Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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OTTAWA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 17-7 Over (9.3 Units) in road games first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 122-84 Over (29.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

WINNIPEG is 9-2 Under (6.8 Units) in home games first half of the season in the current season.

DALLAS are 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

CAROLINA is 23-11 Over (10.9 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Tuesday, December 6


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Trend Report
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Chicago @ New Jersey
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Chicago

Los Angeles @ Ottawa
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

Columbus @ Pittsburgh
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus

Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

St. Louis @ NY Islanders
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games

Florida @ Winnipeg
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida's last 13 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Toronto @ Dallas
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games at home

Carolina @ Anaheim
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games at home
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina

Montreal @ Seattle
Montreal
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 13 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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Dunkel

Tuesday, December 6


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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 6

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLB at PIT07:00 PMPIT -282
O 6.5
+500 +500
LA at OTT07:00 PMOTT -109+500
CHI at NJ07:00 PMCHI +340
U 6.0
+500 +500
DET at TB07:00 PMTB -255
U 6.5
+500 +500
STL at NYI07:30 PMSTL +158+500
FLA at WIN08:00 PMFLA -110
U 6.0
+500 +500
TOR at DAL08:30 PMTOR +103
U 6.5
+500 +500
MON at SEA10:00 PMSEA -274
O 6.5
+500 +500
CAR at ANA10:00 PMCAR -288+500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%..............................- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%...............................- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................31-39-0........................44.28%........... ...................- 82.50
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 14 NFL spreads:
— Raiders (-6) @ LA Rams
— Chiefs (-9) @ Denver
— Panthers @ Seattle (-3.5)
— Buccaneers @ San Francisco (-3.5)
— Dolphins (-3) @ LA Chargers
— Patriots (-1.5) @ Arizona

Quote of the Day
“To play quarterback, you’re not allowed to worry about anything except the task at hand. And that seeps into other areas of life. It’s not the healthiest way to live.”
Former Colts’ QB Andrew Luck

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano became famous as the basketball coach at NC State; where did he coach before he coached the Wolfpack?

Tuesday’s quiz
Trea Turner broke into the major leagues with the Washington Nationals.

Monday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State.

*************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Long time ago, 1986 to be exact, a guy gave me a chance to write a preview of the NCAA Tournament in my local newspaper, the Albany Times Union. Friend of mine worked for the paper and recommended me. The preview was about one-third of a page; it went well, and I wound up writing a daily tips section for four years in the paper, just above the odds for that day’s games, a miniature version of what I post here these days.

The man’s name was Al Vieira; I just heard that he recently passed away.

Writing that stuff was great fun, and it led to me to writing this space for the last 21 years; I appreciate Mr Vieira’s faith in my friend’s word and in me. He was a good newspaperman, our sports section was better because he was here.

RIP Al Vieira. Thanks again.

— Pet Peeve of the Day: When people refer to QB-WR-RB’s as “skill positions”, as if being a offensive lineman doesn’t take any skills.

If your offensive line isn’t good, your offense will be in the ashcan; witness this year’s Rams, who haven’t started the same five guys on the offensive line in any two games this season. As a result, their offense has struggled, the QB/star WR got hurt. It has been a cruddy year.

Blocking takes enormous skill, it is just harder to measure.

— Speaking of which, Rams claimed free agent QB Baker Mayfield off waivers from Carolina Tuesday; he figures to start most of the rest of the season. He would be an excellent backup to Matthew Stafford in 2023; if he bolted as a free agent (no one else claimed him on waivers) the Rams would get a compensatory draft pick.

Mayfield is 31-36 as an NFL starter, splitting two playoff games for Cleveland in 2020.

— This month marks the 8th anniversary of my retirement from working for New York State; one of the very few disappointing parts of being retired is this: Weekday daytime television sucks. Seriously.

There are some exceptions; March is a great daytime TV month, with college basketball and spring training games going on. This week is also an exception, with the winter meetings in baseball happening (this year in San Diego).

MLB Network has people on talking about baseball all day long, a good thing. Works better when teams make transactions; not whole lot of those so far, but……….

— Cleveland Guardians gave 1B Josh Bell a 2-year, $33M deal.
Texas Rangers gave P Andrew Heaney a 2-year, $25M deal.
Chicago Cubs signed OF Cody Bellinger for one year, $17.5M

San Francisco Giants gave OF Mitch Haniger $43.5M for three years.
Philadelphia Phillies gave P Taijuan Walker $72M for four years.

— Baseball had their draft lottery Tuesday; first three picks in July’s draft will be:
1) Pirates
2) Nationals
3) Tigers

— Busy day for a Tuesday in December; Tennessee Titans fired their general manager Jon Robinson, even though the Titans are 7-5 this year, leading AFC South by three games.

Couple weeks ago, the Titans’ offensive coordinator got a DUI late at night, after the Titans returned home after a big win in Green Bay. It is unclear if that played any role in all this, but the OC still has his job- Tennessee is 0-2 since the DUI.

Titans were over .500 every year Robinson was GM; they got whacked by the Eagles 35-10 in Philadelphia last week, with former Titan AJ Brown catching 8 passes for 119 yards and two TD’s against his old team.

— West Virginia QB JT Daniels is going back into the transfer portal, which is becoming an annual event: Daniels threw for 2,107 yards this year, his third college stop. Next year he will be playing for his fourth college team.

2018-19 USC— 12 games, 2,887 passing yards; 15 TD’s, 11 INT’s
2020-21 Georgia— 9 games, 1,953 passing yards; 17 TD’s, 5 INTs.
2022 West Virginia— 10 games, 2,107 passing yards; 13 TD’s, 9 INTs.

If nothing else, he can write a hell of a book someday.

— ACC quarterbacks on the move— These ACC QB’s are in the transfer portal:
Kevin Slovis, Pitt
Devin Leary, NC State
Phil Jurkovec, Boston College
DJ Uiagalelei, Clemson
Jeff Sims, Georgia Tech
Brennan Armstrong, Virginia

Six of 14 ACC QB’s are transferring this season.

— Some of the quarterbacks taken in the 2016 NFL Draft:
1st round— Jared Goff, Rams
Carson Wentz, Eagles
Paxton Lynch, Denver

2nd round— Christian Hackenberg, Jets
3rd round— Jacoby Brissett, Patriots
Cody Kessler, Browns

4th round— Connor Cook, Raiders
Dak Prescott, Cowboys— 135th player taken in the draft.

NFL Draft continues to be a fascinating subject.

— Kent State football coach Sean Lewis, the head coach, quit to become offensive coordinator at Colorado under new head coach Deion Sanders. Lewis was 24-31 coaching Kent, 1-1 in bowls- that was Kent’s first-ever win (1-3) in a bowl game.

Lewis’ offenses are known for playing with fast tempo, quick snaps; they had the 4th-fastest offense in the country this season. Playing in altitude in Boulder, a fast-paced offense will be designed to exhaust visiting defenses.

Colorado had to pay Kent State a $750,000 buyout to get Lewis to Boulder.

— Clemson QB DJ Uiagalelei got benched early in the ACC championship game, now he’s in the transfer portal. Uiagalelei completed 59.9% of his passes for Clemson, throwing for 5,681 yards, with 36 TD’s, 17 INT’s, but he was 8-29 passing in the Tigers’ 31-30 loss to South Carolina, which led to his benching the next week.

— Georgia Bulldogs have been so good this season, QB Stetson Bennett hasn’t played in the 4th quarter in six of their 13 games.

— Chicago Bears’ last five games, they’ve been outscored 38-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

— There are 42 guys in the NBA this season earning $30M+; $30M for 82 games works out to $365,853.65 per game.

— UNLV hired Arkansas defensive coordinator Barry Odom as its next football coach; Odom went 25-25 coaching Missouri from 2016-19, going 13-19 in SEC games.

— New Hampshire 74, Boston College 71 OT
UNH led by 9 with 11:21 left in game.
ACC’s Eagles led by 5 in the overtime.
This is a horrendous loss for BC; the bottom of the ACC is awful.

— Illinois 85, Texas 78 OT
Longhorns led by 10 with 8:04 left to play.
Illinois made 10-23 shots behind the arc.

— Georgia Tech 79, Georgia 77
Yellow Jackets shot 57% inside the arc
Georgia was only 9-16 on the foul line.

— Virginia 55, James Madison 50
Game was tied with 7:51 left to play.
7-3 Dukes could make some noise in their first year in the Sun Belt.

— Arkansas 65, NC-Greensboro 58
SoCon’s Spartans led by 12 early, 26-21 at halftime.
Arkansas outscored UNCG 19-9 over final 5:51 of game.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 21-60 ATS (-45 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 7-1 Under (5.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

BOSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

EDMONTON is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

VEGAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

SAN JOSE is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 7


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WASHINGTON (11-12-0-4, 26 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (9-12-0-5, 23 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 288-307 ATS (+601.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 487-444 ATS (-93.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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BUFFALO (11-13-0-1, 23 pts.) at COLUMBUS (8-14-0-2, 18 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 17-11 ATS (+29.4 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 20-18 ATS (+45.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-9 ATS (+25.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 18-20 ATS (+59.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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MINNESOTA (13-9-0-2, 28 pts.) at CALGARY (12-10-0-3, 27 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 74-67 ATS (+153.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 93-82 ATS (-49.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-13 ATS (-8.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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BOSTON (20-3-0-1, 41 pts.) at COLORADO (13-9-0-1, 27 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 11-1 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-4 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 20-4 ATS (+13.1 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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ARIZONA (7-12-0-4, 18 pts.) at EDMONTON (14-12-0-0, 28 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 4-10 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 102-120 ATS (-55.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
EDMONTON is 231-216 ATS (-51.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 101-109 ATS (-77.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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NY RANGERS (12-10-0-5, 29 pts.) at VEGAS (19-7-0-1, 39 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 12-15 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 12-15 ATS (-13.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 1-5 ATS (-7.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
VEGAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NY RANGERS are 154-149 ATS (+328.4 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
VEGAS is 19-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 2-0-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (11-12-0-3, 25 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-16-0-4, 20 pts.) - 12/7/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 448-430 ATS (-128.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 182-168 ATS (+368.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 10-4 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 8-22 ATS (+37.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 2-11 ATS (+2.0 Units) in home games first half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 117-107 ATS (-60.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 195-176 ATS (-96.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 45-49 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 1-9 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN JOSE is 1-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

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Wednesday, December 7


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Trend Report
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Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Buffalo @ Columbus
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Minnesota @ Calgary
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Boston @ Colorado
Boston
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Arizona @ Edmonton
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

NY Rangers @ Vegas
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games on the road
NY Rangers is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vegas's last 10 games at home
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers

Vancouver @ San Jose
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver


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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at PHI07:00 PMWAS -135+500
BUF at CLB07:30 PMBUF -164
O 7.0
+500 +500
MIN at CAL08:00 PMCAL -148
O 6.0
+500 +500
BOS at COL09:00 PMCOL +160+500
ARI at EDM09:30 PMARI +250
U 6.5
+500 +500
NYR at VEG10:00 PMNYR +115
U 6.0
+500 +500
VAN at SJ10:30 PMSJ +107
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%..............................+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%..............................- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%...............................- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................38-43-1........................46.91%........... ...................- 67.25
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Interesting bowl spreads:
— Florida vs Oregon State (-7.5)
— North Texas vs Boise State (-7.5)
— Marshall (-9.5) vs UConn
— San Jose State (-4.5) vs Eastern Michigan
— Toledo (-1.5) vs Liberty
— Western Kentucky vs South Alabama (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“You just got lesson number one: don’t think. It can only hurt the ballclub.”
Kevin Costner, Bull Durham

Thursday’s quiz
In The Natural, what number did Roy Hobbs wear while playing for the New York Knights?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano became famous as the basketball coach at NC State; he coached at Iona College before he coached the Wolfpack.

Tuesday’s quiz
Trea Turner broke into the major leagues with the Washington Nationals.



************************************************




Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Baseball happenings:

Aaron Judge— 9 years, $360M from New York (A)
Masataka Yoshida— 5 years, $90M from Boston
Willson Contreras— 5 years, $87M from St Louis

Kenley Jansen— 2 years, $32M from Boston
Jose Quintana— 2 years, $26M from New York (N)
Jameson Taillon— 4 years, $68M from the Cubs.

— Paul Hewitt was 321-251 in 18 years as a college basketball coach; he went 66-27 in three years at Siena, which is a few miles from Armadillo World HQ here in Albany. Very good coach; he went on to coach at Georgia Tech in the ACC.

Hewitt is now coaching the Ontario Clippers in the G League, which is really good basketball but off the beaten path a little bit. His team is off a 10-2 start this year.

— NC State’s center Dusan Mahorcic got hurt the other night; this week they signed a recruit to replace him, Isaiah Miranda, a 7-foot-1 center and four-star recruit. He will be in Raleigh next week and will be eligible to start playing in January.

Miranda is from Rhode Island, has been playing at Southern California Academy in Castaic, CA and played in the Rhode Island Elite summer program.

— Wisconsin Badgers are hiring Phil Longo from North Carolina to be the Badgers’ offensive coordinator, which will make the Badgers look totally different on offense going forward.

Wisconsin has long been a ground/pound team with mediocre QB’s (except Russell Wilson); Longo’s offense at North Carolina ranked in the top 15 in total offense in each of the past four seasons— his philosophy is predicated around the Air Raid offense, more wide open.

— Stat of the Day: Eastern Michigan’s football team is 32-10-1 against the spread in its last 43 games as an underdog.

— The best QB’s in the bigger college football conferences earn an average of nearly $200,000/year in NIL income.

— Texas-San Antonio QB Frank Harris is coming back to San Antonio next year for his 7th year with the Roadrunners, his 4th year as the starter. Roadrunners are 30-9 SU the last three seasons, winning Conference USA the last two years.

— Kentucky QB Will Levis is skipping the Wildcats’ bowl game against Iowa.

I said it last year when Kenny Pickett did this at Pitt; I’m totally against a quarterback sitting out a bowl game. The QB is the leader of the offense, if not the whole team; it is the Al Pacino speech from Any Given Sunday, the one he said to Jamie Foxx:

“You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.?

— Rice Owls are in a bowl game, despite their 5-7 record; this will be their first bowl since 2014. Owls are a 7-point underdog against Southern Miss in the LendingTree Bowl in Mobile, AL.

— Thru 13 weeks, the top four WR’s, in terms of PPR scoring for fantasy football:

Stefan Diggs, Buff
Tyreek Hill, Miami
Davante Adams, LV
Justin Jefferson, Minn

— Thru 13 weeks, the top four RB’s, in terms of PPR scoring for fantasy football:

Austin Ekeler, LAC
Josh Jacobs, LV
Chrstian McCaffrey, Char-SF
Derrick Henry, Tenn

— Wofford basketball coach Jay MacAuley took a leave of absence (was suspended) recently, after players apparently complained about MacAuley’s coaching methods.

Under MacAuley, Wofford is/was 58-42, 30-23 in conference games. They beat Coastal Carolina by 10 Tuesday, in their first game without MacAuley.

— Illinois’ basketball team is 7-1 ATS in non-conference games, but they lost their Big 14 opener, 71-66 at Maryland.

— So far this season, Big 14 teams are 8-2 SU against Big East teams, 6-4 against the spread.

— UConn 75, Florida 54— If the NCAA Tournament started tomorrow, the 10-0 Huskies would be a Final Four team.

— Jacksonville 73, VCU 62— 5-2 Dolphins get upset win, jump 17 spots in the ratings.

— Brown 59, Rhode Island 58— URI is 2-7; Atlantic 15 teams aren’t supposed to lose to lower level Ivy League teams. Horrendous loss. URI is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#326).

— Miami 107, Cornell 105— 79 possessions, both teams scored over 1.3 points/possession, in other words, defense took the night off. Miami led by 21 early in second half, hung on for an unimpressive win.
 

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NASHVILLE is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 29-14 ATS (13.6 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 4-12 ATS (-10.8 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, December 8


7GQvG0V.png





NHL

Thursday, December 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nashville @ Tampa Bay
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Nashville
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville

Los Angeles @ Toronto
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Detroit @ Florida
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Winnipeg @ St. Louis
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Winnipeg is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Dallas
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Ottawa


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
104,252
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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LA at TOR07:00 PMLA +151
O 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at TB07:00 PMTB -200
O 6.0
+500 +500
DET at FLA07:30 PMFLA -192
U 6.5
+500 +500
WIN at STL08:00 PMWIN -114
O 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at DAL08:30 PMDAL -192
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L.......................... %....................................UNITS

12/08/2022.......................7-3-0........................70.00%..............................+ 19.00
12/07/2022.......................7-4-1........................63.63%..............................+ 15.25
12/06/2022.......................6-9-0........................40.00%..............................- 40.25
12/05/2022.......................4-8-0........................33.33%...............................- 27.50
12/04/2022.......................3-4-0........................42.85%................... ...........- 4.25
12/03/2022.......................8-8-0........................50.00%................... ...........- 7.00
12/02/2022.......................2-4-0........................33.33%.......... ...................- 15.85
12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,8-6-0........................57.14%.......... ..................+ 12.35

TOTALS..........................45-46-1........................49.45%........... ...................- 48.25
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack

Ohio State 67, Rutgers 66— Buckeyes hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer.
Iowa 75, Iowa State 56— Hawkeyes made 12-23 on the arc.
Michigan 90, Minnesota 75— Wolverines win their Big 14 opener.
Colorado 93, Colorado State 65— Buffs scored 1.37 points/possession.
— Mets signed OF Brandon Nimmo to an 8-year, $162M contract.
— Falcons are going to start rookie QB Desmond Ridder next week against the Saints. Atlanta drafted Ridder in the third round last spring.

Quote of the Day
“Winning helps, and losing doesn’t.”
Bill Parcells

Friday’s quiz
Who was the Raiders’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
In The Natural, Roy Hobbs wore number 9 while playing for the New York Knights.

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano became famous as the basketball coach at NC State; he coached at Iona College before he coached the Wolfpack.

****************************

Friday’s Den: NBA trends (thru December 7)

Hawks (13-12)
:
— 2-5 last seven games SU.
— 4-5-1 ATS as home favorite, 3-6 as road underdog
— under 6-3 last nine games

Celtics (21-5):
— won/covered eight of last nine games SU
— 7-2 ATS last nine games as a home favorite, 7-5-1 ATS on road
— over 11-2 at home

Nets (14-12):
— won five of their last six games SU.
— 5-2 ATS last seven as a home favorite
— under 4-2 in their last six games.

Hornets (7-18):
— lost last five games SU.
— 4-8 ATS at home
— over 6-2 last eight home games

Bulls (10-14)
— lost three of last four games SU.
— 2-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 7-0-1 last eight home games

Cavaliers (16-9):
— won eight of last 11 games SU
— 8-1-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 6-0 last six games

Mavericks (13-11):
— won/covered three of last four games.
— 2-5 ATS as road favorites.
— over 5-1 last six games

Nuggets (14-10):
— lost last three games SU.
— 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 7-1 home games

Pistons (7-20):
— lost five of last seven games SU.
— covered last seven games as a road underdog.
— over 5-1 in their last six road games.

Warriors (13-13):
— lost three of last five games SU
— 7-1 ATS last 8 games as home favorite; 1-6 ATS as road favorite.
— under 7-2 last nine home games.

Rockets (7-17):
— 4-3 SU in last seven games
— covered last four home games.
— over 3-1 last four home games

Pacers (13-12):
— lost four of last six games SU
— 10-6 ATS as an underdog
— under 6-3 last nine games

Clippers (11-8):
— lost three of last four games SU
— 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 11-2 in their hone games.

Lakers (10-14):
— won five of last seven games SU
— 8-3 ATS last eleven games
— 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 4-2 last six games

Grizzlies (16-9):
— won/covered six of last seven games.
— 4-11-1 ATS as a favorite
— under 6-3 last nine home games

Heat (11-14):
— lost three of last four games SU.
— 3-8-1 ATS as a home favorite
— over 5-1 last six home games.

Bucks (18-6):
— 6-1 SU last seven games
— 3-1 ATS last four home games.
— over 9-1 last ten home games.

Timberwolves (12-12):
— 2-4 last six games SU.
— 5-9 ATS at home
— under 6-3 last nine home games

Pelicans (16-8):
— won five of last eight games SU.
— 6-3 ATS last nine home games
— under 9-2 last eleven home games
— over 8-3 road games

Knicks (12-13):
— 1-5 ATS last six games as home favorite.
— 4-8-1 ATS at home.
— under 4-0 last four games

Thunder (11-14):
— won three of last four games (4-1 ATS last five).
— 8-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 4-1-1 last six games

Magic (6-20):
— lost nine of last ten games SU
— 3-6-3 ATS as road underdog
— 8-4 ATS as home underdog
— over 3-1 last four home games.

76ers (12-12):
— lost last three games SU (0-3 ATS)
— 8-4 ATS at home
— 2-5 ATS as a road underdog
— over 3-1 last four road games

Suns (16-9):
— lost 3 of last 4 games SU (3-5 ATS last eight)
— 1-4 ATS last five as a home favorite.
— under 8-3 last 11 home games

Trailblazers (13-11):
— 3-7 last ten games SU
— 12-7 ATS as an underdog.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Kings (13-10):
— 3-1 SU last four games
— 7-3 ATS as a favorite.
— eight of last nine home games went over.

Spurs (6-18):
— 0-11 SU last 11 games (1-10 ATS)
— 4-7 ATS last 11 games as home underdog.
— under 4-1-1 last six road games

Raptors (13-12):
— 4-5 SU last nine games
— 5-2 ATS last seven games as home favorite
— over 6-3 last nine road games

Jazz (15-12):
— won three of last four games SU (3-6 ATS last nine)
— 11-4 ATS as an underdog
— over 5-2 last seven home games

Wizards (11-14):
— lost six of last eight games SU (3-2 ATS last five)
— 2-6 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games.
 

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Messages
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PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seas...

NEW JERSEY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 21-5 ATS (15.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 10-0 Over (10 Units) in home games off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 36-47 ATS (-15.7 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) off a close home win by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-61 ATS (-46.1 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Friday, December 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Calgary @ Columbus
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home

NY Islanders @ New Jersey
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
New Jersey is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games

Seattle @ Washington
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Winnipeg @ Chicago
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

NY Rangers @ Colorado
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Minnesota @ Edmonton
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Arizona
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

San Jose @ Anaheim
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Jose
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Vegas
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vegas's last 11 games at home
Vegas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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