CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 14

Miami OH @ Clemson
— Miami (5-3) ranked #120 by KenPom
— Tempo: #258
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #10
— Miami lost last two games, by one point each.
— RedHawks’ best win: 72-69 at #69 Georgia Tech.
— Miami split two top 100 games (lost 59-58 to Cincinnati)
— This is Miami’s first game in ten days.
— RedHawks are shooting 81.7% on foul line (#5)
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #176
— bench minutes: #227

— Clemson (6-4) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #277
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #187
— Clemson lost four of its last six games.
— Tigers won last game in OT over Drake Sunday.
— Clemson is 5-0 vs teams outside top 100.
— Tigers are shooting 41.9% on arc (#4).
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #109
— bench minutes: #265

Furman @ North Carolina
— Furman (7-3) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #104
— Furman won four of its last five games.
— Paladins have already played four OT games (3-1)
— Furman’s best win: 80-72 in OT at Louisville.
— Paladins are shooting 37.5% on arc (#41)
— Furman’s schedule, to this point: #196
— bench minutes: #338

— North Carolina (7-2) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #90
— North Carolina won last four games, all by 17+ points.
— Tar Heels’ two losses are both to top 10 teams.
— North Carolina is shooting 41.7% on arc (#6)
— Tar Heels are scoring 84.6 ppg vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #83
— bench minutes: #234

Austin Peay @ South Florida
— Austin Peay (4-4) ranked #283 by KenPom
— Tempo: #185
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #310
— Austin Peay is 2-4 against D-I teams.
— Governors do have a win at #95 Dayton.
— Austin Peay is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#281)
— Governors are #353 in country on defensive boards.
— Austin Peay’s schedule, to this point: #78
— bench minutes: #298

— South Florida (3-4) ranked #235 by KenPom
— Tempo: #344
— Experience: #350
— Continuity: #312
— USF lost three of its last four games.
— Bulls are shooting 25.4% on arc (#350), 43% inside arc (#326)
— USF’s best win: 56-54 over #257 North Carolina A&T.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Bulls haven’t played in eleven days.
— South Florida’s schedule, to this point: #354
— bench minutes: #58

Monmouth @ Yale
— Monmouth (8-2) ranked #128 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #163
— Monmouth won eight of its last nine games.
— Hawks won last game 56-52 at Pitt Sunday.
— Monmouth’s best win: 61-59 at #76 Cincinnati.
— Hawks’ two losses are by total of seven points.
— Monmouth’s schedule, to this point: #122
— bench minutes: #347

— Yale (6-6) ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #104
— Experience: #127
— Continuity: #n/a (dnp LY)
— Yale is 1-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Bulldogs’ best win: 91-71 over #131 UMass.
— Yale are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#265)
— Bulldogs gave up 80+ points in five of six losses.
— Yale’s schedule, to this point: #311
— bench minutes: #262

Georgia State at Mississippi State
— Georgia State (5-3) ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #131
— Georgia State’s best win: 83-64 over #161 Northeastern.
— Panther opponents are shooting 42.3% on arc (#355)
— Georgia State is shooting 41% on arc (#8)
— This is Panthers’ first D-I game in ten days.
— Georgia State’s schedule to this point: #134
— bench minutes: #33

— Mississippi State (6-3) ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #315
— Experience: #223
— Continuity: #255
— Miss State lost last two games, by 5-3 points.
— Bulldogs are a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Miss State is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Bulldogs’ best win: 82-71 in OT over #67 Richmond.
— Mississippi State’s schedule, to this point: #195
— bench minutes: #219

Louisiana @ Houston
— Louisiana (5-4) ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #301
— Louisiana lost four of its last six games.
— Cajuns are turning ball over 23.2% of time (#331)
— Louisiana is shooting 42.7% inside arc (#329)
— Cajuns are 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 32-14-9 points.
— Louisiana’s schedule, to this point: #235
— bench minutes: #26

— Houston (8-2) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #239
— Houston lost last game 83-82 at Alabama Saturday.
— Cougars are forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#17)
— Houston is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#29)
— Cougars have seven wins by 18+ points.
— Houston’s schedule, to this point: #146
— bench minutes: #150

 

[Udog]

Arkansas State @ Texas Tech
— Arkansas State (7-2) ranked #229 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #13
— Arkansas State is 0-2 vs top 200 teams, losing by 39-24 points.
— Red Wolves are turning ball over 23.7% of time (#340)
— Arkansas State is shooting 40% on arc (#12)
— Red Wolves’ best win: 66-55 over #228 UMKC.
— Arkansas State’s schedule, to this point: #357
— bench minutes: #269

— Texas Tech (7-1) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #289
— Texas Tech is 6-0 vs teams outside top 200 (all by 15+)
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 25.6% of time (#12)
— Texas Tech’s only loss: 72-68 at #55 Providence.
— Red Raiders are grabbing 44.6% of their misses (#2)
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #355
— bench minutes: #5

Arizona State @ Creighton
— Arizona State (4-6) ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #229
— Continuity: #322
— ASU lost five of its six top 100 games.
— Sun Devils’ best win: 69-67 in OT at #54 Oregon.
— ASU is shooting 29.4% on arc (#291), 45.7% inside arc (#275)
— Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#54)
— Arizona State’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #103

— Creighton (8-2) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #216
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #333
— Creighton is 7-0 vs teams outside top 100.
— Bluejays’ best win: 83-71 over #25 BYU.
— Creighton is shooting 58.2% inside arc (#10)
— Bluejays have their Big East opener vs Villanova Friday.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #197
— bench minutes: #258

DePaul @ Ill-Chicago
— DePaul (8-1) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #30
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #304
— DePaul is 7-0 vs teams outside top 100.
— Blue Demons’ best win: 62-55 at #43 Louisville.
— DePaul’s only loss: 68-64 to #23 Loyola Chi
— Blue Demons are shooting 55% inside arc (#41)
— DePaul’s schedule, to this point: #304
— bench minutes: #341

— Ill-Chicago (3-6) ranked #271 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #294
— Ill-Chicago lost five of its last six games.
— Flames are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10-17 points.
— Ill-Chicago has #244 eFG% defense in country.
— Flames are getting 9.9% of points on foul line (#356)
— Ill-Chicago’s schedule, to this point: #154
— bench minutes: #314

Santa Clara @ Boise State
— Santa Clara (7-4) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #76
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #170
— Santa Clara lost four of its last six games.
— Broncos are 1-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Santa Clara’s best win: 85-66 over #66 TCU
— Broncos has #20 eFG% in country.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #172
— bench minutes: #334

— Boise State (6-4) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #56
— Boise State won last three games, giving up 55.3 ppg.
— Broncos lost three of their four top 100 games.
— Boise State’s best win: 60-50 over #91 Mississippi.
— Opponents are shooting 43.9% inside arc (#35)
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #165
— bench minutes: #163

Alabama @ Memphis
— Alabama (8-1) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #264
— Continuity: #231
— Alabama won last four games, scoring 87.5 ppg.
— Crimson Tide’s only loss: 72-68 to #103 Iona
— Alabama is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#9)
— Crimson Tide is grabbing 34.3% of its misses (#37)
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #245

— Memphis (5-4) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #13
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #179
— Memphis lost last four games, last three by 3-4-2 points.
— Tigers are turning ball over 25% of time (#351)
— Opponents are shooting 41.8% inside arc (#13)
— Tigers are grabbing 37.6% of their misses (#12)
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #21

Cal-Davis @ Oregon State
— Cal-Davis (4-3) ranked #208 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #355
— Continuity: #81
— Cal-Davis lost two of last three D-I games.
— Aggies also lost to Academy of Art, whoever they are.
— Cal-Davis does have 72-69 win at #69 Utah State.
— Aggies are forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#82)
— Cal-Davis’ schedule, to this point: #262
— bench minutes: #247

— Oregon State (1-8) ranked #132 by KenPom
— Tempo: #75
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #108
— Oregon State lost its last eight games.
— Beavers’ only win: 73-64 over #260 Portland State.
— Oregon State is shooting 29.1% on arc (#300), 65.8% on line (#292)
— Opponents are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#288)
— Oregon State’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #44

Cal-Santa Barbara @ Pacific
— UCSB (5-3) ranked #114 by KenPom
— Tempo: #209
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #140
— UCSB split its six D-I games.
— Gauchos’ best win: 86-74 over #22 Pepperdine.
— UCSB is #295 in country on defensive boards.
— Gauchos are getting 23% of points on foul line (#14)
— UCSB’s schedule, to this point: #342
— bench minutes: #133

— Pacific (4-6) ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #231
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #254
— Pacific lost last three games, by 6-9-12 points.
— Tigers’ D-I wins are over teams #355/#357.
— Pacific’s top 200 losses are by 2-9-9 points.
— Tigers are shooting 46.7% inside arc (#261)
— Pacific’s schedule, to this point: #331
— bench minutes: #35

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Arizona State is 4-12-1 ATS in the past 17 road games.
Arizona State is 7-16-2 ATS in the past 25 games against winning teams.
Creighton is 25-12 ATS in the past 37 games against losing teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in Arizona State's past six road games.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Creighton's past five games overall.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 home games for Creighton.


Alabama is 6-3 ATS in the past nine games overall.
Alabama is 1-5 ATS in the past six road games.
Memphis is 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall.
Memphis is 7-4 ATS in the past 11 games at home.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four games for Alabama.
The OVER is 4-1 in five home games for Memphis this season.

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SELA at LOU 06:00 PM
LOU -23.5
+500

CCSU at STON 06:30 PM
U 136.5
+500

UNCG at TOWS 07:00 PM
UNCG +6.5
+500

NCAT at ETSU 07:00 PM
NCAT +11.5
+500

MONM at YALE 07:00 PM
O 147.0
+500

SFPA at HART 07:00 PM
SFPA +2.0
+500

M-OH at CLEM 07:00 PM
U 135.0
+500

PEAY at USF 07:00 PM
O 127.5
+500

FUR at UNC 07:00 PM
O 154.5
+500

ULM at SFA 07:30 PM
SFA -12.0
+500

GRAM at UAB 07:30 PM
UAB -28.0
+500

GSU at MSST 08:00 PM
MSST -9.5
+500

UNCA at UTM 08:00 PM
UNCA -3.5
+500

TST at USA 08:00 PM
TST +6.5
+500

UALR at CARK 08:00 PM
U 147.0
+500

DEP at UIC 08:00 PM
DEP -10.0
+500

AMCC at MINN 08:00 PM
AMCC +15.0
+500

ASU at CREI 08:00 PM
CREI -7.0
+500

ALCN at WICH 08:00 PM
ALCN +21.0
+500

JKST at UNI 08:00 PM
JKST +14.0
+500

TXSO at UTRGV 08:30 PM
U 147.5
+500

ALA at MEM 09:00 PM
ALA -3.5
+500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

12/14/2021...........8-13-0...........38.10%..............-31.50
12/13/2021.............8-0-0.........100.00%.............+40.00
12/12/2021...........10-8-0...........55.56%...............+6.00
12/11/2021..........19-13-2...........58.82%.............+23.50
12/10/2021..............9-6-0...........60.00%.............+12.00
12/09/2021..............6-5-0...........54.55%...............+2.50
12/08/2021...........14-13-0...........51.85%................-1.50
12/07/2021...........15-17-0...........46.88% .............-18.50
12/06/2021...............8-3-0...........72.73%.............+23.50
12/05/2021...............6-8-0...........42.86% .............-14.00
12/04/2021............26-16-2...........61.36%............+42.00
12/03/2021...............9-9-0............50.00%..............-4.50
12/02/2021............10-10-0............50.00%.............- 5.00
12/01/2021............37-20-0............64.91%............+75.00

TOTALS...............185-141-0............56.74%...........+149.50

**************************

BEST BETS:

12/14/2021.........6-10-0...............37.50%.........-25.00
12/13/2021...........6-0-0.............100.00%........+30.00
12/12/2021...........5-5-0..............50.00%...........- 2.50
12/11/2021.........9-12-2..............42.85%...........-21.00
12/10/2021...........8-4-0..............66.66%..........+18.00
12/09/2021...........3-3-0..............50.00%.............-1.50
12/08/2021.........10-9-0..............52.63%............+ 0.50
12/07/2021........8-11-0...............42.10%.............-20.50
12/06/2021..........6-2-0...............75.00%............+19.00
12/05/2021..........3-7-0...............30.00%.............-23.50
12/04/2021........19-9-0...............67.85%............+45.50
12/03/2021..........5-7-0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/02/2021..........5-7-0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/01/2021.........13-11-0............54.16%.............+ 4.50

TOTALS..............106-97-0............52.21%............ - 3.50


UPDATED 12/14/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
College basketball’s fastest paced teams:
1) Charleston
2) Marshall
3) Arizona
4) New Mexico
5) Marquette
7) Cornell

Quote of the Day
“A person who never made a mistake never tried anything new.”
Albert Einstein

Wednesday’s quiz
Stephen Curry’s dad Dell is a broadcaster for which NBA team?

Tuesday’s quiz
Paul Giamatti is one of the stars of the Showtime series Billions; his late father was Bart Giamatti, the baseball commissioner who banned Pete Rose for gambling.

Monday’s quiz
Urban Meyer was head coach at Bowling Green, Utah, Florida, Ohio State.

*****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) I would recommend that NFL Films do a feature on scouts, maybe even a Hard Knocks-type series where they follow various scouts to obscure places around the country.

NFL Draft is a fascinating process; 32 teams, worth an average of $3B each- selecting players is obviously a huge part of who wins/who loses. Scouts do the dirty work in recommending which players should be taken.

— Cooper Kupp went to I-AA Eastern Washington
— Carson Wentz, Trey Lance both went to I-AA North Dakota State.
— Greg Zuerlein went to D-II Missouri Western.
— Ryan Fitzpatrick went to I-AA Harvard.
— Jerry Rice went to I-AA Mississippi Valley State

There are good ballplayers everywhere; great scouting helps teams win.

12) Las Vegas will not only host the NFL Draft in April, they’re hosting the Super Bowl two years from now. I’m guessing hotel room prices on the Strip will be very reasonable that week.

Or not.

11) So far this season in the NFL, there have been 17 overtime games in the NFL; home teams are 8-8-1 in those games (so are road teams).

As far as games that ended in regulation, road team has 96 wins, home teams 92.

10) NFL will have a playoff game on TV Monday night, January 17; I’m queasy about them putting that game in Lambeau Field, if Green Bay doesn’t get the NFC’s #1 seed. A playoff game should not be played at night in Green Bay, Buffalo, Cleveland, Pittsburgh.

9) Nevada football coach Jay Norvell bolted to league rival Colorado State, which is a kick in the teeth to the Nevada program; now QB Carson Strong has opted out of Wolf Pack’s bowl game with Western Michigan, so he doesn’t get hurt before the NFL Draft.

Tough end to an 8-4 season for Nevada.

8) Weird stat: Kyler Murray has thrown nine INT’s this season; five of them came on the first series of the second half. You wonder if that is a random happening, or are they making bad adjustments at halftime? Or not making adjustments at all.

7) Memphis 92, Alabama 78:
— Alabama wants to play fast, but Memphis likes the fast game.
— Alabama-Houston game late Saturday night may have taken some steam out of the Crimson Tide, but that is what the NCAA tournament is like, big games 48 hours apart.

Memphis has a freshman, Emoni Bates, who is 17 years old- he turns 18 next month. In a normal, non-basketball world, Bates would be a junior in high school. He is so young, he can’t go into the NBA Draft until 2023.

My question is this: Is it a good thing for the young man to go away to college at age 17? I’m not saying it is or it isn’t, but you wonder if he’ll wind up playing in the G-League before he makes his way to the NBA. Some things can’t be rushed.

6) Arizona State 58, Creighton 57:
— Sun Devils were down 8 early in second half.
— ASU wins third game in row, after a 2-6 start.

5) Kansas/Indiana will have a home/home basketball series, starting next year, Don’t see a lot of that; most of the elite matchups happen on neutral courts, but maybe this is a better way for the schools to make more $$$, with big-time games in campus arenas.

4) Last four games, Cleveland Browns have been outscored 57-7 in second half.

3) We live in a fickle society; people are with you win or tie, and they’re not that crazy about ties.

Rams went 0-3 in November, and the front office and QB Stafford were getting ripped on social media; they get a big win in Arizona Monday night, and there is a segment on SportsCenter about how great Stafford is.

17 football games is a long season; we need to let things play out before we make judgements.

2) Four weeks left in the NFL regular season, no bye weeks left.

1) Somewhere in this great land of ours, people will wager on the Texans-Jaguars game Sunday, two horrific division rivals facing off.

It is a bad idea to bet on bad teams, even if they’re playing another bad team. It is just a bad idea.

Speaking of the Texans, haven’t heard about Deshaun Watson lately; they have to trade him after this season, right? They can net a bonanza of draft picks by dealing him, and Lord knows the Texans need a roster overhaul.

Which gets me back to my NFL Films idea; when they follow the scouts around for TV; once the Texans trade Watson, they’ll be the focus of the 2023 Draft. Those are the scouts you follow, to see if Houston can replenish its roster and become a halfway decent team.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 15

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 15

Chattanooga @ Belmont
— Chattanooga (9-1) ranked #105 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #53
— Chattanooga won its one top 100 game, 56-54 at #87 VCU
— Moccasins’ only loss: 68-66 to #185 Charleston.
— Chattanooga is grabbing 41.5% of its misses (#3)
— Moccasins’ only other top 200 win: 75-64 at #117 LMU.
— Chattanooga’s schedule, to this point: #271
— bench minutes: #292

— Belmont (8-3) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #18
— Belmont won five of its last six games.
— Bruins’ best win: 74-69 over #81 Drake.
— Belmont is shooting 57.4% inside arc (#15)
— Bruins are 4-3 vs teams in top 125.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #280

Marshall @ Ohio
— Marshall (7-3) ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #55
— Marshall split its six games vs top 200 teams.
— Thundering Herd’s best win: 96-88 over #160 Wright State
— Marshall plays fast, but is shooting only 27.7% on arc (#323)
— Thundering Herd is shooting 57.1% inside arc (#17)
— Marshall’s schedule, to this point: #214
— bench minutes: #316

— Ohio (7-2) ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #234
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #121
— Ohio’s only two losses are to Kentucky/LSU.
— Bobcats’ best win: 92-80 over #54 Belmont.
— Four of Ohio’s six D-I wins are vs teams outside top 200.
— Bobcats are shooting only 46.3% inside arc (#266)
— Ohio’s schedule, to this point: #124
— bench minutes: #331

Florida Atlantic @ VCU
— Florida Atlantic (6-4) ranked #194 by KenPom
— Tempo: #260
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #148
— FAU lost its only top 100 game, 68-66 to Miami.
— Owls’s best win: 83-73 over #251 Stetson.
— FAU is shooting 58.9% inside arc (#6)
— Opponents are shooting 41.2% on arc (#350)
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #353
— bench minutes: #71

— VCU (6-4) ranked #87 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #191
— VCU won last three games, giving up 59.7 ppg.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 26.4% of time (#9)
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— VCU is turning ball over 23.2% of time (#330)
— Rams has two top 100 wins (Vandy/Syracuse)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #50
— bench minutes: #145

Akron @ Wright State
— Akron (6-3) ranked #156 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #318
— Continuity: #116
— Akron won its last four games, scoring 80 ppg in last three.
— Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#63)
— Akron lost its one true road game, 67-66 at Ohio State.
— Zips are getting 23.1% of their points on arc (#12)
— Akron’s schedule, to this point: #270
— bench minutes: #240

— Wright State (2-6) ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #258
— Continuity: #72
— Wright State lost six of its seven D-I games.
— Raiders’ only D-I win: 86-73 at #272 Fort Wayne.
— Wright State is shooting 26.6% on arc (#338)
— Raiders have #325 eFG% defense in country.
— Wright State’s schedule, to this point: #110
— bench minutes: #344

South Dakota State at Missouri State
— South Dakota State (9-3) ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #6
— South Dakota State won two of three top 100 games.
— Jackrabbits’ best win: 77-74 at #42 Washington State.
— South Dakota State is shooting 43.5% on arc (#2)
— Jackrabbits lost at #337 Idaho before beating Wazzu.
— South Dakota State’s schedule to this point: #135
— bench minutes: #216

— Missouri State (6-4) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #231
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #74
— Missouri State lost its one top 100 game, 74-69 to #25 BYU.
— Bears have #40 eFG% in country.
— All four Missouri State losses are by 6 or less points.
— Five of Bears’ six wins are by 18+ points.
— Missouri State’s schedule, to this point: #317
— bench minutes: #139

Central Florida @ Temple
— Central Florida (6-2) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #175
— Experience: #149
— Continuity: #49
— UCF’s two losses are to Oklahoma/Auburn.
— Knights’ best win: 95-89 at #97 Miami.
— UCF is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#21)
— Knights have #46 eFG% in country.
— Central Florida’s schedule, to this point: #246
— bench minutes: #167

— Temple (6-4) ranked #137 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #356
— Continuity: #120
— Temple won five of its last six games.
— Owls are 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Vandy in OT.
— Temple is shooting 28.5% on arc (#314)
— Three of Owls’ losses are by 19+ points.
— Temple’s schedule, to this point: #158
— bench minutes: #58
— Temple won last three series games.

 

[Udog]

Middle Tennessee @ Ole Miss
— Middle Tennessee (8-2) ranked #209 by KenPom
— Tempo: #67
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #268
— MTSU lost its one top 100 game, 93-87 at #89 Murray State.
— Blue Raiders are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#41)
— MTSU’s best win: 76-65 over #169 Winthrop.
— Blue Raiders are turning ball over 21% of time (#268)
— Middle Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #337
— bench minutes: #104

— Ole Miss (6-3) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #145
— Ole Miss won three of its last four games.
— Rebels were held to 56.7 ppg in their losses.
— Ole Miss’ best win: 67-63 over #34 Memphis.
— Rebels lost last game, 71-48 to Western Kentucky.
— Ole Miss’s schedule, to this point: #325
— bench minutes: #87

— Ole Miss coach Davis was MTSU’s coach from 2002-18.

Morehead State @ Xavier
— Morehead State (6-4) ranked #145 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #277
— Continuity: #156
— Morehead won four of its last five games.
— Eagles are turning ball over 23.5% of time (#335)
— Morehead is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 23-14-20 points.
— Eagles’ best win: 59-51 over #219 Georgia Southern.
— Morehead State’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #330

— Xavier (9-1) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #73
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #92
— Xavier is on letdown alert after beating Cincinnati Saturday.
— Musketeers open Big East play against Marquette Saturday.
— Xavier has #12 eFG% defense in country.
— Musketeers won last five games, giving up 57.4 ppg.
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #136
— bench minutes: #118

Cal-Irvine @ USC
— Cal-Irvine (5-2) ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #264
— Continuity: #39
— Cal-Irvine is 3-2 vs D-I teams.
— Anteaters were held to 51-55 points in losses.
— Cal-Irvine is shooting 39.9% inside arc (#350)
— Anteaters are shooting 39.7% on arc (#11)
— Cal-Irvine’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #32

— USC (10-0) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #141
— Continuity: #117
— USC has top 100 wins over Utah/Wazzu, by 20-2 points.
— Trojans have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— USC is shooting 56% inside arc (#27)
— Trojans are shooting 57.6% on foul line (#355)
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #213
— bench minutes: #211

Utah State @ Weber State
— Utah State (7-3) ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #52
— Continuity: #208
— Utah State lost two of its last three games.
— Aggies have top 100 wins: Richmond/Oklahoma.
— Utah State lost only true road game, 82-71 at #25 BYU.
— Aggies are shooting 36.9% on arc (#53)
— Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #95
— bench minutes: #303

— Weber State (9-1) ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #178
— Weber State’s only loss: 94-60 at #42 Washington State
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 23% of time (#37)
— Weber State’s best win: 88-73 over #130 UMass.
— Wildcats are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#41)
— Weber State’s schedule, to this point: #316
— bench minutes: #345

Portland @ Oregon
— Portland (8-3) ranked #291 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #346
— Portland lost its one top 100 game, 76-60 at #98 ASU.
— Pilots lost only other top 200 game, 69-66 to Montana State.
— Portland is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Pilots are shooting 83.1% on foul line (#2).
— Portland’s schedule, to this point: #356
— bench minutes: #291

— Oregon (5-5) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #299
— Oregon is 3-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 17-40-6 points.
— Ducks lost five of last seven D-I games.
— Oregon’s best win: 86-63 over #77 SMU
— Opponents are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#318)
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #21

Omaha @ UNLV
— Omaha (1-9) ranked #338 by KenPom
— Tempo: #158
— Experience: #156
— Continuity: #258
— Omaha is 0-9 vs D-I teams.
— Mavericks have #348 eFG% defense in country.
— Omaha is turning ball over 22.3% of time (#306)
— Mavericks’ closest loss: 73-69 at #258 Ball State.
— Omaha’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #11

— UNLV (6-5) ranked #133 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #329
— UNLV is 5-0 vs teams outside top 100.
— Rebels are 0-5 vs teams in top 100.
— UNLV has #245 eFG% in country.
— Three of Rebels’ five D-I wins are by 6 or less points.
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #44

New Mexico State @ Washington State
— New Mexico State (8-2) ranked #111 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #231
— New Mexico State won last three games, by 3-2-5 points.
— Aggies have up 85-101 points in their two losses.
— New Mexico State is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#16)
— Aggies are 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— New Mexico State’s schedule, to this point: #102
— bench minutes: #153

— Washington State (7-3) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #238
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #153
— Wazzu lost three of last five games, after 5-0 start.
— Coogs are 3-2 vs teams ranked in top 125.
— Wazzu’s best win: 51-29 at #98 Arizona State.
— Opponents are shooting 44% inside arc (#33)
— Washington State’s schedule, to this point: #230
— bench minutes: #37

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Chattanooga is 4-1 ATS in five road games this season.
Belmont is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall.
Belmont is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 home games.
The OVER is 3-0 in Chattanooga's past three road outings.
The UNDER is 5-1-1 in Belmont's past seven games overall.



UCF is 6-2 ATS in the past eight road games.
UCF is 1-4 ATS in the past five games against winning teams.
Temple is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 home games.
The OVER is 5-2 in UCF's past seven road games.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Temple's past seven home games against teams with a winning road record.
The favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings.
The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings.


MTSU is 5-0 ATS across the past five games overall.
MTSU is 4-0 ATS across the past four road games.
Ole Miss is 6-1 ATS in the past seven at home against teams with a winning road mark.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six road games for MTSU.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games overall for MTSU.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six games overall for Ole Miss.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five home games for Ole Miss.
The favorite has cashed in the past four meetings in this series.

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

FAU at VCU 07:00 PM
FAU +10.0
O 133.0
+500 +500

MRSH at OHIO 07:00 PM
O 157.0
+500

AKR at WRST 07:00 PM
WRST -3.5
O 147.0
+500 +500

NCCU at WEBB 07:00 PM
NCCU +8.0
+500

GASO at CAMP 07:00 PM
CAMP -5.5
+500

SDST at MOSU 07:00 PM
O 155.5
+500

SEMO at SIU 08:00 PM
U 133.0
+500

LAM at TXST 08:00 PM
U 132.5
+500

BELL at SDAK 08:00 PM
BELL -1.0
+500

MORE at XAV 08:30 PM
U 133.5
+500

CSB at ACU 08:30 PM
CSB +8.5
O 131.0
+500 +500

UCI at USC 09:00 PM
U 126.5
+500

UCSD at DEN 09:00 PM
U 132.5
+500

UNCO at ARIZ 09:00 PM
ARIZ -25.0
+500

NMSU at WSU 10:00 PM
NMSU +7.5
+500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

12/15/2021...........4-13-1...........25.00%..............-51.50
12/14/2021...........8-13-0...........38.10%..............-31.50
12/13/2021.............8-0-0.........100.00%.............+40.00
12/12/2021...........10-8-0...........55.56%...............+6.00
12/11/2021..........19-13-2...........58.82%.............+23.50
12/10/2021..............9-6-0...........60.00%.............+12.00
12/09/2021..............6-5-0...........54.55%...............+2.50
12/08/2021...........14-13-0...........51.85%................-1.50
12/07/2021...........15-17-0...........46.88% .............-18.50
12/06/2021...............8-3-0...........72.73%.............+23.50
12/05/2021...............6-8-0...........42.86% .............-14.00
12/04/2021............26-16-2...........61.36%............+42.00
12/03/2021...............9-9-0............50.00%..............-4.50
12/02/2021............10-10-0............50.00%.............- 5.00
12/01/2021............37-20-0............64.91%............+75.00

TOTALS...............189-154-5............55.10%...........+ 98.00

**************************

BEST BETS:

12/15/2021.........2-10-1...............16.66%.........-45.00
12/14/2021.........6-10-0...............37.50%.........-25.00
12/13/2021...........6-0-0.............100.00%........+30.00
12/12/2021...........5-5-0..............50.00%...........- 2.50
12/11/2021.........9-12-2..............42.85%...........-21.00
12/10/2021...........8-4-0..............66.66%..........+18.00
12/09/2021...........3-3-0..............50.00%.............-1.50
12/08/2021.........10-9-0..............52.63%............+ 0.50
12/07/2021........8-11-0...............42.10%.............-20.50
12/06/2021..........6-2-0...............75.00%............+19.00
12/05/2021..........3-7-0...............30.00%.............-23.50
12/04/2021........19-9-0...............67.85%............+45.50
12/03/2021..........5-7-0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/02/2021..........5-7-0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/01/2021.........13-11-0............54.16%.............+ 4.50

TOTALS...........108-107-0............50.23%............ - 48.50


UPDATED 12/15/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:
College basketball’s slowest paced teams:
358) Virginia
357) Texas
356) Chattanooga
355) North Texas
354) Southern Illinois
353) Villanova

Quote of the Day
“My door is always open to talk about playing time. If you want to talk about playing time, be prepared for the truth.”
Brad Stevens

Thursday’s quiz
Who was coach of the New Jersey Giants, last time they made the NFL playoffs?

Wednesday’s quiz
Stephen Curry’s dad Dell is a broadcaster for the Charlotte Hornets.

Tuesday’s quiz
Paul Giamatti is one of the stars of the Showtime series Billions; his late father was Bart Giamatti, the baseball commissioner who banned Pete Rose for gambling.

*********************************

Thursday’s Den: Studying up on college basketball……..

13) Southern Conference:
— Three teams in top 120, none in top 100.
— Chattanooga is highest-rated team so far.
— Furman has already played four OT games (3-1)

12) Conference USA:
— UAB, Louisiana Tech are the two top 100 teams right now.
— 7-4 Marshall plays #2 pace in country; they’re coached by Dan D’Antoni, Mike D’Antoni’s brother.
— North Texas had 79 wins in McCasland’s first four years as coach; they’re 6-3 this year, forcing turnovers 21.9% of time this year (#63)

11) Missouri Valley:
— 9-2 Loyola Chi is far and away the favorite in this league.
— #82 Drake has 70 wins the last three years; they’re 6-4 this year vs schedule #141.
— #69 Missouri State won its last three games, after a shaky 4-4 start.

10) Atlantic 14:
— St Bonaventure, Davidson, Richmond are three best teams.
— #92 Dayton won six of last seven games; they’re least experienced team in country.
— Last six years, Bonnies are 73-32 in A-14 games; how has some big $$$ school not come in and hired coach Mark Schmidt away???

9) Mountain West:
— #38 Colorado State is 10-0, with wins over Creighton, Saint Mary’s, Miss State. Rams are making 43.8% of their 3’s, best in country.
— San Diego State, Utah State, Boise State are next best teams in league.
— San Jose State is 5-4 under new coach Miles; they were 20-93 the last four years, so they’re a much-improved team.

8) West Coast:
— Gonzaga is obviously the king of this league (143-10 last eight years in WCC)
— San Francisco is 10-0, BYU 8-2, Saint Mary’s 10-2; the Zags have challengers.
— Santa Clara lost five of last seven games, after a 5-0 start.

7) American:
— #5 Houston is 9-2, with losses to Wisconsin/Alabama by 1-2 points.
— Central Florida, Wichita State, Cincinnati, SMU will challenge Houston.
— #33 Memphis (6-4) is loaded with talent, but has chemistry issues.

6) Pac-12:
— USC/UCLA are a combined 18-1; LA rivals are both very strong.
— Arizona has a new coach, 8 foreign players; they’re off to a 9-0 start.
— Oregon State was in Elite 8 LY, but the wheels have come off this year. Beavers have lost nine games in row, have five losses to teams outside top 100.

5) ACC:
— Right now, Duke is only ACC team ranked in top 25 by KenPom.
— North Carolina is 8-2 under new coach Davis; they play UCLA Saturday.
— Syracuse is 5-5, has #238 eFG% defense; they’ll be a bubble team.

4) Big East:
— League has only four teams ranked in top 50; little down this year?
— Villanova is 1-3 vs top 50 teams; they’re 114-27 in conference games since the league re-aligned eight years ago.
— UConn, Seton Hall, Xavier figure to be Villanova’s biggest challengers this year,

3) SEC:
— SEC is #3 league right now, their highest ranking since they were #2 in ’07.
— Lot of good teams; eight teams in top 41. Right now, Kentucky is ranked 5th in SEC
— Alabama coach Nate Oats was a high school coach in Michigan for 11 years.

2) Big 14:
— Minnesota is a surprising 9-1, with a totally re-tooled roster.
— Purdue, Ohio State have been best teams so far.
— Iowa lost last three games, giving up 79 ppg, after a 7-0 start.

1) Big X:
— Iowa State is 10-0, is still ranked 8th in a 10-team league.
— Defending national champ Baylor is 9-0; they whacked Villanova 56-37 Sunday.
— Kansas is quietly 8-1, with only loss by a point to Dayton.

 

[Udog]

DUKE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

RICE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games off a road win since 1997.

IUPUI is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

UNC-GREENSBORO is 79-112 ATS (-44.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

COLL OF CHARLESTON is 40-13 ATS (25.7 Units) in road games in December games since 1997.

ORAL ROBERTS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

DRAKE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.

TENNESSEE ST is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) at road when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

ALCORN ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a road loss in the current season.

UTEP is 21-7 ATS (13.3 Units) in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1997.

DARTMOUTH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 16

Appalachian State @ Duke
— Appalachian State (6-5) ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #3
— ASU is 3-5 vs D-I teams; they’ve got three non-D-I wins.
— Opponents are shooting 59% inside arc (#349)
— ASU’s best win: 69-67 over #133 East Tennessee State.
— Mountaineers have one loss by more than 8 points (65-53, Iona)
— Appalachian State’s schedule, to this point: #147
— bench minutes: #205

— Duke (8-1) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #74
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #237
— Duke has played once in last sixteen days.
— Blue Devils’ one loss: 71-66 at #14 Ohio State.
— Duke is 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100 (five wins by 26+).
— Blue Devils are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#34).
— Duke s schedule, to this point: #240
— bench minutes: #255

Tex-Arlington @ Oral Roberts
— Tex-Arlington (3-5) ranked #256 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #295
— Tex-Arlington has top 100 losses, by 43-6-19 points.
— Mavericks are 2-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Tex-Arlington is turning ball over 25.2% of time (#353)
— Mavericks won last two games, giving up 62-47 points.
— Tex-Arlington’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #53

— Oral Roberts (5-5) ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #107
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #68
— Oral Roberts is 2-5 vs D-I teams; they’ve got three non-D-I wins.
— Eagles’ best win: 87-80 over #150 Tulsa.
— Oral Roberts has top 100 losses, by 29-1-8 points.
— Eagles are shooting 36.6% on arc (#57)
— Oral Roberts’ schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #290

Dartmouth @ Stanford
— Dartmouth (3-5) ranked #261 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #n/a DNP LY
— Dartmouth lost last four games, last two by 3 points each.
— Big Green’s best win: 69-60 at #111 Georgetown.
— Dartmouth is shooting 43.6% inside arc (#316)
— Four of their last five games were decided by 3 or less points or in OT
— Dartmouth’s schedule, to this point: #99
— bench minutes: #228

— Stanford (5-3) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #191
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #116
— Stanford is 4-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 12-14-14-14.
— Cardinal split a couple Pac-12 games, decided by 4-3 points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Stanford is grabbing 37.6% of its misses (#13)
— Cardinal allowed 80+ points in its three losses.
— Stanford’s schedule, to this point: #116
— bench minutes: #28

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Thursday, December 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Incarnate Word @ Rice
Incarnate Word
No trends to report
Rice
Rice is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Montreat College @ Tennessee Tech
Montreat College
No trends to report
Tennessee Tech
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee Tech's last 9 games at home
Tennessee Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Appalachian State @ Duke
Appalachian State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Appalachian State's last 6 games on the road
Appalachian State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Duke
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games at home

UNC Greensboro @ UMBC
UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
UMBC
No trends to report

St. Andrews @ The Citadel
St. Andrews
No trends to report
The Citadel
The Citadel is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chicago State @ IUPUI
Chicago State
Chicago State is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Chicago State is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing IUPUI
IUPUI
IUPUI is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago State
IUPUI is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Chicago State

Immaculata @ Wagner
Immaculata
No trends to report
Wagner
No trends to report

College of Charleston @ Stetson
College of Charleston
College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Stetson
College of Charleston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Stetson
No trends to report

Carver Bible @ South Carolina State
Carver Bible
No trends to report
South Carolina State
No trends to report

Jackson State @ Drake
Jackson State
No trends to report
Drake
Drake is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Drake is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Tennessee State @ Charleston Southern
Tennessee State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Tennessee State's last 23 games on the road
Charleston Southern
No trends to report

Texas-Arlington @ Oral Roberts
Texas-Arlington
Texas-Arlington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Texas-Arlington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oral Roberts
No trends to report

Alcorn State @ Tulsa
Alcorn State
No trends to report
Tulsa
Tulsa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tulsa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

McNeese State @ UTEP
McNeese State
No trends to report
UTEP
UTEP is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Dartmouth @ Stanford
Dartmouth
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dartmouth's last 9 games on the road
Dartmouth is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Stanford's last 15 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 16