NBA Prop Bets===Master Thread

[MAGAking1]

3 for Fri

Onyeka Okongwu Over 10.5 Points (+118)​

The Atlanta Hawks-Indiana Pacers matchup is a great place to look for overs as it sports a 238.5-point total and 2.5-point spread.

That leads me to Onyeka Okongwu's points prop.

Okongwu can have success an Indiana interior defense that has been tagged for 22.1 points per game by the center position, the 10th-most.

Okongwu has played at least 28 minutes in five straight, including 33 and 34 minutes in the last two, so that shouldn't be an issue.

We project him to get 33 minutes today, and we have Okongwu scoring 12.5 points. Given the +118 price, this is a great prop to zero in on.

Mike Conley Over 1.5 Made Threes (-128)​

The Orlando Magic are a superb match for threes, and Mike Conley can take advantage.

For the season, the Magic are surrendering a three-point attempt rate of 43.3%, the second-highest. Point guards are taking 8.8 three-pointers per night versus Orlando. The Magic sit sixth-worst in defensive rating.

The Utah Jazz boast a 119.75-point implied total, and our model has Conley going 2.3 for 5.9 from three tonight.

Jalen Brunson Under 24.5 Points (-112)​

I wrote up the under on Jalen Brunson's points prop on Wednesday and completely whiffed as he stayed hot with a 34-point night. Whoops. That miss kept us from having a perfect night.

But I'm going back to the well with Brunson tonight because I think the process was sound on that Wednesday bet.

RJ Barrett is back, and Barrett's return will eventually lead to fewer shots for Brunson, even if that didn't play out on Wednesday.

When Barrett is off the court this season, Brunson has a 31.8% usage rate and pours in 28.0 points per 36 minutes, via CourtIQ. Coming into the previous game, Brunson owned a 25.8% usage rate and scored just 21.8 points per 36 when sharing the court with Barrett.

Before Wednesday, Brunson's recent hot stretch had come with Barrett out. With Barrett back, Brunson's usage is bound to drop at some point, and it could happen tonight in a matchup with a Washington Wizards squad that has allowed the seventh-fewest points per game to point guards (23.7).

We have Brunson scoring 22.2 points against the Wiz.

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Tue

Royce O'Neale Under 1.5 Made Threes (+158)​

The San Antonio Spurs are not a good team, and they're not a good defense -- but they do a nice job preventing three-point shots. That has me on the under on Royce O'Neale's made triples.
For the season, San Antonio is allowing a three-point attempt rate of 35.5%, the third-lowest. The small forward position is taking only 7.0 three-point tries per game against the Spurs, which is tied for the third-fewest.
The absence of Kevin Durant doesn't really impact O'Neale's three-point volume. With KD off the court this year, O'Neale is averaging just 0.03 more made threes per night, according to CourtIQ.
With the Brooklyn Nets implied to score 119.0 points today, they're in a nice spot, and our model has O'Neale pegged to make 2.1 threes on 5.4 attempts. However, I think the under has a better chance than the pricing on this prop -- +158 on the under and -205 on the over -- indicates. That pushes me toward the under, and I think it's worth a roll of the dice.

Nic Claxton Over 14.5 Points (-102)​

An area where the aforementioned Spurs struggle defensively is against centers as San Antonio has given up the second-most points per night to the position (23.9).
Enter Nic Claxton.
The Nets' pivot has averaged 15.3 points per 36 minutes with Durant off the floor this campaign, and his usage rate in the split rises 2.8 percentage points. Claxton has logged at least 30 minutes in five consecutive outings.
Facing a similarly bad Oklahoma City Thunder interior in his last game, Claxton poured in 17 points across 33 minutes.
In a game with a 5.5-point spread, Claxton should get his minutes, and he can deliver in this soft matchup. We project him to net 15.3 points.

Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (+120)​

Our model projects Nikola Jokic to have a triple-double today versus the Portland Trail Blazers as we peg him to generate 26.8 points, 11.9 boards and 10.1 assists.
The assists figure to be the biggest hurdle en route to a Jokic trip-doub. The matchup should help. The Blazers have surrendered the eighth-most assists per game to centers (3.8), although Jokic is so different from most centers that I'm not sure how much that stat actually matters.
Jokic has a triple-double in three of the last four games, and in the one exception, he missed it by one assist. In three previous matchups with Portland this year, the MVP is averaging 23.7 points, 9.0 rebounds and 9.7 dimes, so he's been right there.
This game has a juicy 238.0-point total and 6.5-point spread, so things set up very well for Jokic to have another huge night.
You could also take Jokic to triple-double and the Denver Nuggets to win, which is priced at +182. Denver is -255 on the moneyline. That implies win odds of 71.8%. Our algorithm has the Nuggets winning 74.4% of the time.

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Wed

Russell Westbrook Under 1.5 Made Threes (+100)​

We had a perfect night on Tuesday. Let's do it again.

While it's a little scary to take any under in a Los Angeles Lakers-Sacramento Kings game that has a 245.0-point total and 3.0-point spread, this bet checks out.

The Kings' overall defensive numbers are bad, but they're good at limiting three-point tries. For the season, they are giving up a three-point attempt rate of 35.3%, the second-lowest. The point guard position is taking just 7.3 three-point shots per night -- the third-fewest -- versus the Kings.

Russell Westbrook doesn't take many shots from deep, hoisting five or fewer three-pointers in 8 of his previous 10 games. He's making only 29.1% of his threes on the season.

Our model projects Russ to go 1.0 of 3.5 from beyond the arc. With the +100 price on the under, this is a great prop to prioritize.

Terry Rozier Over 2.5 Made Threes (-130)​

The Houston Rockets sit on the opposite end of the three-point defense spectrum.

Houston has permitted a three-point attempt rate of 44.5%, the highest in the league. Shooting guards are taking an average of 10.9 threes per game against the Rockets, which is another league-high mark.

That has me on the over on Terry Rozier's made threes prop.

Rozier isn't shy about letting it fly from three. He's fired off at least seven three-pointers in six of his past seven games.

With two teams in the bottom four in defensive rating, this game should feature plenty of offense, and Rozier can get cooking from three. We project him to take 10.0 trifectas and make 3.6 of them.

Domantas Sabonis to Record a Triple-Double (+200)​

Domantas Sabonis is having a career-best season in his first full year with the Kings. His offensive rating is at 134, which is the best mark of his career -- by some distance, too.

One of the big changes to Sabonis' game is how much he's being used as a facilitator, and it's resulted in him averaging 7.1 assists per night. He's registered four triple-doubles this season, one of which came against the Lakers.

I think he can do it again tonight, and I like his chances better than what this +200 number implies.

Assists will likely be the toughest hurdle to clear as we project Sabonis for 20.3 points, 13.3 boards and 8.2 dimes. The matchup helps in that department as the Lakers are allowing a league-high 4.5 assists per game to centers.

The game environment boosts Sabonis' chances, too, with a 245.0-point total and both squads sitting in the top five in pace.

This one is worth a roll of the dice at this +200 price.

 

[MAGAking1]

2 for Thur

Gary Trent Jr. Over 2.5 Made Threes (-142)​

Gary Trent Jr. is taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves, and it's a good matchup for him to hit some threes.

On the year, Minnesota is giving up a three-point attempt rate of 40.7%, the seventh-highest. Shooting guards are getting off 8.8 three-point shots per night against the Wolves, which is slightly more than the league average.

Trent has been letting it fly from deep in recent games, jacking at least eight three-point attempts in four of his past five games. He's hit four threes in two straight outings, and he's making 2.6 threes per game for the season.

Our model really likes this one, projecting Trent to go 3.4 for 9.0 from beyond the arc.

Damian Lillard Under 31.5 Points (-113)​

Damian Lillard is on an absolute heater. He's scored 50, 36, 40 and 44 points over his past four games.

But there are reasons to back the under tonight on his points prop.

The matchup is a big reason. Lillard is at home against the Philadelphia 76ers, and it's a tough spot for him. The Sixers have limited floor generals to 21.4 points per game, the fewest in the league. Dame isn't your average point guard, but he's undoubtedly facing a stingy defense.

He's also due to regress a bit shooting-wise. Over his four-game onslaught, Lillard is making 57.6% of his shots, including 42.2% from three. On the year, he's shooting 45.5% from the field and 36.6% from deep.

While Lillard can light it up any night against any foe, our projections have him netting just 29.2 points today.

 

[Bruins4Life]

Just found this thread.
Is there a season long record?

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Friday

Terance Mann Under 0.5 Threes (+160)​

This one is a bit of a dart throw, which is why it's priced at +160, but hear me out.


The Los Angeles Clippers are facing the San Antonio Spurs. San Antonio is doing a nice job limiting three-point shots, giving up a three-point attempt rate of just 35.3%, the second-lowest. The small-forward position is getting off just 7.0 three-point tries per night versus the Spurs, which is tied for the third-fewest.

Terance Mann has gone without a three in 6 of his past 13 games, and the Clips' two stars -- Kawhi Leonard and Paul George -- have been in and out of the lineup in that time. They're both expected to play today, and with those two on the floor, Mann owns a meager 14.9% usage rate, per CourtIQ.

We project Mann to make 1.1 threes on 3.1 attempts. That's obviously over this prop, but I think there's a better chance this under hits than what the +160 price implies. There's some value here.

Royce O'Neale Over 4.5 Rebounds (+104)​

Royce O'Neale has five total boards across his past two games. I still really like this over.

Prior to the past two, O'Neale had four straight games of five-plus rebounds, including outings of seven and 10 boards. He's averaging 4.9 rebounds per night for the season.

On top of that, his rebounding output rises sans Kevin Durant, who is still out. With KD off the floor, O'Neale snags 5.68 rebounds per 36 minutes, an increase of 0.58 from his usual average.

Our model has O'Neale playing 37.4 minutes and pulling down 5.7 rebounds tonight at the Utah Jazz.

Bennedict Mathurin Over 16.5 Points (-112)​

With Tyrese Haliburton out, Bennedict Mathurin has seen his usage go up.

Over the last four games, all of which Haliburton has missed, Mathurin holds a team-best 24.9% usage rate. While that has led to just one game of 17-plus points in that span, his scoring outputs have been bogged down by bad shooting, which is bound to improve.

He's shooting only 38.7% from the field in the three games in that time in which he failed to surpass 16.5 points. He's also taken just 4.0 free throws per night in those games. For the season, he's hitting 42.2% of his shots and attempting 6.0 freebies per game.

Mathurin is due to shoot better -- and take more free throws -- and tonight's matchup versus the Denver Nuggets can help. Denver is allowing two-guards to net 23.7 points per game, the eighth-most, and they may be without the interior D of Nikola Jokic, who was downgraded to questionable.

Our algorithm projects Mathurin to score 17.4 points on Friday.

 

[MAGAking1]

Ayo Dosunmu Under 9.5 Points (-106)​

Ayo Dosunmu is taking on the Atlanta Hawks tonight, and it's a tough matchup for him.

The Hawks have been stingy against point guards this season, permitting the seventh-fewest points per game to the position (23.7).

Dosunmu isn't much of a scorer for the Chicago Bulls. He's averaging 9.6 points per game for the year, and while he's netted 13 and 12 over his last two games, he shot an impressive -- and unsustainable -- 11 for 17 in that span (64.7%). He's a 50.6% shooter on the season, and prior to the past two, Dosunmu had been held to eight or fewer points in five straight.

Our model projects Dosunmu to total 9.3 points on Monday night.

D'Angelo Russell Over 18.5 Points (-122)​

The defense of the Houston Rockets is on the other end of the spectrum when it comes to defending point guards.

The Rockets are surrendering 27.3 points per game to the position, the second-most. Houston's D stinks overall, sitting 28th in defensive rating, and their 44.4% three-point attempt rate allowed is a league-high clip.

That has me on the over on D'Angelo Russell's points prop.

Russell has dropped in at least 21 points in three of his past four games, and we forecast him to score 19.2 points in this one.

Josh Hart Under 7.5 Rebounds (-108)​

Josh Hart snagged 10 boards last time out and is averaging 8.3 rebounds per night for the campaign. Those sound like good reasons to back the over on this prop, but I think the under is the side to be on.

The matchup is a big part of it. Hart is taking on the San Antonio Spurs, a team that has kept small forwards to only 6.4 rebounds per game, tied for the fewest in the league.

Although Hart has two games of double-digit rebounds across his past four contests, those are the only games over his previous six outings in which he's gone over this line.

Our algorithm projects him to pull down 6.8 rebounds on Monday.

 

[MAGAking1]

Went ahead and parlayed them

 

[MAGAking1]

Went ahead and parlayed them

View attachment 57999

Booom....bottle of Makers incoming

Ayo 2, Russel 30 and Hart 5

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Tue

Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Made Threes (+112)​

We've had two straight perfect days. Let's keep it going.


Aaron Nesmith is at home tonight versus the Chicago Bulls, and it's a good spot for him to get loose from three. The Bulls are giving up a three-point attempt rate of 41.9% this season, which is the fifth-highest. They are allowing 8.7 three-point shots per game to small forwards, the sixth-most.

Nesmith should be able to fire off a handful of shots from beyond the arc on Tuesday, and with Tyrese Haliburton -- who is still out -- off the court this season, Nesmith has taken an average of 6.6 threes per night, per CourtIQ, making 1.9.

Our model projects Nesmith to play 27.4 minutes and go 1.9 of 5.8 from three. With a +112 price on the over, that's the side I want to be on.

Bradley Beal Under 23.5 Points (-111)​

Bradley Beal plays at the Dallas Mavericks today, and I'm on the under on his points prop.

Dallas has been really tough on shooting guards, holding the position to 21.1 points per game, the third-fewest.

Beal comes into this game with 19 or fewer points in four consecutive outings. Per CourtIQ, Beal averages 2.8 more points per 36 minutes sans Kristaps Porzingis -- who is out -- but I think this line more than accounts for KP's absence.

There's also a whiff of blowout risk in this game as the Washington Wizards are 7.0-point road 'dogs.

We project Beal to net 22.5 points.

Kyle Lowry Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)​

This is another plus-money over that's pretty appealing.

Kyle Lowry is averaging 4.4 rebounds per game, and he's snagged at least four boards in three of his last four contests.

The matchup tonight helps, too. He's taking on the Boston Celtics. Boston is sitting a slew of players, including guards Malcolm Brogdon, Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown. Even at full strength, Boston is giving up 6.6 rebounds per night to point guards, the fourth-most.

Lowry has played the Celtics three times this season, totaling five, four and four rebounds in the three matchups.

Even with Boston sitting players, the spread is only 4.5 points, so there's not much of a reason to worry about a blowout.

 

[MAGAking1]

Lets win another bottle of booze......I actually bought this instead of Makers

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Wed

Gary Harris Over 7.5 Points (-118)​

Gary Harris doesn't do much scoring for the Orlando Magic, but I like his chances of getting at least eight points tonight.


The Magic are at home against the Indiana Pacers. Indiana is just 20th in defensive rating and plays at the 5th-fastest pace. That makes them a big pace-up spot for Orlando, a team that is only 19th in pace. And it can't hurt things that the Pacers are on the second leg of a back-to-back and had to travel from Indiana to Orlando overnight.

On top of all that, the Pacers have been mauled by two-guards this season, permitting 26.0 points per game to the position, the third-most. Harris poured in 18 points the first time he faced Indiana this campaign, although that was a ways back (November 21st).

We project Harris to score 9.2 points on Wednesday.

Kyrie Irving Under 29.5 Points (-115)​

Kyrie Irving has been cooking in his past two outings, dropping in 38 and 48 points in red-hot shooting efforts. Overall, he's gone for at least 30 points in three consecutive games.

But there are reasons to back the under on his points prop today.

In the 38- and 48-point nights, Kyrie shot incredibly well, hitting 58.8% of his field-goal attempts, including 59.1% from three. He's not going to keep shooting that well. For the year, he's made 47.1% of his shots and 39.1% of his three-point tries.

Prior to the past three games, Irving had gone for 28 or fewer points in seven of the previous eight games, with the one exception being an output of 29 points.

The matchup today is a tough one for him. He's up against the Philadelphia 76ers, a team that has limited point guards to 21.7 points per night, the fewest in the NBA. Both Philly and the Brooklyn Nets are in the bottom 11 in pace.

Our model has Irving projected for 28.3 points. While it's scary to take the under after Kyrie's past two games, that's the side I'm going to be on.

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Made Threes (-130)​

The headline matchup of the night is in the Bay Area as the Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies. The game has a 245.0-point total and 3.5-point spread. Both teams are in the top three in pace. We should see a lot of possessions and a lot of scoring.

That's part of the reason I'm on the over on Klay Thompson's made threes prop. The other part is the Grizzlies' three-point D.

Memphis is a top-notch defense -- first in defensive rating -- but they give up their fair share of three-point tries. For the season, Memphis is allowing a three-point attempt rate of 40.5%, the eighth-highest. Shooting guards have taken 9.1 three-pointers per night against the Grizz, the ninth-most.

Klay has drilled at least four triples in three of his last five games, and although he made just three in his lone meeting with the Grizzlies this season, he attempted 12 treys in that affair, which is a positive sign.

We have Thompson going 4.1 for 10.6 from beyond the arc tonight.

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Thursday

Julius Randle Under 2.5 Made Threes (-106)​

Julius Randle is up against the Boston Celtics tonight, and that has me on the under on his three-point prop.

Boston does a great job limiting three-point tries. For the season, the Celtics have surrendered a three-point attempt rate of 36.1%, the fourth-lowest. The power forward position is making only 2.3 threes per night against Boston, which is the 10th-fewest.

Randle is coming off an 8-for-12 explosion from deep in his most recent game. But in the eight games prior to that one, he finished with two or fewer made triples six times.

Our model projects Randle to go 2.0 for 6.3 from three tonight.

Jaden Ivey Over 4.5 Assists (+114)​

We've had success this year targeting the over on Jaden Ivey's assists prop. All those cashes came with the line set at 3.5. The market has shifted lately, and Ivey's assist prop is now routinely set at 4.5. Despite the higher number, I still like the over tonight.

Ivey is taking on the Brooklyn Nets, a team that has given up 5.4 assists per night to two-guards, tied for the ninth-most. The Nets haven't been a fast-paced team for most of the year, but they're playing faster in recent games, checking in 12th in pace over the last five. The Detroit Pistons are first in pace in that split, so this should be a high-scoring affair, something that's reflected in the 234.5-point total.

Ivey is averaging 5.1 dimes per game for the season and has dished out at least six assists in four of his past five outings.

We need just five to cash this bet, and our algorithm has Ivey projected right at it, forecasting him to record 5.1 assists today.

Deandre Ayton Over 17.5 Points (-122)​

Deandre Ayton is set to return on Thursday for the Phoenix Suns, and despite a tough matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, this number is too low, according to our model.

Dallas has been good against centers this campaign, giving up only 19.5 points per game to the position, the fourth-fewest. But with Christian Wood out, the Mavs haven't been nearly as stingy versus bigs, permitting 23.8 points per game to centers over the past seven contests.

That helps our cause, and so does Devin Booker's absence. With Booker off the floor, Ayton owns a 26.4% usage rate and scores 21.9 points per 36 minutes, according to CourtIQ. That's a usage-rate bump of 2.2 percentage points. In games with Chris Paul but sans Booker, Ayton's usage rate rises to 27.1%.

We have Ayton netting 19.4 points on Thursday night.

 

[MAGAking1]

2 for Friday

Gary Trent Jr. Over 2.5 Made Threes (-132)​

Gary Trent Jr. and the Toronto Raptors are on the road to take on the Golden State Warriors, and it's a good spot for Trent to get going from three.

On the year, the Warriors have allowed a three-point attempt rate of 40.1%, the 10th-highest mark.

The game environment should help, too, as this matchup carries a 235.0-point total and a 5.0-point spread.

Trent has made at least three triples in 9 of his last 15 games. He's been a slightly better three-point shooter on the road (37.0%) than at home (36.4%), and he's been a lock for big minutes lately, logging at least 35 minutes in six straight games with outings of 43 and 41 minutes in that time.

Our model has Trent hitting 3.0 of 8.0 three-point attempts today.

D'Angelo Russell Over 6.5 Assists (+102)​

Another game that's expected to be fast-paced and tight is a clash between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies. It features a 238.5-point total and 3.0-point spread. Both teams are in the top six in pace.

In short, this game should be an over-friendly environment. The books know that, of course, and adjust lines accordingly, but our model sees value on D'Angelo Russell's assist prop.

Russell is averaging 6.7 assists over his previous six games, notching at least seven dimes in four of those contests. His assist totals could be even higher as he's averaging 11.7 potential assists per night over that time.

Our model and the betting market don't see eye to eye on this one. Not only do we project Russell for 7.4 assists, this over comes at plus money. Yes, please.

 

[JimmyVegas]

tailing you. Good luck

 

[MAGAking1]

tailing you. Good luck

I play a decent number of these , but the writeups come from numberfire

 

[JimmyVegas]

Nice hit last night. Played them in a parlay. 35 to win 125

 

[MAGAking1]

3 for Monday

Andrew Wiggins Over 1.5 Made Threes (-158)​

The Golden State Warriors are on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder, and it's a nice spot for Andrew Wiggins to drop in a couple of threes.


Over the last 10 games, the Thunder are giving up a 40.4% three-point attempt rate, tied for the seventh-highest mark in that time. For the season, OKC is permitting the sixth-most three-point tries per night to small forwards (8.6).

Blowout risk isn't much of a concern with Golden State just a 5.5-point favorite.

Wiggins has nailed multiple triples in 17 of his past 22 games. We project him to make 2.5 threes on 6.3 attempts tonight.

Jaden Ivey Over 3.5 Rebounds (-132)​

Jaden Ivey has been rebounding well in recent games, and he can keep that trend going in a date with the Dallas Mavericks.

Ivey has been moved to point guard lately by the Detroit Pistons, and that should help him in the rebounding department against Dallas, a team that has given up 6.1 boards per night to floor generals.

Ivey has snagged at least four rebounds in five of his last seven outings with six-plus rebounds in three of those games.

Our model has him pulling down 4.3 rebounds on Monday.

Damian Lillard Under 33.5 Points (-118)​

Damian Lillard has had some huge scoring nights lately, including a 60-burger and a 50-piece over his past 10 contests, and he's up against an Atlanta Hawks squad that's middling defensively (19th in defensive rating).

Dame is fully capable of lighting it up every time he takes the floor, but I am backing the under today on his points prop.

While the Hawks aren't very good overall on defense, they have been tough on point guards, holding the position to 23.7 points per game, the eighth-fewest. They've surrendered the second-fewest three-point attempts per game (7.2) to point guards, which is a big plus in our corner as Dame has taken at least nine threes in 10 consecutive games.

Despite the headline-grabbing nights, Lillard has been held to 30 or fewer points in three of his past five games. He's averaging 30.1 points per night for the season.

We have him scoring 30.4 points tonight.

 

[MAGAking1]

NBA Battle Royale 3man draft for tonight......gotta make up for that brutal Sunday

 

[MAGAking1]

2 for Tuesday

Kyle Lowry Under 9.5 Points (-115)​

With Jimmy Butler confirmed as being available to play, I'm liking the under on Kyle Lowry's points prop.

Lowry has been held to nine or fewer points in five of his last seven games. He hasn't topped 31.1 minutes in any game in that span, and he's taken single-digit shots in five of the seven contests. Lowry's usage rate with Butler on the floor this year is just 16.0%, per CourtIQ, which ranks seventh among the Miami Heat's regulars.

The matchup is in our favor, too. Miami is at the Cleveland Cavaliers, a team that has given up the third-fewest points per night to point guards (9.5).

Our projections have Lowry right at this line as we peg him to score 9.6 points. I'm siding with the under.

Quentin Grimes Over 10.5 Points (-108)​

Quentin Grimes is at home today against the Los Angeles Lakers, and I like his chances to get at least 11 points.

The matchup is certainly there.

LA has surrendered the ninth-most points per game to two-guards (23.9) and will be sans Patrick Beverley, who is a pest defensively on the perimeter. The Lakers are a middling 19th in defensive rating and sit 4th in pace. That makes them a huge pace-up spot for the New York Knicks, who play at the fourth-slowest pace.

Grimes is a low-usage player who hasn't topped 10 points in any of his previous five games. But he plays a lot of minutes -- at least 33.0 in four straight -- and can take advantage of the matchup.

We project Grimes to score 11.3 points on Tuesday.

Another bet that correlates well with this and may be worth a look is taking a shot on over 2.5 made threes for Grimes, which is priced at +152. Our model has Grimes going 2.9 of 7.7 from three.