CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Hawks 112, Cavaliers 101- Atlanta outscored Cavs 25-12 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 115, 76ers 109- Memphis outscored Sixers 34-16 in 4th quarter.
— Clippers 122, Rockets 116- Houston led 57-44 at halftime.
— Bulls 119, Jazz 117- DeRozan scored 29 points, had 7 assists
— Warriors 125, Bucks 90- Curry scored 29 points, was 6-10 on the arc.
— Kings 130, Lakers 120- Fox scored 44 points, had four assists.

Quote of the Day
“That’s the culture — to show up every day and be ready to do whatever we can to win a game. And that culture is built over a period of time of people holding each other accountable to that standard and that culture. That’s what we’re working on now.”
Blue Jays’ SS Bo Bichette

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s (since 1968), who has knocked in the most runs?

Wednesday’s quiz
John Havlicek has scored the most points (26,395) in Boston Celtics’ history.

Tuesday’s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.

****************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

Underrated Fact of the Day: Since 1976, Michigan State has had only TWO basketball coaches, Jud Heathcote and Tom Izzo. Two coaches in 48 years.
By way of comparison, over the last 10 years, UNLV has had five coaches, and they had winning seasons in eight of those ten years.

— Iowa State 68, BYU 63

BYU led this game 38-27 at halftime.
Cyclones won 8 of last 9 games; they went undefeated at home this season.
Iowa State is 24-6/13-4 this year; three years ago, they went 0-18 in Big X.

— Texas A&M 75, Mississippi State 69
A&M came into game shooting 26.7% on arc (#361); they were 8-21 in this game, an improvement.

— Tennessee 66, South Carolina 59
Vols win the outright SEC regular season title for first time since 2008.
Dalton Knecht scored 26 points, had one assist; his job is to score points.
Knecht played at Northern Colorado the last two years; Bears went 34-36 in those two years, 19-19 in Big Sky games.
Plus, they’re 19-12/12-6 this season, without Knecht. That doesn’t seem possible.

— Seton Hall 66, Villanova 56
Pirates played only two subs, for total of 21:00.
Seton Hall did a lot here to get themselves off the bubble.
Villanova shot 32.8% from floor; they still have work to do, to make NCAA’s.

— Florida Atlantic 80, North Texas 76
Owls led 12-0 early, but were down 7 early in 2nd half.
FAU is 23-7/13-4; they shot 56.2% inside arc.

— LeMoyne 82, FDU 61- Dolphins win a conference tournament game in their first season as a Division I team.

Word of the Day: Apopleptic- infuriated, overcome with anger.

— Magic 119, Wizards 109
Orlando is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games.
Washington has lost 16 games in a row (2-6 ATS in last eight)

— Washington Commanders signed TE Zach Ertz for one year, $5M; Ertz played for Kliff Kingsbury in Arizona. Kingsbury is the Commanders’ new offensive coordinator.

— Buffalo Bills saved $47M in cap space with a flurry of roster moves:
They cut six players, one of whom won’t be cut until after June 1st.
They restructured two other contracts, including LB Von Miller’s.
Bills also signed QB Mitch Trubisky to back up Josh Allen.
After the flurry of moves, Buffalo is now only $1,177,381 over the salary cap.

Baseball stuff:
Astros’ P Justin Verlander (shoulder) will open the season on IL
Rockies OF Nolan Jones left Wednesday’s game (back spasms)
Padres 2B Ha-Seong Kim is out until Friday (back spasms)
MRI on Orioles’ CF Cedric Mullins’ hamstring came back negative.
A’s SS Nick Allen has a mild back strain.
Cubs’ 3B Nick Madrigal had an MRI on his hamstring

Famous birthdays on March 7th:
Lynn Swann, 72
Bryan Cranston, 69
Tommy Kramer, 69
Joe Carter, 64
Willie (Flipper) Anderson, 59
Ricky Proehl, 56
Jenna Fischer, 50
Michael Harris, 23

— I try to listen to podcasts about fantasy baseball, to learn things that can make my team better; this week, one of the guys on a podcast said he has teams in 12 different leagues.
That would be overwhelming to me, to keep track of 12 different teams. As it is, I probably spend too much time tracking my one team, can’t imagine doing it with 11 more.

— How favorites/underdogs are faring in conference tournaments:
A-SUN underdogs 5-1 ATS
Big South favorites 1-0 ATS
Horizon favorites 2-1 ATS
NEC underdogs 3-1 ATS
OVC favorites 2-0 ATS
Patriot favorites 1-1 ATS

So far this month, underdogs are 10-8 ATS in conference tournaments.
 

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DETROIT is 70-42 Over (23.8 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

Chris Finch is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

MIAMI is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

DENVER is 56-78 ATS (-29.8 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher in the current season.
 

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NBA

Thursday, March 7


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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Indiana
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Brooklyn @ Detroit
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games

Miami @ Dallas
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami's last 16 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Phoenix
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Denver
Boston
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Denver is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

San Antonio @ Sacramento
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio

Chicago @ Golden State
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 7


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THURSDAY, MARCH 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIN at IND07:00 PMIND -1.5
O 228.0
+500 +500
BK at DET07:00 PMBK -2.5
U 216.0
+500 +500
MIA at DAL07:30 PMDAL -4.5
U 228.5
+500 +500
TOR at PHO09:00 PMTOR +10.0
U 234.5
+500 +500
BOS at DEN10:00 PMDEN +1.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
SA at SAC10:00 PMSA +11.0
O 235.0
+500 +500
CHI at GS10:00 PMGS -8.0
U 223.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA trends (thru Wednesday, March 6)

Hawks (28-34):
— 4-3 SU since All-Star Game
— 7-19 ATS as a home favorite
— under 3-0 last three home games
— 4-7 ATS if they played night before.

Celtics (48-13):
— won 11 of last 12 games SU (7-1 ATS last eight)
— 4-0 ATS last four as a home favorite.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— 5-4 ATS if they played night before.

Nets (25-37):
— lost three of their last four games.
— 11-5 ATS as home favorite.
— 3-14 ATS last 17 road games.
— under 5-0 last five road games
— 3-7 ATS if they played night before.

Hornets (15-47):
— lost last five games SU; 9-5 ATS last 14 games.
— 5-2 ATS last seven as a home underdog.
— under 9-1 last ten games.
— 6-5 ATS if they played night before.

Bulls (30-32)
— 4-2 SU last six games, 12-8 ATS last 20 games.
— 6-4 ATS as a home dog, 6-3 as road favorite.
— under 3-1 last four road games.
— 3-7 ATS on first night of back/back.

Cavaliers (40-22):
— 4-5 SU since All-Star break.
— 1-6 ATS last seven as a home favorite.
— under 4-0 last four games.
— 2-7 ATS if they played the night before.

Mavericks (34-28):
— 2-5 SU since All-Star break.
— 2-6 ATS last 8 as as home favorites, 10-3 as road faves.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before.

Nuggets (42-20):
— 6-1 SU since All-Star break.
— 2-5 ATS last 7 as as home favorites, 9-13 as road faves.
— under 7-2-1 last ten home games.
— 3-9 ATS if they played night before.

Pistons (9-52):
— lost nine of last ten games SU.
— 7-2 ATS last nine as a home dog.
— under 9-1 last ten games
— 3-8 ATS on first night of back/back, 6-5 on 2nd night.

Warriors (33-28):
— won seven of last nine games SU
— 9-16 ATS as a home favorite
— 20-9 ATS on the road.
— under 8-0 last eight games
— 10-4 ATS if they played night before.

Rockets (27-35):
— lost 10 of last 14 games SU
— 5-1 ATS last six home games.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before.

Pacers (35-28):
— 8-5 in last 13 games SU.
— 10-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 8-3 last eleven games.
— 1-9 ATS if they played night before.

Clippers (40-21):
— won three of last four games (3-9 ATS in last 12)
— 1-5 ATS last six home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— 5-5 ATS if they played night before.

Lakers (34-30):
— 7-4 SU last 11 games (2-6 ATS last eight)
— 10-15 as home favorite, 2-8 ATS as a road fave.
— over 4-1 last five home games.
— 3-9 ATS if they played night before.

Grizzlies (22-41):
— 7-2 ATS last nine road games.
— 12-18 ATS at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— 6-5 ATS if they played night before.

Heat (35-27):
— won nine of last 11 games SU (11-3 ATS last 14).
— 11-12 ATS as home favorites, 1-6 as home underdogs.
— under 7-3 last ten games.
— 4-5 ATS if they played the night before.

Bucks (41-22):
— 6-1 SU/ATS since All-Star break
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games.
— under 10-1 last eleven games.
— 4-5-1 ATS if they played the night before.

Timberwolves (43-19)
— 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS since All-Star break
— 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— over 5-0 last five road games.
— 4-6 ATS if they played the night before.
— Karl-Anthony Towns is out for rest of regular season.

Pelicans (37-25):
— won 12 of last 16 games SU
— 16-9 ATS as an underdog.
— under 8-2 last ten road games.
— 5-4 ATS if they played the night before

Knicks (36-26):
— 4-9 SU/2-11 ATS last 13 games.
— 0-9 ATS in last nine home games.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— 2-7 ATS if they played night before.

Thunder (43-19):
— won eight of their last ten games SU.
— 18-7 ATS as a home favorite, 8-3 as a road dog.
— over 4-1-1 last six home games
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before.

Magic (37-26):
— 8-1 SU last nine games, 5-0 ATS last five.
— 14-4 ATS as home favorite, 6-3 as road favorite.
— under 6-1 last seven games.
— 7-6 ATS if they played night before.

76ers (35-27):
— 6-14 SU last 20 games.
— 1-10 ATS last 11 home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games.
— 5-9 ATS if they played night before.

Suns (36-26):
— 3-4 SU since All-Star break.
— 12-17 ATS as a home favorite, 7-11 as road favorite.
— under 5-0 last five home games
— 4-4 ATS if they played night before.

Trailblazers (17-44):
— lost 11 of last 13 games SU.
— 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS last eight home games.
— over 3-1 last four games
— 8-3 ATS if they played night before.

Kings (35-26):
— 4-3 SU since All-Star break.
— 14-5 ATS as an underdog.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— 3-6 ATS if they played night before, 0-4 at home.

Spurs (13-49):
— 3-13 SU in last 16 games
— 5-3 ATS last eight home games.
— under 6-2 last eight road games.
— 4-3 ATS if they played night before.

Raptors (23-39):
— 4-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— 1-6 ATS last seven home tilts.
— under 9-3 last 12 home games.
— 4-7 ATS if they played night before.

Jazz (28-35):
— lost nine of last 11 games SU
— 9-6 ATS last 15 home games.
— over 10-5 last 15 home games
— 4-5 ATS if they played night before.

Wizards (9-53):
— 0-16 SU last eight games (2-6 ATS last eight).
— 9-17 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 6-0 last six road games; under 9-2 last 11 at home.
— 4-5 ATS if they played night before.
 

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WASHINGTON is 74-48 Under (21.2 Units) off a home loss against a division rival since 1996.

NEW ORLEANS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NEW YORK is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the current season.

ATLANTA is 11-38 ATS (-30.8 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current sea...

MILWAUKEE is 14-30 ATS (-19 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

PORTLAND is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Friday, March 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Charlotte @ Washington
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

New Orleans @ Philadelphia
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Minnesota @ Cleveland
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Orlando @ New York
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games

Atlanta @ Memphis
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami's last 17 games on the road
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Houston @ Portland
Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Portland
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

Milwaukee @ LA Lakers
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Lakers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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FRIDAY, MARCH 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NO at PHI07:00 PMNO -7.5
O 222.5
+500 +500
CHA at WAS07:00 PMCHA +2.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
MIN at CLE07:30 PMCLE -1.0
U 207.0
+500 +500
ORL at NY07:30 PMORL -1.0
U 205.5
+500 +500
MIA at OKC08:00 PMOKC -8.5
U 224.5
+500 +500
ATL at MEM08:00 PMATL -2.0
U 215.5
+500 +500
HOU at POR10:00 PMPOR +6.0
O 219.0
+500 +500
MIL at LAL10:00 PMMIL -2.0
U 232.0
+500 +500
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Boise State 79, San Diego State 77 OT- Broncos were 11-27 on arc.
— Dayton 91, VCU 86 OT- VCU led by 17 midway thru first half.
— Western Michigan 90, Akron 84- WMU was 26-35 on line, Zips 11-14.
— Morehead State 84, UT-Martin 78- Eagles shot 16-35 on the arc.
— Portland 78, LMU 70- Pilots advance to play San Francisco Saturday.
— San Diego 57, Pepperdine 52- Toreros were 0-16 inside arc in 2nd half, still won.

Quote of the Day
“I think that, specific to Gavin (Lux), it gives him an opportunity to get to the other side of the diamond. … So to get him back over there, shorten the throw, it should be less of a toll on his body overall and give him an opportunity to have success.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts, talking about moving Mookie Betts to SS

Saturday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr?

Friday’s quiz
Over the last 35 years, only one college basketball team has lost twice as a #2-seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament- Arizona.

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s (since 1968), Mark McGwire has knocked in the most runs.

************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Conference tournament trends…….

Some conference tournament trends……..
ACC
Last five ACC tournaments, four different teams have won the tournament; Duke won it in 2019 and last year. Since 2017, they’re 15-2 in ACC tourney games.
North Carolina hasn’t won an ACC tournament since 2016; in two years under Hubert Davis, they went WL in both ACC tournaments.
Since joining the ACC, Syracuse is 5-8 in conference tournament games.

Atlantic 15
Winners of last seven A-15 tournaments:
2016- St Joe’s (13-5, 4th)
2017- Rhode Island (13-5, T3)
2018- Davidson (13-5, 3rd)
2019- Saint Louis (10-8, T6th)
2020- COVID year
2021- St Bonaventure (11-7, T5)
2022- Richmond (10-8, 6th)
2023- VCU (15-3, 1st)

Big 14
Winners of last five Big 14 tournaments:
2018- Michigan (13-5, T4th)
2019- Michigan State (16-4, T1st)
2020- COVID year
2021- Illinois (16-4, 2nd)
2022- Iowa (12-8, T4th)
2023- Purdue (15-5, 1st)

Big X
Since 2013……
Kansas has won four Big X tournaments.
Iowa State has won four Big X tournaments.
Texas has won two Big X tournaments.
Thats it, those three teams are only champs in last 11 years.

Big East
Winners of last three Big East tournaments:
2021- Georgetown (7-9, 8th)
2022- Villanova (16-4, 2nd)
2023- Marquette (17-3, 1st)
From 2015-19, Villanova won the tournament 4 of 5 years, so they’ve won 5 of last 8 Big East tournaments, overall, but those were all with Jay Wright as coach.

Big Sky
#1-seed won 10 of last 12 Big Sky tournaments; #2-seed won the other two.
Montana State won the tournament the last two years.

Big West
First place team won three of last four Big West tournaments
Last eight Big West tourney champs:
2015- Cal-Irvine (11-5, T2nd)
2016- Hawai’i (13-3, T1st)
2017- Cal-Davis (11-5, 2nd)
2018- Cal-Fullerton (10-6, 4th)
2019- Cal-Irvine (15-1, 1st)
2020- COVID year
2021- Cal-Santa Barbara (13-3, 1st)
2022- Cal-Fullerton (11-4, 2nd)
2023- Cal-Santa Barbara (15-5, T1st)

CAA
Winners of last five Big 14 tournaments:
2019- Northeastern (14-4, 2nd)
2020- Hofstra (14-4, 1st)
2021- Drexel (4-5, 6th)
2022- Delaware (10-8, T4th)
2023- Charleston (16-2, T1st)

Word of the Day: bamboozle- to fool or cheat someone.

— Stetson 88, Jacksonville 87 (Thursday night)
Hatters trailed by 10 with 4:53 left in the game.
Stetson made 13-22 on the arc, scored 1.38 points/possession.
Last year (17-14) was Stetson’s first winning season since 2001.
21-12 Hatters play Austin Peay for A-Sun title Sunday afternoon.

— Washington Huskies fired basketball coach Mike Hopkins; Huskies made the NCAA’s once in his seven years coaching there. Washington was 62-72 in Pac-12 games under Hopkins, who also spent 22 years as an assistant coach at Syracuse.
Hopkins was under contract at Washington thru next season, so he will bank $3.1M on his way out the door.

— Southern Illinois fired basketball coach Bryan Mullins, despite going 23-10/19-13 the last two years (25-15 in MVC games). At some of these mid-major schools, you don’t make the NCAA’s, they tell you to take a hike. Salukis haven’t been in the Big Dance since 2007.

Famous birthdays on March 9th:
Bert Campaneris, 82
Dennis Harrah, 71
Linda Fiorentino, 64
Brian Bosworth, 59
Aaron Boone, 51
Matt Barnes, 44
Saturday would’ve been the 81st birthday for Bobby Fischer, the great chess master.

MAAC
Iona won six of last seven MAAC tournaments; Saint Peter’s won the other one two years ago, and they wound up in the Elite 8 in the NCAA’s.

MAC
Winners of last five MAC tournaments:
2019- Buffalo (16-2, 1st)
2020- COVID year
2021- Ohio U (9-5, 4th)
2022- Akron (14-6, T3rd)
2023- Kent State (15-3, and)

Mountain West
San Diego State played in MW tournament final the last six years, going 3-3; Utah State beat the Aztecs in two MW finals, Boise State won the other one.
#1-seed won last three Mountain West tournaments.

Pac-12
Arizona won four of last six Pac-12 tournaments. Oregon/Oregon State won the other two.
UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014.
This is the last year of the Pac-12; Oregon State/Washington State got left behind by the rest of the league, for $$$ reasons.

SEC
Winners of last five SEC tournaments:
2018- Kentucky (10-8, T4th)
2019- Auburn (11-7, T$th)
2020- COVID year
2021- Alabama (16-2, 1st)
2022- Tennessee (14-4, T2nd)
2023- Alabama (16-2, 1st)

Southern
Last nine SoCon tournaments were won by a #1-seed (2 of the 9 were tied for 1st)

Summit League
since 2012…….
South Dakota State has won six Summit tournaments
North Dakota State has won four Summit tournaments
Oral Roberts has won two Summit tournaments, but Max Abmas plays for Texas now.

WCC
since 2004, Gonzaga is 41-4 in the WCC Tournament.
since 2010, Saint Mary’s is 19-12 (3-9 against Gonzaga).
Last time someone other than Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s won the WCC Tournament was 2008, when #3-seed San Diego won.
 

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LA CLIPPERS are 5-20 ATS (-17 Units) in home games playing with 2 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games as a favorite in the current season.

PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 Under (9.6 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

DENVER is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.
 

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NBA

Saturday, March 9


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Trend Report
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Chicago @ LA Clippers
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home

Brooklyn @ Charlotte
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games

Boston @ Phoenix
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Boston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home

San Antonio @ Golden State
San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games

Utah @ Denver
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Denver
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Utah

Toronto @ Portland
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games


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SATURDAY, MARCH 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHI at LAC04:00 PMCHI +7.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
DAL at DET07:00 PMDET +7.5
U 234.0
+500 +500
BK at CHA07:00 PMBK -6.5
U 207.5
+500 +500
BOS at PHO08:30 PMPHO +5.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
SA at GS08:30 PMSA +10.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
UTA at DEN10:00 PMUTA +12.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
TOR at POR10:00 PMPOR +3.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Average home attendance in college hoop this year:
20,593— North Carolina
20,288— Syracuse
19,904— Kentucky
19,494— Tennessee
19,100— Arkansas
17,269— Creighton

Quote of the Day
“I just want to be good again.”
Dodgers pitcher Walker Buehler, recovering from his 2nd Tommy John surgery

Sunday’s quiz
What was the last team to lose the World Series in consecutive years?

Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.

Friday’s quiz
Over the last 35 years, only one college basketball team has lost twice as a #2-seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament- Arizona.

***********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a full day of basketball…….

Ohio Valley
Morehead State 69, Little Rock 55

#3-seed Eagles win OVC tourney, are first team in the Field of 68.

SEC
It was an upsetting day in the SEC…….
Kentucky 85, Tennessee 81
Sheppard was 7-11 on arc, scored 27 points in 33:00 off bench.
Tennessee’s 7-game win streak ends.

Vanderbilt 79, Florida 78
Vandy had 20 offensive rebounds.
Gators led by 12 late in first half.
Florida split its last six games.

South Carolina 93, Mississippi State 89 OT
Carolina is 13-5 in SEC; previous three years, they were 17-35.
Bubble team Bulldogs picked lousy time to lose four games in a row.
Tennessee won regular season title; four teams tied for 2nd.

ACC
North Carolina 84, Duke 79

Tar Heels jumped out to a 30-15 lead, then held on for dear life
UNC took 47 2-point shots, only 15 3-pointers, an old-school approach.
Cormac Ryan scored 31; he was 6-8 on the arc. He has an interesting history:
2018-19- Stanford
2020-23- Notre Dame
2023-24- North Carolina
Shooting is marketable.

Big X
Houston 76, Kansas 46

Not just an ugly loss; Kansas big man Dickinson hurt his shoulder.
Jayhawks are 4-5 in their last nine games.
Kansas is #333 in bench minutes, and they have injury issues.

Central Florida 79, TCU 77
Horned Frogs are 2-4 in last six games, are going to be close to the bubble.
Houston won its last nine games, won Big X by two games in its first year there.

Southern Conference
Furman 79, Western Carolina 76, OT

Pegues was 6-11 on arc, scored 29 points.
Paladins were +7 in turnovers (13-6)

East Tennessee State 73, NC-Greensboro 62
ETSU was 12-24 on arc; for year, they’re shooting 31.3% on arc (#308)
Semi-finals Sunday: Samford-Furman, ETSU-Chattanooga.

Mountain West
Utah State 87, New Mexico 85

Lobos are 4-6 in their last ten games, may be slipping off the bubble.

Nevada 75, UNLV 65
Wolf Pack has won seven games in a row.
UNLV is 10-2 in its last 12 games; they’re 19-11, but they’re going to have to win the Mountain West tournament to make the Field of 68.
Utah State is the #1-seed in the Mountain West tournament, Nevada is #2, Boise State #3.

Big East
Creighton 69, Villanova 67

Creighton led this game 32-8 early on.
Bluejays won seven of their last eight games.
There were a total of 7 foul shots in this game, the whole game.
Villanova is 17-14, 10-10 in Big East, 2-3 in last five games; they’re a bubble team. I’d much rather see the Drake-Indiana State loser make the NCAA’s instead of this mediocre team.

Pac-12
USC 78, Arizona 63

Just 2nd loss in last 12 games for Arizona, but I’m a skeptic on their NCAA chances.
USC won five of last seven games; they’re pretty good with Collier in lineup.

Upsets of the Day:
Saint Louis (+11.5) 73, St Bonaventure 65
Brown (+11.5) 84, Yale 81 OT
Vanderbilt (+9.5) 79, Florida 78
Central Florida (+8.5) 79, TCU 77
Kentucky (+7.5) 85, Tennessee 81
Rhode Island (+7.5) 58, Fordham 50
USC (+7.5) 78, Arizona 63
Texas State (+6.5) 74, Troy State 68
East Tennessee State (+6.5) 73, NC-Greensboro 62


Missouri Valley
Indiana State 94, Northern Iowa 72

Sycamores made 15-29 on arc, had stress-free win.
Indiana State won 15 of its last 17 games.

Drake 72, Bradley 67
Bradley led 23-9 early on; it was 38-38 at the half.
Drake made 11-24 shots on the arc.
Indiana State/Drake play for MVC title Sunday; it looks like it is winner-take-all. Bracketology doesn’t see the MVC getting two teams in the NCAA’s.

Big South
Longwood 80, High Point 79 OT

Top-seeded High Point loses, after leading by 15 with 12:28 left in game.
Longwood went 6-10 in Big South this year, but they play NC-Asheville in Sunday’s final.

Ivy League
Brown 84, Yale 81 OT

Yale led by 11 with 4:12 left in game.
Both teams shot 10-25 on the arc.
Brown has won six in a row; they don’t start any seniors, so they should be good again next year.

MAAC
Fairfield 96, Mt St Mary’s 92

Mt St Mary’s led 54-38 at halftime.
Stags won eight of last ten games; they’re #2-seed in the MAAC tournament.
Fairfield was 21-22 on foul line, Mt St Mary’s 7-11.

CAA
All four favorites won Saturday; William & Mary (+11.5) was only underdog that covered and they covered by half a point.

American
Tulsa 76, South Florida 70
Bulls had won 15 games in a row; their last loss was January 7 at UAB.
USF is 23-6, but Bracketology doesn’t have them in the Field of 68.
 

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LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in the current season.

ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 35-63 ATS (-34.3 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
 

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