SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR at ATL | 01:00 PM | CAR +3.5 U 40.0 | +500 +500 |
| TEN at NO | 01:00 PM | TEN +3.0 O 41.5 | +500 +500 |
| HOU at BAL | 01:00 PM | HOU +10.0 U 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| CIN at CLE | 01:00 PM | CLE +1.0 O 47.0 | +500 +500 |
| TB at MIN | 01:00 PM | TB +5.0 U 45.5 | +500 +500 |
| SF at PIT | 01:00 PM | PIT +2.5 O 41.5 | +500 +500 |
| JAC at IND | 01:00 PM | IND +4.5 O 46.5 | +500 +500 |
| ARI at WAS | 01:00 PM | WAS -7.0 U 38.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIA at LAC | 04:25 PM | LAC -3.0 U 51.5 | +500 +500 |
| PHI at NE | 04:25 PM | PHI -3.5 U 44.0 | +500 +500 |
| LV at DEN | 04:25 PM | DEN -3.5 U 43.5 | +500 +500 |
| GB at CHI | 04:25 PM | GB +1.0 U 41.0 | +500 +500 |
| LAR at SEA | 04:25 PM | SEA -5.5 U 45.5 | +500 +500 |
| DAL at NYG | 08:20 PM | DAL -3.0 U 44.5 | +500 +500 |
Thank youSEPT'S NFL BEST BETS"
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS....................................13 - 9...............................59.09%...........................+ 15.50
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS....................................13 - 9...............................59.09%...........................+ 15.50
Armadillo Sports
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Dolphins 36, Chargers 34
— Tagovailoa was 28-45/466 passing, with three TD’s.
— Tyreek Hill caught 11 passes for 215 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Over is 8-2 in Miami’s last ten road games.
— Last 4+ years, Dolphins are 14-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— In last 2 games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34 points, but lost both.
— Chargers ran for 234 yards, were 9-15 on third down…….but still lost.
— Miami drove 75 yards for game-winning TD with 1:45 left.
— Bolts are 6-13-7 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams 30, Seahawks 13
— Stafford was 24-38/334 yards; he was freakin’ awesome.
— Rams were 11-17 on third down, Seattle 2-9.
— total yardage in game: Rams 426, Seahawks 180.
— Under McVay, Rams are 6-1 SU/ATS in season openers.
— Seahawks’ 1st 3 drives: 30 plays, 160 yards, 13 points.
— Seahawks rest of game: 18 plays, 23 yards, no points.
— Last 2+ years, Seattle is 3-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 6+ years, Seahawks are 7-11-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
Buccaneers 20, Vikings 17
— McLaughlin made a 57-yard FG with 5:15 left for winning score.
— Minnesota outgained the Buccaneers 369-242.
— Buccaneers averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt (Minn 7.1)
— Under is 12-5 in Tampa Bay’s last 17 road games.
— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Jefferson caught nine passes for 150 yards, but no scores.
— Vikings ran the ball only 17 times for 41 yards.
— Last 3+ years, Minnesota is 7-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Ravens 25, Texans 9
— Baltimore led 7-6 at halftime.
— First two drives of 3rd quarter, Ravens drove 71-42 yards for TD’s.
— Texans are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road dog outside AFC South
— Under is 12-6 in Houston’s last 18 road games.
— Ravens were 8-15 on third down, Houston 7-18.
— Last eight years, Ravens are 7-1 ATS in Week 1
— Lamar Jackson is 47-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.
Browns 20, Bengals 3
— Cleveland outgained the Bengals 350-152.
— Cincinnati was 2-15 on 3rd down, had only six first downs.
— Cincinnati has now lost its last five road openers.
— Under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 road games.
— Browns won six of last seven games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last six visits to Cleveland.
— Browns ran ball for 206 yards.
— Watson is 33-30 as an NFL starter, 4-3 for Cleveland.
Saints 16, Titans 15
— Titans scored five times, but they were all field goals.
— Tennessee kicked FG with 2:20 left, but never got ball back.
— Hopkins caught 7 passes for 65 yards (13 targets)
— Tennessee has now lost its last eight games (2-5-1 ATS).
— Saints won their last five season openers.
— Only New Orleans TD came on a 33-yard drive, after an INT.
— Saints had four takeaways (+3) picking off three passes.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Falcons 24, Panthers 10
— Game was tied 10-10 after three quarters.
— Teams combined to throw ball for only 261 yards.
— Atlanta’s TD drives were short; 17-61-56 yards.
— Panthers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Since 2004, Atlanta is 16-4 ATS in home openers.
— Allgeier ran ball for 75 yards and two TD’s.
— Total yardage: Carolina 281, Atlanta 221.
— Under is 8-1 in Falcons’ last nine games.
Jaguars 31, Colts 21
— Jaguars scored two TD’s in 1:06 span of 4th quarter for comeback win.
— Jaguars were 3-12 on third down, Colts 2-12.
— Lawrence averaged 7.0 yards/pass attempt, Colts 5.0.
— Pederson is 57-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— This was 7th year in row Colts had a different #1 QB in Week 1
— Colts scored odd defensive TD to take 21-17 lead with 2:20 left in 3rd quarter.
— Indy is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a home underdog.
— Colts have lost 11 of their last 13 games SU
49ers 30, Steelers 7
— 49ers’ first four drives: two TD’s, two FG’s, 20 points.
— Steelers’ first five drives: 15 plays, minus-9 yards, 0 points.
— McCaffrey had a 65-yard TD run in third quarter.
— Since start of LY, 49ers are +17 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— 49ers ran ball 34 times for 188 yards; Steelers 10 times for 41 yards.
— Pitt QB Pickett was sacked five times.
— Total yardage: 49ers 391, Steelers 239
— Steelers are 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in last six home openers.
Commanders 20, Cardinals 16
— Cardinals’ only TD was scored by its defense with 0:55 left in half.
— Arizona kicked FG’s on two of its first three drives.
— After that, Redbirds gained total of 110 yards on 43 plays.
— Cardinals have lost 8 in row, 12 of last 14 games SU (5-6 ATS in last 10).
— Washington’s two TD drives were only 24-29 yards.
— Arizona led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Total yardage: Washington 248, Arizona 210.
— Under is 18-6 in Commanders’ last 24 home games.
Raiders 17, Broncos 16
— Raiders drove 60 yards for game-winning TD with 6:34 left.
— Las Vegas won last seven games in this rivalry.
— Last 4+ years, Raiders are 15-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Garoppolo is 41-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver started this game with an unsuccessful onside kick.
— Broncos missed PAT after first TD, which proved costly.
— Last 8+ years as a HC, Payton is 20-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Denver has lost 12 of its last 15 games SU.
Eagles 25, Patriots 20
— Eagles led this game 16-0 after the first quarter.
— Philly’s first TD was a pick-6 with 4:56 left in first quarter.
— Elliott kicked four FG’s, including ones from 56-48-51 yards.
— QB Hurts is 26-13 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots’ first 5 series: 17 plays, 43 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 punts.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Belichick was 249-75 in games with Brady as his QB.
— Belichick is 80-90 in games without Brady as his QB.
Packers 38, Bears 20
— Packers scored TD on three of first four drives in 3rd quarter.
— Green Bay scored on pick-6 that put them ahead 38-14.
— GB is 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last four years, Packers are 12-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Fields is now 5-21 SU as an NFL starting QB.
— Chicago is 1-9 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Green Bay won/covered last nine games in this rivalry.
— Packers were 9-16 on third down, Chicago 3-13.
Cowboys 40, Giants 0
— Cowboys’ first TD came on a blocked FG.
— Cowboys’ second TD came on a 22-yard pick-6.
— Dallas won five in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered six of last seven visits to Giants Stadium.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 18-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 5+ years, Big Blue is 5-11 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-20 ATS as a home underdog
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Dolphins 36, Chargers 34
— Tagovailoa was 28-45/466 passing, with three TD’s.
— Tyreek Hill caught 11 passes for 215 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Over is 8-2 in Miami’s last ten road games.
— Last 4+ years, Dolphins are 14-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— In last 2 games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34 points, but lost both.
— Chargers ran for 234 yards, were 9-15 on third down…….but still lost.
— Miami drove 75 yards for game-winning TD with 1:45 left.
— Bolts are 6-13-7 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams 30, Seahawks 13
— Stafford was 24-38/334 yards; he was freakin’ awesome.
— Rams were 11-17 on third down, Seattle 2-9.
— total yardage in game: Rams 426, Seahawks 180.
— Under McVay, Rams are 6-1 SU/ATS in season openers.
— Seahawks’ 1st 3 drives: 30 plays, 160 yards, 13 points.
— Seahawks rest of game: 18 plays, 23 yards, no points.
— Last 2+ years, Seattle is 3-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 6+ years, Seahawks are 7-11-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
Buccaneers 20, Vikings 17
— McLaughlin made a 57-yard FG with 5:15 left for winning score.
— Minnesota outgained the Buccaneers 369-242.
— Buccaneers averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt (Minn 7.1)
— Under is 12-5 in Tampa Bay’s last 17 road games.
— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Jefferson caught nine passes for 150 yards, but no scores.
— Vikings ran the ball only 17 times for 41 yards.
— Last 3+ years, Minnesota is 7-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Ravens 25, Texans 9
— Baltimore led 7-6 at halftime.
— First two drives of 3rd quarter, Ravens drove 71-42 yards for TD’s.
— Texans are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road dog outside AFC South
— Under is 12-6 in Houston’s last 18 road games.
— Ravens were 8-15 on third down, Houston 7-18.
— Last eight years, Ravens are 7-1 ATS in Week 1
— Lamar Jackson is 47-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.
Browns 20, Bengals 3
— Cleveland outgained the Bengals 350-152.
— Cincinnati was 2-15 on 3rd down, had only six first downs.
— Cincinnati has now lost its last five road openers.
— Under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 road games.
— Browns won six of last seven games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last six visits to Cleveland.
— Browns ran ball for 206 yards.
— Watson is 33-30 as an NFL starter, 4-3 for Cleveland.
Saints 16, Titans 15
— Titans scored five times, but they were all field goals.
— Tennessee kicked FG with 2:20 left, but never got ball back.
— Hopkins caught 7 passes for 65 yards (13 targets)
— Tennessee has now lost its last eight games (2-5-1 ATS).
— Saints won their last five season openers.
— Only New Orleans TD came on a 33-yard drive, after an INT.
— Saints had four takeaways (+3) picking off three passes.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Falcons 24, Panthers 10
— Game was tied 10-10 after three quarters.
— Teams combined to throw ball for only 261 yards.
— Atlanta’s TD drives were short; 17-61-56 yards.
— Panthers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Since 2004, Atlanta is 16-4 ATS in home openers.
— Allgeier ran ball for 75 yards and two TD’s.
— Total yardage: Carolina 281, Atlanta 221.
— Under is 8-1 in Falcons’ last nine games.
Jaguars 31, Colts 21
— Jaguars scored two TD’s in 1:06 span of 4th quarter for comeback win.
— Jaguars were 3-12 on third down, Colts 2-12.
— Lawrence averaged 7.0 yards/pass attempt, Colts 5.0.
— Pederson is 57-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— This was 7th year in row Colts had a different #1 QB in Week 1
— Colts scored odd defensive TD to take 21-17 lead with 2:20 left in 3rd quarter.
— Indy is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a home underdog.
— Colts have lost 11 of their last 13 games SU
49ers 30, Steelers 7
— 49ers’ first four drives: two TD’s, two FG’s, 20 points.
— Steelers’ first five drives: 15 plays, minus-9 yards, 0 points.
— McCaffrey had a 65-yard TD run in third quarter.
— Since start of LY, 49ers are +17 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— 49ers ran ball 34 times for 188 yards; Steelers 10 times for 41 yards.
— Pitt QB Pickett was sacked five times.
— Total yardage: 49ers 391, Steelers 239
— Steelers are 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in last six home openers.
Commanders 20, Cardinals 16
— Cardinals’ only TD was scored by its defense with 0:55 left in half.
— Arizona kicked FG’s on two of its first three drives.
— After that, Redbirds gained total of 110 yards on 43 plays.
— Cardinals have lost 8 in row, 12 of last 14 games SU (5-6 ATS in last 10).
— Washington’s two TD drives were only 24-29 yards.
— Arizona led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Total yardage: Washington 248, Arizona 210.
— Under is 18-6 in Commanders’ last 24 home games.
Raiders 17, Broncos 16
— Raiders drove 60 yards for game-winning TD with 6:34 left.
— Las Vegas won last seven games in this rivalry.
— Last 4+ years, Raiders are 15-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Garoppolo is 41-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver started this game with an unsuccessful onside kick.
— Broncos missed PAT after first TD, which proved costly.
— Last 8+ years as a HC, Payton is 20-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Denver has lost 12 of its last 15 games SU.
Eagles 25, Patriots 20
— Eagles led this game 16-0 after the first quarter.
— Philly’s first TD was a pick-6 with 4:56 left in first quarter.
— Elliott kicked four FG’s, including ones from 56-48-51 yards.
— QB Hurts is 26-13 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots’ first 5 series: 17 plays, 43 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 punts.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Belichick was 249-75 in games with Brady as his QB.
— Belichick is 80-90 in games without Brady as his QB.
Packers 38, Bears 20
— Packers scored TD on three of first four drives in 3rd quarter.
— Green Bay scored on pick-6 that put them ahead 38-14.
— GB is 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last four years, Packers are 12-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Fields is now 5-21 SU as an NFL starting QB.
— Chicago is 1-9 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Green Bay won/covered last nine games in this rivalry.
— Packers were 9-16 on third down, Chicago 3-13.
Cowboys 40, Giants 0
— Cowboys’ first TD came on a blocked FG.
— Cowboys’ second TD came on a 22-yard pick-6.
— Dallas won five in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered six of last seven visits to Giants Stadium.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 18-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 5+ years, Big Blue is 5-11 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-20 ATS as a home underdog
SEPT'S NFL BEST BETS!
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS....................................13 - 11............................54.16%............................+ 4.50
09/11/2023..............................0 - 2..............................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/10/2023............................12 - 8..............................60.00%...........................+ 16.00
09/07/2023..............................1 - 1..............................50.00%............................- 0.50
TOTALS....................................13 - 11............................54.16%............................+ 4.50
Armadillo Sports
— Jets 22, Bills 16
Aaron Rodgers tore his achilles on 4th play of game, is out for year.
Xavier Gipson returned a punt 65 yards for a TD in OT for walk-off win.
Jets ran ball for 172 yards, averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
Jets’ QBs now are Zach Wilson/former Packer Tim Boyle.
Buffalo led 13-3 at halftime.
Bills in 2nd half: 32 plays, 111 yards, 3 points, 3 turnovers
Diggs caught 10 passes for 102 yards and a TD.
Under is 6-2 in Buffalo’s last eight road openers.
— Since 2003, NFL QB’s taken first in the NFL Draft are 1-14 ATS in their first NFL start.
— Jets 22, Bills 16
Aaron Rodgers tore his achilles on 4th play of game, is out for year.
Xavier Gipson returned a punt 65 yards for a TD in OT for walk-off win.
Jets ran ball for 172 yards, averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
Jets’ QBs now are Zach Wilson/former Packer Tim Boyle.
Buffalo led 13-3 at halftime.
Bills in 2nd half: 32 plays, 111 yards, 3 points, 3 turnovers
Diggs caught 10 passes for 102 yards and a TD.
Under is 6-2 in Buffalo’s last eight road openers.
— Since 2003, NFL QB’s taken first in the NFL Draft are 1-14 ATS in their first NFL start.
WEEK 2
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after a win in the last 2 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 34-9 ATS (24.1 Units) against the AFC South since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-28 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games after a home win since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS are 28-13 ATS (13.7 Units) as a road fav. of <=3 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game in the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) after a win by 3 or less points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.
LA RAMS are 23-55 ATS (-37.5 Units) after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992.
DALLAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) off a division game in the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 29-14 ATS (13.6 Units) in home games off a loss vs. the division since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 96-64 ATS (25.6 Units) as a dog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after a win in the last 2 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 34-9 ATS (24.1 Units) against the AFC South since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-28 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games after a home win since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS are 28-13 ATS (13.7 Units) as a road fav. of <=3 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game in the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) after a win by 3 or less points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.
LA RAMS are 23-55 ATS (-37.5 Units) after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992.
DALLAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) off a division game in the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 29-14 ATS (13.6 Units) in home games off a loss vs. the division since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 96-64 ATS (25.6 Units) as a dog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.
NFL
Week 2
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Week 2
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 2
Thursday
Vikings (0-1) @ Eagles (1-0)
— Short week, fairly long travel for Vikings.
— Last six years, Vikings are 0-5-1 SU/0-6 ATS in road openers.
— Since 2016, Vikings are 12-18 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last week, Minnesota ran ball 17 times for only 41 yards.
— Vikings outgained Tampa 369-242 LW, but lost 20-17.
— Minnesota was in red zone three times LW, scored only 10 points.
— Cousins is 73-67-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Under is 13-6 in Minnesota’s last 19 road openers.
— Eagles scored defensive TD, held on late for 25-20 win in Foxboro LW.
— Philly was outgained 382-251; they went 3/out on 5 of 11 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 26-13 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles are 5-9 SU/4-10 ATS in last 14 home openers.
— Hurts is 26-13 as an NFL starter.
— Under Sirianni, over is 12-5 in Eagle home games.
— Eagles lost both coordinators to HC jobs after last season.
— Minnesota won four of last six series games.
— Home side won five of last six meetings.
— Vikings lost three of last four visits here, losing by 17-24-11 points.
Sunday
Chargers (0-1) @ Titans (0-1)
— Last two games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34 points, lost both games.
— Dolphins passed for 466 yards against Chargers last week.
— Bolts ran for 234 yards LW, were 9-15 on 3rd down, still lost.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 3-4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bolts are 8-16-7 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Herbert is 25-26 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers are 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 road openers.
— Bolts’ last four road openers stayed under the total.
— Titans scored five times last week, but they were all FG’s in 16-15 loss.
— Tennessee lost its last eight games (2-5-1 ATS) going back to LY.
— Titans were 2-12 on 3rd down, turned ball over four times (minus-3) LW
— Titans are 3-8 SU/2-9 ATS in their last 11 home openers.
— Tannehill is 80-69 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— LW, Titans averaged only 4.9 yards/pass attempt, completing 16-34 throws.
— Last two years, under is 12-4-1 in Tennessee home games.
— Last 2+ years, Titans are 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Chargers won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Four of last five meetings were decided by 3 or less points.
— Bolts are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Tennessee.
Packers (1-0) @ Falcons (1-0)
— Packers won 38-20 LW; they were perfect (21 points/3 trips) in red zone.
— Green Bay was 9-16 on 3rd down last week, Chicago 3-13.
— Packers had 15-yard edge in starting field position LW.
— GB is 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Packers are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Green Bay is 19-14-1 ATS in its last 34 road games.
— Jordan Love is 1-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last two years, Packers were 1-6-1 ATS on artificial turd.
— Falcons beat Carolina LW, despite being outgained 281-221.
— Atlanta was 2-10 on third down, but was perfect (21 points/3 trips) in red zone.
— Falcons had 11-yard edge in field position last week.
— Under Smith, Atlanta is 8-4-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 5-7-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Ridder is 3-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.
— Home side won last six series games.
— Packers lost 34-23/33-32 in last two visits to Atlanta (last one, 2017)
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
Colts (0-1) @ Texans (0-1)
— Indy had only 65 rushing yards LW, scored 7 points on three red zone drives
— Colts were 2-12 on 3rd down, 1-5 on 4th down last week.
— Colts lost 11 of their last 13 games SU.
— Colts were 2-6-1 SU on road last year.
— Last two years, Indy is 1-5 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Colts are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Rookie QB Richardson is 0-1 as an NFL starter; this is his first road start.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Last week, Indy gave up two TD’s in 1:06 span in 4th quarter of 31-21 loss.
— Texans kicked 3 FG’s, didn’t score TD in LW’s 25-9 loss at Baltimore.
— Houston outgained Ravens 268-265, but lost field position by 12 yards.
— Texans were 7-18 on 3rd down LW; Ravens were 8-15
— Houston is 3-5 ATS in its last eight home openers.
— Texans are 16-23-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.
— Houston is 10-6-2 ATS in last 18 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Stroud is 0-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last four years. Houston is 5-7 ATS in AFC South home games.
— Texans have their fourth head coach the last four years.
— Indianapolis is 5-1-1 SU in last meetings.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
— Colts are 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 visits to Houston.
Seahawks (0-1) @ Lions (1-0)
— Seahawks were outgained 290-12 in 2nd half of LW’s 30-13 home loss.
— Seattle ran for only 85 yards on 18 carries, were 2-9 on third down.
— Last three years, Seahawks are 5-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Geno Smith is 22-30 as an NFL starter, 10-12 with Seattle.
— Last 10+ years, Seattle is 32-23-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 4-13-1 ATS in last 18 road openers (3-1 last four).
— LW, Seahawks’ first 3 drives went FG-TD-FG; they didn’t score on last 5 drives.
— Seattle is 16-20 last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Detroit outgained Chiefs 368-316 LW, posted 21-20 upset in Arrowhead.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 24-10-1 ATS, 4-1 as home favorite.
— Detroit is 8-5 ATS in last 13 home openers.
— Last year, Lions were 7-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Detroit held Chiefs to 5.8 yards/pass attempt in LW’s win.
— Over is 21-10-1 in Detroit’s last 32 home games.
— Goff is 57-48-1 as an NFL starter, 13-18-1 with the Lions.
— Over is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six home openers.
— Seattle won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— Seahawks (+3.5) won 48-45 here last year.
— Seattle won three of last four visits to the Motor City.
Bears (0-1) @ Buccaneers (1-0)
— Bears are 9-26 SU/12-21-2 ATS the last 2+ years.
— Chicago was 3-13 on 3rd down, averaged 4.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two years, Chicago is 5-10-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Fields is 5-21 SU as an NFL starter.
— Bears are 13-10-2 in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago is 2-6 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Under is 17-6 in their last 23 road openers.
— Bears are 13-22-3 ATS in last 38 games coming off a loss.
— Tampa Bay held Vikings to 41 YR in last week’s 20-17 upset win.
— Bucs were outgained 369-242, averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Since 2014, Bucs are 14-25-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 3 years, TB was 5-4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Buccaneers are 15-17-3 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
— Bucs are 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in last four home openers.
— Last four years, over is 17-13 in Tampa Bay home games.
— Mayfield is 33-39 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Home side won last five series games.
— Bears lost last three visits here, by a combined 105-20.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Raiders (1-0) @ Bills (0-1)
— LW, Raiders held Denver to 260 TY in 17-16 road win.
— Las Vegas survived scoring only 17 points on four red zone drives.
— Garoppolo is 41-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last 4+ years, Raiders are 15-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Las Vegas was 12-11 ATS coming off a win.
— Under is 12-6 in their last 18 road games.
— Las Vegas is 4-13 ATS in last 17 games on artificial turf.
— LW, Raiders held Denver to 119 yards and 3 second half points.
— Short week for Buffalo after losing to Rodgers-less Jets Monday.
— Bills gave up punt return TD in OT, lost opener 22-16 at Jets.
— Bills are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Last two years, under is 9-7 in Buffalo home games.
— Josh Allen is 56-29 as an NFL starter.
— Buffalo is 7-4 ATS in last 11 home openers.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.
— Last four years, Bills are 11-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— Bills won four of last six series games.
— Raiders lost last three visits to Buffalo, by 20-1-3 points.
— Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Chiefs (0-1) @ Jaguars (1-0)
— Chiefs were outgained 368-316 in LW’s 21-20 home loss to Detroit.
— Chiefs’ WR’s had rough night, with TE Kelce out (check status for this)
— KC is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Chiefs are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite.
— Kansas City is 7-3 ATS in last ten road openers.
— Chiefs haven’t been 0-2 since 2014.
— Mahomes is 75-20 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 12-5 in Chiefs’ last 17 road games.
— Jaguars scored 2 TD’s in 1:06 of 4th quarter in LW’s 31-21 win.
— Jags were perfect in red zone (21 points/three drives) LW.
— Jacksonville gave up a defensive TD, was only 3-12 on third down.
— Jaguars are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Jaguars were 4-0 ATS LY as a home dog (8-12 from 2019-21).
— Jacksonville is 3-2 SU/ATS in last five home openers.
— Lawrence is 13-22 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Last two years, under was 13-3 in their home games.
— Pederson is 57-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Chiefs beat Jacksonville 27-20 in LY’s playoffs.
— KC won last seven series games (5-2 ATS).
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Ravens (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)
— Ravens held Houston without TD in LW’s 25-9 win.
— Texans outgained Baltimore 268-265; Ravens converted 8-15 on 3rd down.
— Ravens had 13 penalties for 106 yards last week.
— Last six years, Ravens are 13-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two years, Ravens are 7-11 ATS coming off a win.
— Lamar Jackson is 47-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Ravens are 5-2 SU/ATS in last seven road openers.
— Over is 10-5-1 in Baltimore’s last 16 openers.
— Unclear how healthy QB Burrow (calf) is; he didn’t play well LW.
— Bengals lost 24-3 LW; they were outgained, 350-152
— Cincy averaged 2.0 yards/pass attempt, went 3/out on 7 of 13 drives.
— Cincinnati is 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC North home games.
— Bengals are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Cincinnati lost five of its last seven home openers.
— Bengals are 14-6 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Over os 9-6-1 in their last sixteen home games.
— Bengals beat Baltimore 24-17 in LY’s playoffs.
— Bengals won four of last five series games.
— Ravens are 5-7 ATS in last 12 visits to Cincinnati.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
49ers (1-0) @ Rams (1-0)
— San Francisco ran for 188 yards in LW’s 30-7 win at Pittsburgh.
— 49ers outgained Steelers 391-239, were +3 in turnovers.
— SF had a 10-yard edge in starting field position last week.
— 49ers are 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC West road games.
— Last 3+ years, SF is 10-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— 49ers are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +17 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 8-1 as NFL starter.
— Rams outgained Seattle 426-180 in 30-13 road win LW.
— WR’s Nacua/Atwell both had 119 receiving yards at Seattle.
— Rams were 11-17 on third down LW; Seahawks were 2-9.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Stafford is 94-104-1 as an NFL starter, 20-11 with the Rams.
— Under McVay, Rams are 9-9 ATS in NFC West home games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS in home openers.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
— 49ers won eight of last nine series games.
— Rams’ one win was in NFC title game two years ago.
— 49ers covered last five road series games.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Giants (0-1) @ Cardinals (0-1)
— Giants lost 40-0 at home to Dallas last week.
— Cowboys’ first two TD’s were a blocked FG/pick-6.
— Giants were outgained 265-171 in rain; this game is in a dome.
— Giants are road favorite for first time since Week 12 in 2020.
— Since 2017, Big Blue is 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Giants were 6-0 ATS LY in game coming off a loss.
— Daniel Jones is 22-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
— Arizona lost 20-16 LW; their only TD was scored by their defense.
— Washington’s two TD’s were on short drives of 24-29 yards.
— Cardinals have lost 8 in row, 12 of last 14 games SU (5-6 ATS in last 11).
— Last three years, Cardinals are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— QB Dobbs is 0-3 as an NFL starter; he was 21-32/132 passing LW.
— Arizona is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
— Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven home openers.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
— Cardinals won/covered last four series games.
— Last meeting was 2020; last Giant series win was in 2011.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Giants are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Arizona.
Jets (1-0) @ Cowboys (1-0)
— Short week, long travel, new QB starting this week for Jets.
— Rodgers got hurt on 4th play LW; Jets won 22-16 in OT.
— Jets were outgained 314-289; they ran punt back for TD in OT.
— QB Zach Wilson is 8-14 as an NFL starter.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Jets are 4-11 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-7 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Jets are 7-3 ATS in last 10 road openers.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
— Dallas won 40-0 LW; first two TD’s were blocked FG/pick-6.
— Four trips to red zone, Cowboys scored 3 TD’s, kicked FG.
— Total yardage LW was 265-171; Dallas was 6-12 on 3rd down.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 18-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Dallas is 4-2 ATS in last six home openers.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
— QB Prescott is 64-40 as an NFL starter.
— Cowboys’ offense scored 3 TD’s LW, on drives of 33-50-75 yards.
— Jets won last three meetings, by 3-3-2 points.
— Jets split last two visits to Dallas.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
Commanders (1-0) @ Broncos (0-1)
— Washington won 20-16 LW; they didn’t allow an offensive TD.
— Washington had only one play of 20+ yards LW.
— Since 2018, Washington is 18-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Commanders are 7-10 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC teams.
— Under is 11-3 in Washington’s last 14 games.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 2-0 as NFL starter; this is his first road start.
— Washington lost last three road openers, by 15-22-9 points.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road openers.
— Denver lost 17-16 at home LW; they missed an extra point.
— Total yardage was 261-260; Broncos led 13-10 at halftime.
— Broncos had only two plays of 20+ yards last week.
— Denver lost 12 of its last 15 games SU.
— Since 2017, Broncos are 7-16-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 8+ years as a coach, Payton is 20-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Broncos’ home games.
— Russell Wilson is 117-72-1 as an NFL starter.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Commanders lost last three visits here, by 7-24-2 points.
Dolphins (1-0) @ Patriots (0-1)
— Miami won 36-34 LW, throwing ball for 466 yards.
— Miami had nine plays of 20+ yards, most in the NFL.
— Dolphins gave up 234 YR; Chargers were 9-15 on third down.
— Over is 8-2 in Miami’s last ten road games.
— Miami is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— since 2017, Dolphins are 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Miami is 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC East road games.
— Tagovailoa is 22-13 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots (+3.5) lost 25-20 at home LW; they trailed 16-0 in 1st quarter.
— Eagles scored defensive TD; their only TD drive was 26 yards.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-26 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Mac Jones is 16-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Patriots brought Bill O’Brien back to be Jones’ new QB guru.
— Patriots are 5-7 ATS in last 12 AFC East home games
— Under is 23-17-2 in New England’s last 42 home games.
— Home side won five of last six series games.
— Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Foxboro.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Saints (1-0) @ Panthers (0-1)
— Saints beat Titans 16-15 LW, holding Tennessee without a TD.
— New Orleans forced 4 turnovers (+3) but ran for only 69 yards.
— Saints’ only TD drive last week was 33 yards.
— Since 2016, Saints are 19-10 ATS as a road favorite
— NO is 19-11-1 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two years, under is 10-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Saints are 3-9 SU/2-10 ATS in last 12 road openers.
— QB Carr is 64-80 as an NFL starter.
— Saints are 23-12 ATS in last 35 games on natural grass.
— Carolina lost 24-10 LW in Atlanta; they outgained Falcons, 281-221.
— Atlanta had 11-yard edge in field position.
— Carolina was 5-1 ATS as a home dog LY (2-8-1 from 2019-21)
— Panthers were 5-14 on third down LW; Falcons were 2-10.
— Carolina is 2-4 ATS in last six home openers.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Panthers were 3-0 ATS in NFC South home games (1-8 from 2019-21).
— Last 3 years, dogs are 19-2 ATS in Carolina games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Rookie QB’s were 0-3 SU/ATS last week.
— Saints lost last three series games, scoring 14-7-7 points.
— Underdogs are 5-2 ATS in last seven meetings.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
Monday
Browns (1-0) @ Steelers (0-1)
— Browns won 24-3 LW, outgaining Bengals 350-152.
— Browns ran ball for 206 yards, but had only two plays of 20+ yards.
— Last ten years, Cleveland is 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 20 years, Browns have never been 2-0.
— Cleveland is 3-9 ATS in last 12 AFC North road games.
— Browns are 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
— Watson is 33-30 as an NFL starter, 4-3 for Cleveland.
— Steelers lost 30-7 LW; they ran ball for only 41 yards.
— Steelers were outgained 391-239; they went 3/out on 6 of 11 drives.
— Pittsburgh is 15-16 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Pitt is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Under is 11-5-1 in Steelers’ last 17 home games.
— Since 2019, Steelers are 8-4 ATS in AFC North home games.
— 2nd-year QB Pickett is 7-6 as an NFL starter.
— Steelers won four of last five series games.
— Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in last six visits here.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 2
Thursday
Vikings (0-1) @ Eagles (1-0)
— Short week, fairly long travel for Vikings.
— Last six years, Vikings are 0-5-1 SU/0-6 ATS in road openers.
— Since 2016, Vikings are 12-18 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last week, Minnesota ran ball 17 times for only 41 yards.
— Vikings outgained Tampa 369-242 LW, but lost 20-17.
— Minnesota was in red zone three times LW, scored only 10 points.
— Cousins is 73-67-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Under is 13-6 in Minnesota’s last 19 road openers.
— Eagles scored defensive TD, held on late for 25-20 win in Foxboro LW.
— Philly was outgained 382-251; they went 3/out on 5 of 11 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 26-13 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles are 5-9 SU/4-10 ATS in last 14 home openers.
— Hurts is 26-13 as an NFL starter.
— Under Sirianni, over is 12-5 in Eagle home games.
— Eagles lost both coordinators to HC jobs after last season.
— Minnesota won four of last six series games.
— Home side won five of last six meetings.
— Vikings lost three of last four visits here, losing by 17-24-11 points.
Sunday
Chargers (0-1) @ Titans (0-1)
— Last two games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34 points, lost both games.
— Dolphins passed for 466 yards against Chargers last week.
— Bolts ran for 234 yards LW, were 9-15 on 3rd down, still lost.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 3-4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bolts are 8-16-7 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Herbert is 25-26 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers are 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 road openers.
— Bolts’ last four road openers stayed under the total.
— Titans scored five times last week, but they were all FG’s in 16-15 loss.
— Tennessee lost its last eight games (2-5-1 ATS) going back to LY.
— Titans were 2-12 on 3rd down, turned ball over four times (minus-3) LW
— Titans are 3-8 SU/2-9 ATS in their last 11 home openers.
— Tannehill is 80-69 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— LW, Titans averaged only 4.9 yards/pass attempt, completing 16-34 throws.
— Last two years, under is 12-4-1 in Tennessee home games.
— Last 2+ years, Titans are 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Chargers won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Four of last five meetings were decided by 3 or less points.
— Bolts are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Tennessee.
Packers (1-0) @ Falcons (1-0)
— Packers won 38-20 LW; they were perfect (21 points/3 trips) in red zone.
— Green Bay was 9-16 on 3rd down last week, Chicago 3-13.
— Packers had 15-yard edge in starting field position LW.
— GB is 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Packers are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Green Bay is 19-14-1 ATS in its last 34 road games.
— Jordan Love is 1-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last two years, Packers were 1-6-1 ATS on artificial turd.
— Falcons beat Carolina LW, despite being outgained 281-221.
— Atlanta was 2-10 on third down, but was perfect (21 points/3 trips) in red zone.
— Falcons had 11-yard edge in field position last week.
— Under Smith, Atlanta is 8-4-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 5-7-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Ridder is 3-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.
— Home side won last six series games.
— Packers lost 34-23/33-32 in last two visits to Atlanta (last one, 2017)
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
Colts (0-1) @ Texans (0-1)
— Indy had only 65 rushing yards LW, scored 7 points on three red zone drives
— Colts were 2-12 on 3rd down, 1-5 on 4th down last week.
— Colts lost 11 of their last 13 games SU.
— Colts were 2-6-1 SU on road last year.
— Last two years, Indy is 1-5 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Colts are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Rookie QB Richardson is 0-1 as an NFL starter; this is his first road start.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Last week, Indy gave up two TD’s in 1:06 span in 4th quarter of 31-21 loss.
— Texans kicked 3 FG’s, didn’t score TD in LW’s 25-9 loss at Baltimore.
— Houston outgained Ravens 268-265, but lost field position by 12 yards.
— Texans were 7-18 on 3rd down LW; Ravens were 8-15
— Houston is 3-5 ATS in its last eight home openers.
— Texans are 16-23-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a loss.
— Houston is 10-6-2 ATS in last 18 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Stroud is 0-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last four years. Houston is 5-7 ATS in AFC South home games.
— Texans have their fourth head coach the last four years.
— Indianapolis is 5-1-1 SU in last meetings.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
— Colts are 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 visits to Houston.
Seahawks (0-1) @ Lions (1-0)
— Seahawks were outgained 290-12 in 2nd half of LW’s 30-13 home loss.
— Seattle ran for only 85 yards on 18 carries, were 2-9 on third down.
— Last three years, Seahawks are 5-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Geno Smith is 22-30 as an NFL starter, 10-12 with Seattle.
— Last 10+ years, Seattle is 32-23-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 4-13-1 ATS in last 18 road openers (3-1 last four).
— LW, Seahawks’ first 3 drives went FG-TD-FG; they didn’t score on last 5 drives.
— Seattle is 16-20 last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Detroit outgained Chiefs 368-316 LW, posted 21-20 upset in Arrowhead.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 24-10-1 ATS, 4-1 as home favorite.
— Detroit is 8-5 ATS in last 13 home openers.
— Last year, Lions were 7-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Detroit held Chiefs to 5.8 yards/pass attempt in LW’s win.
— Over is 21-10-1 in Detroit’s last 32 home games.
— Goff is 57-48-1 as an NFL starter, 13-18-1 with the Lions.
— Over is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six home openers.
— Seattle won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— Seahawks (+3.5) won 48-45 here last year.
— Seattle won three of last four visits to the Motor City.
Bears (0-1) @ Buccaneers (1-0)
— Bears are 9-26 SU/12-21-2 ATS the last 2+ years.
— Chicago was 3-13 on 3rd down, averaged 4.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two years, Chicago is 5-10-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Fields is 5-21 SU as an NFL starter.
— Bears are 13-10-2 in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago is 2-6 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Under is 17-6 in their last 23 road openers.
— Bears are 13-22-3 ATS in last 38 games coming off a loss.
— Tampa Bay held Vikings to 41 YR in last week’s 20-17 upset win.
— Bucs were outgained 369-242, averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Since 2014, Bucs are 14-25-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 3 years, TB was 5-4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Buccaneers are 15-17-3 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
— Bucs are 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in last four home openers.
— Last four years, over is 17-13 in Tampa Bay home games.
— Mayfield is 33-39 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Home side won last five series games.
— Bears lost last three visits here, by a combined 105-20.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Raiders (1-0) @ Bills (0-1)
— LW, Raiders held Denver to 260 TY in 17-16 road win.
— Las Vegas survived scoring only 17 points on four red zone drives.
— Garoppolo is 41-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last 4+ years, Raiders are 15-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Las Vegas was 12-11 ATS coming off a win.
— Under is 12-6 in their last 18 road games.
— Las Vegas is 4-13 ATS in last 17 games on artificial turf.
— LW, Raiders held Denver to 119 yards and 3 second half points.
— Short week for Buffalo after losing to Rodgers-less Jets Monday.
— Bills gave up punt return TD in OT, lost opener 22-16 at Jets.
— Bills are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Last two years, under is 9-7 in Buffalo home games.
— Josh Allen is 56-29 as an NFL starter.
— Buffalo is 7-4 ATS in last 11 home openers.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.
— Last four years, Bills are 11-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— Bills won four of last six series games.
— Raiders lost last three visits to Buffalo, by 20-1-3 points.
— Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Chiefs (0-1) @ Jaguars (1-0)
— Chiefs were outgained 368-316 in LW’s 21-20 home loss to Detroit.
— Chiefs’ WR’s had rough night, with TE Kelce out (check status for this)
— KC is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Chiefs are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite.
— Kansas City is 7-3 ATS in last ten road openers.
— Chiefs haven’t been 0-2 since 2014.
— Mahomes is 75-20 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 12-5 in Chiefs’ last 17 road games.
— Jaguars scored 2 TD’s in 1:06 of 4th quarter in LW’s 31-21 win.
— Jags were perfect in red zone (21 points/three drives) LW.
— Jacksonville gave up a defensive TD, was only 3-12 on third down.
— Jaguars are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Jaguars were 4-0 ATS LY as a home dog (8-12 from 2019-21).
— Jacksonville is 3-2 SU/ATS in last five home openers.
— Lawrence is 13-22 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Last two years, under was 13-3 in their home games.
— Pederson is 57-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Chiefs beat Jacksonville 27-20 in LY’s playoffs.
— KC won last seven series games (5-2 ATS).
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Ravens (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)
— Ravens held Houston without TD in LW’s 25-9 win.
— Texans outgained Baltimore 268-265; Ravens converted 8-15 on 3rd down.
— Ravens had 13 penalties for 106 yards last week.
— Last six years, Ravens are 13-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two years, Ravens are 7-11 ATS coming off a win.
— Lamar Jackson is 47-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Ravens are 5-2 SU/ATS in last seven road openers.
— Over is 10-5-1 in Baltimore’s last 16 openers.
— Unclear how healthy QB Burrow (calf) is; he didn’t play well LW.
— Bengals lost 24-3 LW; they were outgained, 350-152
— Cincy averaged 2.0 yards/pass attempt, went 3/out on 7 of 13 drives.
— Cincinnati is 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC North home games.
— Bengals are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Cincinnati lost five of its last seven home openers.
— Bengals are 14-6 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Over os 9-6-1 in their last sixteen home games.
— Bengals beat Baltimore 24-17 in LY’s playoffs.
— Bengals won four of last five series games.
— Ravens are 5-7 ATS in last 12 visits to Cincinnati.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
49ers (1-0) @ Rams (1-0)
— San Francisco ran for 188 yards in LW’s 30-7 win at Pittsburgh.
— 49ers outgained Steelers 391-239, were +3 in turnovers.
— SF had a 10-yard edge in starting field position last week.
— 49ers are 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC West road games.
— Last 3+ years, SF is 10-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— 49ers are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +17 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 8-1 as NFL starter.
— Rams outgained Seattle 426-180 in 30-13 road win LW.
— WR’s Nacua/Atwell both had 119 receiving yards at Seattle.
— Rams were 11-17 on third down LW; Seahawks were 2-9.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Stafford is 94-104-1 as an NFL starter, 20-11 with the Rams.
— Under McVay, Rams are 9-9 ATS in NFC West home games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS in home openers.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
— 49ers won eight of last nine series games.
— Rams’ one win was in NFC title game two years ago.
— 49ers covered last five road series games.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Giants (0-1) @ Cardinals (0-1)
— Giants lost 40-0 at home to Dallas last week.
— Cowboys’ first two TD’s were a blocked FG/pick-6.
— Giants were outgained 265-171 in rain; this game is in a dome.
— Giants are road favorite for first time since Week 12 in 2020.
— Since 2017, Big Blue is 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Giants were 6-0 ATS LY in game coming off a loss.
— Daniel Jones is 22-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
— Arizona lost 20-16 LW; their only TD was scored by their defense.
— Washington’s two TD’s were on short drives of 24-29 yards.
— Cardinals have lost 8 in row, 12 of last 14 games SU (5-6 ATS in last 11).
— Last three years, Cardinals are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— QB Dobbs is 0-3 as an NFL starter; he was 21-32/132 passing LW.
— Arizona is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
— Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven home openers.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
— Cardinals won/covered last four series games.
— Last meeting was 2020; last Giant series win was in 2011.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Giants are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Arizona.
Jets (1-0) @ Cowboys (1-0)
— Short week, long travel, new QB starting this week for Jets.
— Rodgers got hurt on 4th play LW; Jets won 22-16 in OT.
— Jets were outgained 314-289; they ran punt back for TD in OT.
— QB Zach Wilson is 8-14 as an NFL starter.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Jets are 4-11 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-7 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Jets are 7-3 ATS in last 10 road openers.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
— Dallas won 40-0 LW; first two TD’s were blocked FG/pick-6.
— Four trips to red zone, Cowboys scored 3 TD’s, kicked FG.
— Total yardage LW was 265-171; Dallas was 6-12 on 3rd down.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 18-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Dallas is 4-2 ATS in last six home openers.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
— QB Prescott is 64-40 as an NFL starter.
— Cowboys’ offense scored 3 TD’s LW, on drives of 33-50-75 yards.
— Jets won last three meetings, by 3-3-2 points.
— Jets split last two visits to Dallas.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
Commanders (1-0) @ Broncos (0-1)
— Washington won 20-16 LW; they didn’t allow an offensive TD.
— Washington had only one play of 20+ yards LW.
— Since 2018, Washington is 18-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Commanders are 7-10 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC teams.
— Under is 11-3 in Washington’s last 14 games.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 2-0 as NFL starter; this is his first road start.
— Washington lost last three road openers, by 15-22-9 points.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road openers.
— Denver lost 17-16 at home LW; they missed an extra point.
— Total yardage was 261-260; Broncos led 13-10 at halftime.
— Broncos had only two plays of 20+ yards last week.
— Denver lost 12 of its last 15 games SU.
— Since 2017, Broncos are 7-16-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 8+ years as a coach, Payton is 20-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Broncos’ home games.
— Russell Wilson is 117-72-1 as an NFL starter.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Commanders lost last three visits here, by 7-24-2 points.
Dolphins (1-0) @ Patriots (0-1)
— Miami won 36-34 LW, throwing ball for 466 yards.
— Miami had nine plays of 20+ yards, most in the NFL.
— Dolphins gave up 234 YR; Chargers were 9-15 on third down.
— Over is 8-2 in Miami’s last ten road games.
— Miami is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— since 2017, Dolphins are 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Miami is 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC East road games.
— Tagovailoa is 22-13 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots (+3.5) lost 25-20 at home LW; they trailed 16-0 in 1st quarter.
— Eagles scored defensive TD; their only TD drive was 26 yards.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-26 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Mac Jones is 16-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Patriots brought Bill O’Brien back to be Jones’ new QB guru.
— Patriots are 5-7 ATS in last 12 AFC East home games
— Under is 23-17-2 in New England’s last 42 home games.
— Home side won five of last six series games.
— Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Foxboro.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Saints (1-0) @ Panthers (0-1)
— Saints beat Titans 16-15 LW, holding Tennessee without a TD.
— New Orleans forced 4 turnovers (+3) but ran for only 69 yards.
— Saints’ only TD drive last week was 33 yards.
— Since 2016, Saints are 19-10 ATS as a road favorite
— NO is 19-11-1 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two years, under is 10-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Saints are 3-9 SU/2-10 ATS in last 12 road openers.
— QB Carr is 64-80 as an NFL starter.
— Saints are 23-12 ATS in last 35 games on natural grass.
— Carolina lost 24-10 LW in Atlanta; they outgained Falcons, 281-221.
— Atlanta had 11-yard edge in field position.
— Carolina was 5-1 ATS as a home dog LY (2-8-1 from 2019-21)
— Panthers were 5-14 on third down LW; Falcons were 2-10.
— Carolina is 2-4 ATS in last six home openers.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Panthers were 3-0 ATS in NFC South home games (1-8 from 2019-21).
— Last 3 years, dogs are 19-2 ATS in Carolina games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Rookie QB’s were 0-3 SU/ATS last week.
— Saints lost last three series games, scoring 14-7-7 points.
— Underdogs are 5-2 ATS in last seven meetings.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
Monday
Browns (1-0) @ Steelers (0-1)
— Browns won 24-3 LW, outgaining Bengals 350-152.
— Browns ran ball for 206 yards, but had only two plays of 20+ yards.
— Last ten years, Cleveland is 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 20 years, Browns have never been 2-0.
— Cleveland is 3-9 ATS in last 12 AFC North road games.
— Browns are 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
— Watson is 33-30 as an NFL starter, 4-3 for Cleveland.
— Steelers lost 30-7 LW; they ran ball for only 41 yards.
— Steelers were outgained 391-239; they went 3/out on 6 of 11 drives.
— Pittsburgh is 15-16 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Pitt is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Under is 11-5-1 in Steelers’ last 17 home games.
— Since 2019, Steelers are 8-4 ATS in AFC North home games.
— 2nd-year QB Pickett is 7-6 as an NFL starter.
— Steelers won four of last five series games.
— Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in last six visits here.
