+41.165
UFC 279:
1.0 Diaz +125
1.0 Walker +180 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +300
1.0 Dawodu by KO/TKO +270 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd3 +1600
0.5 Wolf +320
1.0 Reed +155 / 0.3 by DEC +250
1.0 Weeks -120 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +265
More to come, monitoring a few things and waiting on some props with the new match ups.
Continued success.
UFC 279:
1.0 Diaz +125
1.0 Walker +180 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +300
1.0 Dawodu by KO/TKO +270 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd3 +1600
0.5 Wolf +320
1.0 Reed +155 / 0.3 by DEC +250
1.0 Weeks -120 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +265
More to come, monitoring a few things and waiting on some props with the new match ups.
Continued success.
I kind of view this through the lens of your last sentence, Diaz is clearly past his prime, but I’m not so sure he’s completely washed while Ferguson might be.
Ferguson did look good against Chandler before the KO, so maybe he isn’t. Also, I’m not in love with guys fading badly and changing weight classes late in their career as a last ditch effort to revive their careers, it just rarely seems to pan out. I don’t have any stats on that, but that’s my perception.
Lastly, I just think we may see one of the best versions, of late, from Diaz in what will likely be his last UFC fight. I have no evidence to support this, but that’s where my head is at.
Could be completely wrong, but once I saw Diaz as a dog I was in.
You think Holland has any chance? Chimaev should destroy him. Wrestle him, exploit Holland’s biggest weakness and enforce Chimaev’s biggest strength. Chimaev rolls with little resistance.
I’m beginning the question a bit about Chimaev, especially his fight IQ. I expect him to come out and bang with Holland, which is the only chance Holland has. Chimaev still probably wins that fight, but the odds shift dramatically. I thought I saw Holland KO like 10/1, which seems a bit inflated.
Throw in the weigh cut issues, supposedly questionable camp, reports Chimaev has been out partying this week, etc. Maybe some of that is bullshit, but seems like a few red flags surrounding him, his preparation and how he approaches fights.
If I remember Chimaev looked pretty tired at the end vs Burns and that was 3 rounds but he took damage so , hard to say
Holland by Tko/Ko or DQ +700
Hard to see a decision I think as if it goes long he will get wrestle fucked out of a decision
On Chimaevs side what the best odds if you think he wins
Decision +300
Ko/TKo DQ +150
Sub +300
I could see any of those
Also I wonder with Diaz if he really trained 100%
Will this be a Nick Diaz situation?
Holland by Tko/Ko or DQ +700
Hard to see a decision I think as if it goes long he will get wrestle fucked out of a decision
On Chimaevs side what the best odds if you think he wins
Decision +300
Ko/TKo DQ +150
Sub +300
I could see any of those
Also I wonder with Diaz if he really trained 100%
Will this be a Nick Diaz situation?
I like Ferg -130 to -140ish...I got -130 but it is -140 now so I'll say that here
More I think of it, he pieces him. Nate isn't gonna have any cardio edge, he probably didn't train at all and I would've had Ferg as a fav over him in the first place if they were scheduled to fight.
Nate doesn't have the power that someone like Chandler does. Maybe Nate gets ahold of him and can grind like he did vs Pettis but even that was awhile ago.
Sprinke at +240 decision as well as Nate will be tough to get out of there. Although given Nate scar tissue issues, if he's getting pieced that badly I could see it being stopped
More I think of it, he pieces him. Nate isn't gonna have any cardio edge, he probably didn't train at all and I would've had Ferg as a fav over him in the first place if they were scheduled to fight.
Nate doesn't have the power that someone like Chandler does. Maybe Nate gets ahold of him and can grind like he did vs Pettis but even that was awhile ago.
Sprinke at +240 decision as well as Nate will be tough to get out of there. Although given Nate scar tissue issues, if he's getting pieced that badly I could see it being stopped
+42.106
UFC San Diego:
1.0 Sandhagen by DEC +125
1.0 Njokuani -120 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +210
1.0 Algeo +110 / 0.3 by DEC +200
1.0 Sabatini -180 / 0.3 by SUB +460
1.0 Cosce +185 / 0.3 by KO +425
1.0 Agapova +130 / 0.3 by DEC +360
1.0 Barriault +180 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +350 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1700
Continued success.
UFC San Diego:
1.0 Sandhagen by DEC +125
1.0 Njokuani -120 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +210
1.0 Algeo +110 / 0.3 by DEC +200
1.0 Sabatini -180 / 0.3 by SUB +460
1.0 Cosce +185 / 0.3 by KO +425
1.0 Agapova +130 / 0.3 by DEC +360
1.0 Barriault +180 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +350 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1700
Continued success.
