CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

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St. Bonaventure has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 10 games when playing as the favorite.
St. Bonaventure has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 games.
VCU has covered the spread in 10 of its last 14 games.
VCU has covered the spread in six straight games.


Illinois has covered the spread in five of its last eight home games.
Illinois has gone OVER the point total in 10 of its last 15 games.
Illinois has won the second half in nine straight games when playing at night.
Illinois has won three straight games when facing Michigan.
 

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FRIDAY, JANUARY 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MAN at IONA 07:00 PM
IONA -15.0
+500

SIE at MRST 07:00 PM
U 130.0
+500

AKR at KENT 08:00 PM
U 132.5
+500

DAV at RICH 09:00 PM
RICH -1.5
+500

FRES at UNLV 11:00 PM
FRES -1.5
+500
 

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JANUARY'S NCAA BASKETBALL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/14/2022.......3-2-0.........60.00%..........+4.00
01/13/2022....14-19-1........42.42%...........-34.50
01/12/2022....22-25-0.........46.80%..........-27.50
01/10/2022.......8-9-0..........47.06%............-9.50
01/09/2022.......5-7-2..........42.86%..........-13.50
01/08/2022....47-57-0..........45.19%..........-78.50
01/07/2022........9-9-1.........50.00%...........- 4.50
01/06/2022.....22-17-0.........56.41%.........+16.50
01/05/2022.....12-14-1.........46.30%..........-17.00
01/04/2022.....17-32-0..........34.69%..........-91.00
01/03/2022.........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+ 8.50
01/02/2022.......11-3-1..........76.67%.........+38.50

TOTALS........175-197-1.........47.04%..........-208.50

BEST BETS:

01/14/2022............3-2-0............60.00%..........+4.00
01/13/2022...........12-10-1..........54.54%.........+5.00
01/12/2022..........12-13-0...........48.00%.........-11.50
01/10/2021..........4-4-0.............50.00%...........-2.00
01/09/2022............5-4-1.............55.55%..........+3.00
01/08/2022.........28-23-0............54.90%.........+13.50
01/07/2022.............5-5-1............50.00%...........- 2.50
01/06/2022...........12-9-0............57.14%..........+10.50
01/05/2022.......... 9-11-0............45.00%...........-15.50
01/04/2022...........3-11-0............21.42%...........-45.50
01/03/2022.............3-3-0.............50.00%..........- 1.50
01/02/2022.............5-1-0.............83.33%.........+19.50

TOTALS..............101-92-0.............52.33%..........-26.00


01/14/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

Top six teams in 2-point FG%:
63.6%— Gonzaga
61%— Oklahoma
60.7%— Belmont
58.7%— Wake Forest
58.3%— Arizona
58.2%— San Francisco

Quote of the Day
“You’re either humbled and hungry like they were trying to pull off the so-called upset, or you’re arrogant without cause because we’ve won nothing.”
UCLA basketball coach Mick Cronin, after Thursday’s loss to Oregon

Saturday’s quiz
Michigan Wolverines were in the Final Four four years ago; who was their coach?

Friday’s quiz
TJ Yates was the Houston Texans’ QB first time they played a playoff game, a 31-10 win over Cincinnati ten years ago.

Thursday’s quiz
First time Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Hank Stram was their coach; he later coached in New Orleans, after he left the Chiefs.

********************************

Saturday’s Den: Trends for college basketball conference games…….

Following stats are for conference games only:
(thru Thursday’s games)

Pac-12
— Double digit home favorites are 1-6 ATS
— Single digit home favorites are 6-2 ATS
— Home underdogs are 4-1 ATS

Big 14:
— Home favorites of less than 12 points: 14-6 ATS
— Home favorites of 12+ points: 0-4 ATS

SEC home favorites are 11-6 ATS

Summit League:
— Single digit home favorites are 3-6 ATS
— Double digit home favorites are 4-1 ATS
— Home dogs of 6 or less points are 1-5 ATS
— Home dogs of 7+ points are 5-0 ATS

Big Sky
— Home favorites 6-10 ATS
— Home underdogs are 2-5 ATS

AAC home favorites are 5-11 ATS.

Southern Conference:
— Home favorites are 9-4 ATS
— Home underdogs are 4-2 ATS

C-USA home favorites are 12-6 ATS

ACC home favorites are 9-20 ATS.

MAAC:
— Home favorites are 3-8 ATS
— Home underdogs are 5-3 ATS

A-14 home favorites are 5-9 ATS, home dogs are 0-2.

Big X single digit home favorites are 6-3 ATS

Big East:
— Home underdogs are 4-9 ATS
— Home favorites are 6-5 ATS

Big West home teams are 6-4 ATS.

CAA:
— Home underdogs are 5-1 ATS
— Home favorites are 3-4 ATS

Horizon home favorites are 10-14 ATS

Ivy League home teams are 5-3 ATS

MAC:
— Home favorites are 7-5 ATS
— Home underdogs are 5-4 ATS

Missouri Valley
— Home favorites are 5-7 ATS
— Home underdogs are 4-1 ATS

Mountain West home teams are 6-4 ATS

Sun Belt home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-5 ATS

WCC favorites are 8-2 ATS
 

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NCAAB

Saturday, January 15


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Trend Report
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 15

Seton Hall @ Marquette

— Seton Hall (11-4, 2-3) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #25
— Continuity: #199
— Seton Hall lost three of its last five games.
— Pirates’ four losses are by 3-5-6-4 points.
— Seton Hall is 4-3 against top 100 teams.
— Pirates have road wins at Michigan, Butler.
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #56

— Marquette (11-6, 3-3) ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #31
— Experience: #351
— Continuity: #337
— Marquette won last three games, scoring 89 ppg.
— Big East opponents are shooting only 43.4% inside arc.
— Marquette is 4-6 against top 100 teams.
— Eagles are #274 team in country on defensive boards.
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #62

— Big East road teams are 8-6 ATS, in games with spread of 5 or less.
— Seton Hall won last six series games.
— Pirates won last two visits to Marquette, 88-79/70-63

Creighton @ Xavier
— Creighton (10-4, 2-1) ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #308
— Continuity: #338
— Creighton hasn’t played in 10 days, since 75-41 loss at Villanova.
— Bluejays had beaten Villanova by 20 in first meeting.
— Creighton split its last six games.
— Bluejays are turning ball over 20.9% of time (#293)
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #283

— Xavier (12-3, 2-2) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #76
— Xavier lost two of last three games, after an 11-1 start.
— Musketeers are 5-3 against top 100 teams.
— Xavier is #30 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#33)
— Xavier’s schedule to this point: #43
— bench minutes: #157

— Big East home favorites of 7+ points are 1-3 ATS.
— Creighton won three of last four series games.
— Bluejays lost three of last four games in Cintas Center.

Texas Tech @ Kansas State
— Texas Tech (13-3, 3-1) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #50
— Continuity: #302
— Texas Tech won five of its last six games.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#17)
— Texas Tech is 4-3 against top 100 teams.
— Red Raiders are shooting 56.3% inside arc (#17)
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #235
— bench minutes: #43

— Kansas State (8-7, 0-4) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #214
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #142
— Kansas State already has 3 Big X losses by 3 or less points.
— Wildcats are shooting 41.2% inside arc in Big X games.
— Kansas State lost seven of its eight top 100 games.
— Wildcats’ best win: 65-59 at #86 Wichita State.
— Kansas State’s schedule, to this point: #124
— bench minutes: #149

— Big X home underdogs are 3-3 ATS.
— Texas Tech won nine of last 11 series games.
— Tech won three of last four visits to K-State.

Tennessee @ Kentucky
— Tennessee (11-4, 2-2) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #198
— Tennessee lost its two SEC road games, by 5-12 points.
— Vols lost four of six games away from Knoxville.
— Vols are 3-4 against top 100 teams.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#6)
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #46

— Kentucky (13-3, 3-1) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #307
— Kentucky won six of its last seven games.
— Wildcats are grabbing 40.7% of its misses (#2)
— Kentucky split its six games vs top 100 teams.
— Wildcats are 0-3 in games decided by less than 10 points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #265
— bench minutes: #214

— SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-2 ATS.
— Tennessee won six of last nine series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

West Virginia @ Kansas
— West Virginia (13-2, 2-1) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #202
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #185
— West Virginia won ten of its last eleven games.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 25.6% of time (#9)
— West Virginia is #322 team on defensive boards.
— WVU lost by 15 at Texas, won 65-59 at UAB.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #100
— bench minutes: #150

— Kansas (13-2, 2-1) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #74
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #75
— Kansas won nine of its last ten games.
— Jayhawks are shooting 57.3% inside arc (#10)
— Kansas won six of its eight top 100 games.
— Jayhawks are grabbing 34.5% of its misses (#26)
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #168

— Big X double digit home favorites are 0-3 ATS.
— Kansas won nine of last 11 series games.
— West Virginia lost its last nine visits to Lawrence.

NC State @ Duke
— NC State (9-8, 2-4) ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #214
— NC State lost six of its last eight games.
— Wolfpack is 3-7 against top 100 teams.
— NC State won last two road games (Va Tech/Louisville)
— ACC opponents have made 40.4% of their 3’s.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #88
— bench minutes: #277

— Duke (13-2, 3-1) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #242
— Duke won six of its last seven games.
— Blue Devils won four of their six top 100 games.
— Duke is shooting 55.3% inside arc (#28).
— Blue Devils’ two losses are by 2-5 points.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #178
— bench minutes: #307

— ACC double digit home favorites are 1-5 ATS.
— Duke won six of last nine series games.
— Wolfpack lost 10 of last 11 visits to Durham.
 

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Arkansas @ LSU
— Arkansas (11-5, 1-3) ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #276
— Arkansas lost five of its last seven games.
— Razorbacks are 2-4 against top 100 teams.
— Arkansas is shooting 29.7% on the arc (#314)
— Razorbacks are #8 team in country on defensive boards.
— Arkansas schedule, to this point: #193
— bench minutes: #232

— LSU (15-1, 3-1) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #69
— Experience: #319
— Continuity: #306
— LSU won last three games, giving up 61.7 ppg.
— Tigers’ only loss: 70-55 at Auburn.
— LSU is forcing turnovers 25.8% of time (#7)
— Tigers have eight top 100 wins.
— LSU’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #206

— SEC home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-4 ATS.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Arkansas lost three of last four visits to Baton Rouge.

Texas @ Iowa State
— Texas (13-3, 3-1) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #17
— Continuity: #269
— Texas won seven of its last eight games.
— Longhorns’ three Big X wins are by 15-13-14 points.
— Texas is forcing turnovers 26.7% of time (#3)
— Longhorns are 4-3 against top 100 teams.
— Texas schedule, to this point: #298
— bench minutes: #137

— Iowa State (13-3, 1-3) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #241
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #339
— Iowa State lost three of its first four Big X games.
— Cyclones are 5-3 against top 100 teams.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 26% of time (#5)
— Cyclones are forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#277)
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #112
— bench minutes: #215

— Big X home teams are 4-1 ATS, if spread is 5 or less points.
— Texas won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last four series games played here.

Florida State @ Syracuse
— Florida State (9-5, 3-2) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #236
— Continuity: #248
— Florida State won four of its last five games.
— Seminoles lost four of their six top 100 games.
— Florida State is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#23)
— Seminoles are 4-2 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Florida State’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #90

— Syracuse (8-8, 2-3) ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #271
— Syracuse lost five of its last eight games.
— Orange is 2-4 in games decided by 4 or less points.
— Syracuse is #316 in country on defensive boards.
— Orange is shooting 37.7% on arc (#25)
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #355

— ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-10 ATS.
— Florida State won last three meetings, by 11-18-3 points.
— Seminoles lost three of last four visits to the Carrier Dome.

Gonzaga @ Santa Clara
— Gonzaga (13-2, 2-0) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #229
— Gonzaga scored 117-110 points in first two WCC games.
— Zags won their last six games.
— In its two losses, Gonzaga gave up 84-91 points.
— Zags are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #223
— bench minutes: #203

— Santa Clara (11-5, 1-0) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #177
— Santa Clara won last four games, scoring 80.5 ppg.
— Broncos lost three of their five top 100 games.
— Santa Clara is shooting 54.8% inside the arc (#38)
— Broncos are shooting 38.3% on the arc (#16)
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #197
— bench minutes: #333

— WCC double digit favorites are 4-1 ATS.
— Gonzaga has beaten Santa Clara 21 times in a row.
— Zags won nine in a row here, last four by 15+ points.

Oklahoma @ TCU
— Oklahoma (12-4, 2-2) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #273
— Oklahoma lost its two Big X road games, by 10-14 points.
— Sooners are 5-3 against top 100 teams.
— Oklahoma is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#55)
— Sooners are shooting 61% inside arc (#2)
— Oklahoma’s schedule, to this point: #85
— bench minutes: #257

— TCU (11-2, 1-1) ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #309
— TCU won eight of its last nine games.
— Horned Frogs split their four top 100 games.
— TCU’s best win: 68-64 over #59 Texas A&M.
— Horned Frogs are grabbing 40.7% of their misses (#3)
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #248
— bench minutes: #55

— Big X home teams are 4-1 ATS, if spread is 5 or less points.
— Oklahoma won last eight series games.
— Sooners won last four visits here, by 1-9-2-4 points.

Murray State @ Belmont
— Murray State (13-2, 3-0) ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #146
— Murray State is 3-0 in OVC, winning by 25-5-23 points.
— Racers have top 100 wins over Chattanooga, Memphis.
— Murray State was held to 58-58 points in its losses.
— Racers are grabbing 35.9% of their misses (#16)
— Murray State’s schedule, to this point: #241
— bench minutes: #284

— Belmont (13-3, 3-0) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #90
— Experience: #156
— Continuity: #14
— Belmont is 3-0 in OVC, winning by 40-26-15 points.
— Bruins scored 91.7 ppg in those three games.
— Belmont is 4-3 against top 100 teams.
— Bruins are shooting 60.7% inside arc (#3)
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #149
— bench minutes: #220

— OVC single digit favorites are 3-2 ATS.
— Belmont won last four series games.
— Racers lost their last six visits to Belmont.

Oregon State @ UCLA
— Oregon State (3-12, 1-4) ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #130
— Oregon State lost 12 of last 14 games.
— Beavers are 0-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Oregon State is #315 team on defensive boards.
— Beavers led by 10 with 16:49 left at USC, was outscored 40-20 rest of way.
— Oregon State’s schedule, to this point: #41
— bench minutes: #19

— UCLA (10-2, 2-1) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #128
— Continuity: #25
— UCLA won five of its last six games.
— Bruins lost at home to Oregon Thursday.
— UCLA is shooting 37.1% on arc (#35)
— Bruins are #15 team in country on defensive boards.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #69
— bench minutes: #212

— Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 1-6 ATS
— Home side won seven of last eight series games.
— Beavers lost last four visits here, by 18-7-1-5 points.
 

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Xavier has covered the spread in 10 of its last 15 games.
Creighton has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 14 games.
Creighton has covered the spread in four of its last six games when playing as the underdog.


Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Tennessee is 3-5-1 ATS in the past nine games on the road.
Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Kentucky is 3-1 ATS in the past four home games.
The UNDER is 8-2 in the past 10 games for Tennessee.
The UNDER is 8-3 in the past 11 road games for Tennessee.
The OVER is 3-1 in the past four home games for Kentucky.
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in the past six meetings vs. Kentucky.
Tennessee is 3-0 SU/ATS in the past three trips to Kentucky.
The road team is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight meetings.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four meetings at Kentucky.


West Virginia has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 10 games when facing Kansas.
West Virginia has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 12 road games.
Kansas has failed to cover the spread in two straight games.


Texas is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Iowa State is 9-4 ATS in the past 13 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-2 in the past nine games for Texas.
The OVER is 10-5 in the past 15 road games for Texas.
The UNDER is 10-5 in the past 15 games overall for Iowa State.
Texas is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five meetings.
 

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SATURDAY, JANUARY 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TTU at KSU 12:00 PM
KSU +4.5
+500

CREI at XAV 12:00 PM
XAV -9.5
U 143.0

+500 +500

HALL at MARQ 12:00 PM
HALL -1.5
+500

NW at MSU 12:00 PM
U 143.5
+500

DAY at DUQ 12:30 PM
O 135.0
+500

VMI at CIT 01:00 PM
VMI +1.0
U 160.0

+500 +500

OAK at PFW 01:00 PM
OAK -6.0
+500

UVM at UMBC 01:00 PM
UMBC +8.5
+500

DEL at HOF 02:00 PM
U 148.0
+500

COR at YALE 02:00 PM
O 154.0
+500

HARV at CLMB 02:00 PM
CLMB +9.5
O 146.5
+500 +500

FDU at SH 02:00 PM
U 145.5
+500

CCSU at LIU 02:00 PM
O 145.5
+500

MORE at TNST 02:00 PM
O 136.0
+500

APP at CCU 02:00 PM
APP +4.5
+500

NCST at DUKE 02:00 PM
O 149.0
+500

SMU at TULN 02:00 PM
TULN +3.5
O 145.5
+500 +500

******************************
 

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PLAYS THAT WASN'T POSTED EARLIER BUT WILL BE POSTED AS PICKS AS MONTIORED BY COVERS !

SFPA at MW
U 128.0
+500

TNTC at UTM
U 146.5
+500

DEN at SDST
O 157.0
+500

FSU at SYR
O 149.5
+500

FUR at CHAT
FUR +3.5
O 142.5

+500 +500

TAM at MIZZ
U 138.5
+500

JMU at CWM
O 145.0
+500

GONZ at SCU
O 162.5
+500

OKLA at TCU
O 136.0
+500

UNT at WKU
WKU -2.0
+500

KENN at STET
STET -1.5
O 132.5
+500 +500

TXSO at ALCN
O 132.0
+500

MEM at ECU
U 151.0
+500

NJIT at ALBY
ALBY -2.5
O 126.5

+500 +500

URI at MASS
MASS +2.5
+500

EMU at NIU
O 139.5
+500

IW at AMCC
IW +13.5
O 139.5
+500 +500

TOL at BGSU 05:00 PM
TOL -3.0
O 158.5

+500 +500

MURR at BEL 05:00 PM
U 149.5
+500

GASO at USA 05:00 PM
USA -8.5
+500

NICH at UNO 05:00 PM
NICH -4.0
O 154.0

+500 +500

ULL at TXST 05:00 PM
ULL +4.5
O 136.0
+500 +500

JAC at UNF 05:00 PM
UNF +3.0
+500

BELL at LIP 05:00 PM
BELL +1.0
+500

PRST at CSUS 05:00 PM
CSUS -3.5
+500

NEV at AFA 05:00 PM
O 134.5
+500

NEOM at SDAK 05:00 PM
U 151.0
+500
 

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Messages
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EVENING BEST BETS AND OPINIONS:

FIU at MTU 06:00 PM
FIU +8.0
U 145.0
+500 +500

STAN at WASH 06:00 PM
STAN +1.0
+500

VAN at UGA 06:00 PM
O 145.0
+500

CSU at SJSU 06:00 PM
CSU -12.0
+500

BC at CLEM 06:30 PM
O 135.5
+500

***********************

UTEP at ODU 07:00 PM
U 130.0
+500

NKU at RMU 07:00 PM
NKU -2.5
O 142.0
+500 +500

JVST at EKY 07:00 PM
EKY -2

CSN at LBSU 07:00 PM
CSN +7.5
+500

WRST at YSU 07:00 PM
YSU -2.5
+500

UTAH at ARIZ 08:00 PM
UTAH +20.0
O 157.5
+500 +500

HOU at TLSA 08:00 PM
HOU -11.5
+500

IDHO at IDST 08:00 PM
U 139.0
+500

UNI at SIU 08:00 PM
U 133.5
+500

AUB at MISS 08:30 PM
MISS +8.5
+500

UCSB at CSF 09:00 PM
U 136.5
+500

WYO at USU 09:00 PM
WYO +5.5
+500

COLO at ASU 10:00 PM
COLO -1.0
+500

UCD at CP 10:00 PM
UCD -5.0
U 126.0

+500 +500

UVU at CALBA 10:00 PM
U 137.5
+500

ORST at UCLA 10:30 PM
ORST +16.0
U 145.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

Since 2000, the biggest upsets in NCAA tournament:
2012— Norfolk State (+21) over Missouri
2018— UMBC (+20.5) over Virginia
2001— Hampton (+17.5) over Iowa State
2016— Middle Tennessee State (+16.5) over Michigan State
2021— Oral Roberts (+15) over Ohio State
2005— Bucknell (+14) over Kansas

Quote of the Day
“……..for the next year? I’m gonna play football………I’m going to play football this year — we’ll see where.”
Georgia Bulldogs QB Stetson Bennett

Sunday’s quiz
Before Saturday, Cincinnati’s last playoff win was in 1990; who played QB for the Bengals that day?

Saturday’s quiz
Michigan Wolverines were in the Final Four four years ago; John Beilein was their coach.

Friday’s quiz
TJ Yates was the Houston Texans’ QB first time they played a playoff game, a 31-10 win over Cincinnati ten years ago.

**************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Bengals 26, Raiders 19:
— Raiders were in Cincinnati territory six times, scored only 19 points.
— Last time Bengals won a playoff game (1990), only four current Bengals were alive.
— Bengals are at Kansas City next week.

12) Bills 47, New England 17:
— Buffalo scored a TD on their first seven drives.
— Bills averaged 8.9 yards per play, converted 6-7 on third down.
— Buffalo and Tennessee meet next week in Nashville.

11) Joe Burrow sat on Ohio State’s bench before he transferred to LSU, where he led the Bayou Bengals to a national title. We should’ve realized back then that Urban Meyer wouldn’t be much of an NFL coach, with Burrow sitting behind JT Barrett and Dwayne Haskins.

10) Friday night, I’m watching the Iona-Manhattan game, with Rick Pitino coaching the Gaels, then little later on, the movie Blue Chips comes on, one of my favorite all-time movies.

Nick Nolte coaches fictional Western U; their first game in the movie, which was made in 1994, is against fictional Texas Western, coached by Rick Pitino.

28 years later and he’s still one of the best coaches in the game.

9) My all-time favorite movie scene in early on, with Nolte talking to his athletic director (Bob Cousy), while the Hall of Famer shoots free throws in shirt-and-tie. Cousy goes 10-for-10, and people who were there say the scene was filmed in one take. Cousy made the last foul shot with his left hand.

8) Someone on Twitter posted an old NFL Today clip, with Brent Musburger talking about a Lions-Patriots game in 1979; sitting in for Jimmy the Greek that day was Pete Rose.

I’m not making this up; Rose was handicapping NFL games on TV, seven years before he retired as one of the best baseball players ever, before his gambling exploits became a huge deal.

7) Eagles visit Tampa Bay Sunday; Philly is 0-6 this season against playoff teams.

6) Another trend that makes me queasy; Arizona is 6-0 SU this season as an underdog.

Another trend that makes me queasy; Arizona is 6-0 SU this season as an underdog.

6) Baylor/USC were the last two unbeaten teams in the country, but they both went 0-2 this week.

Something to set aside for March; Oregon swept the LA schools this weekend, which very seldom happens, and that will give them a big bump in the seeding, but there were no fans at either game. To me, that diminishes the feat somewhat. Ducks could become overrated.

5) College basketball upsets:
— Oklahoma State (+14) 61, Baylor 54
— Boston College (+10.5) 70, Clemson 68
— Northwestern (+9.5) 64, Michigan State 62
— South Florida (+8) 75, UCF 51
— Arkansas (+6.5) 65, LSU 58
— Oregon (+6.5) 79, USC 69
— Murray State (+6) 82, Belmont 60
— Portland (+6) 82, Pepperdine 63

4) Gonzaga 115, Santa Clara 83:
— First three WCC games, Zags scored 117-110-115 points.
— Gonzaga is shooting 63.7% inside arc this season.

3) East Carolina 72, Memphis 71:
— When season began, Memphis was a top 20 team; now they’re #42.
— Tigers are 4-7 in their last 11 games; they’re 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Memphis is turning ball over 24.3% of time (#354 of 358 teams)

2) Pittsburgh 65, Louisville 53:
— Cardinals lost third straight game; as I type this, they’re #100 in country.
— Last time Louisville finished outside top 100 was 2001, Denny Crum’s last season.

1) TCU 59, Oklahoma 58 OT
— Sooners tied game on OB under play for layup at the buzzer of regulation.
— Teams combined to go 9-38 on the arc.
— TCU survived 5-11 shooting on foul line.
 

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PENN ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

BUTLER is 80-53 ATS (21.7 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

IONA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

BINGHAMTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NAVY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons.

IOWA is 24-11 ATS (11.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

MONMOUTH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after playing a road game in the current season.

MANHATTAN is 46-23 ATS (20.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997.

ST PETERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road favorite or pick in the last 3 seasons.

QUINNIPIAC is 5-20 ATS (-17 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games.

LEHIGH is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

LAFAYETTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

BUCKNELL is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

SOUTHERN MISS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

BRADLEY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 16

Penn State @ Ohio State

— Penn State (8-6, 3-3) ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #347
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #206
— Penn State won three of its last four games.
— Lions are 3-5 in top 100 games.
— Penn State is 1-2 on road (won by 4 at Northwestern)
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc ($65)
— Penn State’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #313

— Ohio State (10-4, 4-2) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #185
— Continuity: #207
— Ohio State lost two of their last three games.
— Buckeyes are 2-0 at home in Big 14, winning by 18-8.
— Ohio State is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#22)
— Buckeyes are 6-4 against top 100 teams.
— Ohio State’s schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #186

— Big 14 home favorites of 8+ points are 6-7 ATS
— Ohio State won 76-64 in Happy Valley December 5.
— Buckeyes were up 11 at half, made 12-27 on arc that day
— Ohio State won five of last six series games.
— PSU lost last three trips to Columbus, by 4-32-4 points.

Butler @ Villanova
— Butler (9-6, 2-2) ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #348
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #75
— Butler lost three of its last five games.
— Bulldogs lost six of seven top 100 games.
— Butler’s best win: 66-62 in OT at #34 Oklahoma.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#261).
— Butler’s schedule, to this point: #34
— bench minutes: #86

— Villanova (12-4, 5-1) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #52
— Continuity: #44
— Villanova won last five games, giving up 58 ppg.
— Wildcats are 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— 46.3% of Villanova’s shots have been 3’s (35%, #97)
— Wildcats are grabbing 32.5% of their misses (#57)
— Villanova’s schedule to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #348

— Big East home favorites of 7+ points are 1-4 ATS.
— Home side won last five series games.
— Butler lost last four visits to Philly, by 11-21-15-19 points.

Niagara @ Iona
— Niagara (7-7, 2-3) ranked #203 by KenPom
— Tempo: #330
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #198
— Niagara won three of last four D-I games.
— Eagles lost four of their five top 200 games.
— Niagara’s best win: 70-59 at #134 Colgate.
— Eagles are shooting 34.9% on arc (#99)
— Niagara’s schedule, to this point: #246
— bench minutes: #276

— Iona (13-3, 5-0) ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #192
— Iona won seven of its last eight games.
— Gaels are 7-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Iona is getting 22.6% of its points on foul line (#11)
— Opponents are shooting 28.8% on arc (#24)
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #130
— bench minutes: #192

— MAAC home favorites are 3-11 ATS
— Niagara is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— Eagles won three of last four visits to New Rochelle.

Cincinnati @ Wichita State
— Cincinnati (12-5, 2-2) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #169
— Cincinnati split its first four AAC games.
— Bearcats lost three of five top 100 games.
— Cincinnati has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Bearcats are grabbing 32.8% of their misses (#49)
— Cincinnati’s schedule, to this point: #215
— bench minutes: #65

— Wichita State (9-6, 0-3) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #171
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #96
— Wichita State is 0-3 in AAC, losing by 1-8-10 points,
— Shockers lost five of their six top 100 games.
— Wichita State’s best win: 60-51 at #46 Oklahoma State
— Shockers have #288 eFG% in country.
— Wichita State’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #76

— AAC favorites of 4 or less points are 6-2 ATS.
— Cincinnati won seven of last eight series games.
— Bearcats won three of last four visits to Wichita.

Iowa @ Minnesota
— Iowa (12-4, 2-3) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #194
— Iowa won five of its last six games.
— Hawkeyes split their eight top 100 games.
— Iowa is #277 team on defensive boards.
— Hawkeyes are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#32)
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #132
— bench minutes: #17

— Minnesota (10-4, 1-4) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #343
— Minnesota lost last three games, by 23-13-2 points.
— Gophers lost four of their six top 100 games.
— Minnesota has two top 50 wins (Miss St/Michigan)
— Opponents are shooting 27.7% on arc (#15)
— Minnesota’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #358

— Big 14 single digit home underdogs are 4-6 ATS.
— Home team won eight of last nine meetings.
— Iowa won three of last four series games.
— Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits to Minnesota.

Monmouth @ Marist
— Monmouth (10-4, 2-1) ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #165
— Monmouth lost at St Peter’s Friday, its first game in 23 days.
— Hawks’ four losses are all by six or fewer points.
— Monmouth is 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Opponents are shooting 44.3% inside arc (#22)
— Monmouth’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #343

— Marist (7-8, 2-4) ranked #220 by KenPom
— Tempo: #268
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #67
— Marist lost three of its last four games.
— Red Foxes are 0-4 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Marist’s best win: 60-51 at #194 Fairfield.
— Opponents are shooting 47.7% inside arc (#93)
— Marist’s schedule, to this point: #326
— bench minutes: #42

— MAAC home underdogs are 6-3 ATS
— Monmouth won 11 of last 12 series games.
— Hawks won last four visits to Marist.
 

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Canisius @ Manhattan
— Canisius (5-10, 1-3) ranked #283 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #31
— Canisius won three of its last four games.
— Griffins’ best win: 65-64 over #108 Buffalo.
— Canisius has #330 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 56.8% inside arc (#346)
— Canisius schedule, to this point: #193
— bench minutes: #116

— Manhattan (8-4, 1-2) ranked #251 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #39
— Manhattan lost Friday, its first game in 24 days.
— Jaspers are 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Manhattan is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#303)
— Jaspers get 26% of their points on foul line (#1)
— Manhattan’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #115

— MAAC home favorites are 3-11 ATS
— Canisius won six of last eight series games.
— Griffins won their last four games in Draddy Gym.

Saint Peter’s @ Rider
— Saint Peter’s (4-6, 2-1) ranked #207 by KenPom
— Tempo: #124
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #41
— Saint Peter’s beat Monmouth Friday, its first game in 27 days.
— Peacocks are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#328)
— Saint Peter’s is 1-4 in true road tilts (won 69-59 at #241 Quinnipiac).
— Peacocks are shooting 43.1% inside arc (#331), 30.7% on arc (#285)
— Saint Peter’s schedule, to this point: #169
— bench minutes: #51

— Rider (5-9, 1-3) ranked #290 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #80
— Continuity: #158
— Rider lost five of its last six D-I games.
— Broncs are shooting 41.9% inside arc (#348), 29.8% on arc (30.8%)
— Rider is #280 team in country on defensive boards.
— Broncs’ best win: 79-75 at #220 Marist.
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #283
— bench minutes: #189

— MAAC home underdogs are 6-3 ATS
— Saint Peter’s won three of last four series games.
— Peacocks lost last three games in the Broncs’ Zoo.

Fairfield @ Quinnipiac
— Fairfield (8-8, 2-3) ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #275
— Continuity: #4
— Fairfield lost last five games, four by 9 or less points.
— Stags are 2-7 in games decided by 9 or less.
— Fairfield is 7-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Stags’ best win: 81-71 at #203 Niagara.
— Fairfield’s schedule, to this point: #308
— bench minutes: #198

— Quinnipiac (8-6, 3-3) ranked #241 by KenPom
— Tempo: #69
— Experience: #163
— Continuity: #86
— Quinnipiac won five of its last seven games.
— Bobcats are 0-2 vs top 200 teams, losing by 14-11 points.
— Quinnipiac is playing its fourth game in eight days.
— Bobcats are shooting 31.8% on arc (#243)
— Quinnipiac’s schedule, to this point: #348
— bench minutes: #153

— MAAC home teams are 3-6 ATS if spread is 3 or less points.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Stags lost last three visits to Quinnipiac, by 5-2-14 points.

Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss
— Louisiana Tech (14-3, 5-0) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #147
— Tech is 5-0 in C-USA, scoring 75.2 ppg.
— Bulldogs are 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Tech is shooting 54.8% inside arc (#37)
— Bulldogs’ three losses are to teams ranked #107 or better.
— Louisiana Tech’s schedule, to this point: #229
— bench minutes: #235

— Southern Miss (5-10, 1-2) ranked #307 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #173
— Southern Miss lost eight of its last nine games.
— Eagles are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 32-23 points.
— Southern Miss is turning ball over 22% of time (#327)
— Eagles’ best win: 56-55 over #237 Cal-San Diego.
— Southern Miss schedule, to this point: #189
— bench minutes: #167

— C-USA home underdogs are 2-3 ATS.
— Tech waxed Southern Miss 80-57 at home Thursday.
— Tech won last five series games.
— Bulldogs won five of last seven visits to Hattiesburg.

Georgetown @ St John’s
— Georgetown (6-7, 0-2) ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #318
— Continuity: #282
— Georgetown is 0-2 in Big East, losing by 28-14 points.
— Hoyas lost three of their four top 100 games.
— Georgetown is shooting 45.2% inside arc (#311)
— Hoyas are shooting 36.9% on arc (#45)
— Georgetown’s schedule, to this point: #230
— bench minutes: #101

— St John’s (9-5, 1-2) ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #5
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #247
— St John’s lost three of its last four games.
— Red Storm is 9-1 against teams ranked outside top 100.
— St John’s is 2-5 when it scores less than 80 points.
— Red Storm forces turnovers 23.1% of time (#27)
— St John’s schedule, to this point: #245
— bench minutes: #125

— Big East home favorites of 7+ points are 1-4 ATS.
— Georgetown won four of last six series games.
— Hoyas split last four road series games.

Bradley @ Illinois State
— Bradley (8-9, 2-3) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #168
— Experience: #236
— Continuity: #254
— Bradley lost three of its last four games.
— Braves are 3-7 against teams in top 200.
— Bradley is shooting 64.2% on foul line (#342)
— Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#21)
— Bradley’s schedule, to this point: #144
— bench minutes: #94

— Illinois State (8-8, 1-2) ranked #199 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #182
— Illinois State lost last three games, giving up 85.3 ppg.
— Redbirds are #336 team in country on defensive boards.
— Illinois State is 1-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Redbirds’ best win: 79-74 in OT over Missouri State.
— Illinois State’s schedule, to this point: #261
— bench minutes: #263

— MVC home underdogs are 5-2 ATS.
— Bradley won last five series games.
— Braves won 65-59/74-71 in last two visits to Normal.
 

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NCAAB

Sunday, January 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Penn State @ Ohio State
Penn State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games when playing Ohio State
Penn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing Penn State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Butler @ Villanova
Butler
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Butler's last 10 games when playing Villanova
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Butler's last 7 games when playing on the road against Villanova
Villanova
Villanova is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler

Niagara @ Iona
Niagara
Niagara is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iona
Niagara is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iona
Iona
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iona's last 6 games when playing at home against Niagara

Cincinnati @ Wichita State
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wichita State
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wichita State
Wichita State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Wichita State's last 14 games at home
Wichita State is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

Canisius @ Manhattan
Canisius
Canisius is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Manhattan
Manhattan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 5 games at home

Monmouth @ Marist
Monmouth
Monmouth is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Marist
Monmouth is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Marist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marist's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games when playing Monmouth

Saint Peter's @ Rider
Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Peter's's last 12 games on the road
Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rider's last 5 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Rider's last 13 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's

Iowa @ Minnesota
Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Iowa's last 11 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Iowa
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa

Fairfield @ Quinnipiac
Fairfield
Fairfield is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fairfield's last 5 games when playing on the road against Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Quinnipiac's last 6 games at home
Quinnipiac is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fairfield

Louisiana Tech @ Southern Mississippi
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Mississippi
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Southern Mississi
Southern Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Mississippi's last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana Tech

Georgetown University @ St. John's
Georgetown University
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgetown University's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgetown University's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. John's
St. John's
St. John's is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. John's's last 11 games at home

Bradley @ Illinois State
Bradley
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bradley's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bradley's last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois State
Illinois State
Illinois State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Bradley
Illinois State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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