CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Search

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 5


wL1LNC7.png
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
MILWAUKEE (16 - 6) at ORLANDO (5 - 19) - 12/5/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 45-59 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (13 - 11) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 16) - 12/5/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 233-282 ATS (-77.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (19 - 5) at TORONTO (12 - 11) - 12/5/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 72-54 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (10 - 13) at ATLANTA (13 - 10) - 12/5/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (12 - 11) at HOUSTON (6 - 17) - 12/5/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 43-57 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 56-76 ATS (-27.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-54 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (11 - 12) at MEMPHIS (14 - 9) - 12/5/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 217-165 ATS (+35.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (16 - 7) at DALLAS (11 - 11) - 12/5/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 640-549 ATS (+36.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 73-51 ATS (+16.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-7 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 10-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (12 - 11) at GOLDEN STATE (13 - 11) - 12/5/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
NBA

Monday, December 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Clippers @ Charlotte
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
LA Clippers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games at home

Milwaukee @ Orlando
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Orlando is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Atlanta
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
Atlanta is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

Miami @ Memphis
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Memphis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Philadelphia @ Houston
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games at home

Phoenix @ Dallas
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Phoenix is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix

Indiana @ Golden State
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens

MONDAY, DECEMBER 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LAC at CHA07:00 PMCHA +4.0
O 216.5
+500 +500
MIL at ORL07:00 PMMIL -9.5+500
OKC at ATL07:30 PMO 237.5+500
BOS at TOR07:30 PMBOS +1.0+500
MIA at MEM08:00 PMMEM -1.5+500
PHI at HOU08:00 PMHOU +8.5
O 221.5
+500 +500
PHO at DAL08:30 PMDAL -3.0
U 221.0
+500 +500
IND at GS10:00 PMGS -11.0+500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/05/2022.......................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%..............................+ 18.50
12/04/2022.......................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%..............................+ 6.50
12/03/2022........................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%.............................+ 7.00
12/02/2022........................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022........................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS...........................32 - 20 - 0..............................61.53%............. ...............+ 50.00
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 14 NFL spreads:
— Texans @ Dallas (-17)
— Jets @ Buffalo (-9.5)
— Ravens @ Pittsburgh (-3)
— Browns @ Cincinnati (-6)
— Jaguars @ Tennessee (-3.5)
— Vikings @ Detroit (-1.5)

Quote of the Day
“We look into everything, but that would surprise me right now. We’ve got to discuss more this afternoon. I’ve always been a fan of his, but I feel really good about our players. We’ll look into everything, but I feel pretty good with where we’re at.”
49ers coach Kyle Shanahan, talking about free agent QB Baker Mayfield

Tuesday’s quiz
What team did Trea Turner break into the major leagues with?

Monday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State.

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Julius Erving played in the ABA before he was in the NBA; he made his professional debut for the Virginia Squires of the ABA.

***************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Louisville is playing Cincinnati in the Fenway Bowl December 17, a game that kicks off at 11am in Boston. Pretty obscure game, other than the schools are only 100 miles apart- they haven’t played each other since 2013, but then this happened.

Louisville coach Scott Satterfield quit as coach of the Cardinals to take the Cincinnati job, when Luke Fickell bolted Cincinnati to become the coach at Wisconsin.

Now we have an obscure bowl game being played at 11am on a December day in Boston in a baseball stadium, with both teams led by interim coaches. Should be awesome.

— New York Mets signed P Justin Verlander to a 2-year, $86.66M contract Monday, making up for the loss of Jacob deGrom to Texas.

Verlander was 18-4 , 1.75 ERA with 185 strikeouts in 175 IP over 28 starts LY for the World Series champion Astros.

Verlander and Max Scherzer will both make $43.3M/year the next two years.

— Thats $86.6M for two guys; the enter roster of the Oakland A’s made $48,443,900 last year.

— SS Trea Turner has signed/will sign an 11-year, $300M deal with the Phillies. Turner hit .298 last year for the Dodgers, scoring 101 runs, knocking in 100 more.

Buccaneers 17, Saints 16
Tampa Bay drove 63 yards, scored winning TD with 0:03 left.
Bucs’ first eight drives: 49 plays, 216 yards, 14 first downs, 3 points.
Bucs’ last two drives: 21 plays, 154 yards, 11 first downs, 14 points.
Tampa Bay is 0-5-1 ATS this year coming off a loss.
10 of 12 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

Saints led this game 10-3 at half, 16-3 with 3:30 left to play.
Bucs were 8-15 on third down, New Orleans was 5-14.
Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
Saints covered their last five visits to Tampa Bay.
Saints have been outscored 77-28 in last 2:00 of each half.

— San Francisco is down to rookie Brock Purdy at QB now; Purdy was Mr Irrelevent, the last player taken in the last spring’s draft, but he was 25-37/210 in relief Sunday of injured Jimmy Garoppolo against the Dolphins. This week will be his first NFL start.

As of right now, 36-year old Josh Johnson (1-8 as an NFL starter) is the 49ers’ backup QB. Ironically, Johnson played college ball at U of San Diego (not San Diego State) where his coach was former 49ers’ coach (current Michigan coach) Jim Harbaugh.

— Cleveland Browns released QB Baker Mayfield; will he sign with the 49ers? Mayfield was 30-31 in four years with Cleveland, splitting two playoff games in 2020. He went 1-5 as QB of the Panthers this year, and now, he’s a free agent.

— Since 2016, Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS in bowl games, Washington State is 0-5.

— Early lines for the national semi-finals in college football:
Georgia -7 vs Ohio State
Michigan -9 vs TCU

— Pre-season odds for teams that wound up winning their conference title:
AAC: Tulane +3500
ACC: Clemson -135
Big 14: Michigan +600
Big X: Kansas State +1200
C-USA: Tex-San Antonio +200

MAC: Toledo +325
Mountain West: Fresno State +225
Pac-12: Utah +225
SEC: Georgia +150
Sun Belt: +900

Vancouver 7, Montreal 6 OT— Canucks trailed 4-0 after the first period; they’re the second team in NHL history to fall behind by 4+ goals, rally to take the lead, then fall behind again, before rallying to win.

The other? Boston Bruins back in 1973……..against the Canucks.

— Sunday night, Golden State Warriors beat Houston 120-101
Warriors made 25-52 3-pointers.
Rockets made 3-28 3-pointers.

Shooting is marketable, kids. You can make a lot of $$$ (or a college scholarship) if you can consistently make 3-point shots. Go out and practice.

— North Carolina Tar Heels lost their last four basketball games; in the last ten days, they’ve dropped from #1 in the country to #43.

— Texas Rangers used 13 different left fielders last year; maybe they should sign Aaron Judge.

— Bronx Bombers signed GM Brian Cashman to a 4-year contract extension; Cashman has been GM in the Bronx since 1998. New York won the World Series the first three years Cashman was GM; they’ve won it once in 22 years since.

Here are New York’s payrolls since 2009, last time they won a World Series:
2010— $206,333,389 (1st)
2011— $201,689.030 (1st)
2012— $197,962,289 (1st)
2013— $228,835,490 (1st)
2014— $203,812,506 (2nd)
2015— $219,282,196 (2nd)
2016— $213,472,857 (2nd)
2017— $168,045,699 (2nd)
2018— $168.540,000 (6th)
2019— $118,832,077 (3rd)
2020— $110,852,878 (1st)
2021— $191,205,631 (2nd)
2022— $240,290,714 (3rd)

If you’re scoring at home, that means New York has spent $2.47B in payroll (that’s billion, with a B) since their last championship.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
CLEVELAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

Erik Spoelstra is 211-158 ATS (37.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games (Coach of MIAMI)

DALLAS are 24-40 ATS (-20 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.





NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 6


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (10 - 12) at CLEVELAND (15 - 9) - 12/6/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 79-102 ATS (-33.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 152-115 ATS (+25.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (6 - 19) at MIAMI (11 - 13) - 12/6/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 162-210 ATS (-69.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (12 - 11) at DENVER (14 - 9) - 12/6/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 497-412 ATS (+43.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 601-500 ATS (+51.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 101-65 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 257-206 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 641-549 ATS (+37.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DENVER is 53-75 ATS (-29.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, December 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Miami
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home

LA Lakers @ Cleveland
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Denver
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games at home
Denver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 6

DET at MIA07:30 PMDET +7.0
O 220.0
+500 +500
LAL at CLE07:30 PMLAL +4.0
O 224.0
+500 +500
DAL at DEN10:00 PMDAL +4.5
O 223.0
+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/06/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0..............................50.00%..............................- 1.50
12/05/2022.......................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%..............................+ 18.50
12/04/2022.......................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%..............................+ 6.50
12/03/2022........................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%.............................+ 7.00
12/02/2022........................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022........................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS...........................35 - 23 - 0..............................60.34%............. ...............+ 48.50
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
Wednesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 14 NFL spreads:
— Raiders (-6) @ LA Rams
— Chiefs (-9) @ Denver
— Panthers @ Seattle (-3.5)
— Buccaneers @ San Francisco (-3.5)
— Dolphins (-3) @ LA Chargers
— Patriots (-1.5) @ Arizona

Quote of the Day
“To play quarterback, you’re not allowed to worry about anything except the task at hand. And that seeps into other areas of life. It’s not the healthiest way to live.”
Former Colts’ QB Andrew Luck

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano became famous as the basketball coach at NC State; where did he coach before he coached the Wolfpack?

Tuesday’s quiz
Trea Turner broke into the major leagues with the Washington Nationals.

Monday’s quiz
Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State.

*************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Long time ago, 1986 to be exact, a guy gave me a chance to write a preview of the NCAA Tournament in my local newspaper, the Albany Times Union. Friend of mine worked for the paper and recommended me. The preview was about one-third of a page; it went well, and I wound up writing a daily tips section for four years in the paper, just above the odds for that day’s games, a miniature version of what I post here these days.

The man’s name was Al Vieira; I just heard that he recently passed away.

Writing that stuff was great fun, and it led to me to writing this space for the last 21 years; I appreciate Mr Vieira’s faith in my friend’s word and in me. He was a good newspaperman, our sports section was better because he was here.

RIP Al Vieira. Thanks again.

— Pet Peeve of the Day: When people refer to QB-WR-RB’s as “skill positions”, as if being a offensive lineman doesn’t take any skills.

If your offensive line isn’t good, your offense will be in the ashcan; witness this year’s Rams, who haven’t started the same five guys on the offensive line in any two games this season. As a result, their offense has struggled, the QB/star WR got hurt. It has been a cruddy year.

Blocking takes enormous skill, it is just harder to measure.

— Speaking of which, Rams claimed free agent QB Baker Mayfield off waivers from Carolina Tuesday; he figures to start most of the rest of the season. He would be an excellent backup to Matthew Stafford in 2023; if he bolted as a free agent (no one else claimed him on waivers) the Rams would get a compensatory draft pick.

Mayfield is 31-36 as an NFL starter, splitting two playoff games for Cleveland in 2020.

— This month marks the 8th anniversary of my retirement from working for New York State; one of the very few disappointing parts of being retired is this: Weekday daytime television sucks. Seriously.

There are some exceptions; March is a great daytime TV month, with college basketball and spring training games going on. This week is also an exception, with the winter meetings in baseball happening (this year in San Diego).

MLB Network has people on talking about baseball all day long, a good thing. Works better when teams make transactions; not whole lot of those so far, but……….

— Cleveland Guardians gave 1B Josh Bell a 2-year, $33M deal.
Texas Rangers gave P Andrew Heaney a 2-year, $25M deal.
Chicago Cubs signed OF Cody Bellinger for one year, $17.5M

San Francisco Giants gave OF Mitch Haniger $43.5M for three years.
Philadelphia Phillies gave P Taijuan Walker $72M for four years.

— Baseball had their draft lottery Tuesday; first three picks in July’s draft will be:
1) Pirates
2) Nationals
3) Tigers

— Busy day for a Tuesday in December; Tennessee Titans fired their general manager Jon Robinson, even though the Titans are 7-5 this year, leading AFC South by three games.

Couple weeks ago, the Titans’ offensive coordinator got a DUI late at night, after the Titans returned home after a big win in Green Bay. It is unclear if that played any role in all this, but the OC still has his job- Tennessee is 0-2 since the DUI.

Titans were over .500 every year Robinson was GM; they got whacked by the Eagles 35-10 in Philadelphia last week, with former Titan AJ Brown catching 8 passes for 119 yards and two TD’s against his old team.

— West Virginia QB JT Daniels is going back into the transfer portal, which is becoming an annual event: Daniels threw for 2,107 yards this year, his third college stop. Next year he will be playing for his fourth college team.

2018-19 USC— 12 games, 2,887 passing yards; 15 TD’s, 11 INT’s
2020-21 Georgia— 9 games, 1,953 passing yards; 17 TD’s, 5 INTs.
2022 West Virginia— 10 games, 2,107 passing yards; 13 TD’s, 9 INTs.

If nothing else, he can write a hell of a book someday.

— ACC quarterbacks on the move— These ACC QB’s are in the transfer portal:
Kevin Slovis, Pitt
Devin Leary, NC State
Phil Jurkovec, Boston College
DJ Uiagalelei, Clemson
Jeff Sims, Georgia Tech
Brennan Armstrong, Virginia

Six of 14 ACC QB’s are transferring this season.

— Some of the quarterbacks taken in the 2016 NFL Draft:
1st round— Jared Goff, Rams
Carson Wentz, Eagles
Paxton Lynch, Denver

2nd round— Christian Hackenberg, Jets
3rd round— Jacoby Brissett, Patriots
Cody Kessler, Browns

4th round— Connor Cook, Raiders
Dak Prescott, Cowboys— 135th player taken in the draft.

NFL Draft continues to be a fascinating subject.

— Kent State football coach Sean Lewis, the head coach, quit to become offensive coordinator at Colorado under new head coach Deion Sanders. Lewis was 24-31 coaching Kent, 1-1 in bowls- that was Kent’s first-ever win (1-3) in a bowl game.

Lewis’ offenses are known for playing with fast tempo, quick snaps; they had the 4th-fastest offense in the country this season. Playing in altitude in Boulder, a fast-paced offense will be designed to exhaust visiting defenses.

Colorado had to pay Kent State a $750,000 buyout to get Lewis to Boulder.

— Clemson QB DJ Uiagalelei got benched early in the ACC championship game, now he’s in the transfer portal. Uiagalelei completed 59.9% of his passes for Clemson, throwing for 5,681 yards, with 36 TD’s, 17 INT’s, but he was 8-29 passing in the Tigers’ 31-30 loss to South Carolina, which led to his benching the next week.

— Georgia Bulldogs have been so good this season, QB Stetson Bennett hasn’t played in the 4th quarter in six of their 13 games.

— Chicago Bears’ last five games, they’ve been outscored 38-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

— There are 42 guys in the NBA this season earning $30M+; $30M for 82 games works out to $365,853.65 per game.

— UNLV hired Arkansas defensive coordinator Barry Odom as its next football coach; Odom went 25-25 coaching Missouri from 2016-19, going 13-19 in SEC games.

— New Hampshire 74, Boston College 71 OT
UNH led by 9 with 11:21 left in game.
ACC’s Eagles led by 5 in the overtime.
This is a horrendous loss for BC; the bottom of the ACC is awful.

— Illinois 85, Texas 78 OT
Longhorns led by 10 with 8:04 left to play.
Illinois made 10-23 shots behind the arc.

— Georgia Tech 79, Georgia 77
Yellow Jackets shot 57% inside the arc
Georgia was only 9-16 on the foul line.

— Virginia 55, James Madison 50
Game was tied with 7:51 left to play.
7-3 Dukes could make some noise in their first year in the Sun Belt.

— Arkansas 65, NC-Greensboro 58
SoCon’s Spartans led by 12 early, 26-21 at halftime.
Arkansas outscored UNCG 19-9 over final 5:51 of game.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
LA CLIPPERS are 89-56 Over (27.4 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.

LA LAKERS are 28-14 Under (12.6 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 40-20 ATS (18 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 25-7 Over (17.3 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 7-0 Under (7 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

DETROIT is 214-155 Under (43.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 sea...

GOLDEN STATE is 50-28 Under (19.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 since 1996.

PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a loss in the current season.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (14 - 11) at ORLANDO (5 - 20) - 12/7/2022, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (10 - 13) at TORONTO (12 - 12) - 12/7/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 79-103 ATS (-34.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (13 - 11) at NEW YORK (11 - 13) - 12/7/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 278-226 ATS (+29.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (7 - 17) at BROOKLYN (13 - 12) - 12/7/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 44-64 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 14-41 ATS (-31.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (13 - 11) at MINNESOTA (11 - 12) - 12/7/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 483-559 ATS (-131.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 154-197 ATS (-62.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 91-124 ATS (-45.4 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 162-203 ATS (-61.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (13 - 9) at MILWAUKEE (17 - 6) - 12/7/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 328-394 ATS (-105.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 13) at MEMPHIS (15 - 9) - 12/7/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 244-194 ATS (+30.6 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or less since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (7 - 19) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 8) - 12/7/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (11 - 13) at CHICAGO (9 - 14) - 12/7/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (13 - 12) at UTAH (14 - 12) - 12/7/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (20 - 5) at PHOENIX (16 - 8) - 12/7/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 73-52 ATS (+15.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
NBA

Wednesday, December 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Clippers @ Orlando
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

LA Lakers @ Toronto
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing LA Lakers
Toronto is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Lakers

Atlanta @ New York
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing Atlanta

Charlotte @ Brooklyn
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

Washington @ Chicago
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Oklahoma City @ Memphis
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Detroit @ New Orleans
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Sacramento @ Milwaukee
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento

Indiana @ Minnesota
Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Indiana

Golden State @ Utah
Golden State
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Boston @ Phoenix
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LAC at ORL07:00 PMU 216.5+500
CHA at BK07:30 PMBK -10.0+500
LAL at TOR07:30 PMLAL +12.5
O 228.0
+500 +500
ATL at NY07:30 PMATL +2.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
WAS at CHI08:00 PMCHI -5.0+500
IND at MIN08:00 PMIND +5.5
O 236.5
+500 +500
OKC at MEM08:00 PMOKC +8.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
SAC at MIL08:00 PMSAC +6.5+500
DET at NO08:00 PMDET +11.0+500
GS at UTA09:00 PMUTA -7.5
U 233.0
+500 +500
BOS at PHO10:00 PMBOS +1.0
O 230.0
+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/07/2022.....................3 - 14 - 0..............................17.65%.............................- 62.00
12/06/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0..............................50.00%..............................- 1.50
12/05/2022.......................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%..............................+ 18.50
12/04/2022.......................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%..............................+ 6.50
12/03/2022........................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%.............................+ 7.00
12/02/2022........................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022........................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS...........................38 - 37 - 0..............................50.66%............. ...............- 13.50
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,221
Tokens
Thursday’s 6-pack
Interesting bowl spreads:
— Florida vs Oregon State (-7.5)
— North Texas vs Boise State (-7.5)
— Marshall (-9.5) vs UConn
— San Jose State (-4.5) vs Eastern Michigan
— Toledo (-1.5) vs Liberty
— Western Kentucky vs South Alabama (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“You just got lesson number one: don’t think. It can only hurt the ballclub.”
Kevin Costner, Bull Durham

Thursday’s quiz
In The Natural, what number did Roy Hobbs wear while playing for the New York Knights?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano became famous as the basketball coach at NC State; he coached at Iona College before he coached the Wolfpack.

Tuesday’s quiz
Trea Turner broke into the major leagues with the Washington Nationals.



************************************************




Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Baseball happenings:

Aaron Judge— 9 years, $360M from New York (A)
Masataka Yoshida— 5 years, $90M from Boston
Willson Contreras— 5 years, $87M from St Louis

Kenley Jansen— 2 years, $32M from Boston
Jose Quintana— 2 years, $26M from New York (N)
Jameson Taillon— 4 years, $68M from the Cubs.

— Paul Hewitt was 321-251 in 18 years as a college basketball coach; he went 66-27 in three years at Siena, which is a few miles from Armadillo World HQ here in Albany. Very good coach; he went on to coach at Georgia Tech in the ACC.

Hewitt is now coaching the Ontario Clippers in the G League, which is really good basketball but off the beaten path a little bit. His team is off a 10-2 start this year.

— NC State’s center Dusan Mahorcic got hurt the other night; this week they signed a recruit to replace him, Isaiah Miranda, a 7-foot-1 center and four-star recruit. He will be in Raleigh next week and will be eligible to start playing in January.

Miranda is from Rhode Island, has been playing at Southern California Academy in Castaic, CA and played in the Rhode Island Elite summer program.

— Wisconsin Badgers are hiring Phil Longo from North Carolina to be the Badgers’ offensive coordinator, which will make the Badgers look totally different on offense going forward.

Wisconsin has long been a ground/pound team with mediocre QB’s (except Russell Wilson); Longo’s offense at North Carolina ranked in the top 15 in total offense in each of the past four seasons— his philosophy is predicated around the Air Raid offense, more wide open.

— Stat of the Day: Eastern Michigan’s football team is 32-10-1 against the spread in its last 43 games as an underdog.

— The best QB’s in the bigger college football conferences earn an average of nearly $200,000/year in NIL income.

— Texas-San Antonio QB Frank Harris is coming back to San Antonio next year for his 7th year with the Roadrunners, his 4th year as the starter. Roadrunners are 30-9 SU the last three seasons, winning Conference USA the last two years.

— Kentucky QB Will Levis is skipping the Wildcats’ bowl game against Iowa.

I said it last year when Kenny Pickett did this at Pitt; I’m totally against a quarterback sitting out a bowl game. The QB is the leader of the offense, if not the whole team; it is the Al Pacino speech from Any Given Sunday, the one he said to Jamie Foxx:

“You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.?

— Rice Owls are in a bowl game, despite their 5-7 record; this will be their first bowl since 2014. Owls are a 7-point underdog against Southern Miss in the LendingTree Bowl in Mobile, AL.

— Thru 13 weeks, the top four WR’s, in terms of PPR scoring for fantasy football:

Stefan Diggs, Buff
Tyreek Hill, Miami
Davante Adams, LV
Justin Jefferson, Minn

— Thru 13 weeks, the top four RB’s, in terms of PPR scoring for fantasy football:

Austin Ekeler, LAC
Josh Jacobs, LV
Chrstian McCaffrey, Char-SF
Derrick Henry, Tenn

— Wofford basketball coach Jay MacAuley took a leave of absence (was suspended) recently, after players apparently complained about MacAuley’s coaching methods.

Under MacAuley, Wofford is/was 58-42, 30-23 in conference games. They beat Coastal Carolina by 10 Tuesday, in their first game without MacAuley.

— Illinois’ basketball team is 7-1 ATS in non-conference games, but they lost their Big 14 opener, 71-66 at Maryland.

— So far this season, Big 14 teams are 8-2 SU against Big East teams, 6-4 against the spread.

— UConn 75, Florida 54— If the NCAA Tournament started tomorrow, the 10-0 Huskies would be a Final Four team.

— Jacksonville 73, VCU 62— 5-2 Dolphins get upset win, jump 17 spots in the ratings.

— Brown 59, Rhode Island 58— URI is 2-7; Atlantic 15 teams aren’t supposed to lose to lower level Ivy League teams. Horrendous loss. URI is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#326).

— Miami 107, Cornell 105— 79 possessions, both teams scored over 1.3 points/possession, in other words, defense took the night off. Miami led by 21 early in second half, hung on for an unimpressive win.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,759
Tokens
LA CLIPPERS are 90-56 Over (28.4 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1996.

HOUSTON is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (14 - 12) at MIAMI (11 - 14) - 12/8/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 162-211 ATS (-70.1 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (7 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (6 - 18) - 12/8/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-76 ATS (-26.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-48 ATS (-28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1213-1085 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 613-532 ATS (+27.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 194-147 ATS (+32.3 Units) in December games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 399-339 ATS (+26.1 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 187-148 ATS (+24.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 623-529 ATS (+41.1 Units) after scoring 100 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 490-414 ATS (+34.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (14 - 10) at PORTLAND (13 - 11) - 12/8/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-7 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Thursday, December 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Clippers @ Miami
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Miami
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

Houston @ San Antonio
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Houston

Denver @ Portland
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Portland
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,693
Messages
13,453,510
Members
99,429
Latest member
AnthonyPoi
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com