Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 2

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
OTT at NYR07:00 PMOTT +163
O 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at NYI07:30 PMNYI -162
U 6.0
+500 +500
CLB at WIN08:00 PMWIN -198
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L................................... %....................................UNITS

12/02/2022........................2-4-0.................................33.33%.............................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,,8-6-0.................................57.14%............................+ 12.35

TOTALS............................10-10-0.................................50.00%............................- 3.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Six highest-paid guys on the Texas Rangers for 2023:
$37M— Jacob deGrom
$35.5M— Corey Seager
$25M— Marcus Semien
$19,650,000— Martin Perez
$15M— Jon Gray
$12.5M— Jake Odorizzi

Quote of the Day
“If I was betting, I’d bet virtually everything I have on (it). I’ve never known Jerry to lose a player he’s wanted. I think it’ll definitely happen.”
Troy Aikman, talking about the Cowboys’ chances of signing Odell Beckham

Saturday’s quiz
Texas Rangers last made the playoffs in 2016; who was their manager back then?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Morgan Freeman’s character wins $87,000 playing blackjack at the Aria Casino in Las Vegas.

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Davis replaced Bob Knight as basketball coach at Indiana; he is currently the coach at Detroit Mercy.

****************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up an active Friday…….

— Chris Andrews of South Point Casino posted this on Twitter Friday: from 1950-2019 there were 78 rematches during a season in college football. The team that won the first game also won the second game 44 times, 56.4%.

Utah, Texas-San Antonio won Friday night, both beating teams they beat in the regular season.

— Jacob deGrom signed a 5-year contract with the Texas Rangers, for $37M a year. Here are deGrom’s stats the last three seasons:

2020: 68 IP, 2.38 ERA, 13 strikeouts/9 IP— it was a shorter season in 2020
2021: 92 IP, 1.08 ERA, 14.3 strikeouts/9 IP
2022: 64.1 IP, 3.08 ERA, 14.3 strikeouts/9 IP

deGrom will be 35 in June; he’s thrown a total of 224 innings the last three years. You pay a guy $37M a year to pitch, you need 200+ innings in ONE YEAR, for five years. This will be very interesting to follow.

— Rangers are now paying deGrom, Corey Seager and Marcus Semien a combined $94M a year. $94M for three guys.

— Mariners/Brewers made a trade Friday. Milwaukee dealt 2B Kolten Wong and $1.75M to Seattle, in exchange for OF Jesse Winker and utility guy Abraham Toro.

Wong is a lefty-hitting 2B who will likely platoon with Dylan Moore. Winker hit .219 (.688 OPS) in a cruddy year for Seattle LY, after he had a .949 OPS for the Reds in 2021. Toro hit .185 in 109 games for Seattle LY; he is a career .206 hitter.

— Baseball’s winter meetings start Sunday; should be an interesting week.

Utah 47, USC 24
Game was 17-17 at halftime.
Utah had touchdown plays of 57-60-53 yards.
USC ran ball 27 times for 56 yards, converted 1-12 on third down.

Texas-San Antonio 48, North Texas 27
Roadrunners win Conference USA for second year in a row.
UTSA outgained North Texas 571-366.
UTSA QB Harris was 32-37/341 passing, with four TD’s.

Baylor 64, Gonzaga 63
Bears outscored Gonzaga 8-0 over final 1:41 of game.
Baylor led by 12 in first half.

Gonzaga was only 13-21 on foul line.

Clemson 77, Wake Forest 57
Clemson outscored Deacons 51-24 in second half.
Tigers were 24-25 on foul line, Wake 9-14.

Pitt 68, NC State 60
Panthers shot 59.4% inside arc.
Pitt won its last five games, after a 1-3 start.

Maryland 71, Illinois 66
Game was 62-62 with 4:06 left to play.
Terrapins improve to 8-0; they start four seniors.
Illinois shot 5-20 on the arc.

— We talked earlier this week about QB Cade McNamara going into the transfer portal and bolting Michigan; well, he quickly transferred to Iowa, which totally sucked on offense this year.

Hawkeyes are 7-5, but they beat a I-AA team 7-3, beat Minnesota 13-10, and scored 17 or less points in all five of their losses.

— Boston College quarterback Phil Jurkovec entered the NCAA transfer portal Friday; he played parts of three seasons with the Eagles but was hampered by injuries. Jurkovec completed 61% of his passes this year, with 17 TD’s, five INT’s.

— There is a senior basketball player at Lafayette Leo O’Boyle, who is scoring 13.5 ppg this year; he is going to finish this season at Lafayette, but he also put his name in the transfer portal and he will get interest this spring, seeing how he is shooting 21-45 on the arc this season.

O’Boyle has shot at least 36.1% on the arc all four years at Lafayette; shooting is marketable. We’ll be seeing Mr O’Boyle on TV playing somewhere else next season. Lafayette is 0-7 this year against D-I teams, by the way.
 

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ANAHEIM is 1-22 ATS (-23.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 8-0 Over (8 Units) in road games off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

BOSTON is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the current season.

SAN JOSE is 12-7 ATS (4.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 139-158 ATS (-34.8 Units) at home when the total is >=6 since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 138-127 ATS (-1.7 Units) in road games off a road loss since 1996.

SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

ARIZONA is 36-46 ATS (-14.6 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored in the current season.
 

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NHL

Saturday, December 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Anaheim @ Minnesota
Anaheim
Anaheim is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim

Montreal @ Edmonton
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games on the road
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games

Colorado @ Boston
Colorado
Colorado is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Vegas @ Detroit
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vegas's last 8 games on the road
Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

San Jose @ Ottawa
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Jose's last 17 games
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against San Jose

New Jersey @ Philadelphia
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Toronto

Chicago @ NY Rangers
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Chicago

Florida @ Seattle
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

Arizona @ Vancouver
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Vancouver
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Washington @ Calgary
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Washington

Carolina @ Los Angeles
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, December 3


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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 3

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ANA at MIN02:00 PMANA +257+500
STL at PIT07:00 PMSTL +152
O 6.5
+500 +500
COL at BOS07:00 PMBOS -169+500
MON at EDM07:00 PMEDM -230+500
VEG at DET07:00 PMVEG -135
O 6.0
+500 +500
SJ at OTT07:00 PMSJ +125+500
TOR at TB07:00 PMTB -127+500
NJ at PHI07:00 PMNJ -230+500
CHI at NYR07:30 PMO 6.0+500
ARI at VAN10:00 PMARI +182+500
WAS at CAL10:00 PMWAS +144+500
FLA at SEA10:00 PMSEA +106
O 6.5
+500 +500
CAR at LA10:30 PMCAR -126+500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L................................... %....................................UNITS

12/03/2022........................8-8-0.................................50.00%..............................- 7.00
12/02/2022........................2-4-0.................................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85

12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,,8-6-0.................................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS........................18-18-0................................50.00%........... ..................- 10.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Six highest-paid guys on the Pittsburgh Pirates for 2023:
$10M— Ke’Bryan Hayes
$6.75M— Bryan Reynolds— asked to be traded Saturday
$6.725M— Carlos Santana
$4.5M— Ji-Man Choi
$2.4M— Mitch Keller
$2M— JT Brubaker

Quote of the Day
“For sure I do. We went through the Big 12 12-0. … I don’t think we should be punished for coming to the Big 12 championship game. I don’t think the conference championship games are designed to punish teams and prevent them from getting in the playoffs. We were #3 last week. My hope is that we would stay at 3 and go tee it up and see how we do.”
TCU football coach Sonny Dykes

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Julius Erving played in the ABA before he was in the NBA; what team did he make his professional debut for?

Saturday’s quiz
Texas Rangers last made the playoffs in 2016; Jeff Banister was their manager back then

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Morgan Freeman’s character wins $87,000 playing blackjack at the Aria Casino in Las Vegas.

*************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

Kansas State 31, TCU 28 OT
K-State led 28-17 with 8:00 left in regulation.
TCU outgained the Wildcats, 469-404
Horned Frogs were 2-15 on 3rd down, K-State 5-16
First loss of season for TCU

Georgia 50, LSU 30
Game was 35-10 at halftime.
LSU’s backup QB Nussmeier threw for 294 yards in 2nd half.
Georgia ran for 255 yards (5.8 yards/carry)
Georgia ran.a blocked field goal back 96 yards for a TD.

Michigan 43, Purdue 22
Michigan led 14-13 at halftime.
Purdue outgained Michigan 456-386
Wolverines ran ball for 225 yards (5.8 yards/carry)

Clemson 39, North Carolina 10
Backup QB Klubnik was 20-24/279 passing, with a TD.
Tar Heels lost their last three games, after a 9-1 start.

Fresno State 28, Boise State 16
Fresno ran a punt back 70 yards for a TD for their first score.
Boise State outgained the Bulldogs, 321-245
Jeff Tedford is Fresno’s coach; he was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach at Cal.

Tulane 45, Central Florida 28
Tulane had TD plays of 43-60-60-73 yards.
Green Wave is 11-2; great year for them.
Tulane ran ball for 254 yards, threw for 394.

Troy 45, Coastal Carolina 26
Trojans led 31-0 at halftime.
Troy had TD plays of 65-67-36 yards.
Troy averaged 18.7 yards per pass attempt.

— Deion Sanders accepted the head coaching job at Colorado.

— College basketball upsets:
Northern Colorado (+15) 88, Colorado State 83
South Dakota (+12) 69, BYU 68
Fordham (+10.5) 95, Tulane 90
Wm & Mary (+8) 58, Richmond 57
Syracuse (+6.5) 62, Notre Dame 61
LaSalle (+5) 84, Penn 81 OT
South Carolina (+5) 74, Georgetown 71 OT
Wisconsin (+5) 80, Marquette 77 OT
Boise State (+5) 86, Texas A&M 71

Jackson State 69, SMU 68
Fairleigh Dickinson 97, St Joe’s 80
— Bad losses for Mustangs, Hawks.

Xavier 84, West Virginia 74
West Virginia led 43-36 at halftime.
Musketeers were 23-30 on foul line, WVU was 11-15

Rutgers 63, Indiana 48
Hoosiers shot 30.4% from the floor.
Rutgers outrebounded Indiana, 47-33.

Wisconsin 80, Marquette 77 OT
Badgers led by 16 early in 2nd half.
Hepburn scored 19 points, was 5-6 on the arc.

Fort Wayne 79, Oakland 73 OT
Fort Wayne led by 13 late in first half.
Mastodons were 11-40 on arc, 17-31 inside arc.

South Dakota 69, BYU 68
Coyotes led by 21 with 9:59 left in game; they held on.
South Dakota made 12-23 on the arc.

Duquesne 78, Ball State 77
7-1 Dukes win on a walk-off 3-pointer at buzzer.
Duquesne’s coach is Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.
 

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MINNESOTA is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 21-70 ATS (-56 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 20-15 ATS (3.5 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 0-14 ATS (-15.4 Units) after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.





NHL

Sunday, December 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Dallas
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games at home

Anaheim @ Winnipeg
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Anaheim's last 12 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim

Detroit @ Columbus
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

San Jose @ Buffalo
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Jose's last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

Chicago @ NY Islanders
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Chicago


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 4

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ANA at WIN03:00 PMWIN -291+500
MIN at DAL03:00 PMMIN +135+500
DET at CLB06:00 PMDET -115
O 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at BUF07:00 PMSJ +138
U 6.5
+500 +500
CHI at NYI07:30 PMCHI +247+500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%..............................- 4.25
12/03/2022........................8-8-0........................50.00%..............................- 7.00
12/02/2022........................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,,8-6-0.........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................21-22-0..........................48.83%........... ...................- 14.75
 

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Monday’s 6-pack

Virginia Tech 80, North Carolina 72— UNC lost its last four games.
USC 63, Oregon State 62— Beavers led by 11 points at the half.
Murray State 77, Valparaiso 70 OT— Racers off to 2-0 start in the MVC.
Utah 67, Washington State 65 OT— Coogs led by 6 with 2:22 left in regulation.
Northwestern 70, Michigan State 63— Spartans are 5-4, vs schedule #8.
Iowa State 71, St John’s 60— Resume-building win for the Cyclones.

Quote of the Day
“Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career.”
Jack King

Monday’s quiz
Where did Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Julius Erving played in the ABA before he was in the NBA; he made his professional debut for the Virginia Squires of the ABA.

Saturday’s quiz
Texas Rangers last made the playoffs in 2016; Jeff Banister was their manager back then

****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Browns 27, Texans 14

— Browns scored two defensive TD’s, ran punt back back for a TD.
— Offense had 11 drives: no TD’s, 2 FG’s, four 3/outs.
— Watson was 12-22/131 passing, threw an INT in red zone.
— Browns ran ball for 174 yards (4.6 yards/carry)
— Cleveland has outgained 10 of 12 opponents, but they’re 5-7.

— 23 of 41 points in this game were scored by defense/special teams.
— Texans are 1-10 in last 11 games SU, 2-8 ATS in last ten.
— Last three games, Texans’ offense has scored 3 points in first half.
— Houston was 1-12 on third down, Cleveland 4-13.
— Texans are 10-21-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.

Ravens 10, Broncos 9
— Ravens drove 91 yards, scored only TD of game with 0:28 left.
— QB Jackson sprained his knee, is expected to miss future game(s).
— QB Huntley was 27-32/187 passing, also ran for 41 yards.
— Baltimore won six of its last eight games SU.
— Seven of last nine Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.

— Broncos didn’t inside red zone (Baltimore 20-yard line) all day.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 10 of 12 games.
— Denver was 2-12 on third down, Baltimore 3-13.
— Denver lost eight of last nine games, scoring 12.5 ppg in last eight.
— Last six games, Broncos have eight TD’s on 92 drives.

Packers 28, Bears 19
— Packers’ first six drives: 43 plays, 181 yards, 10 points.
— Packers’ last three drives: 19 plays, 206 yards, 18 points.
— Green Bay was +3 in turnovers; they converted 6-13 on 3rd down.
— Green Bay won last nine series games, covered last eight.
— Packers are 13-4 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss (4-4 TY).

— Fields ran for 55-yard TD in 1st quarter; not sure if he ran again rest of game.
— Fields did average 10.2 yards per pass attempt.
— Last six games, Chicago gave up 33.5 ppg.
— Chicago lost six in row, nine of last ten games SU (2-7-1 ATS).
— Bears 12-20-2 ATS last 34 games coming off a loss.

Commanders 20, Giants 20
— Washington led 10-0 after the first quarter.
— Commanders’ next six drives: 44 plays, 160 yards, 3 points.
— Washington drove 90 yards to score tying TD with 1:45 left.
— Nine of their last eleven games stayed under the total.
— Washington is now 6-1-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.

— Giants scored TD on first drive of second half to take 20-13 lead.
— Rest of game; on seven drives- 29 plays, 93 yards, no points.
— Washington: 82 plays, 411 yards. Giants: 65 plays, 316 yards
— Last three games, Big Blue converted 12-37 (32.4%) on third down.
— Washington has bye next week, then plays Giants again in Week 15.

Steelers 19, Falcons 16
— Steelers in first half: 41 plays, 225 yards, 16 points.
— Steelers in second half: 26 plays, 113 yards, 3 points.
— In four post-bye games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 161.3 yards/game.
— In four post-bye games, Steelers converted 30-60 on third down.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 14 (-8) in losses.

— Steelers converted 6-12 on third down, Atlanta 3-10.
— Last four games, Falcons converted 12-40 third down plays.
— Six of Falcons’ seven home games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Falcons lost four of last five games SU, are 0-7 ATS in last seven.
— Under is 7-3 in Atlanta’s last ten games.

Eagles 35, Titans 10
— Hurts threw for 380 yards; Eagles averaged 9.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Eagles: 67 plays, 453 yards. Titans 53 plays, 209 yards.
— Eagles have 43 touchdowns on 117 drives this season.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite (5-1 TY)
— NFC East home favorites are 12-1 ATS outside division (pending Dallas game).

— Last four weeks, Titans were held to 63-88-63-87 rushing yards.
— First eight games, they averaged 142.3 rushing yards/game.
— Titans have been outscored 134-62 in second half this year.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Tennessee is 2-3 SU last five games, after a 5-2 start.

Lions 40, Jaguars 14
— Detroit scored 15 TD’s on its last 43 drives.
— Detroit won four of last five games, scoring 31-31-25-40 points last four
— Last five games, Detroit converted 35-71 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Lions covered their last five games.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-20-1 SU, 19-9-1 ATS.

— Lions had eight drives; four TD’s, four field goals.
— Jaguars converted only 3-12 on third down; they were 3-4 on 4th down.
— Lions outgained Jacksonville, 437-266.
— Jaguars are 5-16 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— In his career, Pederson is 17-29 ATS in true road games.

Vikings 27, Jets 22
— Minnesota led this game 20-6 at halftime.
— Minnesota averaged only 4.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Vikings won nine of their last ten games SU.
— Vikings went 4-0 SU against the AFC East this season.
— Despite being 10-2, Vikings outscored foes by only 10 points (289-279).

— Jets ran 83 plays for 486 yards, Minnesota 66 plays for 287 yards.
— Jets were in red zone six times in 2nd half, scored only 16 points.
— Jets were stopped on downs at 1-yard line with 1:43 left.
— Minnesota converted 9-18 on third down, Jets 3-16.
— QB White 31-57/369 passing, but threw to INT’s.

Seahawks 27, Rams 23
— Seattle drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:36 left.
— Smith was 28-39/367 passing, with three TD’s.
— Seahawks are 6-10-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
— Seahawks are 6-9 ATS last 15 NFC West road games.
— Seattle is 6-1 when it allows less than 27 points.

— Rams lost six in row, eight of last nine games.
— Rams ran ball for 171 yards, their best day rushing this year.
— LA converted 4-12 on third down, Seattle 5-10.
— Last four games, Rams converted 21-65 (32.3%) on third down.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 121-46 in second half.

49ers 33, Dolphins 17
— San Francisco won its last five games (4-1 ATS)
— QB Garoppolo broke his foot, is out for the year.
— San Francisco had a 13-yard edge in field position.
— 49ers are 6-0 when they score 24+ points, 2-4 when they don’t.
— 49ers outscored last five opponents 73-7 in second half.

— Tagovailoa threw 75-yard TD pass on first play of the game,
— Their next 7 drives: 28 plays, 101 yards, 2 INT’s, 3 points.
— 49ers converted 8-19 on third down, Miami 0-7.
— Dolphins ran ball eight times the whole game, for 33 yards.
— Four of last five Dolphin games went over the total.

Bengals 27, Chiefs 24
— Cincinnati won eight of its last ten games (9-1 ATS).
— Bengals got in red zone seven of their eight drives.
— Burrow averaged 8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Cincy converted 57 of last 114 (50%) third down plays.
— Bengals won seven of last eight games vs Kansas City.

— Down 14-3 early, Chiefs railed to lead 24-20 early in 4th quarter.
— Both teams had only two plays each of 20+ yards.
— Last five games, Chiefs are minus-4 in turnovers (4-8)
— Last six weeks, Chiefs converted 60-100 third down plays.
— KC is 12-21-1 ATS last 34 games coming off a win.

Raiders 27, Chargers 20
— Chargers led 13-10 at halftime.
— Raiders’ first two drives of 2nd half: 3 plays, 89 yards, 14 points.
— Raiders had touchdown plays of 20-31-45 yards.
— Las Vegas won its last three games, after a 2-7 start.
— Raiders are 12-5 ATS in last 16 AFC West home games.

— LA got first score of game on pick-6 with 5:07 left in first quarter.
— Last five games, Chargers allowed 178.3 rushing yards/game.
— Chargers have been outscored 141-86 in second half.
— Chargers are 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.

Cowboys 54, Colts 19
— Dallas led this game 21-19 after three quarters.
— Dallas in 4th quarter: 21 plays, 229 yards, 27 points.
— Cowboys also scored a defensive TD in 4th quarter.
— Colts in 4th quarter: 21 plays, 91 yards, 4 turnovers.
— Cowboys won nine of their last 11 games (8-3 ATS).

— Colts lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Colts are 3-0-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 if they score less.
— Dallas ran for 220 yards, converted 7-13 on third down.
— Last eight games, Cowboys outscored foes 163-51 in second half.
— Last six games, Dallas scored 28 TD’s on 62 drives.

If the NFL playoffs started today (they don’t):
AFC: Bills, Chiefs, Ravens, Titans.
Wild Cards: Bengals, Dolphins, Jets

NFC: Eagles, Vikings, 49ers, Buccaneers
Wild Cards: Cowboys, Giants, Seahawks
 

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Tokens
ST LOUIS are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the las...

PHILADELPHIA is 20-60 ATS (-46 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 14-0 ATS (14 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the current season.

EDMONTON is 15-1 Over (13.9 Units) in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 17-25 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the las...

MONTREAL is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the current season.
 

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NHL

Monday, December 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Vegas @ Boston
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

St. Louis @ NY Rangers
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games at home

Colorado @ Philadelphia
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

Washington @ Edmonton
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Calgary
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Montreal @ Vancouver
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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MONDAY, DECEMBER 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
STL at NYR07:00 PMSTL +151
O 5.5
+500 +500
VEG at BOS07:00 PMBOS -179
U 6.0
+500 +500
COL at PHI07:00 PMCOL -185
O 5.5
+500 +500
WAS at EDM08:30 PMWAS +144
O 6.5
+500 +500
ARI at CAL09:00 PMARI +287
U 6.0
+500 +500
MON at VAN10:30 PMMON +180
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Tokens
DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%...............................- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS.......................25-30-0........................45.45%........... ...................- 42.25
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 14 NFL spreads:
— Texans @ Dallas (-17)
— Jets @ Buffalo (-9.5)
— Ravens @ Pittsburgh (-3)
— Browns @ Cincinnati (-6)
— Jaguars @ Tennessee (-3.5)
— Vikings @ Detroit (-1.5)

Quote of the Day
“We look into everything, but that would surprise me right now. We’ve got to discuss more this afternoon. I’ve always been a fan of his, but I feel really good about our players. We’ll look into everything, but I feel pretty good with where we’re at.”
49ers coach Kyle Shanahan, talking about free agent QB Baker Mayfield

Tuesday’s quiz
What team did Trea Turner break into the major leagues with?

Monday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State.

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Julius Erving played in the ABA before he was in the NBA; he made his professional debut for the Virginia Squires of the ABA.

***************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Louisville is playing Cincinnati in the Fenway Bowl December 17, a game that kicks off at 11am in Boston. Pretty obscure game, other than the schools are only 100 miles apart- they haven’t played each other since 2013, but then this happened.

Louisville coach Scott Satterfield quit as coach of the Cardinals to take the Cincinnati job, when Luke Fickell bolted Cincinnati to become the coach at Wisconsin.

Now we have an obscure bowl game being played at 11am on a December day in Boston in a baseball stadium, with both teams led by interim coaches. Should be awesome.

— New York Mets signed P Justin Verlander to a 2-year, $86.66M contract Monday, making up for the loss of Jacob deGrom to Texas.

Verlander was 18-4 , 1.75 ERA with 185 strikeouts in 175 IP over 28 starts LY for the World Series champion Astros.

Verlander and Max Scherzer will both make $43.3M/year the next two years.

— Thats $86.6M for two guys; the enter roster of the Oakland A’s made $48,443,900 last year.

— SS Trea Turner has signed/will sign an 11-year, $300M deal with the Phillies. Turner hit .298 last year for the Dodgers, scoring 101 runs, knocking in 100 more.

Buccaneers 17, Saints 16
Tampa Bay drove 63 yards, scored winning TD with 0:03 left.
Bucs’ first eight drives: 49 plays, 216 yards, 14 first downs, 3 points.
Bucs’ last two drives: 21 plays, 154 yards, 11 first downs, 14 points.
Tampa Bay is 0-5-1 ATS this year coming off a loss.
10 of 12 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

Saints led this game 10-3 at half, 16-3 with 3:30 left to play.
Bucs were 8-15 on third down, New Orleans was 5-14.
Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
Saints covered their last five visits to Tampa Bay.
Saints have been outscored 77-28 in last 2:00 of each half.

— San Francisco is down to rookie Brock Purdy at QB now; Purdy was Mr Irrelevent, the last player taken in the last spring’s draft, but he was 25-37/210 in relief Sunday of injured Jimmy Garoppolo against the Dolphins. This week will be his first NFL start.

As of right now, 36-year old Josh Johnson (1-8 as an NFL starter) is the 49ers’ backup QB. Ironically, Johnson played college ball at U of San Diego (not San Diego State) where his coach was former 49ers’ coach (current Michigan coach) Jim Harbaugh.

— Cleveland Browns released QB Baker Mayfield; will he sign with the 49ers? Mayfield was 30-31 in four years with Cleveland, splitting two playoff games in 2020. He went 1-5 as QB of the Panthers this year, and now, he’s a free agent.

— Since 2016, Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS in bowl games, Washington State is 0-5.

— Early lines for the national semi-finals in college football:
Georgia -7 vs Ohio State
Michigan -9 vs TCU

— Pre-season odds for teams that wound up winning their conference title:
AAC: Tulane +3500
ACC: Clemson -135
Big 14: Michigan +600
Big X: Kansas State +1200
C-USA: Tex-San Antonio +200

MAC: Toledo +325
Mountain West: Fresno State +225
Pac-12: Utah +225
SEC: Georgia +150
Sun Belt: +900

Vancouver 7, Montreal 6 OT— Canucks trailed 4-0 after the first period; they’re the second team in NHL history to fall behind by 4+ goals, rally to take the lead, then fall behind again, before rallying to win.

The other? Boston Bruins back in 1973……..against the Canucks.

— Sunday night, Golden State Warriors beat Houston 120-101
Warriors made 25-52 3-pointers.
Rockets made 3-28 3-pointers.

Shooting is marketable, kids. You can make a lot of $$$ (or a college scholarship) if you can consistently make 3-point shots. Go out and practice.

— North Carolina Tar Heels lost their last four basketball games; in the last ten days, they’ve dropped from #1 in the country to #43.

— Texas Rangers used 13 different left fielders last year; maybe they should sign Aaron Judge.

— Bronx Bombers signed GM Brian Cashman to a 4-year contract extension; Cashman has been GM in the Bronx since 1998. New York won the World Series the first three years Cashman was GM; they’ve won it once in 22 years since.

Here are New York’s payrolls since 2009, last time they won a World Series:
2010— $206,333,389 (1st)
2011— $201,689.030 (1st)
2012— $197,962,289 (1st)
2013— $228,835,490 (1st)
2014— $203,812,506 (2nd)
2015— $219,282,196 (2nd)
2016— $213,472,857 (2nd)
2017— $168,045,699 (2nd)
2018— $168.540,000 (6th)
2019— $118,832,077 (3rd)
2020— $110,852,878 (1st)
2021— $191,205,631 (2nd)
2022— $240,290,714 (3rd)

If you’re scoring at home, that means New York has spent $2.47B in payroll (that’s billion, with a B) since their last championship.
 

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