road.
— Miami lost last seven games, giving up 31 ppg.
— Miami is 0-5 ATS the last five weeks.
— Dolphins’ one win was 17-16 at New England in Week 1.
— Miami has only four takeaways in last five games (-5)
— Miami has given up 48 plays of 20+ yards, has only 29 themselves.
— Last five years, Miami is 7-2-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Last seven games, Dolphins were outscored 134-71 in 2nd half.
— Four of last six Dolphin games went over the total.
— Houston won eight of last nine series games.
— Texans won/covered three of last four visits to Miami.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
Denver (4-4) @ Dallas (6-1)
— Denver lost four of last five games, outscored 64-30 in first half.
— Three of their four wins were against rookie/backup QB’s.
— Denver has three takeaway in last five games (-5).
— Last four years, Denver is 11-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Denver gave up 13 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
— Six of eight Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos traded star LB Miller Monday; they’re building for future.
— AFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 2-3 ATS. I
— No word yet if QB Prescott will play (check status)
— Cowboys won in Minnesota LW, backup QB Rush’s first NFL start.
— Dallas is 7-0 ATS; their only loss was 31-29 at Tampa in Week 1.
— Cowboys have 14 takeaways in last six games (+5).
— Dallas has converted 42-89 third down plays (47.2%).
— Cowboys scored defensive TD in three of last five games.
— Over is 5-2 in Cowboys’ games this season.
— Last six years, Dallas is 16-14-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Denver won five of last six meetings, scoring 42-51 points in last two.
— Broncos won their last three visits to Dallas.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
Minnesota (3-4) @ Baltimore (5-2)
— Six of Vikings’ seven games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Vikings converted only 1-13 third down plays vs Dallas LW.
— Minnesota is +4 in turnovers last two games (even first 5 games)
— Last eight years, Vikings are 19-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Minnesota is 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
— Minnesota has been outscored 60-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Four of Vikings’ last five games stayed under the total.
— NFC North road underdogs are 5-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Baltimore won four of last five games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
— Ravens gave up 33-41 points in their two losses.
— Baltimore is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 18-23-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 14-20-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Baltimore gave up 10+ yards/pass attempt in three of last six games.
— Over is 3-1 in Ravens home games this year.
— Baltimore is 14-5 ATS in last 19 post-bye games, 4-4 last eight.
— Home side won last five series games.
— Vikings lost last three visits here, by 3-7-16 points.
— Favorites are 3-2 ATS in last five meetings.
New England (4-4) @ Carolina (4-4)
— New England won 3 of last 4 games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— Patriots are 3-0 vs rookie QB’s, 1-4 vs everyone else.
— NE is 2-3 in games decided by 3 or less points, or in OT.
— Patriots are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last four games, New England had 24 plays of 20+ yards (+5).
— Last four years, New England is 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four Patriot games went over the total.
— AFC East favorites are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Carolina QB Darnold (concussion) is a ??; check status.
— Carolina lost four of last five games after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers lost last two home games, by total of nine points.
— Carolina outscored opponents 88-52 in first half.
— Last five games, Panthers were outscored 83-45 in second half.
— Under is 6-2 in Carolina games this season.
— Carolina is 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as home underdogs.
— Panthers converted 10-17 third down plays LW (were 9-42 previous 3 games).
— Carolina won last two meetings, by total of seven points.
— Patriots are 1-3 vs Carolina since beating them in Super Bowl 38.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
— New England lost 24-20/27-17 in last two visits to Charlotte.
Buffalo (5-2) @ Jacksonville (1-6)
— Bills won/covered five of its last six games.
— All five of their wins are by 15+ points.
— Buffalo has given up 11 TD’s on 72 drives.
— Bills are 6-4 ATS last ten games as road favorites.
— Last five games, Bills are +13 in turnovers.
— Buffalo outscored first seven foes 114-47 in first half.
— Buffalo has converted 41-82 third down plays (50%).
— Over is 7-2-2 in Bills’ last 11 road games.
— Jaguars lost 21 of their last 22 games.
— Jaguars are 0-3 ATS at home TY, losing by 10-12-18 points.
— Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
— Jacksonville is minus-11 in turnovers (2-13)
— Last 2+ years, Jacksonville is 13-20 ATS as underdogs.
— Jaguars converted 26 of 81 third down plays (32.1%).
— Five of their last six games stayed under.
— AFC South non-divisional home dogs are 3-5 ATS.
— Home side won last four series games.
— Underdogs covered all four of those games.
— Bills lost five of last seven visits to Jacksonville.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
Cleveland (4-4) @ Cincinnati (5-3)
— Cleveland lost three of its last four games.
— Browns scored 14-17-10 points in last three games.
— Last four games, Browns were outscored 74-36 in 2nd half.
— Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of Cleveland’s four losses were by 5 or fewer points.
— Browns threw for 6.1+ yards/pass attempt in one of last six games.
— Last three games, opponents converted 23-49 third down plays.
— Last two years, Browns were 1-5 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
— Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards vs Bengals last week.
— LW was first game Bengals didn’t have had a TD play of 31+ yards.
— Bengals averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of last 6 games.
— Cincy outscored last five opponents 108-57 in 2nd half.
— Last five years, Bengals are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Cincinnati scored 34-41-31 points.
— Five of last seven Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Browns won five of last six series games.
— Cleveland won LY’s games, 35-30/37-34.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— Browns lost nine of last 12 visits to Cincinnati.