CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Pistons 113, Raptors 104- Jalen Duren had 24 points, 23 rebounds.
— Bulls 132, Pacers 129, OT- Bulls’ starters were +69; their subs, minus-54.
— Nuggets 100, Heat 88- Denver outscored Miami 28-17 in 4th quarter.
— Magic 114, Nets 106- Orlando made 14 of 32 shots on the arc.
— Hornets 110, Grizzlies 98- Charlotte played only 3 subs; they were +31.
— Cavaliers 116, Pelicans 95- Darius Garland had 27 points, 11 assists.

Quote of the Day
“Every day of my life I think about that home run. Wouldn’t you?”
Bill Mazeroski, who hit a walk-off home run to end the 1960 World Series

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Edgar Martinez has scored the most runs.

Tuesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 draft, the same year they drafted Robert Griffin III in the first round.

****************************************

Thursday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Wednesday

Big X
Cincinnati 72, Kansas 52

Playing without its two best players, Kansas shot 3-20 on the arc.
Jayhawks lost four of their last five games.
Kansas State 78, Texas 74
K-State was only team Wednesday that was outside the Field of 68, and beat a team that is (right now) in the Field of 68.

ACC
Boston College 76, Clemson 55

BC won decisively the last two nights, by 16-21 points.
Wake Forest 72, Notre Dame 59
Wake Forest-Pitt Thursday seems like an elimination game.

SEC
Arkansas 90, Vanderbilt 85 OT

Vandy led by 15 with 16:55 left in game.
Arkansas’ Khalif Battle was 13-14 on foul line.
Vandy’s whole team was 13-21 on foul line.

Big East
Xavier 76, Butler 72

Bulldogs lost six of their last eight games.
Subs in this game scored a combined total of only 5 points.

Pac-12
USC 80, Washington 74

USC is 14-12 when Collier plays, 1-5 when he doesn’t.
Trojans shot 56% inside the arc.

Big Sky
Montana State 85, Montana 70

Montana State was +12 in turnovers (15-3)
Bobcats win Big Sky tournament for third year in a row.
Favored Montana led 38-32 at halftime.

Patriot
Colgate 74, Lehigh 55

Raiders shot 74.3% inside the arc.
Colgate has won this league five of last six years.

Southland
McNeese State 92, Nicholls State 76

Cowboys are in NCAAs for first time since 2002.
McNeese has won 25 of its last 26 games- they won at VCU, UAB.

Big West
Cal-Riverside 83, Cal-Bakersfield 78

Bakersfield led 40-21 late in first half.
Riverside was 24-34 on foul line, Roadrunners 9-11.

MAAC
Fairfield 68, Iona 63

Gaels had won six of previous eight MAAC tournaments.
Fairfield started season 1-6, is 20-5 since then.

— Only two teams have won 25+ games the last four years:
Houston and………..the Drake Bulldogs.

— Good news/bad news for Marquette basketball:
Marquette coach Shaka Smart is 22-9 SU in conference tournament games.
Marquette’s star G Tyler Kolek (oblique) isn’t playing this week, so they’re a long shot to win the Big East tournament this year.

Famous birthdays for March 14:
Michael Caine, 91
Billy Crystal, 76
Dave McKay, 74
Larry Johnson, 55
Corey Stoll, 48
Steph Curry, 36
Albert Einstein was born on this day, 145 years ago.

— Knicks are first NBA team since 2012 to hold three straight opponents under 80 points.

— A #5-seed has never won the NCAA Tournament:
#4’s- UConn 2023, Arizona 1997
#6’s- Kansas, 1988
#7’s- UConn 2014
#8’s- Villanova, 1985

— 14 conference tournaments are finished; here are the winners, by seeds:
#1-seeds- 7
#2’s- 3
#3’s- 1 (Morehead State, OVC)
#5’s- 2 (Longwood Big South, Montana State Big Sky)
#6’s- 1 (Wagner, NEC)

Word of the Day: Integrity- being honest and having strong moral principles.

Baseball stuff……
— White Sox traded P Dylan Cease to San Diego, for three prospects and another player.

— Bronx ace Gerrit Cole has an elbow issue, is out at least 1-2 months.

— With all the pitching injuries, I’m surprised an older pitcher or two hasn’t tried to become a knuckleball pitcher, to prolong his big league career.
Tim Wakefield, RA Dickey are the most recent pitchers who had success with the knuckler; Matt Waldron of the Padres dabbles with it these days.

NFL stuff…….
— backup QB happenings……..
Jets signed Tyrod Taylor
Colts signed Joe Flacco
Titans signed Mason Rudolph
Bears signed Brett Rypien

— Tennessee also signed WR Calvin Ridley, for four years, $92M.

— Chargers released WR Mike Williams, saving $20M on the salary cap. Williams was a Charger for seven years, catching 309 passes for 4,806 yards and 31 TD’s.

— Washington signed LB Bobby Wagner for one year, $8.5M ($6M guaranteed).

— Rams signed CB Darious Williams, who helped LA win a Super Bowl three years ago, before going off to Jacksonville.
 

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PHOENIX is 30-16 ATS (12.4 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 14-3 Under (10.7 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

Chauncey Billups is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread (Coach of PORTLAND).




NBA

Thursday, March 14


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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Boston
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games

LA Clippers @ Chicago
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
LA Clippers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games

Washington @ Houston
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Washington

New York @ Portland
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New York
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 14


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THURSDAY, MARCH 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHO at BOS07:30 PMBOS -5.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
WAS at HOU08:00 PMHOU -8.0
U 226.5
+500 +500
LAC at CHI08:00 PMLAC -6.0
U 214.5
+500 +500
PHI at MIL08:00 PMPHI +7.5
U 219.5
+500 +500
DAL at OKC10:00 PMDAL +10.5
O 235.5
+500 +500
NY at POR10:00 PMPOR +10.5
U 205.5
+500 +500
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Last six national title games in college basketball:
2023— UConn 76, San Diego State 59
2022— Kansas 72, North Carolina 69
2021— Baylor 86, Gonzaga 70
2019— Virginia 85, Texas Tech 77 OT
2018— Villanova 79, Michigan 62
2017— North Carolina 71, Gonzaga 65

Thought of the Day

“Everyone is going through their own struggles. Be kind.”

Friday’s quiz
Who was Vanderbilt’s coach, the last time they made the NCAA Tournament?
Hint: He is coaching another D-I team now, and is a #1-seed in his league

Thursday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the Seattle Mariners, Edgar Martinez has scored the most runs.

**********************************************

Two Lists for Friday: List #1, wrapping up a great day of hoop

Thursday of Champ Week is the best basketball day of the year.
First two games on Thursday were #1-seeds getting upset in their tournaments.
Mid-American
Kent State 67, Toledo 59

Last four years, Toledo is 62-13 in MAC regular season games, but only 4-4 in MAC Tournament games. Rockets haven’t been to the NCAA’s since 1980.

Atlantic 15
St Joe’s 66, Richmond 61

Spiders led by 10 with 11:27 left in the game.
Hawks out-rebounded Richmond, 40-29.

Duquesne 65, Dayton 57
This is a disaster for bubble teams; Dayton is going to be in the NCAA’s, so now the winner of this tournament becomes a bid-stealer from a bubble team.

St Bonaventure 75, Loyola 74, 2OT
Bonnies were down 10, with 6:06 left in the game.
St Bonaventure won the last two days, by total of 3 points.
Daryl Banks scored 22 points in 42:00, and he didn’t start.

Coaches who win (South Carolina, Florida) get new contracts.
Coaches who don’t win enough lose their jobs; this is a tough week for that.
Fresno State
Oklahoma State
Rice
Saint Louis
Texas-San Antonio
Vanderbilt…….all these schools fired their coach in the last day or two.

ACC
NC State 74, Duke 69

12th-seed Wolfpack are first double-digit seed since 2010 to make the semi-finals of the ACC Tournament.
Last time Duke lost its first ACC Tourney game was 2013 (18-3 since 2003).

Pitt 81, Wake Forest 69
Panthers have won 10 of their last 12 games.
Wake Forest went 4-6 in its last ten games.

Big East
St John’s 91, Seton Hall 72

Red Storm scored 1.32 points/possession; in their two losses to Seton Hall during the season, they scored 0.97/0.85 points/possession.
St John’s has won six in a row; their Selection Sunday will be stress-free.

Providence 78, Creighton 73
Friars held Creighton to 37.9% from the floor.
Bracketology suggests that Providence still needs a win Friday to make the NCAA’s.

Marquette 71, Villanova 65 OT
Loss figures to send Villanova to the NIT.
Wildcats shot 9-35 on the arc.

Big X
Iowa State 76, Kansas State 57

Iowa State was 24-40 inside arc, 1-14 on arc, 25-31 on foul line.
Cyclones were +14 in turnovers; they’ve won nine of their last 11 games.

Mountain West
Both afternoon games went to overtime.
Utah State 87, Fresno State 75, OT
Aggies have won six games in a row, two of them in OT.
Utah State’s Great Osobar was 15-24 on the foul line; Fresno’s whole team was 11-14.

San Diego State 74, UNLV 71, OT
Aztecs have won nine in a row vs UNLV in the MW Tournament.
San Diego State out-rebounded UNLV, 50-31.
Aztecs survived shooting 6-23 on arc, 16-26 on foul line.

SEC
Mississippi State 70, LSU 60

Bulldogs outscored LSU 48-31 in second half.
Miss State snaps a 4-game losing skid; they’re on right side of the bubble, for now.

Pac-12
Oregon 68, UCLA 66

UCLA’s last 26 games this season:
1-8 from December 9-January 11
8-1 from January 14-February 15
2-6 from February 18-today.
Arizona 70, USC 49- Because ESPN is ESPN, they have a story on the front page of their website about Bronny James’ NBA prospects. The kid started 6 of USC’s 33 games this season; let him progress at his own pace.

American
Wichita State 71, Memphis 65

Shockers shot 56.8% inside arc.
Penny Hardaway said Memphis would pass on playing in the NIT; in his six years coaching the Tigers, Memphis is 133-62, but only 1-2 in NCAA Tournament games.

Big 14
Ohio State 90, Iowa 78

Buckeyes are 6-1 since they fired their coach; that coach, by the way, got hired Thursday by DePaul to be their new coach.

MAAC
Saint Peter’s 50, Rider 48

Teams combined to shoot 5-28 on the arc. No bueno.
Peacocks never trailed; they were up 14 at one point, hung on for dear life.

Conference USA
Texas El-Paso 66, Liberty 57

Thursday would’ve been Don Haskins’ 94th birthday; he was UTEP’s coach when they won the 1966 national title. UTEP has won four games in a row, after starting out 4-9 in C-USA.

WAC
Tex-Arlington 109, Stephen F Austin 78

Mavericks have won seven games in a row; they led 48-27 at halftime.
Tex-Arlington made 19-40 shots on the arc.

Seattle 81, Cal Baptist 57
Seattle snaps a 3-game losing skid.
Redhawks made 12-23 shots on the arc.

Big West
Hawai’i 75, Northridge 68

Rainbows won eight of their last ten games.
Long Beach State 86, Cal-Riverside 67
Long Beach snaps a 5-game losing skid.

— Oakland Griizlies have a player, Jack Gohlke, who this season has taken:
121-327 on 3-pointers (37%)
4-8 on 2-point shots
45-57 on foul shots (78.9%)
Turns out that Gohlke is a graduate student who played four years at D-II Hillsdale College, and wasn’t starting there until January 15 of his junior year. Hillsdale made the Elite 8 of the D-II tournament for the first time in 2022.
Shooting is marketable.

***********************************************

Friday’s Den #2: Some non-basketball thoughts……..

This den is about anything but basketball…….
— Saw something last week I haven’t seen in years; on Wolf Road, one of the main streets around here, a middle-aged guy was hitch-hiking, around 3:00 on a weekday afternoon.
Can’t remember the last time I saw a hitchhiker; kids today probably don’t even know what it is.
The world has become a stranger place. Giving total strangers a ride in your car seems like a potentially bad idea these days.

— NFL schedule makers probably scrambled to adjust their 2024 schedule when Russell Wilson went to the Steelers; Denver-Pittsburgh wouldn’t normally be a big primetime draw, but you have to think now that it’ll be a Sunday or Monday night game.
As far as Wilson’s departure goes, Denver will take a $53M cap hit this year, $32M in 2025

— There have been some free agents who jumped to divisional rivals; those games figure to get some attention on national TV this fall:
Eagles-Giants (Saquon Barkley)
Aaron Jones (Vikings-Packers)
Steelers-Ravens (Patrick Queen)
Dolphins-Bills (Jordan Poyer)
Also, Panthers-Buccaneers (Baker Mayfield)

— When he was coach of the Houston Texans, Boston College coach Bill O’Brien once told his team “…….welcome to the most competitive business in the world.” There is such a fine line between winning and losing, but some teams are smarter than others.
Take the Carolina Panthers…..in the past three years, they’ve traded/given away:
RB Christian McCaffrey
WR DJ Moore
EDGE Brian Burns
QB Baker Mayfield
Their first-round draft pick in 2023, 2024 AND 2025.
2nd round pick in 2023.
In return, they’ve gotten……
QB Bryce Young
LB DJ Johnson
Two 5th round picks
An extra year of Brian Burns, who they wound up trading away anyway.
In December, 2022, Carolina released Mayfield; their division rival Tampa Bay just gave Mayfield a 3-year contract worth $100M. Slight difference of opinion there.

— Over the last five seasons, Washington Commanders have started 10 different QB’s, the most of any NFL team during that time.

— After signing free-agent QB Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons traded QB Desmond Ridder to Arizona, for WR Rondale Moore.

— NFL Network is going to show 30 or so Arena Football games this spring.

— NFL awarded compensatory draft picks for next month’s draft, 34 in all:
5- Rams, 49ers
4- Eagles
3- Saints, Packers, Jets
2- Jaguars, Cowboys, Bengals
1- Bills, Ravens, Chiefs, Bucs, Chargers

— Milwaukee Brewers’ closer Devin Williams is out for 10-12 weeks with a couple of stress fractures in his back.

— 1B/OF Adam Duvall signed with the Braves, for one year, $3M. Duvall hit .247 with 21 home runs last year for the Red Sox.

— It is March 15; Blake Snell, JD Martinez and Jordan Montgomery are still unsigned; those three players can’t be real happy.

— I’m an A’s fan; how about they pretend they’re trying to win and sign Trevor Bauer to a one-year deal? He can’t be very expensive, at this point, and if he did well for the A’s this year, he could make a whole lot of $$$ next year.

— Arizona doesn’t do Daylight Savings Time, so while spring training games start at 3:00 here in the east early in spring training, after the clocks spring ahead in most of the country, they start at 4:00 from that point on.

— Major League Baseball hasn’t expanded since 1998, when Arizona/Tampa Bay came aboard, but they’ll be going to 32 teams in the next few years. Would be smart if they scrapped the current American/National League set-up and went to geographic realignment.

— Los Angeles Angels’ TV guys were talking the other day how it’ll help their starting pitchers this season to be back in a 5-man rotations, something they never would’ve said last year, when they had a 6-man rotation, because Shohei Ohtani only pitches once a week.

— In case you were wondering, the last villain on the old Batman TV series as Zsa Zsa Gabor, who played Minerva; she then went on to co-star on Green Acres, one of my favorite TV shows when I was a kid.

— I’m off to Las Vegas next month for a vacation, which reminds me…….
In the movie Last Vegas, Morgan Freeman wins $87,000 playing blackjack at Aria.
In The Hangover, Zach Galifianakis wins $85,000 playing blackjack at Caeser’s Palace.
I’m looking forward to sitting down at a table and cashing in……..(ha!!!)
 

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CHARLOTTE is 44-64 ATS (-26.4 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games after 2+ home games in the current season.

ORLANDO is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

DENVER is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 15


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NBA

Friday, March 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Charlotte
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

Miami @ Detroit
Miami
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Orlando @ Toronto
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

LA Clippers @ New Orleans
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing at home against Denver

Atlanta @ Utah
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta


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NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 15


TM2JU16.png
 

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FRIDAY, MARCH 15

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIA at DET07:00 PMDET +8.0
U 215.0
+500 +500
PHO at CHA07:00 PMCHA +10.0
U 219.0
+500 +500
ORL at TOR07:30 PMORL -8.5
O 217.0
+500 +500
LAC at NO08:00 PMNO -7.5
U 216.5
+500 +500
DEN at SA08:30 PMSA +11.0
O 222.0
+500 +500
ATL at UTA09:30 PMATL -2.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
:
Spring training leaders in RBI
14— Freeman, LA
13— DeJong CWS
13— Andujar A’s
12— Jimenez CWS
12— Serven Tor
10— Raleigh Sea/Soto NYY/Wall Atl

Quote of the Day
“For 10 years, I have been fortunate to play the game of football at the highest level. I’m thankful for the people I’ve met along the way, the friendships I’ve built and the things I’ve accomplished with my teammates and individually.”
Aaron Donald, who retired Friday, after a great 10-year NFL career

Saturday’s quiz
Which two teams played a 6-overtime game in the Big East tournament, back in 2009?

Friday’s quiz
Bryce Drew was Vanderbilt’s coach, the last time they made the NCAA Tournament in 2017; he is coaching Grand Canyon now.

Thursday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

****************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a Friday full of basketball…….


Since 1985, every team that won the college basketball national championship also made it to the semi-finals of their conference tournament.
Last 12 years, only 4 of 48 Final Four teams lost their first conference tournament game.
This week……..
Alabama, Creighton, Kentucky, Tennessee all lost their first conference tournament game.

SEC
It was an upsetting day in Nashville; three of four favorites got beat.
Mississippi State 73, Tennessee 56
Bulldogs never trailed, led 38-19 at halftime.
Tennessee is #29 experience team, but they shot 30.6% from the floor.
Texas A&M 97, Kentucky 87
Aggies had only 6 turnovers, scored 1.28 points/possession.
Texas A&M has won five in a row, is now 20-13.
This win would appear to put Texas A&M in the NCAA’s.
Florida 102, Alabama 84
Alabama thinks de-fence is what you put around de-garden.
Crimson Tide gave up 100+ points in three of last six games.
Gators shot 58.1% inside arc, made 31-36 on foul line.

ACC
NC State 73, Virginia 65, OT
12th-seed Wolfpack is in ACC Final for first time since 2007.
Kid on NC State hit a desperation 28-footer at the buzzer, to force OT.
North Carolina 72, Pitt 65
Carolina has won 8 games in a row, is looking like a #1-seed next week.
Panthers have won 10 of their last 13 games; is it enough to get in NCAA’s?

Big X
Iowa State 76, Baylor 62
If Iowa State’s uniforms said “Duke” on the front, they might be a #1-seed next week.
Cyclones have won 10 of their last 12 games.
Iowa State forces turnovers 25.9% of time (#2)
Houston 82, Texas Tech 59
This game was tied with 17:40 left to play.
Houston was +11 (19-8) in turnovers.
Cougars have the best eFG% defense in the country.

American
Temple 58, Charlotte 54
11th-seed Owls have posted upset wins three nights in a row.
Temple is 7-2 in last nine games, which followed an 0-10 streak.
Florida Atlantic 77, North Texas 71
Bubble teams need FAU to win this tournament.
FAU outscored North Texas 26-16 over final 7:51 of game.

Big 14
Nebraska 93, Indiana 66
Nebraska has won seven of its last eight games.
Cornhuskers are going to NCAA’s for first time in ten years.
Illinois 77, Ohio State 74
Buckeyes led 56-46 with 11:00 left in game.
Illinois is 24-8, looking like a #3-seed in NCAA’s.
Bubble teams liked this score.

Big East
UConn 95, St John’s 90
UConn shot 11-22 on arc, scored 1.40 points/possession in spirited game.
Huskies are 19-1 since Christmas.
It is possible that St John’s-New Mexico will be a First Four game: Pitino vs Pitino
Marquette 79, Providence 68
Marquette shot 8-15 on arc, Friars were 7-31.
Shaka Smart is now 24-9 in conference tournament games.
Bracketology has Providence on wrong side of the bubble.

Famous birthdays for March 16:
Chuck Woolery, 84
Kate Nelligan,, 73
Ozzie Newsome, 68
Rodney Peete, 58
Blake Griffin, 35
Tim Hardaway Jr, 32
Joel Embiid, 30
Vladimir Guerrero Jr, 25

Mountain West
San Diego State 86, Utah State 70
Utah State led 39-36 at halftime.
Aztecs are in final of MW tourney for 7th straight year (3-3 previous six)
New Mexico 74, Colorado State 61
Colorado State didn’t score for last 6:45 of first half.
Rams shot 34.3% from the floor.
This win probably puts New Mexico in the NCAA’s.

Pac-12
Oregon 67, Arizona 59
Ducks upset #1-seed Arizona.
Game was 33-33 at halftime.
Bubble teams are rooting hard against the Ducks Saturday night.
Colorado 58, Washington State 52
Buffaloes have won eight games in a row.
Colorado is shooting 40.2% on the arc (#3).
Buffaloes start four seniors and a junior.

MAAC
Saint Peter’s 62, Quinnipiac 60
Peacocks upset the MAAC’s #1-seed.
Saint Peter’s has won seven of its last nine games.
Both teams shot under 40% inside the arc.
Fairfield 65, Marist 61
Stags started season 1-6; they’re 21-5 since then.
Marist led by 9 with 10:10 left in the game.
Fairfield hasn’t made the NCAA’s since 1997.

Mid-American
Kent State 73, Bowling Green 60
Kent State made 12-18 shots on the arc.
Senior PG Santiago played all 40:00 two nights in a row.
Golden Flashes were only 8-10 in MAC regular season, but play for MAC title tonight.
Akron 65, Ohio U 62
Bobcats led by 10 early in 2nd half, but shot 5-23 on the arc.
Akron is shooting 54.6% inside arc in MAC games, best in league.

WAC
Grand Canyon 80, Seattle 72
Seattle led 34-32 at halftime.
Antelopes are 28-4; they’ve got #8 eFG% defense in country.
Tex-Arlington 87, Tarleton State 84
Tex-Arlington shot 67.6% inside the arc
Mavericks have won eight games in a row.
Weird thing here; Tarleton State isn’t eligible for NCAA’s this year; had they won this game, Grand Canyon would’ve won the automatic bid to NCAA’s Friday night. Now, they need to beat Tex-Arlington Saturday to make the Field of 68.

Big West
Cal-Davis 68, Hawai’i 65
Cal-Davis led 22-8 early on, then held on for dear life.
Aggies won their last four games.
Cal-Davis hasn’t made the NCAA’s since 2017.
Long Beach State 83, Cal-Irvine 79
Long Beach upsets the #1-seed Anteaters.
Irvine was only 10-19 on the foul line.
This happened three days after Long Beach fired coach Dan Monson, who is coaching the team thru the end of this season- he’s been at Long Beach for 17 years.

Conference USA
Tex-El Paso 65, Sam Houston State 63
UTEP upsets the #1-seed Bearkats.
Sam Houston led by 14 with 12:44 left in game.
Sam Houston lost by 2, was 19-34 on foul line.
Western Kentucky 85, Middle Tennessee 54
WKU led 46-27 at half; they shot 11-22 on the arc.
Hilltoppers scored 89-85 points the last two nights.
 

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HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) off a home loss in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games after 2+ home games in the current season.

CHICAGO is 14-1 Under (12.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.

UTAH is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
 

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SATURDAY, MARCH 16

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at HOU05:00 PMHOU +4.5
O 215.0
+500 +500
BK at IND07:00 PMIND -8.5
U 227.0
+500 +500
POR at NO07:00 PMNO -13.0
U 214.0
+500 +500
CHA at PHI07:00 PMCHA +10.5
O 208.5
+500 +500
WAS at CHI08:00 PMCHI -10.5
O 225.0
+500 +500
OKC at MEM08:00 PMMEM +10.5
U 219.0
+500 +500
GS at LAL08:30 PMGS +2.5
O 233.5
+500 +500
MIN at UTA09:30 PMUTA +8.5
U 222.5
+500 +500
NY at SAC10:00 PMSAC -3.5
O 218.0
+500 +500
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Teams that played the easiest non-conference schedules this season:
(conference record)
— Minnesota (9-11)
— George Washington (4-14)
— Tulsa (7-11)
— Air Force (2-16)
— Fort Wayne (11-9)
— TCU (9-9)

Quote of the Day
“There’s a lot of baseball players that are like milk. Milk is only good when it’s fresh. And then as you leave it out a while, it spoils. There are some other baseball players that are like wine. … Those are the only two kinds. You’re either milk or you’re wine. There’s no in the middle.”
Phillies OF Nick Castellanos

Sunday’s quiz
NFL teams recovered only one of 31 onside kicks last year; which team recovered the one onside kick?

Saturday’s quiz
Syracuse-UConn played a 6-overtime game in the Big East tournament, back in 2009.

Friday’s quiz
Bryce Drew was Vanderbilt’s coach, the last time they made the NCAA Tournament in 2017; he is coaching Grand Canyon now.

*********************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a Saturday full of basketball…….

Big West
Long Beach State 83, Cal-Davis 68

Monday, Long Beach fired coach Dan Monson, who has been at Long Beach for 17 years.
Long Beach goes out and wins the Big West tournament, getting to NCAA’s for first time since 2012. Last three years, Long Beach is 43-22 in conference games; the AD looks like a jackass.
Long Beach actually paid a lot of Monson’s salary by playing guarantee games in November (Michigan, DePaul, USC, San Diego State this year); most of the $$$ they got for playing those games went to Monson. Long Beach wasn’t actually paying him that much out of their pocket.

Big 14
Wisconsin 76, Purdue 75

Badgers shot 59.5% inside arc.
Wisconsin was 3-8 in its last 11 regular season games.
Purdue was 24-32 on foul line, Badgers 5-9.

Illinois 98, Nebraska 87
Illinois outscored Nebraska 58-34 in second half.
Terrence Shannon scored 40 points (13-16 on foul line)
Illini won eight of its last ten games.

Big X
Iowa State 69, Houston 41

Iowa State outscored Houston 39-18 in second half.
Cyclones have won 11 of their last 13 games.
Iowa State forces turnovers 25.7% of time (#2)

American
Temple 74, Florida Atlantic 73

11th-seed Temple has posted upset wins four nights in a row.
Temple is 8-2 in last ten games, which followed an 0-10 streak.
FAU looks like they’re still solidly in the Field of 68.

UAB 93, South Florida 83
UAB shot 61% inside arc.
Bulls won AAC regular season with a 16-2 mark, but they’re on bubble now.
Temple-UAB winner Sunday is a bid-stealer from a bubble team.

SEC
Auburn 73, Mississippi State 66

Auburn shot 61.3% inside the arc.
Auburn has best eFG% defense in country.
Miss State had 17 offensive boards, but was 3-15 on the arc.

Florida 95, Texas A&M 90
Florida made 14-26 shots on the arc.
Gators scored 94 ppg in winning the last three days.
There were 67 foul shots in this game; lot of whistles.

ACC
NC State 84, North Carolina 76

Wolfpack wins five games in five days to win its first ACC tournament since 1987.
State shot 59.5% inside the arc.
Tournament title kicks in a multi-year contract extension for coach Keatts.

Word of the Day: Sláinte- means “health” in both Irish and Scottish Gaelic. It is commonly used as a drinking toast in Ireland, Scotland and the Isle of Man.
Happy St Patrick’s Day.

Big East
UConn 73, Marquette 57

First time UConn won a conference tournament since 2016 AAC tourney.
Huskies are 20-1 since Christmas.
UConn has #6 eFG% in country, #4 eFG% defense.

Mountain West
New Mexico 68, San Diego State 61

Lobos won four days in a row, giving up 61 ppg.
New Mexico wins MW tournament for first time since 2014.
San Diego State was in MW tourney final for 7th straight year (3-4)
Ledee (25 points) was only Aztec to score more than 8 points.

Ivy League
Brown 90, Princeton 81

#1-seed Princeton gets upset here.
Brown has only been in NCAA’s once (1986)

Yale 69, Cornell 57
Yale never trailed, held Big Red to 32.8% from floor.
Yale has won two of last four Ivy League tournaments.

Pac-12
Oregon 75, Colorado 68

Ducks’ big man Dante was 12-12 from floor, scored 25 points.
Oregon won its last four games, is in NCAA’s for first time since 2021.
Colorado had its 8-game win streak snapped.

Famous birthdays for March 17:
Cito Gaston, 80
Kurt Russell, 73
Gary Sinise, 69
Danny Ainge, 65
Sam Bowie, 63
Rob Lowe, 60
Rhys Hoskins, 31

MAAC
Saint Peter’s 68, Fairfield 63

Fairfield led this game by 10 points early in 2nd half.
Saint Peter’s has won seven of its last nine games.
Stags missed their last 15 shots behind the arc.

Mid-American
Akron 62, Kent State 61

Kent State scored to go ahead by a point with 0:06 left; one of their guys thought they were still losing. When Akron inbounded the ball, Kent State kid fouls the guy with the ball on purpose, giving the Zips foul shots with 0:04.8 left, which they made.
Kent PG Santiago played all 40:00 for third night in a row.

Conference USA
Western Kentucky 78, Texas-El Paso 71

Hilltoppers trailed by 6 with 13:18 left in game.
WKU shot 57.1% inside the arc.
Hilltoppers are in NCAA’s for first time since 2013.

America East
Vermont 66, UMass Lowell 61

Catamounts win America East tourney for 5th time in seven years.
Vermont was +8 in turnovers (14-6).
Vermont beat St John’s in November, lost to Virginia by 6.

MEAC
Howard 70, Delaware State 67

Bison won 7 of last 8 games, after an 11-15 start.
Howard is in NCAA’s for second year in a row (22-13 LY)
Howard has a 6-9 graduate student, Seth Towns:
2016-17- scored 12.3 ppg at Harvard
2017-18- was Ivy League Player of Year at Harvard
2018-19- medical redshirt
2019-20- medical redshirt
2020-21- scored 3.8 ppg at Ohio State
2021-22- medical redshirt
2022-23- voluntarily took last year off
2023-24- is scoring 14.2 ppg for Howard.

SWAC
Grambling 75, Texas Southern 66

Grambling is in the NCAA’s for the first time ever.
Tigers won nine of their last ten games.
 

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MILWAUKEE is 233-296 ATS (-92.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

DETROIT is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in home games after 2+ home games in the current season.

DALLAS are 58-38 ATS (16.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% - 2nd half of the sea...

BROOKLYN is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Sunday, March 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Charlotte
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

Miami @ Detroit
Miami
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Orlando @ Toronto
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

LA Clippers @ New Orleans
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing at home against Denver

Atlanta @ Utah
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, MARCH 17

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHO at MIL01:00 PMPHO +2.5
U 227.0
+500 +500
MIA at DET03:00 PMDET +6.5
U 214.5
+500 +500
DEN at DAL03:30 PMDEN -4.0
O 229.0
+500 +500
BOS at WAS06:00 PMBOS -11.0
U 229.0
+500 +500
TOR at ORL06:00 PMTOR +12.5
O 216.0
+500 +500
BK at SA07:00 PMSA -2.0
O 218.5
+500 +500
ATL at LAC09:30 PMLAC -9.5
U 221.0
+500 +500
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Highest-rated teams that missed the NCAA Tournament:
— St John’s
— Wake Forest
— Villanova
— Cincinnati
— Pittsburgh
— Oklahoma

Quote of the Day
“I knew it was going to be hard, especially when we’re building off of not much tradition……I was the most relaxed I’ve ever been. I just tried to enjoy it for the first time in my life.”
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot; Dukes are in NCAAs for first time since 1977

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, what famous actress played George Clooney’s wife?

Sunday’s quiz
NFL teams recovered only one of 31 onside kicks last year; Arizona Cardinals recovered the one onside kick.

Saturday’s quiz
Syracuse-UConn played a 6-overtime game in the Big East tournament, back in 2009.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Quick thoughts after seeing the brackets…….

Some quick thoughts on each of the four play-in games, and the 28 first round games where we know the matchups. After this, I’m off to study………
Tuesday’s games
Colorado State-Virginia

Since 2019, Virginia has been in the NCAA’s four times:
In 2019, Virginia won the national title.
The other three years, Virginia lost in the first round.

Wagner-Howard
NEC teams are 5-5 in play-in games.
MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.
Wagner went 7-9 in the 2nd-worst league in the country.

Wednesday’s games
Colorado-Boise State

All-time, Boise State is 0-9 in NCAA Tournament games, the most tournament games any team has played without getting a win.

Grambling-Montana State
Montana State is in NCAA’s for 3rd year in a row, but this year, they went 9-9 in Big Sky games. The last two years, Bobcats were 31-7 in Big Sky games.
This is Grambling’s first-ever NCAA Tournament game.

Thursday’s games
South Dakota State-Iowa State

Since 2012, Jackrabbits are 0-6 in NCAA Tournament games, 2-3-1 ATS.
From 2017-19, Iowa State coach Otzelberger went 70-33 coaching South Dakota State.

Saint Peter’s-Tennessee
Since 2003, MAAC teams are 6-13 ATS in first round games, but 3-1 the last four years. Peacocks were in the Elite 8 two years ago, but the coach/players from that team have moved on.
Last five years, Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS in first round games.

Long Beach State-Arizona
From 1983-2007, Lute Olson went 589-187 coaching Arizona, winning a national title in 1997. Olson also coached Long Beach State for a year; he replaced Jerry Tarkanian there in 1973-74, going 24-2; he left after a year to coach Iowa.
Dan Monson has coached Long Beach State for 17 years (275-272), but got fired last week; he made the NCAA’s at Long Beach one other time, in
2012.

Morehead State-Illinois
Illinois coach Underwood has made NCAA’s seven times, for three different schools; he is 4-3 SU/ATS in first round games.

Oakland-Kentucky
Oakland is in NCAA’s for first time since 2011; over last 11 years, Horizon teams are 4-7 ATS in first round games.
Under John Calipari, Kentucky is 5-6 ATS in first round games.

Akron-Creighton
Last seven years, MAC teams are 3-4 SU/6-1 ATS in first round games.
Under McDermott, Creighton is 6-2 SU/4-4 ATS in first round games. This is second time Bluejays have been a #3-seed, tied for best seed Creighton has been under McDermott.

Samford-Kansas
Jayhawks have injury issues: Dickinson/McKullar didn’t play in the Big X tournament. Kansas lost four of its last five games.
14 of the last 15 years, a #4-seed lost in the first round. Is Samford good enough to pull an upset?

McNeese State-Gonzaga
While coaching at VCU/LSU, McNeese coach Will Wade was 3-2 SU in first round games. This season, his first at McNeese, Wade has the Cowboys at 30-3, their first winning season since 2012- they’ve won games at VCU, UAB and Michigan.
Since 2003, Gonzaga is 18-2 SU/9-11 ATS in first round games; last time they lost a first round game was 2008, as a #7-seed, to Seth Curry’s Davidson team.

Duquesne-BYU
Duquesne is in NCAA’s for first time since 1977; their coach is Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.
BYU is in NCAA’s for only 2nd time since 2015; they haven’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2012.

NC State-Texas Tech
Wolfpack won five games in five days to win ACC Tournament, and get to this point; they went 2-7 in their last nine regular season games.
Texas Tech is shooting 36.5% on the arc (#38), getting 33.9% of their points on 3’s (#84).

Oregon-South Carolina
Much like NC State, Ducks were a surprise winner of their conference tournament. Under Dana Altman, Oregon is 7-0 SU in first round games in the NCAA’s.
This is South Carolina’s 2nd NCAA bid since 2004; they made the Final 4 as a #7-seed in 2017, when Frank Martin was coach.

Drake-Washington State
Bulldogs have #27 eFG% in country, they get good shots. Their best player is Tucker DeVries, the coach’s son; he is shooting 36.4% on arc. Drake is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
Washington State is in NCAA’s for first time since 2008; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense.

Nevada-Dayton
Nevada won 7 of its last 8 games; CBS left them hanging a little when they announced the brackets- they have to be relieved to be in the tournament. In his coaching career, Steve Alford is 7-5 in first round games.
Dayton split its last four games, after a 21-4 start; they’re shooting 40.2% on the arc, #3 in the country.

Michigan State-Mississippi State
Spartans got in tournament despite losing five of their last seven games. Coach Izzo won five of his last six first round games.
Mississippi State also lost five of its last seven games; coach Jans is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last six years. Bulldogs are #21 team in country on the offensive boards.

Friday’s games
Northwestern-Florida Atlantic

Northwestern is in NCAA’s for 2nd year in row, 3rd time in 8 years; they went 10-2 outside the Big 14, with a #355 non-conference strength of schedule.
FAU was in the Final Four LY, as a #9-seed; they have wins this year over Arizona, Texas A&M and Virginia Tech- they lost 98-89 to Illinois.

Colgate-Baylor
Last 10 years, Patriot League teams are 4-6 ATS in first round games; Colgate went 2-2 ATS the last four years, with losses by 7-17-7-20 points.
Since 2016, Baylor is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in first round games.

Alabama-Birmingham-San Diego State
UAB won its last five games; they’re only in because they won the AAC Tournament. Blazers are 8-6 vs top 100 teams this season.
San Diego State lost the national title game LY, after losing in first round the first two years before that
.
Western Kentucky-Marquette
Hilltoppers play the fastest tempo of any team in country; they won the C-USA Tournament, after losing their last four regular season games. WKU split two games with #95 Louisiana Tech, the best team they played this season.
Marquette’s star G Kolek (oblique) missed the last six games, which Marquette split. Shaka Smart got VCU to the Final Four in 2011; since 2014, he is 1-6 in first round games (beat Vermont 78-61 last year).

Stetson-UConn
Stetson (Jacob deGrom’s alma mater) is in NCAA’s for first time. Over last 10 years, A-SUN teams are 4-6 SU/7-3 ATS in first round games.
UConn won national title last year, after losing in first round the first two years before that. Last six years, #1-seeds are 10-14 ATS in first round games.

New Mexico-Clemson
New Mexico allowed 76+ points in seven of its eight losses. Last eight years, underdogs are 18-14 ATS in first round games between #6-11 seeds.
Clemson lost three of its last four games; since 1998, Tigers are 1-6 SU in first round games.

Yale-Auburn
Yale was down 6 with 0:27 left Sunday, rallied to pull out the win and the Ivy League title. Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for third time in five years; since 2010, Ivy League teams are 9-3 ATS in first round games.
Auburn won its last six games, five of them by 14+ points; in his career, Bruce Pearl is 8-4 SU/5-7 ATS in first round games, 3-7 as a favorite.

Texas A&M-Nebraska
Aggies have #345 eFG% in country; they’re #1 in country on offensive boards. A&M won five of its last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
Nebraska has #15 eFG% defense in country.
This year, SEC teams are 9-4 SU/ATS against Big 14 opponents.

Vermont-Duke
Vermont is in NCAA’s for 5th time in last seven tournaments; they went 2-2 ATS in previous four NCAA games.
Duke is 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven 1st round games. Last five years, #4-seeds are 6-14 ATS in first round games.

Charleston-Alabama
Charleston won its last 12 games; LY, they had won 10 in row before losing 63-57 to San Diego State in first round. CAA teams lost their last 10 first-round games (0-4 ATS last four).
Alabama lost four of its last six games, giving up 100+ points three times.
Early total on this game is 171.5; Alabama plays pace #9, Charleston #59.

Longwood-Houston
Big South teams haven’t won a first round game since 2007 (Winthrop); since 2008, they’re 4-9 ATS in this round. Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year; they played #344 non-conference schedule.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country; they’re #13 team on offensive boards.

James Madison-Wisconsin
Dukes won their last 13 games, longest current win streak in country; they’ve got #24 eFG% defense, #34 eFG%, but that was against schedule #293.
Under Gard, Wisconsin is 4-1 SU/ATS in first round games. Badgers went 3-1 in Big 14 tournament, after losing 8 of last 11 regular season games.

TCU-Utah State
TCU won first round games last two years, 69-42/72-70. Horned Frogs are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#22); they’re #20 team on offensive boards.
Utah State won six of its last seven games; they’re 12-1 out of conference, vs schedule #141. Aggies were in three of last four NCAA’s, but lost in first round all three times.

Grand Canyon-Saint Mary’s
Grand Canyon is in NCAA’s for 3rd time in four years; they lost other two games, by 12 points each. Antelopes have #10 eFG% defense in country. WAC teams are 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS against WCC opponents, but none of games were against Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s.
Saint Mary’s is best rebounding team in country; since 2017, Gaels are 3-1 in first round games, winning last two years in first round, by 29-12 points.
 

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CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the current season.

CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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