Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Saturday’s 6-pack:

NBA players who run the most per game:
— Fred VanVleet, 2.90 miles
— Harrison Barnes, 2.85
— Tyrese Maxey, 2.85
— Miles Bridges, 2.81
— Scottie Barnes, 2.78
— Dejounte Murray, 2.76

NBA uses player-tracking technology to figure all this out; Alex Kennedy wrote an interesting article about all this on basketballnews.com

Quote of the Day
“It’s incredible to watch, but you sort of expect it.”
Warriors’ coach Steve Kerr, talking about Steph Curry’s excellence

Saturday’s quiz
Tom Crean is the basketball coach at Georgia; he was Dwyane Wade’s coach at Marquette. Which NFL head coach is Crean’s brother-in-law?

Friday’s quiz
After leaving UNLV, Jerry Tarkanian went 9-11 coaching the San Antonio Spurs for part of one season.

Thursday’s quiz
Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

*******************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……..

13) Here are some SEC football games for Saturday:
— Charleston Southern @ Georgia
— Prairie View @ Texas A&M
— Tennessee State @ Mississippi State

Are you bleepin’ kidding me? The week before Thanksgiving, and they’re playing I-AA teams? You play those teams in August/September; actually, you should never play them. Play cruddy teams from the Sun Belt or the MAC or schedule New Mexico State.

SEC spends 51 weeks a year promoting themselves as the best football conference in the country (“It just means more”) then they do this on November 20. It is ludicrous and absurd.

Georgia is #1 in the country, and they’re playing Charleston Southern? Give me a break…….

12) Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good; actually, it is best to be both lucky and good.

Davidson College is located in a suburb of Charlotte, NC; Bob McKillop is their basketball coach, and he is a very good coach. Back in the late 90’s, coach McKillop’s son played Little League, where one of his teammates was a kid named Steph Curry, whose dad Dell Curry played for the NBA’s Charlotte Hornets.

Jump ahead a few years, and Steph Curry winds up playing ball for McKillop at Davidson- they go 29-7, make the Elite 8, and you know the rest of the story. Davidson was in the Southern Conference back then; now they’re in the Atlantic 14, a much better league.

If McKillop’s son hadn’t played Little League with Steph Curry, chances are Davidson would still be in the SoCon.

11)

10) Marquette 82, West Virginia 71:
Shaka Smart’s team is #350 in experience, #338 in continuity, but they’re already 5-0, with wins over West Virginia, Illinois, Ole Miss. Excellent start.

Of the eight players who played 12:00+ for Marquette in this game, five are freshmen- they were down 14 late in first half, but made 12-26 on the arc and will play St Bonaventure in the tourney final on Sunday.

9) Utah State 85, New Mexico State 58:
— Ryan Odom is Utah State’s new coach; he was the UMBC coach whose team upset Virginia in the only #1-16 upset in NCAA Tournament history.
— Aggies went 42-13 in Mountain West the last three years, then their coach bolted to Utah.
— Utah-Utah State don’t play this year, they haven’t played in four years. Whats up with that?

Utah State-Oklahoma is the final of this tournament in Conway, SC on Sunday.

8) Arizona 82, Wichita State 78 OT:
— Arizona blew 15-point lead in second half.
— Wichita is #309 in experience, but #107 in continuity; they fought back.
— Three Shockers fouled out.

7) Lions’ QB Jared Goff (oblique) hasn’t practiced this week, isn’t expected to play against the Browns Sunday. Tim Boyle is Detroit’s backup QB: he’s thrown four NFL passes in 11 games as Aaron Rodgers’ backup in Green Bay.

Boyle threw one TD, 13 INT’s in 19 games over three years at UConn, then transferred to I-AA Eastern Kentucky, where he threw 11 TD’s with 13 INT’s in a 4-7 season.

I’d expect Boyle to spend lot of time handing off Sunday.

6) By my count, 15 of 32 NFL teams have started the same QB in every game this season.

5) Celtics 130, Lakers 108:
— Lakers were minus-4 in 32:00 that Lebron James played.
— Lakers were minus-18 in 16:00 that Lebron James didn’t play.

Lakers are 8-9, 1-4 on road. They’ve got some work to do to make the playoffs.

4) Was encouraging to watch Utah State this week; one of their guys went 10-10 on the foul line in a double overtime win Thursday. If you work hard and practice a lot, you can make yourself a good shooter, all of which makes the Ben Simmons experience frustrating to think about.

Guy is supposed to make $31,590,000 this year; he is a career 59.7% shooter on the foul line. Guards shouldn’t shoot 60% on the foul line. High school guards should be better than that.

3) After watching a ton of college basketball for the last 10 days, I was reminded that teams who run the Princeton offense spend seven minutes at every practice working on different kinds of layups. They do lot of cutting off the ball, and often find themselves at odd angles near the hoop, so practicing those shots is smart.

Every team should do that; nothing more depressing than missing layups.

2) NFL stuff:
— Dallas WR Amari Cooper tested positive for COVID, will miss next two games.
— Baker Mayfield is expected to start at QB for Cleveland.
— Cam Newton is expected to start at QB for Carolina.

1) I am told that this is the toughest tongue twister in the English language:

“The sixth sheik’s sixth sheep’s sick”

Say that three times fast.
 

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TAMPA BAY is 16-1 ATS (13.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season.

CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (9.3 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 15-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 24-20 ATS (-18.5 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 17-4 ATS (13.6 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 43-27 ATS (13.3 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 4-31 ATS (-30.1 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 1-7 ATS (-8.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

VEGAS are 31-6 ATS (22.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 1-14 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the las.t 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 13-2 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Saturday, November 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina @ Los Angeles
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games

New Jersey @ Tampa Bay
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Minnesota @ Florida
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Nashville @ Montreal
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing Nashville

Calgary @ NY Islanders
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Boston @ Philadelphia
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Pittsburgh @ Toronto
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Detroit @ Arizona
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games at home

St. Louis @ Dallas
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing St. Louis

Columbus @ Vegas
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Columbus

Chicago @ Edmonton
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home

Washington @ San Jose
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games
San Jose is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Washington


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 20
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CAR at LA 04:00 PM
CAR -160
+500

NJ at TB 04:00 PM
TB -220
+500

MIN at FLA 06:00 PM
FLA -150
+500

NAS at MON 07:00 PM
NAS -125
U 5.5
+500 +500

BOS at PHI 07:00 PM
BOS -140
+500

CAL at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -115
+500

PIT at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -170
+500

DET at ARI 08:00 PM
ARI +130
U 5.5

+500 +500

STL at DAL 08:00 PM
STL -110
U 5.5
+500 +500

CHI at EDM 10:00 PM
EDM -220
U 6.5
+500 +500

CLB at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -140
O 5.5
+500 +500

WAS at SJ 10:30 PM
WAS -130
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............91-82-3.........52.60%..........-62.00


BEST BETS:

11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........48-56-2............46.15%.........-54.75


UPDATED 11/20/2021
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in rushing yardage:
937— Derrick Henry Tenn/Jonathan Taylor Ind
721— Nick Chubb, Clev
663— Ezekiel Elliott, Dal
648— Dalvin Cook, Minn
646— Najee Harris, Pitt
639— Lamar Jackson, Balt

Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to place Tom Brady at the top of the NFL. Even though he’s won a lot of championships. There are almost 70 players on each team, so is he playing on every side of the football? Is he on kickoff? Is he on the punt returns? Because if he ain’t playing all them roles, then he got to give credit to his team.”
Retired NBA star Scottie Pippen

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Detroit Lions’ QB, last time they won a playoff game?

Saturday’s quiz
Tom Crean is the basketball coach at Georgia; he was Dwyane Wade’s coach at Marquette. He is also John Harbaugh’s brother-in-law.

Friday’s quiz
After leaving UNLV, Jerry Tarkanian went 9-11 coaching the San Antonio Spurs for part of one season.

*************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Cincinnati 48, SMU 14:

— Pollsters will probably drop Cincinnati for running up the score.
— First time in five games that Cincinnati covered the spread.
— SMU is 8-3, so this is a solid win.
— Total yardage was 544-199, Cincinnati.

12) Alabama 42, Arkansas 35:
— Any pollsters dropping Alabama in rankings for this score?
— Bryce Young was 31-40/559 passing for Alabama, with 5 TD’s.

11) Utah 38, Oregon 7:
— Spot opens up in the top 4 nationally.
— Utah led 28-0 at halftime.- they’ll be in Pac-12 title game.
— Utes converted 11-14 third down plays.

10) Baylor 20, Kansas State 10:
— Baylor outgains K-State 402-263, improves to 9-2.
— Baylor QB Bohanon got hurt; his backup Blake Shapen, was 16-21/137 passing, and added 37 rushing yards.
— Shapen is the nephew of Hal Sutton, the great golfer.

9) Air Force 41, Nevada 39 OT:
— Air Force led this game 17-3 at halftime.
— Falcons ran for 476 yards, needed overtime to win.
— Nevada scored two fourth-quarter TD’s to force OT.

8) College football upsets this week:
— Southern Miss (+15.5) 35, Louisiana Tech 19
— Missouri (+9) 24, Florida 23 OT
— South Carolina (+7) 21, Auburn 17
— Colorado (+6.5) 20, Washington 17
— Eastern Michigan (+6) 22, Western Michigan 21

7) UCLA 62, USC 35:
— USC’s administration fired Clay Helton in September, still hasn’t replaced him.
— If they were going to act this slowly, they should’ve kept Helton all season.
— UCLA gained 609 yards; only nine of their 66 plays came on third down.
— USC intercepted UCLA’s first two passes, still gave up 15.9 yards/attempt.

6) Tex-San Antonio 34, UAB 31:
— 11-0 Roadrunners scored TD with 0:03 left to keep their perfect season going.
— UAB led 24-17 at halftime, outgained the Roadrunners 474-375.

5) Ohio State 56, Michigan State 7:
— Buckeyes scored first six times they had ball, led 49-0 at halftime.
— Wonder if the Spartans still want to give Mel Tucker a $95M contract extension?

4) Missouri 24, Florida 23 OT:
— Florida lost their last four I-A games.
— Gators beat a I-AA team 70-52 last week.
— I’m guessing they’ll be making a coaching change in a few weeks.

3) College basketball upsets:
— Bethune-Cookman (+18) 81, Bryant 75
— Austin Peay (+13.5) 87, Dayton 81
— Colgate (+11) 100, Syracuse 85
— St Thomas (+8.5) 76, Niagara 67

2) Purdue 93, North Carolina 84:
— Purdue shot 63.2% inside the arc.
— Tar Heels shot 12-29 on arc, still lost by nine.
— Game was tied with 9:03 left.
— Purdue scored 52 points in second half.

1) Colgate 100, Syracuse 85:
— Syracuse led this game 22-5 early on.
— Colgate made 18-43 on arc, 14-27 inside arc.
— Red Raiders scored 1.37 ppp, a really good night.
 

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TAMPA BAY is 91-45 ATS (22.7 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 3-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 5-0 ATS (5.7 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 17-4 ATS (13.6 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 1-14 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-9.7 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 81-98 ATS (-26.8 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.
 

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Sunday, November 21


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing NY Rangers
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo

Calgary @ Boston
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Boston
Calgary is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games

Toronto @ NY Islanders
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chicago @ Vancouver
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington @ Seattle
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 21
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at TB 05:00 PM
TB -165
U 5.5
+500 +500

BUF at NYR 06:00 PM
BUF +190
O 5.5

+500 +500

CAL at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -170
U 5.5
+500 +500

TOR at NYI 07:30 PM
NYI -105
U 5.5

+500 +500
CHI at VAN 08:00 PM
CHI +110
U 6.0

+500 +500

WAS at SEA 09:00 PM
WAS -130
U 5.5
+500 +500

ARI at LA 10:00 PM
LA -225
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............98-89-3.........52.40%..........-74.00


BEST BETS:

11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........54-59-2............47.78%.........-40.25


UPDATED 11/21/2021
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:

Interesting college football spreads this week:
— Ole Miss @ Mississippi State (-1.5)
— Boise State (-3) @ San Diego State
— Washington (-2) @ Washington State
— Ohio State (-7.5) @ Michigan
— Kentucky @ Louisville (-2)
— BYU (-7) @ USC

Quote of the Day
“Obviously disappointing night for us in many ways. Responsibility is completely mine; every head coach should always do that. And then the other side is there a lot to play for, a lot. A lot of our goals, most of our goals are still ahead of us and we’ve got to get ready for them quickly by going back to work and they ain’t going to fix themselves. Certainly not the standard tonight. Credit to them, really good football team. They played really well.”
Oregon football coach Mario Cristobal

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Chargers’ QB, the one time they played in a Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB, last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

Saturday’s quiz
Tom Crean is the basketball coach at Georgia; he was Dwyane Wade’s coach at Marquette. He is also John Harbaugh’s brother-in-law.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Minnesota 34, Green Bay 31:

— Green Bay’s first 4 drives: 26 plays, 120 yards, 3 points.
— Green Bay’s last 4 drives: 29 plays, 318 yards, 28 points.
— Packers tied game with 75-yard TD pass with 2:08 left.
— In Rodgers’ last four starts, Green Bay converted 26-51 on third down.

— Vikings drove 64 yards in 2:06, kicked GW FG with 0:00 left.
— Minnesota was 9-13 on third down, Packers 7-11.
— Nine of Vikings’ ten games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

Indianapolis 41, Buffalo 15:
— Colts won/covered six of last eight games, after an 0-3 start.
— Taylor ran ball 32 times for 185 yards, four TD’s.
— Colts were plus-4 in turnovers (4-0).
— Indy is 11-7-1 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Last seven weeks, Colts outscored opponents 129-61 in first half.

— Colts in first half: 4 series- 32 plays, 182 yards, 24 points.
— Indy ran ball for 264 yards, threw for only 106.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Bills are 2-3 in last five games, after a 4-1 start.

Houston 22, Tennessee 13:
— Texans end their 8-game losing streak.
— Houston won despite being outgained, 420-190.
— Texans had 13-yard edge in field position.
— Under is 6-2 in Texans’ last seven games.

— Tennessee had its 6-game winning streak end.
— When you’re minus-5 in turnovers, you always lose.
— Tannehill threw INTs on three of last four possessions.
— Last four years, Tennessee is 8-11 ATS as home favorites.

Cleveland 13, Detroit 10:
— Detroit is winless, but is 6-4 vs spread.
— Lions threw for exactly 77 yards two games in a row.
— Last seven games, Lions were outscored 104-32 in first half.
— Seven of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.

— Browns outgained Detroit, 349-245
— Browns are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as home favorite.
— Cleveland outscored foes 48-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in five of last six games.

San Francisco 30, Jacksonville 10:
— First five drives: 52 plays, 324 yards, 27 points.
— 49ers outgained Jacksonville, 333-200.
— Four of their five wins have come on the road.
— Last two years, 49ers are 5-2 ATS as road favorites.

— Jaguars lost 23 of their last 25 games.
— Last three years, Jaguars are 6-11 ATS as home underdogs.
— Nine of their last ten games stayed under the total.
— Jacksonville already has six losses by 10+ points.

Miami 24, NJ Jets 17:
— Dolphins scored TD on first drive of each half.
— Miami won its last three games, giving up 12 ppg.
— Last four Dolphin games stayed under the total.
— Miami has given up 60 plays of 20+ yards, has only 38 themselves.

— Jets lost seven of last eight games; last five games, they used four QB’s.
— Last four years, Jets are 2-10 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Jets lost nine of last 11 games against Miami.
— Last four years, Jets are 13-26 ATS coming off a loss.

Washington 27, Carolina 21:
— Washington kicked two FG’s in last 4:13 for winning margin.
— Washington had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Washington was 6-13 on third down, Carolina 2-9.
— Washington ran ball for 190 yards, outgained Panthers 369-297.

— Carolina lost six of last eight games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Newton threw for 180 yards, ran for 46 more in first ’21 start.
— Panthers are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as home favorites.

Baltimore 16, Chicago 13:
— Backup QB Huntley drove Ravens 72 yards in 1:19, scored winning TD with 0:22 left.
— On first 10 drives, Ravens managed only three Tucker FG’s.
— Ravens converted 7-15 on third down, Chicago 2-11
— Last five games, opponents are 20-76 on third down

— Five drives with Fields at QB: 29 plays, 152 yards, no points.
— Five drives with Dalton at QB: 24 plays, 186 yards, 13 points.
— Bears outgained Baltimore, 353-299.
— Chicago lost last five games, last two by total of five points.

Philadelphia 40, New Orleans 29:
— Saints lost last three games, after a 5-2 start.
— Last three weeks, New Orleans was outscored 50-13 in first half.
— New Orleans has 30 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 44.
— Down 34-7 after three quarters, Saints scored 22 points in garbage time.

— Eagles converted 12-21 third down plays.
— Last four games, Philly ran ball for 217 ypg (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Four of last five Philly games went over the total.
— Eagles won three of last four games to even record at 5-5.

Cincinnati 32, Las Vegas 13:
— Bengals in 2nd half: 5 drives- 37 plays, 187 yards, 22 points.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in four of last five games.
— Bengals are 5-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincy was 8-16 on third down, Raiders were 1-7

— Raiders lost last three games, outscored 59-17 in second half.
— Raiders converted only 13 of last 48 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 12-17-1 ATS in last 30 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, Raiders are 5-9 SU at home (6-8 ATS)

Arizona 23, Seattle 13:
— Cardinals had TD drives of 82-92 yards on two of first three drives.
— Arizona outgained Seahawks, 413-266.
— Arizona has 48 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 26.
— Cardinals are 8-3 ATS this season.

— Last two games with Wilson back at QB, Seattle has one TD on 18 drives.
— In those two losses, Seattle was outgained, 806-474.
— Seahawks lost seven of their last nine games overall.
— Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Seattle.

Kansas City 19, Dallas 9:
— Dallas went 3/out on six of 12 drives.
— Cowboys averaged only 4.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Dallas is 5-10 ATS last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.

— First three drives: 21 plays, 154 yards, 16 points.
— Chiefs allowed only 11.8 ppg in last four games.
— Kansas City is 5-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Five of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.
— Kansas City is 16-6-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less.

LA Chargers 41, Pittsburgh 37:
— Steelers scored 27 points in 4th quarter, still came up short.
— Pittsburgh had TD drives of 3-11 yards; they blocked a punt.
— Chargers outgained the Steelers, 533-300.
— Last five years, Steelers are 13-4 ATS as road underdogs.

— Herbert hit Mike Williams for 53-yard TD with 2:09 left.
— Chargers’ first five drives: 49 plays, 355 yards, 27 points.
— Chargers averaged 8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four years, LA is 5-17-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Eight of their ten games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
 

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Messages
18,289
Tokens
COLUMBUS are 4-17 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 4-11 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in November games in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 23-9 ATS (13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.




NHL

Monday, November 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Columbus @ Buffalo
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Columbus
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus

Anaheim @ Nashville
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Vegas @ St. Louis
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Vegas

Ottawa @ Colorado
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Ottawa's last 17 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa

Pittsburgh @ Winnipeg
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Pittsburgh is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games

Carolina @ San Jose
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,418
Tokens
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 22
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CLB at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +105
U 5.5

+500 +500

ANA at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -140
U 5.5
+500 +500

VEG at STL 08:00 PM
STL -155
O 5.5
+500 +500

PIT at WIN 08:30 PM
WIN -115
U 5.5
+500 +500

OTT at COL 08:30 PM
COL -320
O 6.0
+500 +500

CAR at SJ 10:30 PM
CAR -160
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,289
Tokens
Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Buffalo (-4.5) @ New Orleans
— Tennessee @ New England (-5.5)
— NJ Jets @ Houston (-3)
— Tampa Bay (-3) @ Indianapolis
— Atlanta (even) @ Jacksonville
— Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati (-3.5)

Instagram Post of the Day
“No one better say anything bad about @bakermayfield after this game. I don’t think I have seen toughness like this in a while. Maybe the rest of our team should take the hint and get tougher.”
Emily Mayfield (Baker Mayfield’s wife). What could possibly go wrong after this?

Tuesday’s quiz
What was the name of the football team Al Pacino’s character coached in Any Given Sunday?

Monday’s quiz
Stan Humphries was the Chargers’ QB, the one time they played in a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB, last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Tampa Bay 30, NJ Giants 10:
— Giants’ only TD came on a 5-yard drive after an INT
— Big Blue averaged 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Daniel Jones’ career win-loss record: 11-25.
— Giants were outscored 64-12 in last 2:00 of each half, 45-0 in first half.

— Bucs drove 73-79-71 yards on three of first four drives.
— Giants were 1-9 on third down, Tampa Bay 6-13.
— Last nine games, Tampa Bay is +8 in turnovers.
— With Brady at QB, Tampa Bay is 7-3-1 ATS as a home favorite.

12) There is a college basketball Hall of Fame in Kansas City, which is different from the Hall of Fame in Springfield, which is for all of basketball.

How in God’s name is Jerry Tarkanian not in the college Hall of Fame? He is in the Springfield Hall of Fame, but not the one in Kansas City. It is ludicrous and absurd.

761-202 record, four Final Fours, 1990 national title; I could go on for a while about some of the coaches who have been inducted who had inferior records, but don’t really want to disparage those other coaches.

If they want their Hall of Fame (it is only 15 years old) to be taken seriously, they have to put the great coaches in. Tarkanian was undoubtedly a great coach.

11) Florida Gators fired football coach Dan Mullen; he went 34-15 in four seasons at Florida, but was 2-9 in his last 11 games against against Power 5 opponents.

His replacement will be the Gators’ fourth head coach in eight years; there is a certain amount of insanity involved when it comes to college football hiring/firing.

10) There have been 13 college football coaches fired this fall; one school that didn’t fire its coach on the hot seat is Nebraska, which has kept Scott Frost, despite his 15-28 record (5-19 in games decided by 8 or fewer points).

9) Minnesota Vikings are 5-5 this season; they’ve had a lead of 7+ points in every game.

8) Utah/Utah State’s basketball teams don’t play each other; last time they met was 2018. Why?

You would think games between intra-state rivals would draw big crowds, make lot of money. Plus, Utah’s new coach came to Salt Lake City from Utah State, which should add to the rivalry.

7) There are seven first-time head coaches in the NFL this season; they’re combined 7-7 ATS as a favorite this season, 24-33 ATS as an underdog.

6) It is Thanksgiving week, and Baltimore Ravens haven’t played Pittsburgh/Cleveland yet, their two biggest divisional rivals. Four of their last seven games are against those two teams.

5) Was watching the Georgia-Georgia Tech basketball game from Athens the other night; Atlanta Braves’ manager Brian Snitker was watching in the front row- they put him on TV for a while and it was fun hearing how happy he sounded. He waited a long time to be a big league skipper, and now he is a World Series champ— he should be enjoying it.

4) Ohio State 79, Seton Hall 76:
— Buckeyes were 11-22 on arc, Seton Hall 5-23.
— Seven of ten starters in this game are seniors; two good teams.

3) Cincinnati 71, Illinois 51:
— Illinois led 23-10 after 10:00 of play.
— North Carolina alum Wes Miller is Cincinnati’s new coach; when the Tar Heels hired Hubert Davis to replace Roy Williams, did they choose the right alumnus?
— Miller was coach at NC-Greensboro for ten years- the last five years, he went 125-43, 70-18 in conference games.

2) Rice 109, Evansville 104, 3OT:
— Evansville led by 15 early in second half.
— Rice was 25-35 on foul line, Purple Aces 14-20.
— Owls start a frosh, two sophs; Evansville starts four seniors.

1) I’m curious about how many people from San Diego venture north to LA for Charger home games; San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in the country, still think it is odd that they skipped town to be a tenant in someone else’s domed stadium.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
PHILADELPHIA is 50-39 ATS (18.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS
are 13-31 ATS (-22.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games in the current season.




NHL

Tuesday, November 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia

Edmonton @ Dallas
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Edmonton is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Edmonton

Chicago @ Calgary
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
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Messages
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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at TB 07:00 PM
TB -165
O 5.5
+500 +500

EDM at DAL 08:30 PM
EDM +100
+500

CHI at CAL 09:00 PM
CAL -230
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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