NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Friday’s games
Southern Miss (1-9) @ Louisiana Tech (3-7)
— Only Southern Miss win was over a I-AA team.
— Eagles have five losses by 24+ points.
— Southern Miss is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Southern Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Eagles have 47 returning starts on offensive line.
— Southern Miss appears to be using three QB’s.
— Last five games, Eagles were held under 260 yards.
— Five of last six USM games stayed under the total.
— Tech lost five of its last six games.
— Bulldogs have three losses by 3 or fewer points.
— Last two games, Tech gave up 477-548 yards.
— La Tech has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 63 returning starts on offensive line.
— Tech’s QB has thrown 13 TD’s, 9 INTs, completed 60.4% of passes.
— Bulldogs are 5-4 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
— Three of last four Tech games went over the total.
— Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six series games.
— La Tech won last two series games, 31-30/45-30
— Eagles are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Ruston.
Memphis (5-5) @ Houston (9-1)
— Memphis lost five of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.
— Tigers have four losses by 6 or fewer points.
— Last two Memphis games were decided by total of 4 points.
— Last four years, Tigers are 0-6-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Memphis has 104 returning starts on offensive line.
— Memphis has a freshman QB with ten starts.
— Under is 3-0-1 in last four Memphis games.
— Houston won its last nine I-A games, after an opening loss.
— Last six games, Cougars scored 41.8 ppg.
— Cougars have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Houston has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started 27 games.
— Houston has six wins by 18+ points.
— In his career, Holgorsen is 20-26 ATS as a home favorite.
— Six of last eight Houston games went over.
— Underdogs are 6-2 in last eight series games.
— Memphis won last five meetings, scoring 43.4 ppg.
— Tigers are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Houston.
Arizona (1-9) @ Washington State (5-5)
— Arizona has lost 21 of its last 22 games.
— Wildcats’ last three losses are by 5-7-9 points.
— Last seven games, Arizona is minus-12 in turnovers.
— Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Arizona has 81 returning starts on offensive line.
— Arizona’s freshman QB is 104-187/1058 passing (3 TD’s/7 INTs).
— Wildcats are 7-18 ATS last 25 games as road underdogs (2-1 TY).
— Under is 4-2 in last six Arizona games.
— Wazzu won four of last six games, after a 1-3 start.
— Coogs scored 31+ points in four of last five games.
— Wazzu allowed 200+ YR in four of their five losses.
— Coogs have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Wazzu has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a soph QB with 17 career starts.
— Wazzu is 16-12-1 ATS last 29 games as a home favorite.
— Over is 3-1 in Coogs’ last four games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Wazzu won three of last four meetings, scoring 55 ppg.
— Average total in last five meetings, 90.2, but Leach was coaching Washington State back then.
Air Force (7-3) @ Nevada (7-3)
— Air Force lost two of last three games, after a 6-1 start.
— Falcons are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Air Force is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Air Force has only 3 returning starts on offensive line.
— Falcons have junior QB this year, with 18 starts.
— Air Force is 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 road games.
— Four of last five Air Force games stayed under the total.
— Nevada split its last four games, after a 5-1 start.
— Nevada’s last two games were decided by total of 5 points.
— Last six games, Wolf Pack threw for 402.5 yards/game.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 29 career starts.
— Under Norvell, Wolf Pack is 17-9 ATS at home (2-2 TY).
— Over is 5-3 in last eight Nevada games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Air Force won three of last five meetings.
— Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in last five series games.
San Diego State (9-1) @ UNLV (2-8)
— San Diego State’s last four wins were all by 7 or less points.
— Aztecs were held to 240 or less yards in three of last five games.
— Aztecs scored 19.8 ppg last five games (33.6 ppg in first five).
— San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
— San Diego State has a junior QB with 12 starts.
— Under Hoke, Aztecs are 8-5-1 ATS as road favorites.
— Under is 5-1 in Aztecs’ last six games.
— UNLV won its last two games, ending an 0-14 skid.
— Four of Rebels’ last five losses were by 8 or less points.
— Rebels held last two foes (New Mexico/Hawai’i) under 300 TY.
— UNLV has 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Rebels have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNLV’s freshman QB is completing 63.4% of passes (6 TD, 10 INT)
— Under Arroyo, Rebels are 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— Over is 3-1 in last four UNLV games.
— San Diego State won six of last seven meetings.
— Aztecs are 5-2 ATS in last seven trips to Las Vegas.
Louisiana Tech has gone OVER the point total in 10 of its last 14 games.
Louisiana Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 games.
Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games.
Houston has gone
OVER the point total in five of its last seven games.
Houston has covered the spread in four of its last six games.
Memphis has failed to cover the spread in four straight road games.
Memphis has gone
UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 14 games.
Washington State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
Washington State has won 15 of its last 22 home games.
Arizona has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
Arizona has gone
UNDER the point total in four of its last six games.
Nevada has covered the spread in nine of its last 11 home games.
Nevada has gone
OVER the point total in six of its last nine games.
Air Force has gone
UNDER the point total in seven of its last 10 games.
Air Force has covered the spread in five of its last six road games.
San Diego State has covered the spread in 13 of its last 19 games when facing UNLV.
San Diego State has gone
UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
UNLV has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight home games.