Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in turnover margin:
+14— Philadelphia
+9— Baltimore
+8— Dallas
+7— San Francisco
+6— Minnesota
+5— Jacksonville

Quote of the Day
“The main thing that we’re focusing on is just finding a way to (go) 1-0 this week. We know we’ll eventually be one of those teams in the playoffs, but now is (also) the time to start building that killer instinct, because that’s something we’re gonna need moving forward.”
Vikings’ CB Patrick Peterson

Saturday’s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; who were the losing QB’s in those games?

Friday’s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; Trent Dilfer, Joe Flacco were the two QB’s who won them.

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, Sam Elliott played the football coach at Wisconsin.

******************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

Bowl season started Friday; lot of football on TV for the next month:
— Troy 18, Texas-San Antonio 12:
UTSA led 12-0 with 2:00 left in first half; they never scored again.
Roadrunners had five turnovers, 104 yards in penalties.
Troy has now won its last five bowl games
Underdogs covered Cure Bowl six of last seven years.

— UAB 24, Miami OH 20
UAB drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:33 left.
Miami WR was tackled on the 2-yard line as time ran out.
Blazers were 7-12 on third down, Miami 4-14.
UAB outgained Miami 390-272.

There is also lot of basketball on TV these days……..
— Marquette 69, Creighton 58
Marquette outscored Bluejays 24-9 over final 10:15 of first half.
Golden Eagles were +8 in turnovers (18-10)
Creighton has lost six games in a row, after a 5-0 start.
Marquette is shooting 60.3% inside the arc (#4)

— Xavier 102, Georgetown 89
Xavier made 14-26 on arc, scored 59 points in second half.
Georgetown has lost 21 Big East games in a row.
In 5+ years under Patrick Ewing, Hoyas are 26-64 in Big East regular season games.
Xavier has won five games in a row, scoring 86 ppg.

— 76ers 116, Warriors 108
Embiid scored 34 points, added 13 rebounds.
Golden State is 14-16, #11-seed in Western Conference.
Steph Curry is out for couple months with a bad shoulder.

— 49ers 21, Seahawks 13
San Francisco clinches the NFC West crown.
McCaffrey ran ball for 108 yards and a TD.
Last six games, 49ers allowed six TD’s on 62 drives.
Two games vs Seattle this year, 49ers ran ball for 359 yards.

Seattle’s first four drives: 14 plays, minus-4 yards, one first down.
Seattle is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS last five games, running for 62.6 yards/game.
Last five games, opponents are 28-54 (50.7%) on 3rd down.
Last five games, Seattle gave up 161-283-171-223-170 rushing yards.

— QB Russell Wilson is out for Denver’s game with the Cardinals Sunday; Brett Rypien will make his third NFL start instead.

Jets QB Zach Wilson gets the nod under center Sunday; Mike White wasn’t cleared by doctors to play. Joe Flacco will be the Jets’ backup QB.

— Baseball happenings:
White Sox signed OF Andrew Benntendi for five years, $75M.
Minnesota Twins signed OF Joey Gallo for one year, $11M.
Red Sox DFA’d 1B Eric Hosmer.

— Alabama’s football team is 10-2 this season, but they’re minus-2 in turnovers; from 2015-21, Crimson Tide was +76 in turnovers in 100 games.

— Favorites won/covered the last seven Cotton Bowls.

— Cleveland Browns are 11-30 ATS at home, in the Kevin Stefanski era.

— When Manhattan College fired basketball coach Steve Masiello on October 25, their best player, Jose Perez, hit the transfer portal— he chose West Virginia, and is eligible to start practicing with WVU today. But the NCAA denied Perez’ appeal to become immediately eligible to play games; West Virginia will appeal the decision.

— Murray State 68, Austin Peay 60— Two teams who were long-time Ohio Valley rivals, but have both bolted the OVC for different leagues. Murray State is 7-4, winning both their MVC games in overtime. Murray outscored the Governors 13-2 over final 4:53 of this game.

 

[Udog]

DETROIT is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 1-17 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

EDMONTON is 32-11 ATS (19.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 31-11 ATS (16.9 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the last 3 se...

MONTREAL is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 16-4 Over (11.6 Units) after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) off a close road loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 38-48 ATS (-14.8 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the las...

SAN JOSE is 10-30 ATS (-23 Units) on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, December 17

 

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, December 17

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Trend Report
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Columbus @ Boston
Columbus
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Columbus's last 11 games
Boston
Boston is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
Boston is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

Ottawa @ Detroit
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Ottawa

Anaheim @ Edmonton
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home

Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Montreal
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

NY Rangers @ Philadelphia
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing NY Rangers
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Florida @ New Jersey
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

Buffalo @ Arizona
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Nashville @ Colorado
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games

Winnipeg @ Vancouver
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

NY Islanders @ Vegas
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
NY Islanders is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games at home
Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

San Jose @ Los Angeles
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
San Jose is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing San Jose
Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Jose


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CLB at BOS	01:00 PM	CLB +325 O 6.5	+500 +500
OTT at DET	01:00 PM	OTT -120 U 6.0	+500 +500
ANA at EDM	04:00 PM	ANA +255 O 6.5	+500 +500
NYR at PHI	07:00 PM	NYR -170 U 6.0	+500 +500
TB at MON	07:00 PM	TB -270 O 6.5	+500 +500
DAL at CAR	07:00 PM	DAL +120 O 5.5	+500 +500
TOR at WAS	07:00 PM	TOR -150 U 6.0	+500 +500
FLA at NJ	07:30 PM	NJ -140 U 6.5	+500 +500
NAS at COL	09:00 PM	COL -165 O 6.0	+500 +500
BUF at ARI	09:00 PM	ARI +155 O 6.5	+500 +500
WIN at VAN	10:00 PM	WIN -105 U 6.5	+500 +500
NYI at VEG	10:00 PM	VEG -165 O 6.0	+500 +500
SJ at LA	10:30 PM	SJ +135 U 6.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/17/2022.................13-13-0.........................50.00%..............................- 3.00
12/16/2022......................3-3-0.........................50.00%..............................+ 6.50
12/15/2022......................9-6-0.........................60.00%.............................+ 18.25
12/14/2022......................2-4-0.........................33.33%.............................- 14.75
12/13/2022....................10-8-0........................55.55%..............................+ 2.75
12/12/2022......................5-5-0.........................50.00%..............................+ 3.00
12/11/2022......................7-5-0.........................58.33................... ..............+ 6.50
12/10/2022......................6-9-1.........................40.00%.................. ...........- 12.50
12/09/2022..................10-10-0........................50.00%................... ............- 7.00
12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%................... ..........+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%................... ..........+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%................... ...........- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%................... ...........- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS......................110-109-2........................50.22%........... ...................- 48.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in points scored:
115— Jason Myers, Sea/Tyler Bass, Buff
113— Justin Tucker, Balt
110— Daniel Carlson, LV
108— Nick Folk, NE
102— Brett Maher, Dal
98— Greg Zuerlein, NJJ

Quote of the Day
“It is ridiculous that we’re talking about something other than winning. Whether or not you had the Steelers defense and the fantasy points that you lost, or the gambling aspects of overs and unders……..I’m saddened often by the distractions that can become part of viewing and enjoying men competing at the highest level of the game that we all love by fantasy teams and over and under lines. It’s unfortunate at times, really.”
Steelers coach Mike Tomlin

Sunday’s quiz
Which NBA team did Dick Vitale used to coach?

Saturday’s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; Kerry Collins, Colin Kaepernick were the losing QB’s in those games.

Friday’s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; Trent Dilfer, Joe Flacco were the two QB’s who won them.

*******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

Vikings 39, Colts 36 OT
Colts led this game 33-0 at halftime. 33. Nothing.
This is biggest comeback win in NFL history.
Matt Ryan is now losing QB in biggest comebacks in regular season/Super Bowl history.
Colts blocked punt for TD, also had a pick-6 in first half.

Colts lost six of their last seven games SU.
Underdogs covered 10 of their 14 games.
Colts are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Colts are 23-10-1 ATS in last 34 games vs NFC opponents.

Vikings in first half: 24 plays, 91 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
Vikings in 2nd half/OT: 60 plays, 499 yards, 29 first downs, 39 points.
Dalvin Cook had 95 rushing yards, 95 receiving yards.
Vikings won 10 of their last 12 games SU- they clinched NFC North.

Browns 13, Ravens 3
Browns win Deshaun Watson’s home debut in Cleveland.
Watson’s first three starts TY: 2 offensive TD’s on 28 drives (12 3/outs).
Browns are 6-3 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
Cleveland is 4-3 in its last seven games after a 2-5 start.

Baltimore had two empty trips to red zone, averaged 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
Nine of Ravens’ last eleven games stayed under the total.
Last three weeks, Ravens converted 12-38 on 3rd down.
Ravens’ loss puts Cincinnati atop the AFC North.

Bills 32, Dolphins 29
Dolphins lost their last three games, after a 5-0 streak.
4th quarter of this game was played in snowy conditions.
Mostert ran ball for 136 yards (8 yards/carry).
Bills converted 8-14 on third down, Miami 5-14.

Buffalo drove 86 yards, kicked game-winning FG at the gun.
Bills clinch their fourth straight playoff berth.
Bills won their last five games, scoring 27 ppg.
Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS since their bye week.

— Gonzaga 100, Alabama 90
Alabama led 20-11 early on.
Zags forced 21 turnovers (+9)
Gonzaga shot 62.3% inside arc, Alabama 65.7%.
Zags’ next top 50 game figures to be February 4, at Saint Mary’s.

— North Carolina 89, Ohio State 84 OT
Buckeyes led 66-56 with 6:58 left in game.
UNC was 19-27 on foul line, Ohio State 7-14.
Tar Heels scored on a side out-of-bounds play at buzzer to force OT.
Bacot had 28 points, 15 rebounds for North Carolina.

— UCLA 63, Kentucky 53
Kentucky had 18 turnovers on 67 possessions.
Teams combined to make 8-29 on the arc, 13-28 on foul line.
UCLA has won seven in a row, with four top 70 wins

— Coming into this weekend, there were no freshmen in the top 50 in scoring in college basketball.

— Baseball happenings:
Cubs are signing SS Dansby Swanson to a 7-year, $177M contract.
Dodgers signed OF/DH JD Martinez for one year, $10M.

— It is possible that I have a masochistic side to me, seeing how I read all these articles about the Oakland A’s off-season moves.

A’s recently added a pitcher named Garrett Williams, who pitched in college at Oklahoma State and was most recently in the Cardinals’ organization.

In 80 innings pitched at the AAA level, Williams has walked 70 batters; no bueno. He is also 1-8, 6.75 in 44 AAA games (11 starts). He’s struck out 93 guys in those 80 IP, which is probably the attraction, but 1-8, 6.75 doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence.

There is this though; he once struck out 17 kids in a game at the Little League World Series.

— Most Super Bowl appearances, since 1999 season:
9— New England
4— Rams
3— Seahawks, Steelers, Giants
Eight teams have been in two Super Bowls in this century.
11 teams haven’t been to any Super Bowls in this century.

— Louisville 24, Cincinnati 7
Cardinals outgained Cincinnati, 419-127
Louisville was 7-14 on third down, Bearcats 2-13.
ACC teams are 22-11 SU last 33 games vs AAC squads.

— Fresno State 29, Washington State 6
Fresno outgained the Coogs. 502-183.
Wazzu is 0-6 ATS in its last six bowl games.
Coach Tedford has an 8-3 record in bowl games.

— Oregon State 30, Florida 3
Beavers finish the season 10-3, a great year.
Gators ran the ball 33 times for 39 yards.
Florida lost five of its last seven games.
Pac-10 teams are 4-0 ATS vs SEC opponents this year.

— BYU 24, SMU 23
SMU scored TD with 0:08 left, went for 2 points/win, but fell short.
BYU took lead for good on a 76-yard pick-6 in third quarter.
SMU outgained the Cougars, 389-256, converted 10-18 on third down.

— Southern Miss 38, Rice 24
USM outscored the Owls 21-0 over last 19:00 of game.
Eagles ran for 361 yards (9.5 yards/carry)
Frank Gore Jr ran for 329 yards, also threw a TD pass.

 

[Udog]

MINNESOTA is 7-0 Over (7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

CHICAGO is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

CALGARY is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, December 18

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa @ Minnesota
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Carolina
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

NY Rangers @ Chicago
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers

Winnipeg @ Seattle
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Calgary @ San Jose
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
San Jose
San Jose is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Jose's last 12 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, December 18

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 18​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
OTT at MIN	02:00 PM	OTT +175 O 6.0	+500 +500
PIT at CAR	05:00 PM	PIT +105 O 6.0	+500 +500
NYR at CHI	07:30 PM	NYR -235 O 6.0	+500 +500
WIN at SEA	08:00 PM	SEA -155 U 6.0	+500 +500
CAL at SJ	10:00 PM	CAL -170 O 6.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/18/2022.....................6-3-1..........................66.66%............................+ 14.50
12/17/2022.................13-13-0.........................50.00%..............................- 3.00
12/16/2022......................3-3-0.........................50.00%..............................+ 6.50
12/15/2022......................9-6-0.........................60.00%.............................+ 18.25
12/14/2022......................2-4-0.........................33.33%.............................- 14.75
12/13/2022....................10-8-0........................55.55%..............................+ 2.75
12/12/2022......................5-5-0.........................50.00%..............................+ 3.00
12/11/2022......................7-5-0.........................58.33................... ..............+ 6.50
12/10/2022......................6-9-1.........................40.00%.................. ...........- 12.50
12/09/2022..................10-10-0........................50.00%................... ............- 7.00
12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%................... ..........+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%................... ..........+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%................... ...........- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%................... ...........- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS......................116-112-2........................50.87%........... ...................- 34.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for Week 16 NFL games:
— Jaguars @ NJ Jets (-1.5)
— Falcons @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Giants @ Minnesota (-4)
— Saints @ Cleveland (-3.5)
— Bills (-9.5) @ Chicago
— Seahawks @ Kansas City (-10)

Quote of the Day
“Being a student-athlete at TCU has been the greatest experience of my life. It has helped me develop as a football player, earn a degree, and become a better man………In light of my appreciation, I will be declaring for the 2023 NFL Draft, but first, we still have business to take care of.”
TCU quarterback Max Duggan, who will play in the Fiesta Bowl semifinal of the college football playoff

Monday’s quiz
Which team did Justin Turner break into the major leagues with?

Sunday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons from 1978-80, going 34-60 in 1+ seasons. He was 79-29 in four seasons coaching in college, at Detroit Mercy.

Saturday’s quiz
Baltimore Ravens have won two Super Bowls; Kerry Collins, Colin Kaepernick were the losing QB’s in those games.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Raiders 30, Patriots 24
— Raiders scored bizarre defensive TD at 0:00, intercepting a lateral.
— Raiders had tied game on 30-yard TD pass with 0:32 left.
— Las Vegas won four of last five games, with two wins in OT, plus this.
— Raiders also blew another double-digit halftime lead (17-3).
— Last 13 games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 9-3-1 against its team total.

— Carr threw an awful pick-6 in 3rd quarter when Raiders led 17-3.
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-7 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 1-5 SU when game goes over total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— Last five games, Patriots converted 15-61 third down plays.
— Raiders also scored a TD with 0:05 left in first half.

Jaguars 40, Cowboys 34 OT
— Prescott threw a 52-yard pick-6 in overtime.
— Dallas led 27-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
— Jaguars outgained Dallas, 503-397.
— Cowboys were 9-16 on third down, Jaguars 8-12.
— Over is 6-1 in last seven Cowboy games.

— Jaguars’ last six drives: 31 plays, 278 yards, 24 points.
— Zay Jones caught six passes for 109 yards, three TD’s.
— Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Jaguars are 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 12-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Saints 21, Falcons 18
— Falcons ran ball for 231 yards, but threw for only 97.
— WR London lost fumble on Saints’ 39 with 2:06 left.
— Underdogs are 9-4-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Falcons lost five of last six games SU, are 1-7 ATS in last eight.

— Saints’ first two drives: 12 plays, 148 yards, 14 points.
— Saints rest of game: 42 plays, 191 yards, 7 points.
— Backup QB Hill threw a 68-yard TD pass in 1st quarter.
— Saints won eight of last ten meetings with Atlanta.
— Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under the total.

Lions 20, Jets 17
— Goff threw 51-yard TD pass to TE Wright with 1:49 left.
— It was Lions’ only play all day of 20+ yards.
— Detroit won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 21-9-1 ATS, 7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 8-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

— Jets ran ball 22 times for only 50 yards.
— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 20.
— Jets held nine of last 11 opponents under their team total.
— Seven of last nine Jet games stayed under the total.

Chiefs 30, Texans 24 OT
— McKinnon ran 26 yards for the walk-off TD in overtime.
— Chiefs won nine of last eleven games SU (4-7 ATS).
— Chiefs have 75 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 44.
— Last seven games, Chiefs are minus-6 in turnovers (7-13)
— Last ten games, Chiefs converted 72-124 (58.1%) third down plays.

— Houston led this game 14-13 at halftime.
— Texans are 0-9 SU since their bye week (3-6 ATS)
— Chiefs had a 13-play, 97-yard TD drive just before halftime.
— Kansas City outgained Houston, 502-219.
— Four of Texans’ last five TD drives were shorter than 50 yards.

Eagles 25, Bears 20
— Eagles won last five games, scoring 40-35-48-25 points in last four.
— Philly is 7-0 SU on road this year, but 2-5 ATS.
— Eagles outgained Chicago, 421-248; they threw for 309 yards.
— Last four games, Eagles have 26 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 14).
— Eagles are 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.

— Chicago lost seven in row, 10 of last 11 games SU (3-7-1 ATS).
— Fields ran ball 15 times for 95 yards, but was sacked six times.
— In Fields’ last five starts, Bears converted 36-67 on third down.
— Last seven games, Chicago gave up 32.3 ppg.
— Bears have led at halftime twice this season (2-10-2).

Steelers 24, Panthers 16
— Steelers were 12-16 on third down, Carolina 4-11.
— In six post-bye games, Steelers converted 46-84 on third down
— Pittsburgh covered four of its last five road games.
— Steelers are 9-5 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 since its bye week, with +6 turnover ratio.

— Carolina’s first five drives: 23 plays, 94 yards, 7 points.
— Panthers went 3/out on four of first five drives.
— Carolina’s last three drives: 23 plays, 152 yards, 9 points (3 FG’s).
— Panthers ran ball 16 times for only 21 yards.
— Carolina has converted only 49-168 (29.2%) third down plays.

Broncos 24, Cardinals 15
— 2nd-string QB McCoy got hurt; #3 QB McSorley was 7-15/95 passing (2 INTs).
— Cardinals lost eight of their last ten games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last nine games.
— Cardinals lost field position battle by 12 yards.
— Arizona is 1-10 SU when it scores less than 29 points.

— Denver scored 7 TD’s in last two games (3 TD’s/previous 4 games)
— Broncos ran ball for 168 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17-15 points in their four wins.
— Denver was perfect in red zone (21 points/three drives).
— Broncos first four drives in 2nd half: 24 plays, 182 yards, 21 points.

Chargers 17, Titans 14
— Titans drove 74 yards for TD, tied game 14-all with 0:48 left.
— Chargers won game on 43-yard FG with 0:04 left.
— Tennessee lost last four games, scoring 16-10-22-14 points.
— Titans are 0-4 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in eight of last ten games.

— Chargers are 4-3 in last seven games SU (wins by 1-3-6-3 points).
— Right now, Chargers are the #6-seed in the AFC.
— Under is 5-2 in Bolts’ last seven games.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 12 of 14 games.
— Chargers are 7-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

Bengals 34, Buccaneers 23
— Tampa Bay’s first half: 42 plays, 243 yards, 17 points.
— Buccaneers led 17-0 until Bengals kicked FG at halftime gun.
— Tampa Bay’s 2nd half: 30 plays, 119 yards, 6 points.
— Buccaneers turned ball over on four straight drives in 3rd quarter.
— Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last nine games.

— Bengals’ first three TD drives were 31-13-39 yards.
— Cincinnati had a 26-yard advantage in field position.
— Cincinnati won/covered last six games (11-1 ATS last 12).
— Bengals are 8-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they don’t.
— Bengals are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.

Giants 20, Commanders 12
— Giants’ first TD was a strip sack/fumble by Thibodeaux.
— Barkley ran ball for 87 yards and a touchdown.
— Last five games, Big Blue converted 18-63 (28.6%) on third down.
— Giants are 10-4 ATS this season, 4-1 as a road underdog.
— Under is 9-4-1 in Giants opponents’ team totals this year.

— Washington converted 1-10 on third down, Giants 2-10.
— Washington outgained Giants 387-288, was minus-2 in turnovers.
— Giants are 8-2 ATS in last ten games at Washington.
— Washington is 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite (1-2 TY)
— Commanders are now 3-12 ATS in its last 15 post-bye games.

— Red Sox signed 3B/DH Justin Turner to a 2-year deal worth $22M. 38-year old Turner hit .276 last year with 81 RBI.

— Denver Nuggets star Nikola Jokic scored 40 points, with 27 rebounds and 10 assists in Denver’s 119-115 win over the Hornets.

Jokic is the first player to score 35+ points, 25+ rebounds and 10+ assists in a game since Wilt Chamberlain went for 53 points, 32 rebounds and 14 assists in 1968.

— Lakers’ star Anthony Davis is expected to miss at least a month with a right foot injury,

 

[Udog]

FLORIDA is 8-2 Over (5.8 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 32-12 Over (18.8 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 7-13 ATS (-7.3 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 30-16 Over (12.4 Units) off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 25-23 ATS (-0.3 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 51-32 Over (15.8 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 19

 

[Udog]

NHL

Monday, December 19

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Trend Report
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Florida @ Boston
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boston is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

Dallas @ Columbus
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Columbus
Columbus is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Columbus's last 12 games

Detroit @ Washington
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Edmonton @ Nashville
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Edmonton

NY Islanders @ Colorado
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Vegas
Buffalo
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Vegas's last 14 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Montreal @ Arizona
Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Montreal's last 18 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

St. Louis @ Vancouver
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Vancouver's last 25 games when playing at home against St. Louis


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[Udog]

NHL Against the Spread Rankings

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 19​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
FLA at BOS	07:00 PM	FLA +170	+500
DET at WAS	07:00 PM	DET +160 O 6.0	+500 +500
DAL at CLB	07:00 PM	DAL -240 U 6.5	+500 +500
EDM at NAS	08:00 PM	EDM -120	+500
NYI at COL	09:00 PM	NYI +135 O 5.5	+500 +500
MON at ARI	10:00 PM	ARI -120 U 6.0	+500 +500
BUF at VEG	10:00 PM	VEG -145 U 6.5	+500 +500
STL at VAN	10:30 PM	STL -115 U 6.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Most NFL playoff wins in the Super Bowl era:
36— Pittsburgh, New England
35— Dallas
34— San Francisco
29— Green Bay
25— Raiders
23— Rams/Denver

Quote of the Day
“I texted him, he always gave me the thought we were going to win the game. You see him, his mannerisms & demeanor every day, you go to the ballpark thinking you’re going to win the game when you see him. That’s a compliment I can’t give to everybody.”
Clayton Kershaw, talking about former teammate Justin Turner

Tuesday’s quiz
In what city do they play the Holiday Bowl every December?

Monday’s quiz
Justin Turner broke into the major leagues with the Orioles, in 2009. He later played four years for the Mets, before landing with the Dodgers.

Sunday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons from 1978-80, going 34-60 in 1+ seasons. He was 79-29 in four seasons coaching in college, at Detroit Mercy.

*********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Genius alert; the guy in Texas who caught Aaron Judge’s 62nd home run was offered $3M for the baseball, but he turned it down, putting it up for auction instead, figuring he would get more than $3M. Whoops.

The bidding for the baseball just closed, with a high bid of……….$1.5M.

— When a QB throws a long pass and they call pass interference, the QB/WR should get stat credit for it, maybe a separate category, but they deserve credit.

— Indianapolis Colts lost 39-36 Saturday, blowing a 33-0 halftime lead; little odd that they scored 36 points, but had only one offensive TD— they had a pick-6 and a special teams TD- they also kicked five field goals.

— Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert is the first player in NFL history with 4,000+ passing yards in each of his first three NFL seasons.

— Eagles QB Jalen Hurts sprained his right (throwing) shoulder in Chicago Sunday; they’re not saying whether Hurts will play in Dallas Saturday.

— Saints visit Cleveland this week; the total is 32.5; if it stays at 32.5, would be lowest total in an NFL game since Week 17 back in 2010.

Weather forecast for Saturday in Cleveland: winds of 35 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph, wind chills as low as minus-14. Going to be a miserable Christmas Eve on Lake Erie.

Packers 24, Rams 12
— Green Bay outgained the Rams, 345-156.
— Packers also had a 13-yard advantage in field position.
— Only nine of Green Bay’s 68 plays came on third down.
— Aaron Jones carried ball 17 times for 90 yards.
— Aaron Rodgers wins his 10th straight Monday night game.

— Baker Mayfield was 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— This was Rams’ 4th game outdoors TY (scored 9-13-10-12 points)
— Under is 5-1 in their road games this season.
— LA is 0-4-1 ATS this season as a road underdog.
— Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Lambeau.

— Baker Mayfield has now played for seven different head coaches in his first five years in the NFL, the most of any QB since 1950.

— Hall of Famer Kenny Stabler holds the record, with 11 consecutive Monday night wins.

— Marshall 28, UConn 14
Thundering Herd led 21-0 at half, scoring on a pick-6.
UConn completed only 11-30 passes on a sunny day in Myrtle Beach.
Both teams had over 110 penalty yards.
Marshall was 7-15 on third down, UConn 3-12.

— TCU QB Max Duggan is going to play in the college football playoff for the Horned Frogs, but then he will turn pro.

— San Diego Padres gave P Seth Lugo a 2-year, $15M deal; they’ll give him a chance to be a starter. Lugo has started 38 MLB games, but none since 2020.

Lugo appeared in 108 games for the Mets the last two years, but he wants to start; he started 18 games for the Mets back in 2017.

— Standings in NFC South:
Tampa Bay 6-8
Atlanta 5-9
Carolina 5-9
New Orleans 5-9

Standings in AFC South:
Tennessee 7-7
Jacksonville 6-8
Indianapolis 4-9-1
Houston 1-12-1

Standings in AFC East:
Buffalo 11-3
Miami 8-6
New England 7-7
NJ Jets 7-7

Standings in NFC East:
Philadelphia 13-1
Dallas 10-4
NJ Giants 8-5-1
Washington 7-6-1

New Mexico 82, Iona 74— Undefeated Lobos have played schedule #250, not exactly the best competition, but they’re still 11-0. This game was special because Richard Pitino’s team beat Iona, coached by Rick Pitino, Richard’s dad.

Iona is 7-3 this year, just the second top 100 win for New Mexico. Gaels are playing in the Rainbow Classic in Hawai’i this week.

 

[Udog]

NY RANGERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 9-2 Under (6.8 Units) after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 11-1 Under (9.9 Units) in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game in the current season.

SAN JOSE is 12-35 ATS (-26.5 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 14-46 ATS (-36.6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, December 20

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Trend Report
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New Jersey @ Carolina
New Jersey
New Jersey is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
New Jersey is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Columbus @ Philadelphia
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Columbus's last 13 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 19 games when playing at home against Columbus

NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers

Tampa Bay @ Toronto
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Ottawa @ Winnipeg
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

St. Louis @ Seattle
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 10 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games at home
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Anaheim @ Los Angeles
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Anaheim's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Los Angeles is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Anaheim

Calgary @ San Jose
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games on the road
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games


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