CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, December 11

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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ New Orleans
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Sacramento @ New York
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento

Toronto @ Orlando
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Toronto is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Orlando's last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto
Orlando is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

Charlotte @ Philadelphia
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte

LA Lakers @ Detroit
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

Chicago @ Atlanta
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games at home
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Milwaukee @ Houston
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 11

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PHO at NO	03:30 PM	NO -3.0 O 227.5	+500 +500
LAL at DET	06:00 PM	LAL -5.5 U 233.5	+500 +500
SAC at NY	06:00 PM	SAC +2.5 O 231.5	+500 +500
TOR at ORL	06:00 PM	ORL +7.0 O 222.0	+500 +500
CHA at PHI	06:00 PM	PHI -10.5 U 220.0	+500 +500
CHI at ATL	06:30 PM	CHI +3.0 O 233.5	+500 +500
MIL at HOU	07:00 PM	HOU +10.0 O 227.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/11/2022.....................8 - 6 - 0...............................57.14%..............................+ 7.00
12/10/2022.....................3 - 5 - 0................................37.50%..............................- 12.50
12/09/2022......................9 - 8 - 1...............................52.94%............ .................+ 1.00
12/08/2022......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%............ .................- 0.50
12/07/2022.....................3 - 14 - 0..............................17.65%............. ................- 62.00
12/06/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0..............................50.00%............. .................- 1.50
12/05/2022.......................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%............. .................+ 18.50
12/04/2022.......................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%............. .................+ 6.50
12/03/2022........................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%............. ................+ 7.00
12/02/2022........................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022........................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS..........................59 - 57 - 1..............................50.86%............. ...................- 19.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 15 NFL spreads
— 49ers (-1.5) @ Seattle
— Colts @ Minnesota (-5.5)
— Ravens @ Browns (-3)
— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-7)
— Falcons @ Saints (-4.5)
— Lions @ NJ Jets (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“I came into this prepared for teams to spend absurd amounts of money, and somehow I’m stunned by how absurd it actually was.”
Unnamed major league GM, on how much $$$ was spent at baseball’s Winter Meetings

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one and only Super Bowl appearance?

Sunday’s quiz
Before Caleb Williams won Saturday, Reggie Bush was the last USC Trojan to win the Heisman Trophy, in 2005.

Saturday’s quiz
Vince Ferragamo was the Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

— Prayers go out to Mississippi State football coach Mike Leach, who was rushed to a hospital Sunday; he was flown to a hospital in Jackson. We wish him well.

Jaguars 36, Titans 22
— Jacksonville is 3-2 in its last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Lawrence was 30-42/368 passing, with three TD’s.
— Engram caught 11 passes for 162 yards, two TD’s.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— This was only 2nd win for Jaguars in last 12 games vs Tennessee.

— Tennessee lost three fumbles, was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Tennessee is 0-3 SU since OC got DUI coming home from road trip.
— Titans have been outscored 150-70 in second half.
— Titans fired their GM Tuesday, despite being in first place.
— Tennessee still has a 2-game lead in AFC South.

Bills 20, Jets 12
— Jets in first half: 30 plays, 81 yards, 6 first downs, no points.
— Jets in 2nd half: 45 plays, 203 yards, 13 first downs, 10 points.
— Jets scored a safety on a blocked punt.
— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets were 8-17 on third down, Buffalo 2-13.

— Bills’ first five drives: 23 plays, 30 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bills’ next four drives: 23 plays, 190 yards, 12 first downs, 20 points.
— 11 of 13 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 1-5-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Bills won their last four games, scoring 26 ppg.

Ravens 16, Steelers 14
— Ravens ran ball for 215 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
— Dobbins carried ball 15 times for 120 yards and a TD.
— Eight of last ten Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Baltimore is 13-2-2 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Ravens are 5-2 SU on road this season, 3-0 ATS as an underdog.

— QB Pickett got banged up early; backup Trubisky threw three INT’s.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers ran ball 20 times for only 65 yards.
— Previous four games, they ran ball for 161.3 yards/game.
— Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.

Eagles 48, Giants 22
— Eagles won last four games, scoring 40-35-48 points in last three.
— Philly’s first 3 drives: 27 plays, 208 yards, 13 first downs, 21 points.
— Eagles had three TD plays of 33+ yards.
— Philly had three TD drives of 41 or fewer yards.
— Eagles have 49 touchdowns on 127 drives this season.

— Giants are 1-4-1 SU last six games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants’ first four drives: 21 plays, 73 yards, no points.
— Eagles sacked Giant QB’s seven times.
— Overall, Philly is 15-3 SU in last 18 games against the Giants.
— Giants are 9-19 ATS in last 28 games as a home underdog.

Bengals 23, Browns 10
— Browns scored one offensive TD in Watson’s first two starts.
— Cleveland converted 4-15 on third down, 3-6 on 4th down.
— Peoples-Jones caught eight passes for 114 yards.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Browns are 0-5 when they run for less than 171 yards.

— Bengals first 3 drives: 16 plays, 40 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Bengals next 5 drives: 32 plays, 308 yards, 17 first downs, 23 points.
— Chase caught ten passes for 119 yards and a TD.
— Cincinnati won nine of its last eleven games (10-1 ATS).
— They won/covered their last five games.

Lions 34, Vikings 23
— Minnesota ran ball 17 times for only 22 yards.
— Jefferson caught 11 passes for 223 yards.
— Four of last five Viking games went over the total.
— Vikings are 10-3; they’ve scored 312 points, given up 313.
— Vikings are 5-8 ATS in last thirteen NFC North road games

— Detroit won five of its last six games (6-0 ATS).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 9-20-1 SU, 20-9-1 ATS.
— Detroit converted 7-15 on third down, Vikings 4-10.
— Last five games, Lions scored 31-31-25-40-34 points.
— Detroit scored 23 TD’s on its last 61 drives.

Cowboys 27, Texans 23
— Dallas drove 98 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:41 left.
— Last six games, Dallas scored 31 TD’s on 73 drives.
— Cowboys won 10 of their last 12 games (8-4 ATS).
— Last 10 games, Cowboys outscored foes 173-54 in second half.
— Dallas gained 404+ TY in each of their last six games.

— Texans’ two TD drives were only 24-27 yards.
— Houston used two QB’s, averaged 7.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Moore caught ten passes for 124 yards.
— Fairbairn kicked three FG’s: 43-50-54 yards.
— Texans are 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS since their bye week.

Chiefs 34, Broncos 28
— KC’s first four drives: 30 plays, 265 yards, 11 first downs, 20 points.
— Chiefs rest of game: 38 plays, 170 yards, 9 first downs, 7 points.
— Chiefs scored a defensive TD, the only one all day in NFL.
— Chiefs were 6-12 on third down, Denver 6-17.
— Chiefs won eight of last ten games (5-5 ATS).

— QB Wilson got a concussion late in game; backup Rypien finished up.
— WR Jeudy caught 8 passes for 73 yards, three TD’s.
— Denver was down 27-7, had ball twice when it was 34-28, didn’t score again.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 44-170 (25.9%) on third down.
— Denver lost five in row, nine of their last ten games (3-6-1 ATS)

49ers 35, Buccaneers 7
— 49ers scored a touchdown on five of first seven drives.
— SF ran ball for 209 yards (147.2 rushing yards/game last 5 games)
— Last five games, 49ers converted 45-87 (51.7%) on third down.
— 49ers are 7-0 when they score 24+ points, 2-4 when they don’t.
— San Francisco won its last six games (5-1 ATS)

— Rookie QB Purdy (16-21/185 passing) won his first NFL start.
— 49ers led this game 28-0 at halftime.
— Buccaneers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
— Tampa lost last four true road games, scoring 18-3-17-7 points.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 11 of last 12 games.

Panthers 30, Seahawks 24
— Panthers’ first three drives: 26 plays, 130 yards, 17 points.
— Carolina ran ball for 223 yards, 4.8 yards/carry.
— Panthers had a 10-yard advantage in field position.
— Last four games, Carolina outscored foes 43-23 in first half.
— Panthers are 6-2 ATS since they changed coaches.

— Seattle only ran ball 14 times, for 46 yards.
— Seahawks are 0-4 ATS last four games, running for 59.8 yards/game.
— Last four games, Seattle gave up 161-283-171-223 rushing yards.
— Last four games, opponents are 28-54 (51.9%) on 3rd down.
— At 7-6, Seahawks have slipped out of current NFC playoff picture.

Chargers 23, Dolphins 17
— Miami ran ball 8 times for 33 yards LW, 19 for 92 yards this week.
— Miami’s only first half TD was Hill running 57 yards with a fumble.
— Last two weeks, Miami is 3-18 on third down.
— Tagovailoa was 3-16 passing in the first half.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.

— Herbert was 39-51/367 passing, with one TD.
— Mike Williams caught six passes for 116 yards and a TD.
— Chargers were 9-18 on third down, Miami 3-11
— Last three games, Chargers converted 28-61 on third down (45.9%)
— Chargers are 6-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

— Marquette 79, Notre Dame 84— 8-3 Marquette outscored ND 9-1 over final 5:43 of first half, coasted home from there.

— Wisconsin 78, Iowa 75 OT— Badgers’ bench outscored Iowa’s subs, 22-5.

— Tennessee 56, Maryland 53— Vols have the #1 eFG% defense in the country.

 

[Udog]

INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 85-52 ATS (27.8 Units) after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

ATLANTA is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 12

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 12

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MIAMI (12 - 15) at INDIANA (14 - 13) - 12/12/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (16 - 12) at WASHINGTON (11 - 16) - 12/12/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 32-50 ATS (-23.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-49 ATS (-29.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (14 - 13) at MEMPHIS (17 - 9) - 12/12/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 71-45 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 219-165 ATS (+37.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (17 - 10) at SAN ANTONIO (8 - 18) - 12/12/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 332-399 ATS (-106.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1215-1085 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 614-532 ATS (+28.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 196-147 ATS (+34.3 Units) in December games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 401-339 ATS (+28.1 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 413-345 ATS (+33.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 341-284 ATS (+28.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1014-905 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 15) at DALLAS (13 - 13) - 12/12/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 235-187 ATS (+29.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (13 - 13) at PORTLAND (14 - 12) - 12/12/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (21 - 6) at LA CLIPPERS (15 - 13) - 12/12/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-55 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA

Monday, December 12

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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Washington
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games

Miami @ Indiana
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games

Atlanta @ Memphis
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Dallas
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games

Cleveland @ San Antonio
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Minnesota @ Portland
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Portland is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Boston @ LA Clippers
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games


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[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 12​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BK at WAS	07:00 PM	WAS +6.0	+500
MIA at IND	07:00 PM	IND +3.5 O 228.0	+500 +500
ATL at MEM	08:00 PM	ATL +9.5 O 226.0	+500 +500
OKC at DAL	08:30 PM	OKC +8.5	+500
CLE at SA	08:30 PM	SA +9.5 O 220.0	+500 +500
MIN at POR	10:00 PM	MIN +4.0	+500
BOS at LAC	10:30 PM	LAC +4.5 U 225.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Current MLB payrolls for 2023:
$300,283,332— New York (N)
$221,716,666— New York (A)
$207,549,008— Philadelphia
$176,517,878— San Diego
$199,216,666— Atlanta
$167,241,666— LA Angels

Quote of the Day
“Sometimes you don’t get what you want, because you deserve better.”
Anonymous

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the New Jersey Jets’ QB, last time they made the playoffs?

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one/only Super Bowl appearance.

Sunday’s quiz
Before Caleb Williams won Saturday, Reggie Bush was the last USC Trojan to win the Heisman Trophy, in 2005.

***********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Patriots 27, Cardinals 13
— Tied 13-all in third quarter, NE ran Hopkins fumble back for game-winning TD.
— Five of last six New England games stayed under the total.
— Patriots are 5-1 ATS this season coming off a loss.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.

— QB Murray got hurt on 3rd play of game; torn ACL is the fear.
— Cardinals led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last 8 games.
— Arizona in second half: 34 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
— Arizona is 1-9 SU when it scores less than 29 points.

— David Matranga is Aaron Judge’s agent; he had a very brief major league career himself, playing in six games for the 2003 Astros, one game for the ’05 Angels.

Matranga had one major league hit, a 5th inning home run off Joaquin Benoit on July 27, 2003.

Only 22 major league players ever had one MLB hit, with that hit being a home run; only 4 of those 22 guys did it in their first major league at-bat, like Matranga did.

Agents generally get 3% commission, which makes Aaron Judge’s $360M deal worth $1.08M to Mr Matranga. He’s a better agent than he was a ballplayer.

— Texas Longhorns suspended basketball coach Chris Beard after he was arrested on a felony assault charge late Sunday night. The person that Beard allegedly assaulted is a family member.

— There’s a pretty good chance that the payroll tax the Mets will pay next season will be bigger than the entire payrolls in Oakland/Pittsburgh.

Not a good thing for competitive balance.

— A’s were involved in a 3-team trade Monday:
Milwaukee got C William Contreras and two pitching prospects.
Oakland got five players, best of whom is P Kyle Muller.
Atlanta got C Sean Murphy

— Louisville has a great basketball tradition, but the Cardinals are a mess this year, an 0-9 mess, with three one-point losses. They’re turning ball over 24.4% if time (#356)

Cal Bears are doing even worse; they’re 0-11, with four losses to teams outside the top 200. Golden Bears are shooting 25.4% on arc (#356), 45.4% inside arc (#299).

— Northwestern State Demons are 8-2, with an upset win at TCU; the Demons got national press this weekend when one of their players scored his first college points.

Hansel Emmanuel is a 6-6 guard; he scored 5 points in 8:00 vs UL-Monroe. What makes this newsworthy is that Hansel Emmanuel has only one arm— he lost an arm in a childhood accident, when he was six years old.

— Miami Dolphins are in midst of an odd schedule; they stayed in California last week, in between road games against the 49ers/Chargers. Warm weather games.

This week, Miami plays its third straight road game, Saturday night in Buffalo; December 17 night game in western New York should be a lot of fun.

— Navy fired football coach Ken Niumatalolo over the weekend; Niumatalolo was 109-83 at Navy, 10-5 against Army, but the Middies are 11-23 the last three years. Even at a service academy, you go 11-23 and they tell you to take a hike.

— Baseball happenings:
Giants signed P Sean Manaea to a 2-year, $25M deal.
Blue Jays signed P Chris Bassitt to a 3-year, $63M deal.
Twins signed C Christian Vazquez to a 3-year, $30M deal.

Profitable weekend for a couple of former Oakland A’s.

— These former big leaguers will play pro baseball in Japan next year:
Matt Davidson (Hiroshima Carp)
Sheldon Neuse (Hanshin Tigers)
Frank Schwindel (Orix Buffaloes)
JB Wendelken (Yokohama Baystars)

— Browns’ WR Amari Cooper’s splits in home/road games:
Home games: 91.2 receiving yards/game, 5 TD’s.
True road games: 46.7 receiving yards/game, no TD’s.

Left out the neutral field game against the Bills in Detroit.

— Underdogs are 113-91-4 ATS in the NFL this season; if you wagered $100 on every underdog this season, you’d be $1,237 ahead.

— Detroit Pistons’ star Cade Cunningham is out for the year with a shin injury; Cunningham in scoring 19.9 ppg this season, after scoring 17.4 ppg as a rookie.

— Atlanta Falcons’ QB Marcus Mariota is on IR/out for the year with a knee injury. Falcons signed Logan Woodside to be their backup QB, behind rookie Desmond Ridder, who will make his first NFL start Sunday in New Orleans.

— Coastal Carolina football coach Jamey Chadwell just bolted to Liberty; Chanticleers’ QB Grayson McCall has now entered the transfer portal. Coastal is 9-3 this year; McCall started for the Chanticleers the last three years, and still has two years of eligibility left.

— Lebron James Jr, better known as Bronny James, has 6,000,000 followers on Instagram; he also has a Nike deal and a Beats By Dre contract that includes a commercial.

The kid is a senior in high school; he is 6-3, a top 100 college recruit, will almost definitely be in the 2024 NBA Draft, where he will likely play on the same team as his dad in 2024-25. Where his career goes from there remains to be seen.

“The expectation doesn’t match the talent level, or at least not yet, and that’s where it gets messy.’’ That is the evaluation of one unnamed college coach.

It’ll be interesting to follow; watching the docuseries on the Sierra Canyon team that Bronny plays for, it is clear that he is a good kid, an unselfish player. Sometimes having a famous dad creates unrealistic expectations; we’ll see how this plays out.

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) as a dog in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games after a win in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Tuesday, December 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Sacramento @ Philadelphia
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Golden State @ Milwaukee
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Phoenix @ Houston
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Phoenix

New Orleans @ Utah
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Boston @ LA Lakers
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 13

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (14 - 11) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 12) - 12/13/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-82 ATS (-38.2 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (14 - 13) at MILWAUKEE (19 - 7) - 12/13/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 329-395 ATS (-105.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 233-282 ATS (-77.2 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (16 - 11) at HOUSTON (8 - 18) - 12/13/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 120-93 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 98-77 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 72-103 ATS (-41.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 125-167 ATS (-58.7 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (18 - 8) at UTAH (15 - 14) - 12/13/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (21 - 7) at LA LAKERS (11 - 15) - 12/13/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 152-116 ATS (+24.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 74-56 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 80-105 ATS (-35.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 13​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SAC at PHI	07:00 PM	SAC +4.0 O 229.5	+500 +500
GS at MIL	07:30 PM	MIL -3.0 U 232.0	+500 +500
PHO at HOU	08:00 PM	HOU +6.5 O 224.0	+500 +500
NO at UTA	09:00 PM	NO -2.0 U 232.5	+500 +500
BOS at LAL	10:00 PM	BOS -4.0 U 235.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/13/2022....................13 - 8 - 0.............................61.90%............................. + 21.00
12/12/2022.....................6 - 5 - 0...............................54.44%..............................+ 2.50
12/11/2022.....................8 - 6 - 0...............................57.14%..............................+ 7.00
12/10/2022.....................3 - 5 - 0................................37.50%..............................- 12.50
12/09/2022......................9 - 8 - 1...............................52.94%............ .................+ 1.00
12/08/2022......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%............ .................- 0.50
12/07/2022.....................3 - 14 - 0..............................17.65%............. ................- 62.00
12/06/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0..............................50.00%............. .................- 1.50
12/05/2022.......................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%............. .................+ 18.50
12/04/2022.......................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%............. .................+ 6.50
12/03/2022........................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%............. ................+ 7.00
12/02/2022........................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022........................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS..........................78 - 70 - 1..............................52.70%............. ...................+ 2.00

 

[CNOTES]

UPDATED REVISED

BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%.............. ......................UNITS

12/13/2022....................3 - 6 - 1...............................33.33%............................. - 18.00
12/12/2022.....................6 - 5 - 0...............................54.44%..............................+ 2.50
12/11/2022.....................8 - 6 - 0...............................57.14%..............................+ 7.00
12/10/2022.....................3 - 5 - 0................................37.50%..............................- 12.50
12/09/2022......................9 - 8 - 1...............................52.94%............ .................+ 1.00
12/08/2022......................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%............ .................- 0.50
12/07/2022.....................3 - 14 - 0..............................17.65%............. ................- 62.00
12/06/2022.......................3 - 3 - 0..............................50.00%............. .................- 1.50
12/05/2022.......................7 - 3 - 0..............................70.00%............. .................+ 18.50
12/04/2022.......................9 - 7 - 0..............................56.25%............. .................+ 6.50
12/03/2022........................8 - 6 - 0..............................57.14%............. ................+ 7.00
12/02/2022........................6 - 4 - 0..............................60.00%............. ...............+ 8.00
12/01/2022........................2 - 0 - 0............................100.00%.............. ..............+ 10.00

TOTALS..........................68 - 73 - 2..............................48.22%............. ..................- 34.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
NBA franchises that are worth the most $$$
$7.56B— Golden State
$6.58B— New York
$6.44B— LA Lakers
$4.09B— Chicago
$3.92B— Boston
$3.86B— Brooklyn

Quote of the Day
“I am heartbroken on the passing of Coach Leach. In 1999, he gave a kid out of Snow College in Utah a shot at major college football. He saw something in me when no one else did. Like so many across our sport, I am grateful for Coach Leach’s impact on my life both personally and professionally. His offensive philosophy and vision were ahead of his time, and they continue to shape the game today.”
Tennessee football coach Jeff Heupel

Wednesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray was also a first round draft pick of which major league baseball team?

Tuesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was the New Jersey Jets’ QB, last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ quarterback, in their one/only Super Bowl appearance.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— If you’re a D-I college basketball coach, do you recruit Bronny James?

Lebron’s son is a 6-3 guard who can shoot it; he is unselfish, a good passer, but he’s not his dad, and it appears likely that he’ll only be in college for one year, so it is worth the effort?

Bronny’s high school team was on ESPN2 Monday night against Christ the King; who pays the tab for a high school team from New York City to visit Los Angeles for a game?

So Bronny’s college team will get extra TV games next year, but the top college teams don’t need any more TV exposure. If they did, the kid would’ve already signed with Duke or Kentucky.

He could also go play in the G-League, but the family obviously doesn’t need $$$, so that would seem less likely. You wonder if Bronny’s college team will have reality show about them, which can be pretty good exposure.

— Kyler Murray tore his ACL Monday night, is out for the rest of the year and part of next year. Brutal loss for the Cardinals, who have now lost 12 of their last 13 home games SU.

Bad loss for HBO too; they’re doing a Hard Knocks in-season series on the Cardinals; has to be a lot harder to do when the team’s season is going in the ashcan, like Arizona’s is.

— Since Dan Campbell has coached the Detroit Lions, Lions are 7-2 ATS in games where the spread was 3 or fewer points.

— Creighton Bluejays started their basketball season 6-0, but now they’ve lost five games in a row, with four of the five losses by 5 or fewer points. Only one of the five losses was at home; they open Big East play Friday at Marquette.

— Iona 70, Princeton 64
This was a fun game to watch; Rick Pitino’s Gaels are 7-2 now. Iona visits 10-0 New Mexico Saturday in Albuquerque; Richard Pitino’s Lobos hosting his dad’s Gaels, with Iona on their way to Hawai’i for a tournament next week.

— Purdue named 36-year old Ryan Walters their new football coach; Walters is the 4th-youngest coach in I-A football. He comes from a defensive background (was DC at Illinois).

Purdue is 17-9 the last two years, so it isn’t a rebuilding situation.

— Dallas Cowboys didn’t sign Odell Beckham; they signed TY Hilton instead. The former Colts’ WR played 10 years in Indianapolis, but hasn’t played yet this year. He caught 53 TD passes in his decade with the Colts.

— RIP Mike Leach; the Mississippi State football coach passed away Monday night at age 61, after suffering a major heart attack.

Leach won coaching at Washington State, Texas Tech, Mississippi State, in smaller towns but in major conferences. He was unique; a total character who beat to his own drummer— his teams were so much fun to watch.

There was a TV interview where Leach went for five minutes about which Halloween candies he liked/disliked. He was a breath of fresh air in a business that often takes itself too seriously.

RIP coach. You will be missed.

— Joel Payamps is a pitcher who was traded to Milwaukee this week as part of the Sean Murphy 3-team trade. Since November 2020, Payamps has now changed teams seven times:

11/25/20—- Red Sox claimed him off waivers from Arizona
12/10/21— Toronto claimed him off waivers from Boston
12/22/21— Red Sox claimed him off waivers from Toronto
3/6/21— Toronto claimed him off waivers from Boston
7/21/21— Royals bought his contract from Toronto.
8/20/22— A’s claimed him off waivers from Kansas City.
12/12/22— A’s traded him to Milwaukee, in a 3-way deal.

He must be very good at packing.

— Baseball happenings:
San Francisco gave P Ross Stripling a 2-year, $25M deal.
Giants also gave SS Carlos Correa a 13-year, $350M deal
Pittsburgh gave P Vince Velasquez a 1-year, $3.15M deal.
Cleveland gave C Mike Zunino a 1-year, $6M deal.

— If the NFL playoffs started today (they don’t):
AFC: Bills, Chiefs, Ravens, Titans
Wild Cards: Bengals, Dolphins, Patriots

NFC: Eagles, Vikings, 49ers, Buccaneers
Wild Cards: Cowboys, Commanders, Giants

— Alabama 91, Memphis 88
Tigers were 1-12 on the arc; only make was with 0:00.6 left in game.
Alabama was 29-40 on foul line, Memphis 19-25.

 

[Udog]

GOLDEN STATE is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 18-40 ATS (-26 Units) in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 31-61 ATS (-36.1 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 22-46 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 in the last 3 seaso...

MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.