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Week 17


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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DET at DAL08:15 PMDET +5.5
O 52.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/30/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/28/20232-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
12/25/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
12/24/202311-8-157.50%+1100Detail
12/21/20232-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
12/18/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/17/202313-8-161.36%+2100Detail
12/16/20231-4-125.00%-1700Detail
12/14/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/11/20234-0-0100.00%+2000Detail
12/10/20239-14-139.58%-3200Detail
12/07/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/04/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/03/202310-9-052.63%+50Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NFL BEST BETS !

12/30/2023.................................1 - 1.......................................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/28/2023.................................2 - 0..................................... 100.00%..................+ 10.00
12/25/2023..................................3 - 3.......................................50.00%...................- 1.50
12/24/2023..................................9 - 6.......................................60.00%...................+ 12.00
12/21/2023..................................2 - 0.....................................100.00%...................+ 10.00
12/18/2023...................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/17/2023...................................12 - 7...................................63.17%.....................+ 21.50
12/16/2023....................................1 - 4.....................................20.00%.....................- 17.00
12/14/2023....................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/11/2023....................................4 - 0...................................100.00%......................+ 20.00
12/10/2023................................... 6 - 13..................................31.57%.......................- 41.50
12/07/2023....................................0 - 2 -0 ..............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/04/2023....................................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/03/2023....................................7 - 7 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.50

TOTALS.......................................49 - 47 - 0..............................51.04%.......................- 9.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Pacers 140, Knicks 126- Haliburton had 22 points, 23 assists.
— Timberwolves 108, Lakers 106- Minnesota is 14-1 at home this season.
— Jazz 117, Heat 109- Olynyk had 19 points, 10 assists off the bench.
— Mavericks 132, Warriors 122- Doncic had 39 points, 10 assists.
— Red Sox traded P Chris Sale to Atlanta for 2B Vaughn Grissom.
— Reds signed P Frankie Montas for one year, $16M.

Quote of the Day
“People need to see what happened tonight, and they need to fix this. It needs to be fixed. It’s very unfortunate that they (Florida State) have a good football team and a good football program, and they’re in the position they’re in.”
Georgia coach Kirby Smart

Sunday’s quiz
Who played QB for the Cleveland Browns in their last playoff game?

Saturday’s quiz
Arizona State won the first three Fiesta Bowls (1971-73).

Friday’s quiz
Jan Stenerud was the first kicking specialist inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up the last Saturday of the year

Cowboys 20, Lions 19
Detroit scored TD with 0:23 left, went for two points but failed.
Lions in first half: 35 plays, 168 yards, 3 points.
Lions in second half: 34 plays, 232 yards, 16 points.
Under Campbell, Lions are 34-15-1 ATS overall.
Prescott threw a 92-yard TD pass on the Cowboys’ second series.
Dallas was 7-14 on third down, Detroit 4-13.
CeeDee Lamb caught 13 passes for 227 yards and a TD.
Cowboys only ran the ball 21 times for 60 yards.

— Cowboys inducted Jimmy Johnson into their Ring of Honor at halftime and ESPN showed the whole thing. Not really sure why, they never show other ceremonies.

— Ole Miss 38, Penn State 25
Ole Miss QB Dart threw for 379 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had 500+ yards of total offense.
Rebels outscored Penn State 11-0 in third quarter.

— Maryland 31, Auburn 13
Terrapins led 21-0 after the first quarter.
Maryland’s first three drives: 19 plays, 226 yards, 21 points.
Maryland won its third straight bowl game.

— Wyoming 16, Toledo 15
Wyoming kicked a 24-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Toledo led 15-6 after the third quarter.
Last game for Cowboys’ coach Bohl, retiring after 42 years as a coach.
Wyoming has won four of its last five bowl games.

— Georgia 63, Florida State 3
College football has a problem; they need concrete rules for who makes the playoff.
At least 12 Florida State players opted out of this game; who would watch it?

— Five of the ten college football leagues have finished their bowl games:
AAC- 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS
ACC- 5-6 SU, 4-7 ATS
MAC- 2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS
Mountain West- 3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS
Sun Belt- 5-7 SU, 4-7-1 ATS

— Word of the Day: Reckless- without thinking or caring about the consequences of an action.
Going for a 2-point conversion from the 8-yard line when a kicked PAT would tie the game is an example of reckless coaching.

— Marquette 72, Creighton 67
Bluejays led by 11 early in game.
Marquette won despite going 9-31 on the arc.

— Michigan State 87, Indiana State 75- This is the first time these teams met since 1979, when Magic Johnson/Larry Bird shared the spotlight. Sycamores led this game by 5 with 10:38 left to play, but got outscored 26-11 over the final 10:00.

— Oregon 64, UCLA 59
UCLA is 6-7; their 7-man rotation doesn’t have a senior in it.
Oregon is 10-3, 2-0 in Pac-12; they shot 10-25 on the arc.

— Cal-Northridge 84, Long Beach State 68
Matadors are 11-3, with this win and a win at UCLA.
Last winning season for Northridge was a 17-14 season in 2009.
Long Beach was minus-10 on boards; they shot 2-22 on the arc.

— South Alabama 61, Old Dominion 59
Old Dominion led 49-27 with 14:08 left in game.

— Florida Gulf Coast 72, Florida Atlantic 68
This loss won’t help FAU’s at-large chances in March.

— Pistons 129, Raptors 127
Pistons snap their 28-game losing streak.
Cade Cunningham scored 30 points, had 12 assists.

— Thought of the Day: Just before midnight tonight, stand up and raise your left leg; that way, you’ll be sure to start off 2024 on the right foot.
Happy New Year, everyone.
 

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U/dog....thank you for all you do....
you and your family have a great New Year....
may it be safe and profitable.........indy
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at CHI01:00 PMCHI -2.5
U 38.5
+500 +500
MIA at BAL01:00 PMBAL -3.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
SF at WAS01:00 PMWAS +14.0
U 49.0
+500 +500
NO at TB01:00 PMNO +2.5
O 42.0
+500 +500
CAR at JAC01:00 PMCAR +4.0
U 38.0
+500 +500
NE at BUF01:00 PMNE +14.5
O 39.5
+500 +500
LAR at NYG01:00 PMLAR -6.5
O 43.0
+500 +500
ARI at PHI01:00 PMARI +12.5
O 48.0
+500 +500
LV at IND01:00 PMLV +3.5
O 41.5
+500 +500
TEN at HOU01:00 PMTEN +5.5
O 44.0
+500 +500
PIT at SEA04:05 PMSEA -4.5
U 41.0
+500 +500
LAC at DEN04:25 PMDEN -3.5
U 37.5
+500 +500
CIN at KC04:25 PMCIN +7.0
O 46.0
+500 +500
GB at MIN08:20 PMGB +1.0
O 43.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/31/202314-12-053.85%+400Detail
12/30/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/28/20232-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
12/25/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
12/24/202311-8-157.50%+1100Detail
12/21/20232-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
12/18/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/17/202313-8-161.36%+2100Detail
12/16/20231-4-125.00%-1700Detail
12/14/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/11/20234-0-0100.00%+2000Detail
12/10/20239-14-139.58%-3200Detail
12/07/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/04/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/03/202310-9-052.63%+50Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NFL BEST BETS !

12/32/2023................................13 - 8......................................61.90%....................+ 21.00
12/30/2023.................................1 - 1.......................................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/28/2023.................................2 - 0..................................... 100.00%..................+ 10.00
12/25/2023..................................3 - 3.......................................50.00%...................- 1.50
12/24/2023..................................9 - 6.......................................60.00%...................+ 12.00
12/21/2023..................................2 - 0.....................................100.00%...................+ 10.00
12/18/2023...................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/17/2023...................................12 - 7...................................63.17%.....................+ 21.50
12/16/2023....................................1 - 4.....................................20.00%.....................- 17.00
12/14/2023....................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/11/2023....................................4 - 0...................................100.00%......................+ 20.00
12/10/2023................................... 6 - 13..................................31.57%.......................- 41.50
12/07/2023....................................0 - 2 -0 ..............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/04/2023....................................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/03/2023....................................7 - 7 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.50

TOTALS.......................................62 - 55 - 0..............................52.99%.......................-+ 11.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Stanford 100, Arizona 82- Cardinal made 16-25 shots on the arc.
— Utah 95, Washington 90- Huskies led 46-35 at halftime.
— Arizona State 71, Cal 69- Sun Devils were down 14 with 8:36 left.
— Oakland 88, Youngstown State 81- Grizzlies shot 13-25 on the arc.
— Milwaukee 91, Wright State 83- Panthers shot 16-30 on the arc.
— Fort Wayne 91, Detroit 56- Woeful Titans are 0-15, with #354 eFG%.

Quote of the Day
“We are never going to take for granted being able to get wins. There were things that we did to try to not win this game today, but our guys found a way. Sometimes you need these types of games. It seemed we were a little off, but they kept staying together.”
Sean McVay, coach of the playoff-bound Rams

Monday’s quiz
Which NFL team did Lane Kiffin used to coach?

Sunday’s quiz
Baker Mayfield played QB for the Cleveland Browns in their last playoff game, in 2020.

Saturday’s quiz
Arizona State won the first three Fiesta Bowls (1971-73).

****************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Saints 23, Buccaneers 13
Saints/Bucs are tied for first in NFC South, with 8-8 records.
New Orleans led 17-0 at halftime.
Saints were 8-18 on third down, Tampa Bay 2-8.
since 2018, New Orleans is 14-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Buccaneers in first half: 18 plays, 45 yards, no points.
Buccaneers in second half: 18 plays, 45 yards, no points.
Tampa Bay turned ball over four times on their 11 drives.
Bucs are 2-7 when they allow more than 18 points.

Cardinals 35, Eagles 31
Eagles’ loss clinches #1 seed in NFC for the 49ers.
Eagles took 14-3 lead on a 99-yard pick-6 by Brown.
Philadelphia led 21-6 at halftime.
Eagles are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five games.
Cardinals drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:32 left.
Arizona ran ball for 221 yards, threw it for 228 yards.
Cardinals outgained Philadelphia, 444-275.
Arizona in sec0nd half: 4 drives, 34 plays, 270 yards, 29 points.

Rams 26, Giants 25
Rams are 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS last seven games, scoring 31.3 ppg in last six.
Williams ran ball for 87 yards and three TD’s.
Rams converted only 2-8 third down plays.
Rams are 8-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
Giants had an 80-yard TD pass, 94-yard punt return for a TD.
Giants failed on 2-point play to take lead with 3:27 left.
Crosby missed 54-yard FG with 0:30 left.
Giants lost last three games, giving up 24-33-26 points.

Ravens 56, Dolphins 19
Ravens won five in row, nine of last ten games.
Baltimore scored 8 touchdowns on 11 drives.
Ravens ran 55 plays, only seven of them on third down.
Last nine games, Baltimore scored 32 TD’s on 92 drives.
Dolphins-Bills play next week for AFC East title.
Miami is 1-4 SU vs teams that have a winning record.
Baltimore averaged 14.4 yards/pass attempt.
Ravens scored a TD on five of first six drives.

Bills 27, Patriots 21
Patriots ran opening kick back 98 yards for a TD.
In first half, Patriots turned ball over four times on six drives.
Five of NE’s last six losses were by six or fewer points.
New England is minus-10 in turnovers this year (+38 from 2019-22).
Bills took 20-7 lead on 40-yard pick-6 by Douglas.
Buffalo visits Miami next week, playing for AFC East crown.
Bills are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six games.
Buffalo scored 28.0 ppg in six games since firing their OC.

Bears 37, Falcons 17
Chicago won/covered five of last seven games.
Bears’ first four drives: 30 plays, 214 yards, 21 points.
Last two games, Bears ran ball for 250-192 yards.
Chicago outgained the Falcons, 432-307.
Falcons threw four INT’s, missed two field goals.
Atlanta is 7-15-2 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Falcons are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Atlanta completed only 13 of their 33 passes (4.9 yards/attempt).

Colts 23, Raiders 20
WR Adams caught 13 passes for 126 yards and two TD’s.
Adams went over 1,000 receiving yards for fourth year in a row.
Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
With the loss, Las Vegas is eliminated from the playoff race.
Colts are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight games.
Colts are 0-7 giving up 29+ points, 9-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
Colts averaged 9.0 yards/pass attempt.
RB Taylor ran ball 21 times for 96 yards and a TD.

49ers 27, Commanders 10
SF is 7-1 since its bye week (5-3 ATS), scoring 31.6 ppg.
With Eagles’ loss, 49ers clinched #1 seed in NFC.
49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19 in losses.
SF is 6-2-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
49ers outscored Washington 14-0 in second half.
Washington lost seven in row, 12 of last 14 games (3-7 ATS last ten)
Last eight games, Commanders are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14).
Washington is 11-17 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.

Jaguars 26, Panthers 0
Of 16 AFC QB’s who started in Week 1, only five of them started this week.
Jaguars are in a 3-way tie atop AFC South, with one week left.
Carolina’s loss clinches #1 pick in 2024 Draft for the Bears.
Carolina was 2-7 ATS as a road underdog this year.
On its first series, Carolina was stopped on downs at Jaguars’ 31.
Panthers went 3/out on their next six drives.
Jaguars kicked FGs on 3 of first 4 drives, led 9-0 at halftime.
Carolina was outgained 317-124; they were 1-13 on third down.

Texans 26, Titans 3
Two teams combined to convert only 4 of 23 third down plays.
Houston outgained the Titans, 312-187.
Titans lost seven of their last nine games.
Tennessee is 1-10 this year when they score 17 or fewer points.
Texans took 17-0 lead on sack/fumble/TD in second quarter.
Last six games, Texans are +6 in turnovers (9-3).
Houston is 5-2 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Houston visits Indianapolis next week; they’re in 3-way tie atop AFC South.

Steelers 30, Seahawks 24
Steelers ran ball for 202 yards, averaged 10.6 yards/pass attempt.
Last two weeks, with Rudolph at QB, Pittsburgh scored 34-30 points.
Steelers are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog
QB Rudolph is now 7-4-1 as an NFL starter.
Steelers were 6-13 on third down, Seattle 3-9.
Loss eliminates Seattle from the playoff race.
Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 2-8 if they don’t.
Seahawks are 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games as a home favorite.

Broncos 16, Chargers 9
Chargers lost seven of their last eight games.
Chargers were 2-11 on 3rd down, Denver 7-17
Bolts are 1-6 ATS in last seven games as an underdog.
Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Charger games.
Denver swept the Chargers this year, 24-7/16-9.
Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
Eight of last eleven Bronco games stayed under the total.
QB Stidham was 20-32/224 passing in his first Denver start.

Chiefs 25, Bengals 17
Chiefs outscored Cincinnati 12-0 in second half.
KC only scored one TD; Butker kicked six field goals.
Under is 8-3-1 in Kansas City’s last dozen games.
Chiefs held 11 of last 13 foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
Bengals’ first three drives: 34 plays, 158 yards, 17 points.
Bengals rest of game: 38 plays, 124 yards, no points.
Cincinnati was 8-16 on third down, Chiefs 3-12.
Bengals are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 2-7 allowing more than 2o.

Packers
33, Vikings 10
Green Bay outgained the Vikings, 470-211.
Green Bay was 9-14 on third down, Minnesota 3-10
Last six games, Packers are +6 in turnovers (9-3)
Packers are 14-7 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog
Green Bay makes the playoffs if they beat Chicago next week.
Vikings lost five of their last six games (the win was 3-0).
Vikings are 4-8 ATS in last dozen NFC North home games.
Minnesota lost seven of last ten games against the Packers.
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Most career wins amongst active NFL coaches:
333— Bill Belichick
279— Andy Reid
180— Mike Tomlin
180— Pete Carroll
177— Mike McCarthy
171— John Harbaugh

Quote of the Day
“Good night…..and good news!!”
Ted Baxter, from The Mary Tyler Moore Show

Tuesday’s quiz
Who played QB for the Baltimore Ravens, the first time they won a Super Bowl?

Monday’s quiz
Lane Kiffin went 5-15 coaching the Oakland Raiders in 2007-08.

Sunday’s quiz
Baker Mayfield played QB for the Cleveland Browns in their last playoff game, in 2020.

*********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Michigan 27, Alabama 20 OT
Michigan drove 85 yards, scored TD with 1:34 left that forced overtime.
Total yardage: Michigan 351, Alabama 288
Teams combined to convert 5 of 24 third down plays.
This is only 2nd win for Michigan in their last six bowl games.
SEC went 4-2 against the Big 14 in bowl games this season.

Washington 37, Texas 31
Washington QB Penix was 29-38/430 passing, with two TD’s.
Game was 21-21 at half; Huskies outscored Texas 10-0 in 3rd quarter.
Texas had ball on the Washington 13-yard line when game ended.
Total yardage: Washington 532, Texas 498

— Second half of the Texas game started at 11:05 pm here in the East; doesn’t matter much to me, since I’m a night owl, but they have to lose lot of viewers in this part of the country.

Early betting line on the college football national title game:
Michigan opened as a 4.5-point favorite vs Washington.

LSU 35, Wisconsin 31
LSU drove 98 yards, scored game-winning TD with 3:08 left.
Badgers led 14-0 in first quarter.
Wisconsin was 6-15 on third down, LSU 3-9
Total yardage: 506-492, Wisconsin

Tennessee 35, Iowa 0
Iowa was 9-4; in their losses, they scored 0-10-0-0 points.
Iowa WON four games that they scored 15 or fewer points in.
Total yardage: Tennessee 383, Iowa 173
Vols’ freshman QB Iamaleava was 12-19/151 passing in his first college start.

Oregon 45, Liberty 6
Liberty led 6-3 after the first quarter.
Oregon led 31-6 after the second quarter.
Total yardage: 584-294, Oregon
Oregon QB Nix, in his 61st college start, was 28-35/363 passing, with 5 TD’s.

Elsewhere………
— Tampa Bay Rays’ SS Wander Franco was arrested in the Dominican Republic Monday, for his failure to appear at a summons last week; Franco is the subject of an ongoing investigation into his alleged inappropriate relationships with multiple minors.
In November of 2021, Franco signed an 11-year contract extension worth $182M with Tampa Bay; he got paid all of last season, even though he didn’t play after August 12.

Daily baseball trivia: Babe Ruth threw 29.2 consecutive scoreless innings for the Red Sox in 1918, an MLB record that stood until Whitey Ford broke it in 1961.

Word of the Day– Ubitquitous- things that seem or encountered everywhere, whether they actually are or not.
For example, smartphones are now a ubiquitous technology; almost everyone has one.

— If you like college basketball, Highly recommend getting ESPN+; they have tons of games on from all over the country. Nothing like watching Big West games on the tube at 2am.

— NFL announced their Week 18 schedule Sunday night:
Saturday doubleheader is:
Steelers @ Baltimore, then Texans @ Indianapolis.
Sunday night game is Buffalo at Miami, with the AFC East title on the line.

— Bill Cowher said on TV Sunday that if he was coaching the Ravens, Lamar Jackson wouldn’t play this week- the game means nothing to Baltimore, it means everything to Pittsburgh, No sense risking an injury to your star QB.
Reader named Conquistador sent me a good note: Sunday was Jackson’s second NFL game with a perfect passing rating; the first one was in 2019, also against Miami.

— In case you were wondering, AFC beat the NFC 46-34 head-to-head this season. Every game in Week 18 in a divisional game, so the only inter-conference game left is the Super Bowl.

— Rams changed kickers again Monday; they brought back Brett Maher, who was 17-23 on field goals for the Rams earlier this season.

— If you’re a Lions’ fan, you have to love coach Dan Campbell; he led Detroit to its first division title in 30 years this season, but jeez, some of his game management decisions are interesting.
Saturday night, after the sketchy penalty call negated a Lions’ 2-point conversion, Detroit had the ball on the 8-yard line. Instead of just kicking the PAT to go to overtime, Campbell went for two from the 8 and the Lions lost the game, 20-19. Why?
Did Campbell not want his players playing an overtime, and risk injury? The game wasn’t life-or-death for Detroit, but it could’ve helped their seeding and given them home field for the second round of the playoffs, if they get that far.

— USFL/XFL have merged into an 8-team league called the UFL; their season begins March 30. San Antonio Brahmas announced Monday that Wade Phillips is their coach.

— QB DJ Uiagalelei started his college career at Clemson, he started for two years there, then transferred to Oregon State this year, but after the Beavers’ coach bolted to Michigan State, Uiagalelei packed his bags and will play next season at Florida State.

— UNLV freshman QB Jayden Maiava hit the transfer portal, really bad news for a UNLV program that played in its first bowl game in 10 years this season.
Maiava threw for 3,085 yards with 17 TD’s; he also ran for 277 yards and three TD’s. Big loss for the Rebels, who went 9-5 this season.
 

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NFL

Week 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Houston @ Indianapolis
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 10 games

Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

NY Jets @ New England
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing New England
New England
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

Atlanta @ New Orleans
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

Chicago @ Green Bay
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

Kansas City @ LA Chargers
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Kansas City is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Chargers's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home

Denver @ Las Vegas
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

Philadelphia @ NY Giants
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Giants's last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

LA Rams @ San Francisco
LA Rams
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Buffalo @ Miami
Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NBA teams with the most triple-doubles (players/total):
— Lakers (28 players, 355 triple-doubles)
— Sacramento (30 players, 299 triple-doubles)
— Boston (27 players, 231 triple-doubles)
— Oklahoma City (23 players, 217 triple-doubles)
— Denver (18 players, 210 triple-doubles)
— Philadelphia (33 players, 197 triple-doubles)

Quote of the Day
“I am deeply passionate about this team and regret my behavior on Sunday. I should have let NFL stadium security handle any issues that arose. I respect the NFL’s code of conduct and accept the League’s discipline for my behavior.”
Carolina Panthers’ owner David Tepper, after he was fined $300,000 Tuesday

Wednesday’s quiz
Which Hall of Fame QB won a Super Bowl, when he was 6-7 passing for the whole game?

Tuesday’s quiz
Trent Dilfer played QB for the Baltimore Ravens the first time they won a Super Bowl, back in 2001.

Monday’s quiz
Lane Kiffin went 5-15 coaching the Oakland Raiders in 2007-08.

****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— College basketball refs travel a lot, and they bank a lot of $$$.
Ref named Keith Kimble worked a game five of the last six nights:
Dec 28- UCLA @ Oregon State
Dec 29- Arizona @ California
Dec 30- Ohio State vs West Virginia, in Cleveland
Dec 31- Washington State @ Colorado
Jan 2- Chicago State @ Kansas State
Lot of NBA players don’t like playing games on back/back nights, but refs who are twice their age work five games in six nights, in five different states.
Go figure.

— Colorado State 76, New Mexico 68
Two of the four best teams in the Mountain West met in the conference opener.
New Mexico star House was in foul trouble, only scored 14 points.
Colorado State was 18-21 on foul line, Lobos were 4-11.

— St John’s 86, Butler 70
Red Storm is off to a 10-4 start under Hall of Famer Rick Pitino.
St John’s has made the NCAA’s three times in the last 20 years (last time in 2019).
St John’s starts four seniors; they shot 59.6% inside the arc.

— Purdue 67, Maryland 53
Purdue is 13-1 against schedule #9, but they’re suspect until they win in March.
Boilermakers are shooting 38.9% on the arc (#14)
In last year’s NCAA’s loss to #16-seed FDU, Purdue was 5-26 on the arc.

— North Carolina 70, Pitt 57
This was first time in 70 years that UNC’s first true road game came in January.
Tar Heels have played a tough schedule (#18), but had five neutral court games.
Pitt was 5-29 on the arc; they’re 0-3 in the ACC, 0-5 vs top 100 teams.

— Wyoming 75, San Jose State 73
Visiting Spartans led by 17 in first half, 47-35 at halftime.
Wyoming was 23-25 on foul line, San Jose 9-12.
Wyoming is 8-0 giving up 73 or less points; they gave up 78+ points in all six losses.

— Bowling Green 92, Eastern Michigan 90 OT
EMU led by 14 points in first half.
Bowling Green star Hill was 13-17 on foul line; EMU’s whole team was 9-14.
Eastern Michigan only played seven guys, in an overtime game.

Daily baseball trivia: Zack Greinke was the last pitcher to bat in a World Series but not hit 9th in the batting order; he hit 8th in Game 4 of the 2021 World Series. Greinke went 1-2- he was taken out after the 4th inning.

Word of the Day– Precarious- dependent on chance circumstances, unknown conditions, or uncertain developments.
The fates of most NFL teams are precarious; there’s a fine line between winning/losing.

— Summit League/Big Sky Conference are having a basketball challenge this weekend; best game of the lot appears to be South Dakota State at Weber State. Good mid-major basketball, will be interesting to see which league comes out on top.

— When ESPN first started up 40+ years ago, one of the first leagues that let them show their games was the Sun Belt Conference. These days, the Sun Belt is still a decent league; they are the #17 league this year, partially because they have 14 teams now and the bottom teams have been dragging the league’s rating down some- they were the #14 league three of the last five years.
ESPN would be wise to set aside two hours a week to show a weekly Sun Belt game; their games are on ESPN+, but putting them on ESPNU would thank the league for helping ESPN get off their feet 40 years ago.

— Carolina Panthers owner David Tepper was fined $300,000 by the NFL after he threw a drink at Jaguar fans after the Panthers lost 26-0 in Jacksonville Sunday.
Tepper is the wealthiest owner in the NFL, worth over $16B; fining hm $300,000 is like fining me $3.

— 2024 NFL Draft has lot of interesting quarterbacks in it; one of the TV networks needs to get Jon Gruden out of retirement to do those pre-draft interviews he did with the QB prospects- he is he best at that kind of stuff.

— Hard to believe that in lot of states, high school basketball still doesn’t have a shot clock; five starts are adding the shot clock next season. Basketball without a shot clock is a totally different game, often a lot less fun to watch.

— They drew 47,313 fans in Seattle Monday for the outdoor hockey game between the Kraken and the Vegas Golden Knights. NHL has struck gold with its stadium series games.

— In the college football national title game Monday night, Michigan is favored by 4.5 points over Washington, with a total of 55.5.
 

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Messages
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 18

Saturday’s games
Steelers
(9-7) @ Ravens (13-3)
— Steelers scored 34-30 points in QB Rudolph’s (7-4-1 as starter) two starts.
— Steelers scored 13.4 ppg in last five games Rudolph didn’t start.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh converted 13-27 on third down.
— Steelers are 4-3 SU on road this year.
— since 2018, Pittsburgh is 4-10 ATS as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
— Steelers are 10-12-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Pittsburgh is 7-4 ATS in last 11 AFC North road games.
— Last week was only 5th time in 15 games Steelers led at halftime.
— Last four Steeler games went over the total.
— Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in AFC North divisional games this season.
— Team total: under 7-6-3. Opponents’ team total: over 9-7


— This game means nothing to Ravens; unsure who will/won’t play.
— Ravens won five in row, nine of last ten games.
— Last nine games, Baltimore scored 32 TD’s on 92 drives.
— Last six games, they ran ball for 166.7 yards/game.
— Last 13 games, Ravens outscored foes 227-86 in first half.
— Baltimore is 5-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— since 2018, Ravens are 6-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Ravens are 13-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 14-15 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +14 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 59-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 7-3 in Baltimore’s last ten games.
— Team total: over 11-5. Opponents’ team total: under 11-4-1


— Steelers (+4.5) upset Baltimore 17-10 at home in Week 5.
— Pittsburgh was +3 in turnovers in that game.
— Steelers won six of last seven series games.
— Pittsburgh won/covered five of last six visits to Baltimore.
— Last five meetings stayed under the total.


Texans (9-7) @ Colts (9-7)
— Houston split its last six games SU.
— Texans are 3-4 SU on road this season.
— Houston is 1-7-2 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
— Last six games, Texans are +6 in turnovers (9-3).
— Houston is 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
— Texans are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or loss points.
— Texas are 2-6 when they allow 20+ points.
— under is 4-3 in their road games this season.
— QB Stroud is 8-6 as an NFL starter.
— Texans are 7-1 ATS in last eight AFC South road games.
— Team total: under 8-7-1. Opponents’ team total: under 11-5


— Indianapolis is 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in last eight games.
— Favorites covered eight of their last nine games.
— Colts split their eight home games SU this season.
— Colts are 0-7 giving up 29+ points, 9-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 15-21 as an NFL starter, 7-5 TY.
— Colts are 13-14 ATS in last 27 games with spread of 3 or less.
— In its last eight games, Indy was +8 in turnovers (13-5)
— Last six games, Colts converted only 25-78 on third down.
— Over is 8-3 in Indy’s last eleven games.
— Colts are 18-19 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Colts are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Colts are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 AFC South home games.
— Team total: over 10-4-2. Opponents’ team total: over 9-7


— Winner of this game still needs help to make the playoffs.
— Colts (+1) won 31-20 in Houston back in Week 2.
— Indianapolis is 6-1-1 SU in last eight series games.
— Texans are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to the Hoosier Dome
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Stanford 59, UCLA 53- Bruins lost eight of last ten D-I games.
— Miami 95, Clemson 82- Miami outscored Tigers 60-41 in second half.
— Weber State 75, South Dakota State 73- Big Sky was 5-4 vs Summit last nite.
— Seton Hall 61, Providence 57- Friars shot 37% from floor, at home.
— Villanova 66, Xavier 65- Villanova is shooting 81.6% on foul line (#3)
— Fordham 119, George Washington 113, 3OT- GW had 4 kids play 51:00 each.

Quote of the Day
“I know their fans are going to be loud ’cause there’s not much to do in Green Bay except watch football…….”
Bears’ QB Justin Fields, who is 0-5 against the Packers in his career

Thursday’s quiz
Who kicked the longest field goal in NFL history?

Wednesday’s quiz
Dolphins’ QB Bob Griese won a Super Bowl against Minnesota, when he was 6-7 passing for the whole game, in a 24-3 Miami win. Miami ran ball 53 times for 196 yards, had only 73 passing yards.

Tuesday’s quiz
Trent Dilfer played QB for the Baltimore Ravens, the first time they won a Super Bowl, back in 2001.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: NHL trends……..

NHL trends (thru January 3rd)
I’ll try to post this once a week……..

Anaheim 13-23-1
— lost five of last six games overall.
— 6-14-1 at home, 7-9 on road.
— over 8-4 last 12 home games

Arizona 19-15-2
— won six of their last eight games
— 12-6 at home, 7-9-2 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games.

Boston 23-7-6
— won last four games, allowing seven goals
— 11-2-3 at home, 12-5-3 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven home games

Buffalo 15-19-4
— lost five of their last seven games.
— 8-9-1 at home, 7-10-3 on road.
— under 3-0 last three games

Calgary 16-16-5
— won five of their last seven games
— 9-7-1 at home, 7-9-4 on road.
— under 4-2 last six home games

Carolina 21-13-4
— won last four games, scoring 19 goals.
— 10-3-3 at home, 11-10-1 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten home games.

Chicago 11-24-2
— lost seven of their last ten games
— 7-9-1 at home, 4-15-1 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games

Colorado 24-11-3
— won four of last five games
— 16-4 at home, 8-7-3 on road.
— over 8-5 last thirteen games

Columbus 12-19-8
— lost five of their last six games
— 8-11-3 at home, 4-8-5 on road.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Dallas 22-10-4
— won four of their last six games
— 12-6-1 at home, 10-4-3 on road.
— over 21-8 last 29 games

Detroit 18-16-4
— lost 10 of their last 14 games
— 10-7-3 at home, 8-9-3 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games

Edmonton 19-15-1
— won their last six games.
— 10-6-1 at home, 9-9 on road.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games

Florida 23-12-2
— won six of their last eight games.
— 12-5 at home, 11-7-2 on road.
— under 9-1 last ten games

Los Angeles 20-9-5
— lost last three games, scoring four goals.
— 7-7-4 at home, 13-2-1 on road.
— under 20-5 last 25 games

Minnesota 16-16-4
— lost last three games, scoring five goals.
— 10-6-2 at home, 6-10-2 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten home games

Montreal 16-16-5
— haven’t played at home since December 16
— 1-3 in their last four games.
— 7-9-2 at home, 9-7-3 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games

Nashville 21-16-1
— 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— 12-9 at home, 9-7-1 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven home games

New Jersey 20-14-2
— won four of last five games
— 8-8-2 at home, 12-6 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games

NY Islanders 17-10-10
— lost six of last nine games.
— 10-4-6 at home, 7-6-4 on road.
— over 17-6 last 23 games

NY Rangers 25-10-1
— split their last six games
— 12-5 at home, 13-5-1 on road.
— 9-1 after a loss this season.
— over 6-1 last seven games

Ottawa 14-19
— lost eight of their last 11 games.
— 10-10 at home, 4-9 on road.
— over 5-1 last six road games.

Philadelphia 19-13-5
— lost five of their last six games.
— 8-7-1 at home, 11-6-4 on road.
— over 4-2 last six home games

Pittsburgh 18-14-4
— won seven of their last ten games
— 10-7-1 at home, 8-7-3 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games

St Louis 18-17-1
— 5-3 in their last eight games.
— 11-6 at home, 7-11-1 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games

San Jose 9-26-3
— lost their last nine games
— 6-10-2 at home, 3-16-1 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten road games

Seattle 15-14-9
— won last five games, outscoring foes 12-5.
— 8-8-3 at home, 7-6-6 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games

Tampa Bay 18-16-5
— lost three of last four games.
— 11-5-3 at home, 7-11-2 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games

Toronto 19-10-7
— 3-5 in their last eight games.
— 9-7-2 at home, 10-3-5 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games

Vancouver 24-10-3
— 8-3 in their last eleven games.
— 14-4-1 at home, 10-6-2 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games

Vegas 22-11-5
— lost their last five road games.
— 13-3-2 at home, 9-8-3 on road.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Washington 18-12-6
— lost five of last six games.
— 9-5-4 at home, 9-7-2 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.

Winnipeg 23-9-4
— 11-3 in their last 14 games.
— 13-5-2 at home, 10-4-2 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
 

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