Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NHL

Saturday, January 1


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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Boston
Buffalo
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Boston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo

Carolina @ Columbus
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Montreal @ Florida
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games at home
Florida is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

Chicago @ Nashville
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Edmonton @ NY Islanders
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Toronto
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games

Vancouver @ Seattle
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Seattle's last 23 games

Philadelphia @ Los Angeles
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games


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Dunkel

Saturday, January 1


71Qd5sg.png
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

NFL team leaders in passing yards:
4,500— Tampa Bay
4,277— Kansas City
4,240— Dallas
4,208— LA Chargers
4,154— Las Vegas
4,141— LA Rams

Quote of the Day
“Be as smart as you can, but remember that it is always better to be wise than to be smart.”
Alan Alda

Sunday’s quiz
Nevada basketball coach Steve Alford played 169 games in the NBA; 57 for Golden State, the other 112 for which team?

Saturday’s quiz
Gator Bowl football game is played in Jacksonville.

Friday’s quiz
Tommy Maddox was the Steelers’ starting QB before Ben Roethlisberger.

********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up the first day of 2022…….

13) Ohio State 48, Utah 45:

— Buckeyes kicked FG with 0:09 left for the win.
— Smith-Njigba caught 15 passes for 347 yards, most receiving yards EVER in a bowl.
— Utah led 35-21 at halftime.
— Pac-12 finishes 0-5 SU in bowl games this year.

12) Oklahoma State 37, Notre Dame 35:
— Notre Dame led 28-14 at halftime.
— Irish threw 68 passes, ran ball 21 times.
— Most passes they threw this year under Kelly: 46 vs Cincinnati.
— Notre Dame was 11-20 on third down, Cowboys 3-12.

11) Kentucky 20, Iowa 17:
— Wildcats scored game-winning TD with 1:48 left.
— Kentucky led this game 13-3 at halftime.
— Iowa ran for 173 yards, threw three INT’s (-2 in TO’s).
— Kentucky finishes season 10-3.

10) Arkansas 24, Penn State 10:
— Hogs outscored Penn State 17-0 in second half.
— Arkansas ran ball 58 times for 353 yards.
— Arkansas ran 78 plays, Nittany Lions 63.
— Penn State completed only 15-35 passes.

9) Baylor 21, Ole Miss 7:
— Ole Miss QB Corral hurt his leg in first quarter, didn’t return.
— Only score of first half: Baylor’s 97-yard pick-6 in 2nd quarter.
— Ole Miss was 6-22 on 3rd down, 5-7 on 4th down.
— Baylor completed only 7-17 passes for 40 yards.

8) Creighton 75, Marquette 69, 2OT:
— Creighton led by 17 early in second half.
— Bluejays hit 3-pointer at buzzer to force the second OT.
— Creighton took 19 foul shots, Marquette only 7 (at home)

7) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72:
— Baylor wins battle of unbeatens to open Big X play.
— Iowa State was 1-14 on arc; they shot 62% inside arc.
— Two guys on Baylor scored double figures off bench.

6) Villanova 73, Seton Hall 67:
— Seton Hall had only 8 players available; 2 of them fouled out.
— Villanova out-rebounded the Pirates 42-28.
— Seton Hall was +9 in turnovers (17-8).

5) San Diego State 62, UNLV 55:
— Aztecs have now won 18 of last 20 series games.
— San Diego State is now 32-4 SU in last 36 Mountain West games.
— UNLV shot 29.7% from floor; they’re 0-6 vs top 100 teams.

4) It is tiring listening to TV guys say “this team is well-coached” because they never, ever say which teams aren’t well-coached. Obviously, some coaches are better than others.

Just once, I’d like a TV analyst to say, “This guy is a hell of a recruiter, but his game coaching could use some work.”

Players win games, so if you have a really talented roster and keep your tactics simple, you’ll win your fair share of games.

3) On Opening Night of the NBA this season, players had an average age of 26.1 years, the youngest the NBA has ever been.

2) Looking at the top six conferences in college basketball, totaling 76 teams, only four of those schools didn’t take in a transfer this season:

UConn, Purdue, Stanford, Villanova.

1) Pointspread for the college football national title game:
Georgia -2.5 vs Alabama
 

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TAMPA BAY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 194-161 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

DETROIT is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 3-21 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 21-9 ATS (9.6 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

CALGARY is 10-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.
 

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NHL

Sunday, January 2


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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ NY Rangers
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games at home
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Boston @ Detroit
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

San Jose @ Pittsburgh
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Anaheim's last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim

New Jersey @ Washington
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Winnipeg @ Vegas
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home

Calgary @ Chicago
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing at home against Calgary
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary


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SUNDAY, JANUARY 2
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TB at NYR
TB -102
U 6.0
+500 +500

SJ at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -165
O 6.0
+500 +500

BOS at DET 01:00 PM
BOS -142
+500

ANA at COL 03:00 PM
COL -249
+500

NJ at WAS 03:00 PM
WAS -216
+500

WIN at VEG 04:00 PM
VEG -147
O 6.0
+500 +500

CAL at CHI 07:00 PM
CAL -204
+500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75


BEST BETS!

01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00


01/02/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Interesting Week 18 spreads:
— New England (-5.5) @ Miami
— NJ Jets @ Buffalo (-17)
— Dallas (-1.5) @ Philadelphia
— Seattle @ Arizona (-6.5)
— San Francisco @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— LA Chargers (-3) @ Las Vegas

Quote of the Day
”I thought he was at his best when his best was required. He’s a mentally tough guy and that’s what you want from your quarterback.”
Sean McVay, talking about Matthew Stafford

Monday’s quiz
Who holds the NFL’s single season record for receiving yards?

Sunday’s quiz
Nevada basketball coach Steve Alford played 169 games in the NBA; 57 for Golden State, the other 112 for the Dallas Mavericks.

Saturday’s quiz
Gator Bowl football game is played in Jacksonville.

********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cincinnati 34, Kansas City 31:

— Chiefs led this game 28-17 at halftime.
— KC in first half: 45 plays, 292 yards, 28 points.
— KC in second half: 23 plays, 122 yards, 3 points.
— Chiefs are 9-14-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-5 if they allow more.

— Bengals drove 74 yards in 6:01, kicked GW field goal at 0:00.
— Burrow threw for 446 yards and four TD’s (971 PY last two games).
— Chase caught 11 passes for 266 yards, three TD’s.
— Bengals are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.

LA Rams 20, Baltimore 19:
— Rams drove 75 yards in 3:33, scored winning TD with 0:57 left.
— LA converted only 3-9 on third down, turned ball over three times.
— Beckham caught a 4th down pass on final drive, also scored GW TD.
— Rams outscored last four opponents 85-43 in second half.
— Rams won their fifth game in a row.

— Ravens lost last five games, after an 8-3 start.
— Four of the five losses were by 1 or 2 points.
— Baltimore ran ball for 165 yards, converted only 4-14 on third down.
— Ravens’ only touchdown was scored by their defense.
— Last four years, Ravens are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs.

Tampa Bay 28, NJ Jets 24:
— Brady threw 33-yard TD pass with 0:15 left for winning TD.
— Tampa Bay converted 9-15 on third down.
— Brady threw for 410 yards, three TD’s.
— Buccaneers are 3-6 ATS as road favorites this season.

— Jets led this game 24-10 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
— Jets ran ball for 150 yards, 423 yards last two weeks.
— Jets lost seven of their last nine games (4-5 ATS).
— Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Jet games.

Las Vegas 23, Indianapolis 20:
— Las Vegas won last three games by total of nine points.
— Raiders drove 60 yards to kick GW FG with 0:00 left.
— Last four games, Raiders are minus-12 in turnovers (0-12)
— Zay Jones caught eight passes for 120 yards.

— Colts were outgained 326-262, converted 3-11 on third down.
— First time in eight games Colts trailed at halftime.
— Taylor ran 20 times for 108 yards and a TD.
— Last four Indy games stayed under the total.

Chicago 29, NY Giants 3:
— Giants lost six of seven games since their bye (1-6 ATS)
— Last four games, Big Blue was outscored 74-19 in first half.
— Giants have scored six TD’s on their last 64 drives.
— Giants lost last four road games by a combined 150-53.

— Bears are 4-2 with Dalton/Foles starting at QB, 2-8 with rookie Fields.
— Chicago’s first two TD drives were 2-24 yards.
— Giants completed 4-11 passes for 24 yards, but lost 34 yards in sacks.
— Giants have been outscored 98-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Under Nagy, Bears are 17-11-1 ATS as a favorite.

Buffalo 29, Atlanta 15:
— Falcons led this game 15-14 at halftime.
— Atlanta in second half: 26 plays, 77 yards, no points.
— Last three games, Atlanta was held to 275-254-265 total yards.
— Falcons are now 0-5-1 ATS TY the week following a win.

— Bills won last three games, scoring 31-33-29 points.
— Buffalo ran ball for 233 yards, converted 7-12 on third down.
— Allen was only 11-26 passing, with three INT’s.
— Last six games, Bills outscored opponents 83-32 in second half.

Tennessee 34, Miami 3:
— Miami’s first four drives: 13 plays, 25 yards, no points.
— Dolphins competed only 18 of 39 passes (4.2 yards/attempt).
— Loss snaps Miami’s 7-game winning streak, after a 1-7 start.
— With this loss, Dolphins slip to #10-seed in AFC.

— Three of Tennessee’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Titans were 7-15 on third down, Miami 3-12.
— Titans converted 24 of last 49 third down plays.
— Right now, Titans are #1-seed in AFC.

New England 50, Jacksonville 10:
— Jaguars lost last eight games, and 28 of last 30.
— Jaguars are 0-7 ATS the last seven weeks.
— Jacksonville has ten losses by 10+ points.
— Last six games, Jacksonville is minus-12 in turnovers (2-14)
— Jaguars are 9-17-2 ATS last 28 games as road dogs.

— New England clinched playoff spot, is tied with Buffalo atop AFC East.
— Patriots are 21-5 ATS last 26 games aa double digit favorites.
— Last seven games, Patriots outscored foes 119-36 in second half.
— New England is 31-17-3 ATS last 51 games as home favorite.
— Patriots are +19 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.

Philadelphia 20, Washington 16:
— Eagles won six of last seven games (9-3 ATS last 12).
— Philly outscored last four opponents 70-14 in second half.
— Eagles were 4-12 on third down, Washington 9-15.
— Eagles won eight of last ten series games.

— Washington led this game 16-7 at halftime.
— Washington’s 1st four drives: a TD, three FG’s.
— Washington’s last four drives: 27 plays, 81 yards, no points.
— Washington lost its last four games.

Arizona 25, Dallas 22:
— Arizona snaps 3-game skid, keeps hopes alive for NFC West title.
— Cardinals scored on five of first six drives (2 TD, 3 FG)
— Arizona converted 40 of last 84 third down plays.
— This season, Cardinals went 6-0 ATS as road underdogs.

— Dallas ran for only 45 yards, converted 3-11 on third down.
— Dallas was outgained 399-301, ran only 57 plays (Cards ran 72)
— Cowboys have outscored foes 92-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas slips to #4-seed in NFC, could play Arizona in Wild Card game.

New Orleans 18, Carolina 10:
— Panthers led this game 10-9 at halftime.
— Panthers in 2nd half: 29 plays, 51 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost 11 of last 13 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-11 if it allows more than 14 points.

— Saints held Carolina to 2.7 yards/pass attempt.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 280-179.
— Last four games, Saints allowed three TD’s on 44 drives.
— Last eight weeks, New Orleans was outscored 99-48 in first half.

LA Chargers 34, Denver 13:
— Broncos lost four of last five games, scoring 9-10-13-13 in losses.
— McManus kicked a 61-yard FG to end the first half.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-8 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.

— Chargers’ TD drives were only 55-49-52 yards.
— Roberts ran a kickoff back 101 yards for a touchdown.
— LA is 7-2 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Right now, Chargers are #7-seed in AFC.

San Francisco 23, Houston 7:
— Texans led this game 7-3 at halftime.
— Houston in second half: 32 plays, 178 yards, zero points.
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 2-13 vs everyone else.
— Texans are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

— Rookie QB Lance threw for 249 yards in his 2nd NFL start (1-1).
— 49ers ran for 175 yards, averaged 10.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Mitchell carried ball 21 times for 119 yards.
— Right now, 49ers are #6-seed in NFC.

Seattle 51, Detroit 29:
— Seahawks led 31-7 at halftime.
— Detroit in second half: three TD’s, three INT’s.
— Seattle scored six TD’s, kicked two FG’s on 11 drives.
— Right now, Lions would have 2nd pick in April’s NFL Draft.

— First six drives, Seattle scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
— Seattle ran ball for 265 yards, threw for 232 more.
— Seattle is 9-5 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 6-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-9 if it doesn’t.

Green Bay 37, Minnesota 10:
— Minnesota lost four of its last six games SU.
— Green Bay outgained Vikings, 481-206.
— Packers were 7-13 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
— Minnesota has been outscored 122-34 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Packers clinch #1 seed in NFC playoffs.
— Green Bay is 11-3-1 ATS in its last fifteen games.
— In their last six games, Packers scored 36 ppg
— Packers are 17-7 ATS in last 24 home games (7-1 TY)
 

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NY RANGERS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.




NHL

Monday, January 3


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Trend Report
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Edmonton @ NY Rangers
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games at home
NY Rangers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton


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MONDAY, JANUARY 3
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

EDM at NYR 07:00 PM
U 6.5
+500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS...............8-3-0..........72.72%...........+16.75


BEST BETS!

01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS..............4-0-0............100.00%..........+20.00


01/03/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Week 18 NFL spreads:
— Bears @ Minnesota (-2.5)
— Colts (15.5) @ Jacksonville
— Panthers @ Tampa Bay (-8)
— Titans (-10.5) @ Houston
— Washington (-6.5) @ Giants
— Saints (-4.5) @ Atlanta

Quote of the Day
“I came to Oklahoma with a game plan, but with all of the recent changes, I need to figure out what is the right path for me moving forward. According to NCAA rules, as a student-athlete, the only way I can speak with other schools and see who may offer the best preparation and development for my future career is by entering the portal. Staying at OU will definitely be an option as I begin this process.”
Oklahoma QB Caleb Williams

Tuesday’s quiz
Over the last 11 years, only one NFL team hasn’t been a double digit favorite in any game; which team?

Monday’s quiz
Calvin Johnson (2012) holds the NFL’s single season record for receiving yards, with 1,934.

Sunday’s quiz
Nevada basketball coach Steve Alford played 169 games in the NBA; 57 for Golden State, the other 112 for the Dallas Mavericks.

*****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but………

13) Steelers 26, Browns 14:

— Harris carried ball 28 times for 188 yards.
— Boswell kicked four FG’s, two of them 48-50 yards.
— Steelers need win next week, plus help to make playoffs.
— Mayfield is first QB this year to throw 10 straight incompletions.
— Tomlin clinches another non-losing season.

12) Oklahoma QB Caleb Williams, who started seven games as a freshman this season, entered the transfer portal Monday. He said that returning to Oklahoma was still an option.

Williams completed 62.5% of his passes this season, throwing 18 TD passes, four INT’s. He also ran the ball for 442 yards.

Spencer Rattler already transferred from Oklahoma to South Carolina; the Sooners’ QB recruit for this year followed Lincoln Riley to USC instead. If Williams leaves Oklahoma, the Sooners are down to one scholarship QB; they would then go and poach someone else’s QB.

Welcome to today’s college football.

Late Update: Oklahoma poached QB Dillon Gabriel who was supposed to transfer from Central Florida to UCLA. Williams is rumored to be headed to UCLA, where his arch-rival would be Lincoln Riley’s Trojans.

11) In another move, Oklahoma hired Clemson’s recruiting coordinator; new Sooners coach Brent Venables was Clemson’s defensive coordinator- he brings in Todd Bates and also added Ted Roof from Clemson as the Sooners’ new defensive coordinator.

So far this offseason, Clemson lost its offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator, recruiting coordinator. Dabo Swinney is going to have coach his coaches this offseason.

10) Then there is the contrast of QB prospects playing/not playing in bowl games.

Pitt’s Kenny Pickett threw for 4,319 yards this season, with 42 TD’s, 7 INT’s as the Panthers were 11-2 and won the ACC title. But Pickett opted out of the Panthers’ bowl game, so he wouldn’t get injured and hurt his NFL Draft prospects.

Ole Miss QB Matt Corral threw for 3,328 yards, with 20 TD’s, four INT’s as the Rebels enjoyed a 10-2 regular season; he was adamant that he wanted to play in the bowl game, one last game with his teammates.

Corral hurt his ankle in the first quarter of the bowl game and never returned, just the kind of thing Pickett was avoiding by skipping the game.

Here’s the thing: how did these events help/hurt either guy’s draft prospects? Did it even change their prospects?

Varying opinions on this topic; remains to be seen how serious Corral’s ankle injury is, but it is January 3rd, so chances are he’ll be good to go next summer.

I’ve already stated my opinion on this topic; quarterbacks are different than other players, they lead the offense, they can’t jump ship before the cruise is over, but I’m guessing opinions on this subject are mixed.

We’ll see during the draft in April where these two guys get chosen. Both will be high picks.

9) Switching quickly to NFL QB’s, if I own a team worth $3B and the most important person on that team (the QB) is making $20M+, he damn sure better be vaccinated against COVID.

There was a doctor on CNN who said that eventually, all unvaccinated people will get COVID, so if you’re Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz or whoever else is an anti-vaxxer, then you’re screwing your team over- witness the Vikings Sunday night without Cousins- they lost 37-10.

This is a free country, we can do as we please, but choices have consequences, at least they should have.

8) 3-4 years down the road, what will college sports look like? Texas/Oklahoma are jumping to the SEC, but no one seems to know when- 2025 seems likely. Losing those two heavyweights is damaging to the Big X.

Big X was then down to eight teams, but they poached BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati and Houston from other leagues, so they’ll be up to 12 teams. Far-flung league though; a road trip from West Virginia to Provo for a conference game?

AAC will be hurt badly by losing those three teams; who will they poach to replace them?

School like UNLV was hurt by not moving up; they have a beautiful new dome (where the Raiders play); their football program should be better than it is, but now it is unlikely that they’re going anywhere anytime soon.

7) NFL tweaked its Week 18 schedule for maximum drama:

Chiefs at Broncos, Cowboys at Eagles are the Saturday games, Chargers at Raiders is the Sunday night game.

Would’ve made interesting reality TV, showing the meeting/Zoom call where those changes were discussed. Little surprised the New England-Miami game wasn’t one of the night games.

6) NFL coaches often say that their business is “…..the most competitive business in the world” and this year’s Baltimore Ravens are a good example of that.

— Lost Week 1 in OT at Las Vegas
— Won Weeks 2-3, by a combined three points.

— beat Colts 31-25 in Week 5, after trailing at halftime.
— beat Vikings 34-31 in OT in Week 9
— Were 8-3 after 16-13/16-10 wins in Weeks 11-12.

Then things took a turn for the worse:
— Lost 20-19 in Pittsburgh in Week 13
— Lost 24-22 in Cleveland the next week.
— Lost 31-30 to the Packers the week after that.
— Gave up 545 yards in a 41-21 Week 16 loss in Cincinnati.
— Lost 20-19 at home to the Rams Sunday.

Now Baltimore is 8-8 and barely alive in the playoff race: they could just as easily be 12-4 (or 4-12). Narrow margins are part of what makes football so interesting.

5) Last eight weeks, teams are 8-0 SU/ATS the week after playing the Broncos, who lost to the Chargers 34-13 Sunday. Chargers finish the regular season in Las Vegas Sunday night.

4) I’m looking forward to baseball season starting; one of the big things the players’ union wants is for young players getting paid more and paid sooner- Vladimir Guerrero made $605,400 this past season- he can’t break the bank until after his third season, when he becomes eligible for arbitration, even though he almost won the MVP last year.

Union either wants that 3-year pre-arbitration window lowered to 2 years, or the minimum salary raised by a lot.

3) If you’re wondering the minimum salary in major league baseball was $570,500 last year; I’m guessing that it’ll be closer to $800,000 this year, once they finally agree to a new labor deal.

2) Good news: the PGA Tour resumes Thursday, so at least we can turn the TV on and see warm weather somewhere, even it is in freakin’ Hawai’i.

1) We end today with good news: earlier this NHL season, there was a medical student sitting behind the Vancouver Canucks’ bench during a game in Seattle.

The medical student noticed that the Canucks’ equipment manager had an odd-looking mole on the back of his neck, a mole she recognized to likely be cancerous. After the game, she banged on the glass to get the guy’s attention and let him he know the mole needed medical attention.

The equipment manager got it looked at, had it removed, and sure enough, it was cancerous, but it was noticed early enough that it hadn’t spread at all, so that woman saved the guy from maybe losing his life.

When the Canucks came back to Seattle this past weekend, the medical student was rewarded with a $10,000 check towards her continuing education. Good for them; good for her.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
17,093
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NHL

Tuesday, January 4


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Trend Report
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New Jersey @ Boston
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Columbus
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Calgary @ Florida
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games at home
Florida is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

San Jose @ Detroit
San Jose
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Jose's last 12 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

Colorado @ Chicago
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games at home

Winnipeg @ Arizona
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Arizona is 12-5-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Philadelphia @ Anaheim
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 9 games

Nashville @ Vegas
Nashville
Nashville is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games


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Active member
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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,443
Tokens
TUESDAY, JANUARY 4
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


NJ at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -251
U 5.5
+500 +500

TB at CLB 07:00 PM
TB -205
O 5.5
+500 +500

CAL at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -134
O 6.0
+500 +500

SJ at DET 07:30 PM
DET -107
O 5.5
+500 +500

COL at CHI 08:30 PM
COL -216
O 6.0
+500 +500

WIN at ARI 09:00 PM
WIN -187
O 5.5
+500 +500

PHI at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA -136
O 5.5
+500 +500

NAS at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -126
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,443
Tokens
JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS.............19-8-0..........70.37%...........+43.45


BEST BETS!

01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%.........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS..............8-4-0............,66.66%..........+18.00


01/04/2022
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
17,093
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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

NBA scoring leaders:
29.7— Kevin Durant, Bklyn
28.4— Trae Young, Atl
27.9— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
27.2— Stephen Curry, GSt
26.9— DeMar DeRozan, Chi
26.3— Zach LaVine, Chi

Quote of the Day
“Not particularly………I see him every day.”
Vikings’ coach Mike Zimmer, asked if he wanted to see backup QB Kellen Mond play this week

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the musical director on David Letterman’s latenight talk show?

Tuesday’s quiz
Over the last 11 years, only one NFL team hasn’t been a double digit favorite in any game, the New Jersey Giants.

Monday’s quiz
Calvin Johnson (2012) holds the NFL’s single season record for receiving yards, with 1,934.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) LSU 65, Kentucky 60:

— Kentucky is 0-2 in true road games, losing by 4-5 points.
— Wildcats lost PG Wheeler early in this game; he didn’t return.
— Just third win for LSU in last 11 series games.

12) Heard John Calipari say the other day that he has an Italian passport and has dual citizenship. Didn’t know that.

11) Duke is only ACC team in the basketball Top 25 this week; no other team even got one vote, which is really unusual.

10) Mentioned few days ago how games are going to emerge on the schedule that weren’t there when the season started. Thursday in Salt Lake City, Loyola Chi will play San Francisco; two good teams that need quality non-conference games to improve their NCAA at-large prospects.

Long Beach State-UCLA also added a game for Thursday. UCLA hasn’t played since December 11; they beat Long Beach 100-79 on November 15.

9) No one in the WCC (Gonzaga/San Francisco’s league) has played a game since Christmas.

8) Not only have the Philadelphia Eagles clinched a playoff spot, they have three picks in April’s draft, so they should have a better team next year. They have to decide if Jalen Hurts is their franchise QB moving forward.

7) Kansas State 42, LSU 20:
— LSU had only 38 scholarship players for this game.
— K-State outgained Tigers 442-308, converted 8-12 on third down
— LSU didn’t have a scholarship QB; they used senior WR Kirklin at QB- he was a QB in high school in Lutcher, LA. He has also played 12 games on defense for LSU.

6) Trey Young had 56 points, 14 assists in the Hawks’ 136-131 loss in Portland Monday. No one in NBA history has had that many points/assists in the same game.

5) Baker Mayfield will have his left shoulder operated on, won’t play against the Bengals Sunday. Cleveland is out of playoff contention; the Browns have a deal with Mayfield for $19M next year, but nothing after that— curious to see what they do with their QB situation.

Case Keenum gets the nod Sunday; Cleveland won his only start this year.

4) Chicago Bulls are 25-10; they’ve taken the fewest 3-pointers in the NBA, but also made the highest percentage of the shots they did take.

3) Fanatics is spending $500M to buy the Topps trading card company, which began selling baseball cards in 1951.

2) MLB Network should go to color bars until they settle the labor deal. They’ve put the kibosh on all their talk shows— old games are fun to watch, but talking hot stove transactions would be a hell of a lot better.

Figure this out people; there is NBA all spring and a spring football league is starting up that people will be glad to watch if there is no baseball.

1) We end today with a quick story:

I’m sitting in the MGM Grand sportsbook in Las Vegas during the NCAA Tournament, think it was 2010 and Northern Iowa is playing. Game is early; they weren’t even to the second TV timeout yet, and a kid on Northern Iowa makes a jumper- the three young guys to my left go nuts, start hugging each other, high 5’s and the whole deal.

I had no idea why., but they were really happy. “Is that guy your brother or something?” I ask one of them.

I didn’t know there was a “first to 15” prop bet, where you could bet on which team got to 15 points first— that jumper put Northern Iowa over 15, and they won their bet.

MGM sportsbook is very good, a fun place to watch games, plus there is Bonanno’s pizza around the corner— Bonanno’s has tremendous pizza. I highly recommend getting a skybox in the MGM sportsbook; what a great place to watch/bet on games.

MGM is where I once bet on the Seahawks, just so I could find out what it was like to root FOR Russell Wilson. He drives me nuts when he plays against the Rams, but he won me money that day, which is always a good thing.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Tokens
TORONTO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 249-216 ATS (37.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal since 1996.




NHL

Wednesday, January 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edmonton @ Toronto
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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