Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PIT at BUF07:00 PMBUF +130
O 6.5
+500 +500
CAL at CLB07:00 PMCAL -260
U 6.5
+500 +500
SEA at WAS07:00 PMSEA +130
U 6.0
+500 +500
NYI at NJ07:00 PMNJ -225
U 6.0
+500 +500
WIN at CHI08:30 PMWIN -145
O 6.0
+500 +500
NYR at COL09:00 PMCOL +130
U 5.5
+500 +500
MIN at EDM09:00 PMMIN +105
O 6.5
+500 +500
BOS at ARI09:30 PMARI +275
U 6.0
+500 +500
SJ at ANA10:00 PMANA +100
O 6.5
+500 +500
PHI at VEG10:00 PMVEG -260
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/09/2022..................10-10-0........................50.00%...............................- 7.00
12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%................... ...........+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%................... ...........+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%................... ...........- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%................... ............- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................55-56-1........................49.54%........... ...................- 55.25
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Six leading scorers in college basketball:
25.7— Jordan Walker, UAB
23.9— Sam Sessoms, Coppin State
23.5— Jordan Dingle, Penn
23.2— Zach Edey, Purdue
23.1— Antoine Davis, Detroit
22.4— Bowen Born, Northern Iowa

Quote of the Day
“It’s as intense as it gets. I had relatives that were rooting against me!”
Former Xavier coach Chris Mack, on the Cincinnati-Xavier rivalry

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?
Hint: Warren Beatty in Heaven Can Wait doesn’t count

Friday’s quiz
Daryle Lamonica was the Raiders’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Friday’s quiz
In The Natural, Roy Hobbs wore number 9 while playing for the New York Knights.

**************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Army-Navy game is Saturday afternoon. The last 16 Army-Navy games stayed under the total, an impressive streak of low-scoring games.

Total on this year’s game is 32.5; neither team throws the ball much.

— Biggest pointspread in a bowl this year: UAB is -11.5 over Miami OH in the Bahamas Bowl.

— Last year, Liam Coen was offensive coordinator at Kentucky when the Wildcats went 10-3, beating Iowa in the Citrus Bowl. After the season, Coen moved to the NFL, he is offensive coordinator for the Rams this year, but next year, he’s going back to his old job at Kentucky.

— As of Friday afternoon, there were 69 quarterbacks in the college football transfer portal; there are only 130 I-A teams. Everyone who isn’t starting is looking for a school where he can start. Very little patience in the world these days; strange world we live in.

— There is a Division III college basketball team, Grinnell College in Iowa. The other night, Grinnell won a game 124-67; they took 111 shots, all of them 3-pointers!!!

40-111 on the arc, 4-6 on the foul line, no 2-point shots the whole game. Unique way to play the game; Grinnell is 4-6 so it doesn’t always work, but ESPN should toss one of their games on TV sometime, so we can see what it is like.

— Minnesota Vikings are 10-2, but they’ve been outgained by 63 yards/game. Opponents are averaging 6.2 yards/play, Minnesota 5.2, but Vikings have won all the close games so far.

— Atlanta Falcons are giving rookie QB Desmond Ridder his first NFL start next week against New Orleans. Falcons are 5-8 and going nowhere this year; makes sense to give their rookie QB his first NFL playing time.

— Before Thursday night’s comeback by the Rams, NFL teams were 70-2 this season when leading by 13+ points in the last 5:00 of a game. Now they’re 70-3.

Raiders have led four games this season by 10+ points at halftime; they lost all four. Before this season, the Raiders’ all-time record when they led by 10+ points at the half:

156-15-1. Yikes.

This is Derek Carr’s ninth year in the NFL; he’s thrown 14 red zone interceptions, tied for most in the league during that time.

— San Diego Padres gave SS Xander Bogaerts $280M for 11 years; the Red Sox last known offer to Bogaerts was six years, $162M. Big difference.

I mentioned during baseball season but it bears repeating; the owner of the Padres is Peter Seidler, whose grandfather was Walter O’Malley., the guy who moved the Dodgers from Brooklyn to Los Angeles.

— Baylor Bears won/covered four of their last five bowl games; they were the underdog in all five of those games.

— Since 2018, SEC football teams are 30-15 ATS when playing an ACC team.

— I did a double-take when it came across the screen that the Mets gave Brandon Nimmo $162M for eight years. His on-base numbers are impressive for sure, but he’s only played in 100+ games twice in his career.

— Purdue football coach Jeff Brohm bolted the Boilermakers to go back to his alma mater, Louisville. Brohm is 66-44 as a college coach; he also coached in Arena Football and also played some minor league baseball.

Purdue was 12-6 in conference games the last two years; Louisville is getting a good coach.

— If you don’t have Amazon Prime (it is worth the $$$) NFL Network replays the Thursday night NFL games at midnight and again at 3am.

— You look at all the $$$$ that’s been thrown at baseball’s free agents the last few weeks, then you realize that Shohei Ohtani is going to be a free agent at this time next year. He is going to break the freakin’ bank. All the big $$$ teams are going to be in on him.
 

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NASHVILLE is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

MONTREAL is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

BUFFALO is 15-7 ATS (7.3 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 57-38 Over (15.2 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 9-3 ATS (7.9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 84-68 ATS (9.2 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
 

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NHL

Saturday, December 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa @ Nashville
Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Dallas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

Florida @ Tampa Bay
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida

Los Angeles @ Montreal
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Calgary @ Toronto
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Calgary is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing at home against Calgary

Carolina @ NY Islanders
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
NY Islanders is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

Minnesota @ Vancouver
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Vancouver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
OTT at NAS01:30 PMOTT +115
U 6.5
+500 +500
DET at DAL02:00 PMDAL -200
O 6.5
+500 +500
FLA at TB04:30 PMTB -135
U 6.5
+500 +500
BUF at PIT07:00 PMBUF +170
O 6.5
+500 +500
LA at MON07:00 PMLA -170
U 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at TOR07:00 PMCAL +155
U 6.0
+500 +500
CAR at NYI07:30 PMNYI +125
O 6.0
+500 +500
MIN at VAN10:00 PMVAN -115
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/10/2022......................6-9-1.........................40.00%..............................- 12.50
12/09/2022..................10-10-0........................50.00%...............................- 7.00
12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%................... ...........+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%................... ...........+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%................... ...........- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%................... ............- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................61-65-2........................48.41%........... ...................- 67.75
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack

NFL leaders in receiving yards:
1,379— Tyreek Hill, Mia
1,277— Justin Jefferson, Minn
1,247— Davante Adams, LV
1,202— Stefan Diggs, Buff
972— Jaylen Waddle, Mia
968— Travis Kelce, KC

Quote of the Day
“I see an offense that’s running the football well. It’s a very conservative pass game — lot of screens, all kind of screens. It’s how a defensive guy would call offensive plays, right?”
Arizona Cardinals’ defensive coordinator Vance Joseph, talking about the Patriots

Sunday’s quiz
Before Caleb Williams won Saturday, who was the last USC Trojan to win the Heisman Trophy?

Saturday’s quiz
Vince Ferragamo was the Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Friday’s quiz
Daryle Lamonica was the Raiders’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Took me 19 hours after Thursday night’s win to get an e-mail from the Rams, asking me if I wanted to buy a blue #17 Baker Mayfield jersey. Wonder how many they’ve sold.

Alabama 71, Houston 65
Houston led by 15 points early in second half.
Cougars made only 12 of 22 free throws.
First loss of the season for Houston.

Xavier 80, Cincinnati 77
Xavier hung on after leading by 17 early in second half.
Cincinnati hasn’t beaten a team ranked higher than #172.
4th time in a row Musketeers win this rivalry game.

LSU 72, Wake Forest 70
Deacons led by 20 with 4:19 left in first half.
Wake shot 74.2% inside arc, 5-24 on the arc.
KJ Williams had 35 points, 10 rebounds for LSU.

South Dakota State 77, Eastern Washington 76
Jackrabbits trailed by 23 with 8:51 left in game.
South Dakota State snaps 4-game skid with the win.
Jackrabbits made 12-31 on arc, 15-15 on foul line.

Memphis 82, Auburn 73
Kendrick Davis had 31 points, 9 rebounds, 6 assists.
All nine players who played for Memphis are listed as seniors.
First loss this season for Auburn, which was 6-24 on the arc.

Saint Mary’s 68, San Diego State 61
Why wasn’t this game on TV?
Saint Mary’s shot 58% inside the arc.

Charlotte 82, Detroit 80 OT
Antoine Davis scored 36 points, went over 3,000-point mark for his career.
Charlotte make 10-17 shots on the arc.
Detroit led by 10 points early in second half.

Arizona 89, Indiana 75
Arizona is 8-1, playing 2nd-fastest tempo in country.
Wildcats are shooting 63.5% inside arc, #1 in country.

Arkansas 88, Oklahoma 78
Both teams shot over 60% inside the arc.
With Brazile hurt, Arkansas is down to a 7-man rotation.
Sooners led by 8 early, but trailed 43-40 at halftime.

Purdue 65, Nebraska 62 OT
Boilers are 10-0 despite blowing a 14-point 2nd half lead.
Nebraska shot 35% inside arc, but had 19 offensive rebounds.

Kansas 95, Missouri 67
Tigers are 9-1 but have only two top 200 wins (#84 is their best win)
Kansas shot 10-22 on arc, scored 1.25 points/possession.

Sacramento State 76, Long Beach State 74
Hornets made 13-28 shots on the arc.
Long Beach State hasn’t made NCAA Tournament since 2012.

UCSB 67, Pepperdine 64 OT
Gauchos win despite scoring only 0.86 points/possession.
6-7 soph Maxwell Lewis (34 points) played all 45:00 for Pepperdine.
7 of 8 guys who played for Pepperdine are frosh/sophs.

Army 20, Navy 17, OT
First time in last 17 meetings this game went over the total.
Game was 10-10 after regulation.
Army’s only TD in regulation came on a blocked punt.
Navy’s only TD in regulation came on a 77-yard run.

— Since 2012, Las Vegas Raiders have had six head coaches, 8 starting QB’s and an 0-2 record in playoff games.

— Odd Stat of the Day: Since 2012, Duke’s FOOTBALL team is 34-12 ATS outside the ACC.

— Stanford hired Sacramento State coach Troy Taylor as its new football coach; Taylor is a Cal graduate, which seems odd. Sacramento State was 12-0 this year before getting upset Friday night 66-63 by Incarnate Word in the I-AA playoffs.

You wouldn’t think Stanford would hire a Cal graduate, but they did.

— Washington Nationals gave P Trevor Williams a 2-year, $13M deal.

OF Kevin Kiermaier signed a deal with the Toronto Blue Jays; terms weren’t disclosed.

Mets are signing Japanese P Kodai Senga to a 5-year, $75M contract.
 

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ST LOUIS are 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 15-7 ATS (7.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 137-146 ATS (-23.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-62 ATS (-47.2 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 29-14 Over (13.6 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, December 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado @ St. Louis
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

Los Angeles @ Columbus
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home

Seattle @ Florida
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 13 games

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Washington @ Winnipeg
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Boston @ Vegas
Boston
Boston is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Boston is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games at home
Vegas is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
COL at STL03:00 PMCOL -120
O 6.0
+500 +500
LA at CLB06:00 PMLA -150
U 6.5
+500 +500
SEA at FLA06:00 PMSEA +140
O 6.5
+500 +500
PHI at ARI07:00 PMARI -110
O 5.5
+500 +500
WAS at WIN07:00 PMWIN -130
U 6.0
+500 +500
BOS at VEG08:00 PMBOS -160
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/11/2022......................7-5-0.........................58.33.................................+ 6.50
12/10/2022......................6-9-1.........................40.00%..............................- 12.50
12/09/2022..................10-10-0........................50.00%...............................- 7.00
12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%................... ...........+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%................... ...........+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%................... ...........- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%................... ............- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................68-70-2........................49.27%........... ...................- 61.25
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 15 NFL spreads
— 49ers (-1.5) @ Seattle
— Colts @ Minnesota (-5.5)
— Ravens @ Browns (-3)
— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-7)
— Falcons @ Saints (-4.5)
— Lions @ NJ Jets (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“I came into this prepared for teams to spend absurd amounts of money, and somehow I’m stunned by how absurd it actually was.”
Unnamed major league GM, on how much $$$ was spent at baseball’s Winter Meetings

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one and only Super Bowl appearance?

Sunday’s quiz
Before Caleb Williams won Saturday, Reggie Bush was the last USC Trojan to win the Heisman Trophy, in 2005.

Saturday’s quiz
Vince Ferragamo was the Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

— Prayers go out to Mississippi State football coach Mike Leach, who was rushed to a hospital Sunday; he was flown to a hospital in Jackson. We wish him well.

Jaguars 36, Titans 22
— Jacksonville is 3-2 in its last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Lawrence was 30-42/368 passing, with three TD’s.
— Engram caught 11 passes for 162 yards, two TD’s.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— This was only 2nd win for Jaguars in last 12 games vs Tennessee.

— Tennessee lost three fumbles, was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Tennessee is 0-3 SU since OC got DUI coming home from road trip.
— Titans have been outscored 150-70 in second half.
— Titans fired their GM Tuesday, despite being in first place.
— Tennessee still has a 2-game lead in AFC South.

Bills 20, Jets 12
— Jets in first half: 30 plays, 81 yards, 6 first downs, no points.
— Jets in 2nd half: 45 plays, 203 yards, 13 first downs, 10 points.
— Jets scored a safety on a blocked punt.
— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets were 8-17 on third down, Buffalo 2-13.

— Bills’ first five drives: 23 plays, 30 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bills’ next four drives: 23 plays, 190 yards, 12 first downs, 20 points.
— 11 of 13 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 1-5-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Bills won their last four games, scoring 26 ppg.

Ravens 16, Steelers 14
— Ravens ran ball for 215 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
— Dobbins carried ball 15 times for 120 yards and a TD.
— Eight of last ten Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Baltimore is 13-2-2 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Ravens are 5-2 SU on road this season, 3-0 ATS as an underdog.

— QB Pickett got banged up early; backup Trubisky threw three INT’s.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers ran ball 20 times for only 65 yards.
— Previous four games, they ran ball for 161.3 yards/game.
— Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.

Eagles 48, Giants 22
— Eagles won last four games, scoring 40-35-48 points in last three.
— Philly’s first 3 drives: 27 plays, 208 yards, 13 first downs, 21 points.
— Eagles had three TD plays of 33+ yards.
— Philly had three TD drives of 41 or fewer yards.
— Eagles have 49 touchdowns on 127 drives this season.

— Giants are 1-4-1 SU last six games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants’ first four drives: 21 plays, 73 yards, no points.
— Eagles sacked Giant QB’s seven times.
— Overall, Philly is 15-3 SU in last 18 games against the Giants.
— Giants are 9-19 ATS in last 28 games as a home underdog.

Bengals 23, Browns 10
— Browns scored one offensive TD in Watson’s first two starts.
— Cleveland converted 4-15 on third down, 3-6 on 4th down.
— Peoples-Jones caught eight passes for 114 yards.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Browns are 0-5 when they run for less than 171 yards.

— Bengals first 3 drives: 16 plays, 40 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Bengals next 5 drives: 32 plays, 308 yards, 17 first downs, 23 points.
— Chase caught ten passes for 119 yards and a TD.
— Cincinnati won nine of its last eleven games (10-1 ATS).
— They won/covered their last five games.

Lions 34, Vikings 23
— Minnesota ran ball 17 times for only 22 yards.
— Jefferson caught 11 passes for 223 yards.
— Four of last five Viking games went over the total.
— Vikings are 10-3; they’ve scored 312 points, given up 313.
— Vikings are 5-8 ATS in last thirteen NFC North road games

— Detroit won five of its last six games (6-0 ATS).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 9-20-1 SU, 20-9-1 ATS.
— Detroit converted 7-15 on third down, Vikings 4-10.
— Last five games, Lions scored 31-31-25-40-34 points.
— Detroit scored 23 TD’s on its last 61 drives.

Cowboys 27, Texans 23
— Dallas drove 98 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:41 left.
— Last six games, Dallas scored 31 TD’s on 73 drives.
— Cowboys won 10 of their last 12 games (8-4 ATS).
— Last 10 games, Cowboys outscored foes 173-54 in second half.
— Dallas gained 404+ TY in each of their last six games.

— Texans’ two TD drives were only 24-27 yards.
— Houston used two QB’s, averaged 7.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Moore caught ten passes for 124 yards.
— Fairbairn kicked three FG’s: 43-50-54 yards.
— Texans are 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS since their bye week.

Chiefs 34, Broncos 28
— KC’s first four drives: 30 plays, 265 yards, 11 first downs, 20 points.
— Chiefs rest of game: 38 plays, 170 yards, 9 first downs, 7 points.
— Chiefs scored a defensive TD, the only one all day in NFL.
— Chiefs were 6-12 on third down, Denver 6-17.
— Chiefs won eight of last ten games (5-5 ATS).

— QB Wilson got a concussion late in game; backup Rypien finished up.
— WR Jeudy caught 8 passes for 73 yards, three TD’s.
— Denver was down 27-7, had ball twice when it was 34-28, didn’t score again.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 44-170 (25.9%) on third down.
— Denver lost five in row, nine of their last ten games (3-6-1 ATS)

49ers 35, Buccaneers 7
— 49ers scored a touchdown on five of first seven drives.
— SF ran ball for 209 yards (147.2 rushing yards/game last 5 games)
— Last five games, 49ers converted 45-87 (51.7%) on third down.
— 49ers are 7-0 when they score 24+ points, 2-4 when they don’t.
— San Francisco won its last six games (5-1 ATS)

— Rookie QB Purdy (16-21/185 passing) won his first NFL start.
— 49ers led this game 28-0 at halftime.
— Buccaneers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
— Tampa lost last four true road games, scoring 18-3-17-7 points.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 11 of last 12 games.

Panthers 30, Seahawks 24
— Panthers’ first three drives: 26 plays, 130 yards, 17 points.
— Carolina ran ball for 223 yards, 4.8 yards/carry.
— Panthers had a 10-yard advantage in field position.
— Last four games, Carolina outscored foes 43-23 in first half.
— Panthers are 6-2 ATS since they changed coaches.

— Seattle only ran ball 14 times, for 46 yards.
— Seahawks are 0-4 ATS last four games, running for 59.8 yards/game.
— Last four games, Seattle gave up 161-283-171-223 rushing yards.
— Last four games, opponents are 28-54 (51.9%) on 3rd down.
— At 7-6, Seahawks have slipped out of current NFC playoff picture.

Chargers 23, Dolphins 17
— Miami ran ball 8 times for 33 yards LW, 19 for 92 yards this week.
— Miami’s only first half TD was Hill running 57 yards with a fumble.
— Last two weeks, Miami is 3-18 on third down.
— Tagovailoa was 3-16 passing in the first half.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.

— Herbert was 39-51/367 passing, with one TD.
— Mike Williams caught six passes for 116 yards and a TD.
— Chargers were 9-18 on third down, Miami 3-11
— Last three games, Chargers converted 28-61 on third down (45.9%)
— Chargers are 6-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

Marquette 79, Notre Dame 84— 8-3 Marquette outscored ND 9-1 over final 5:43 of first half, coasted home from there.

Wisconsin 78, Iowa 75 OT— Badgers’ bench outscored Iowa’s subs, 22-5.

Tennessee 56, Maryland 53— Vols have the #1 eFG% defense in the country.
 

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Tokens
NY RANGERS are 55-75 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1...

PITTSBURGH is 324-249 Over (50.1 Units) off a home win since 1996.

MONTREAL is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 0-18 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 21-6 Over (14.4 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 12


qFQ9P2p.png





NHL

Monday, December 12


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary @ Montreal
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Pittsburgh
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Anaheim @ Ottawa
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Anaheim's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ottawa's last 10 games when playing Anaheim

Edmonton @ Minnesota
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games

Nashville @ St. Louis
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,256
Tokens

MONDAY, DECEMBER 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DAL at PIT07:00 PMDAL +110+500
NJ at NYR07:00 PMNJ -110
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at MON07:00 PMMON +180
U 6.0
+500 +500
ANA at OTT07:30 PMANA +185+500
EDM at MIN08:00 PMEDM +105
U 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at STL08:00 PMSTL -105
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Tokens
DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/12/2022......................5-5-0.........................50.00%..............................+ 3.00
12/11/2022......................7-5-0.........................58.33................... ..............+ 6.50
12/10/2022......................6-9-1.........................40.00%.................. ............- 12.50
12/09/2022..................10-10-0........................50.00%................... ............- 7.00
12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%................... ...........+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%................... ...........+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%................... ...........- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%................... ............- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................73-75-2........................49.32%........... ...................- 58.25
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Current MLB payrolls for 2023:
$300,283,332— New York (N)
$221,716,666— New York (A)
$207,549,008— Philadelphia
$176,517,878— San Diego
$199,216,666— Atlanta
$167,241,666— LA Angels

Quote of the Day
“Sometimes you don’t get what you want, because you deserve better.”
Anonymous

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the New Jersey Jets’ QB, last time they made the playoffs?

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one/only Super Bowl appearance.

Sunday’s quiz
Before Caleb Williams won Saturday, Reggie Bush was the last USC Trojan to win the Heisman Trophy, in 2005.

***********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Patriots 27, Cardinals 13

— Tied 13-all in third quarter, NE ran Hopkins fumble back for game-winning TD.
— Five of last six New England games stayed under the total.
— Patriots are 5-1 ATS this season coming off a loss.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.

— QB Murray got hurt on 3rd play of game; torn ACL is the fear.
— Cardinals led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last 8 games.
— Arizona in second half: 34 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
— Arizona is 1-9 SU when it scores less than 29 points.

— David Matranga is Aaron Judge’s agent; he had a very brief major league career himself, playing in six games for the 2003 Astros, one game for the ’05 Angels.

Matranga had one major league hit, a 5th inning home run off Joaquin Benoit on July 27, 2003.

Only 22 major league players ever had one MLB hit, with that hit being a home run; only 4 of those 22 guys did it in their first major league at-bat, like Matranga did.

Agents generally get 3% commission, which makes Aaron Judge’s $360M deal worth $1.08M to Mr Matranga. He’s a better agent than he was a ballplayer.

— Texas Longhorns suspended basketball coach Chris Beard after he was arrested on a felony assault charge late Sunday night. The person that Beard allegedly assaulted is a family member.

— There’s a pretty good chance that the payroll tax the Mets will pay next season will be bigger than the entire payrolls in Oakland/Pittsburgh.

Not a good thing for competitive balance.

— A’s were involved in a 3-team trade Monday:
Milwaukee got C William Contreras and two pitching prospects.
Oakland got five players, best of whom is P Kyle Muller.
Atlanta got C Sean Murphy

— Louisville has a great basketball tradition, but the Cardinals are a mess this year, an 0-9 mess, with three one-point losses. They’re turning ball over 24.4% if time (#356)

Cal Bears are doing even worse; they’re 0-11, with four losses to teams outside the top 200. Golden Bears are shooting 25.4% on arc (#356), 45.4% inside arc (#299).

— Northwestern State Demons are 8-2, with an upset win at TCU; the Demons got national press this weekend when one of their players scored his first college points.

Hansel Emmanuel is a 6-6 guard; he scored 5 points in 8:00 vs UL-Monroe. What makes this newsworthy is that Hansel Emmanuel has only one arm— he lost an arm in a childhood accident, when he was six years old.

— Miami Dolphins are in midst of an odd schedule; they stayed in California last week, in between road games against the 49ers/Chargers. Warm weather games.

This week, Miami plays its third straight road game, Saturday night in Buffalo; December 17 night game in western New York should be a lot of fun.

— Navy fired football coach Ken Niumatalolo over the weekend; Niumatalolo was 109-83 at Navy, 10-5 against Army, but the Middies are 11-23 the last three years. Even at a service academy, you go 11-23 and they tell you to take a hike.

— Baseball happenings:
Giants signed P Sean Manaea to a 2-year, $25M deal.
Blue Jays signed P Chris Bassitt to a 3-year, $63M deal.
Twins signed C Christian Vazquez to a 3-year, $30M deal.

Profitable weekend for a couple of former Oakland A’s.

— These former big leaguers will play pro baseball in Japan next year:
Matt Davidson (Hiroshima Carp)
Sheldon Neuse (Hanshin Tigers)
Frank Schwindel (Orix Buffaloes)
JB Wendelken (Yokohama Baystars)

— Browns’ WR Amari Cooper’s splits in home/road games:
Home games: 91.2 receiving yards/game, 5 TD’s.
True road games: 46.7 receiving yards/game, no TD’s.

Left out the neutral field game against the Bills in Detroit.

— Underdogs are 113-91-4 ATS in the NFL this season; if you wagered $100 on every underdog this season, you’d be $1,237 ahead.

— Detroit Pistons’ star Cade Cunningham is out for the year with a shin injury; Cunningham in scoring 19.9 ppg this season, after scoring 17.4 ppg as a rookie.

— Atlanta Falcons’ QB Marcus Mariota is on IR/out for the year with a knee injury. Falcons signed Logan Woodside to be their backup QB, behind rookie Desmond Ridder, who will make his first NFL start Sunday in New Orleans.

— Coastal Carolina football coach Jamey Chadwell just bolted to Liberty; Chanticleers’ QB Grayson McCall has now entered the transfer portal. Coastal is 9-3 this year; McCall started for the Chanticleers the last three years, and still has two years of eligibility left.

— Lebron James Jr, better known as Bronny James, has 6,000,000 followers on Instagram; he also has a Nike deal and a Beats By Dre contract that includes a commercial.

The kid is a senior in high school; he is 6-3, a top 100 college recruit, will almost definitely be in the 2024 NBA Draft, where he will likely play on the same team as his dad in 2024-25. Where his career goes from there remains to be seen.

“The expectation doesn’t match the talent level, or at least not yet, and that’s where it gets messy.’’ That is the evaluation of one unnamed college coach.

It’ll be interesting to follow; watching the docuseries on the Sierra Canyon team that Bronny plays for, it is clear that he is a good kid, an unselfish player. Sometimes having a famous dad creates unrealistic expectations; we’ll see how this plays out.
 

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SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 75-43 Under (27.7 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days since 1996.

NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 14-45 ATS (-35.5 Units) in road games after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more since 1996.

ANAHEIM is 14-45 ATS (-35.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

DETROIT is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 126-204 ATS (-98.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 53-61 ATS (-14.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-63 ATS (-48.3 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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