Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 14-4 ATS (8.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.




NHL

Tuesday, December 21


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Trend Report
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Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Vegas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay


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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 21
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TB at VEG 10:00 PM
TB +100
O 5.5

+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/21/2021..........2-0-0........100.00%.........+10.00
12/20/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
12/19/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%...........-9.75
12/18/2021..........7-3-0...........70.00%........+19.00
12/17/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%.........-13.00
12/16/2021..........7-6-0...........53.85%.........-16.25
12/15/2021..........4-1-0...........80.00%........+13.25
12/14/2021.........9-14-1..........39.58%..........-50.00
12/12/2021...........3-7-0..........30.00%..........-26.25
12/11/2021...........7-5-0..........58.33%..........+3.75
12/10/2021...........4-6-0...........42.86%.........-21.25
12/09/2021...........5-6-0...........45.45%.........-10.00
12/08/2021...........5-2-0...........71.43%.......+12.75
12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............96-80-1..........54.54%............- 48.75

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/21/2021............2-0-0...............100.00%......+10.00
12/20/2021............0-1-0................00.00%.........-5.50
12/19/2021............1-2-0................33.33%.........-6.00
12/18/2021............3-3-0................50.00%.........- 1.50
12/17/2021............1-2-0................33.00%...........-6.00
12/16/2021............3-2-0................60.00%..........+4.00
12/15/2021............2-0-0..............100.00%..........+10.00
12/14/2021............8-8-1................50.00%...........-2.75
12/12/2021............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/11/2021............3-3-0................50.00%...........+1.00
12/10/2021............3-4-0................42.85%............- 7.00
12/09/2021............2-4-0................33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021............2-1-0...............66.66%.............+4.50
12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............46-50-0...............47.91%...............-36.25


UPDATED 12/21/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

Eight teams in the USFL, which re-starts this spring:
— Birmingham Stallions
— Houston Gamblers
— Michigan Panthers
— New Jersey Generals
— New Orleans Breakers
— Philadelphia Stars
— Pittsburgh Maulers
— Tampa Bay Bandits

Quote of the Day
“I understand the job description. The job description here isn’t to be competitive or try to win more games than you lose. It’s to be the last team standing.”
Mets’ manager Buck Showalter

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Washington Football Team (Redskins) last time they won a playoff game?

Tuesday’s quiz
Oklahoma City Thunder used to be the Seattle SuperSonics.

Monday’s quiz
Formers Dodgers SS Bill Russell replaced Tommy Lasorda as manager of the Dodgers.

***********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Philadelphia 27, Washington 17:
— Washington was outgained 519-237.
— Newly-acquired QB Gilbert was 20-31/194 in his 2nd NFL start.
— Gibson gained only 65 yards on 21 touches.
— Eagles averaged 9.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Washington is 8-17-1 ATS last 26 games coming off a loss.

— Eagles turned ball over on their first two drives.
— Philly is in 3-way tie for last Wild Card slot in NFC.
— Eagles won five of last seven games (6-3-1 ATS last ten)
— Philly is first team since 1985 with 175+ rushing yards in 7 straight games.
— Eagles won seven of last eight series games (5-2-1 ATS)

12) LA Rams 20, Seattle 10:
— Rams won last three games, giving up 13.3 ppg.
— Cooper Kupp caught nine passes for 136 yards, two TD’s.
— Rams outgained Seattle, 332-214.
— LA/Arizona are tied for first place in NFC West.

— Seahawks were 3-11 on third down, Rams 6-12.
— Seattle is 5-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-8 if it doesn’t.
— Seattle lost four of its last five road games.
— First losing season since 2011 for the Seahawks.

11) Brock Huard was the analyst on the LA-Seattle game; he deserves to be one of the voices on Sunday night or Monday night NFL games. He was a quarterback; he is smart, makes his point without blabbing about himself all the time. Underrated analyst.

10) San Diego State 38, Tex-San Antonio 24:
— Aztecs racked up 31 first downs on 76 plays.
— San Diego State averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Rough end to a great season for the 12-2 Roadrunners.

9) Wyoming 52, Kent State 38:
— Wyoming QB Williams ran for 200 yards, 4 TD’s; he was 9-11/127 with a TD passing.
— Total yardage: Kent 656-531.
— This was Kent’s 2nd bowl in three years, just their 4th bowl ever.

8) I’ve heard people complain that there are too many bowls, they don’t mean much, and on and on…..the thing is, ESPN wouldn’t show so many bowl games if they didn’t make money.

Read on the Interweb few days ago that last year, 2.1M people watched the Camellia Bowl, that’s the freakin’ Camellia Bowl (Buffalo 17, Marshall 10).

People like football.

7) Davidson 79, Alabama 78:
— Davidson was 12-24 on the arc, Alabama 12-36.
— Wildcats are very well-coached; they’ve won eight games in a row.
— Alabama is 4-3 against top 100 teams.

6) Villanova 71, Xavier 58:
— Xavier led 38-30 at halftime.
— Villanova shot 62% inside the arc.
— Villanova played only six guys more than 4:00.

5) NHL players will not participate in February’s Winter Olympics in China; I’m guessing the NHL will use that time period to make up lot of the regular season games being postponed now because of COVID.

4) There is a high school in the Phoenix area called Sunnyslope High School; that just sounds good. Who wouldn’t want to go to Sunnyslope? I feel warmer just typing that.

3) I’m a firm believer that QB’s/WR’s should get stat credit for pass interference penalties; if Joe Burrow throws a 50-yard bomb to Ja’Marr Chase and they get a PI, why shouldn’t those two get stat credit (a separate category) for those yards?

2) Jets are favored at home this week, just 10th time they’ve been favored in their last 46 home games.

1) USC QB Kevon Slovis is transferring to Pitt, as the epidemic of quarterbacks transferring stays alive. Slovis threw for 7,576 yards in three years at USC; he is from Arizona- the offensive coordinator on his high school team? Pro Football Hall of Famer Kurt Warner.
 

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NHL to pause season from Wednesday through Christmas Day over COVID-19 concerns
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
— LA Rams (-3.5) @ Baltimore
— Broncos @ LA Chargers (-6)
— Texans @ San Francisco (-15)
— Lions @ Seattle (-6.5)
— Vikings @ Green Bay (-6.5)
— Browns (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“The uncertainty surrounding what the market is going to look like post-lockout is the clearest reason why some of these fringe players are going overseas.”
Unnamed baseball agent, on why some big leaguers have signed to play in Asia

Tuesday’s quiz
In the Showtime series, Ray Donovan, what famous actor plays Ray’s father?

Monday’s quiz
Bears coach Matt Nagy was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League.

Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

12) ACC plays its first bowl Tuesday, when Louisville/NC State take the field; over last two seasons, ACC teams are 4-13 SU in bowl games, 5-12 ATS (2-5 as favorites, 3-7 as dogs).

11) Last five games, Pittsburgh Steelers were outscored 97-9 in the first half.

Steelers offensive line coach Adrian Klemm left Pittsburgh to take the same job at Oregon, not exactly a positive career move, which makes you believe he was getting fired from the Steelers, so they let him leave gracefully.

10) As a basketball stats nerd, I’m a big believer that assists for 3-pointers should count as 1.5 assists, and that assist opportunities that lead to made free throws should count for half an assist apiece. Its a more accurate way of telling who the best playmakers are.

9) Nick Foles is the Bears’ 3rd-string QB, but he’s won a Super Bowl, has a 33-29 career won-lost record in the NFL. Why didn’t Chicago trade him for draft picks? Lot of teams could use him, and the Bears could sure as hell use the extra draft picks.

Think about it; how many current starting QB’s is he better than?

8) This week in the NFL, just this week, teams went for it on fourth down 54 times, getting the first down 34 times (63%).

7) NFL flip-flopped start times for two games this week; Rams-Ravens moves from 4:25 to 1:00, while Buccaneers-Panthers becomes a 4:25 game.

Does this mean Lamar Jackson isn’t going to play?

6) NFL turnover knowledge:
— Last four games, Green Bay is +9 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Raiders are minus-10 in turnovers.
— Last seven games, Kansas City is +14 in turnovers.

5) Western Michigan 52, Nevada 24:
— Broncos ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
— Total yardage was 514-242.
— MAC teams improve to 2-5 in bowls this year.
— Nevada’s coach bolted, their QB bolted; this was 31-10 at halftime.
— Favorites have rallied, are now 8-8 ATS in bowls this year.

4) Apparently the Saints called Drew Brees, Philip Rivers last week, seeing if they were interested in making a comeback. They weren’t, so Ian Book/Blake Bortles were the Saints’ QB’s Monday night.

3) LA Clippers star Paul George hurt his right elbow, is out 3-4 weeks.

2) USC is #7 in the latest college basketball poll, highest they’ve been ranked since 1975.

1) Seeing those commercials for Olympic skiing on TV, I’m reminded of the three times I went skiing in my life. I despise cold weather, hate snow; skiing wasn’t my thing, but the bar in the ski lodge was fun.

As for the actual skiing, I enjoyed the chair lift; after that, it was all downhill!!!
 

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MONTREAL is 0-8 ATS (-8.3 Units) in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

ARIZONA is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 28


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NHL

Tuesday, December 28


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Trend Report
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Montreal @ Tampa Bay
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

Vegas @ Los Angeles
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vegas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing at home against Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games

Arizona @ San Jose
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 12 games on the road
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona


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Wednesday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in touchdowns
19— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
17— Austin Ekeler, LAC
16— Joe Mixon, Cin/James Conner, Az
14— Cooper Kupp, Rams
12— Elliott Dal, Samuel SF, Harris NE
11— Cordarrelle Patterson, Atl/Mike Evans, TB

Quote of the Day
“The road to Easy Street goes through the sewer.”
John Madden

Wednesday’s quiz
Where was the first Super Bowl played?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight plays Ray’s father.

Monday’s quiz
Bears coach Matt Nagy was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Strange Stat of the Day: NFL quarterbacks who went to Notre Dame have lost their last 24 starts; last time a Notre Dame QB won an NFL game was Brady Quinn, in 2012.

12) Miami Dolphins are first NFL team ever to win seven games in a row and also lose seven games in a row, both in the same season.

11) Saw a clip on Twitter this week that showed Steph Curry making 105 three-point shots in a row, which is freakin’ impressive. He might be the greatest shooter ever.

Curry’s success has done a lot to improve basketball, making it cool for kids to work on their shooting. Passing/shooting makes for attractive basketball; the Warriors do lot of that, and now teams all over the country have been doing more of that.

10) Colts’ QB Carson Wentz isn’t vaccinated, now he has COVID and is likely to miss Sunday’s game against the Raiders. No bueno, unless you root for the Raiders.

Wentz is being paid $15.4M in base salary this year and also got a $10M signing bonus; as one of the most important people working for a franchise worth around $3B, you’d think he would get the vaccine, but no.

Getting your vaccine shots is like wearing a seat belt; you might get in a car accident, but you’re way more likely to survive it. This isn’t a political issue, it is a medical one.

Sam Ehlinger will be the Colts’ QB if Wentz doesn’t play; he’s taken 18 snaps in three games of mop-up duty, but hasn’t thrown his first NFL pass yet.

9) Boise State/Miami backed out of their bowl games, so Washington State-Central Michigan will face each other in the Sun Bowl in El Paso Saturday.

8) Air Force 31, Louisville 28:
— Air Force had TD passes of 61-64 yards, which is unlike them.
— Falcons completed 9-10 passed, for 225 yards. Go figure.
— Louisville ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
— ACC teams slip to 4-14 SU, 5-13 ATS in their last 18 bowls.
— Flyboys finish a very successful season 10-3.

7) San Diego State won its bowl game last week 38-24 over Texas-San Antonio; Aztecs’ QB Lucas Johnson threw threw for 333 yards and three TD’s. Aztecs finished the season 12-2, everyone is happy, right?

Not so much; Johnson entered the transfer portal Tuesday. Very curious where he will play his last year of college football. It just seems like teams are almost openly poaching players off of other rosters.

6) Carolina Panthers gave coach Matt Rhule $62M for seven years? Why?

Rhule went 47-43 as a college coach (Temple/Baylor); going 28-23 at Temple was impressive- they don’t win a lot at Temple. He went 1-11 his first year at Baylor, 11-3 his third/final year.

If Carolina were to fire Rhule after this season, it would be an expensive buyout, but Panthers owner David Tepper is the NFL’s wealthiest owner ($13B) so he can afford it.

5) Minnesota Vikings’ last 12 games were all decided by eight or less points.

4) When the TV show Law and Order started in 1990, the District Attorney character’s name was Adam Schiff, played by Steven Hill.

Still strikes me as weird how today, 31 years later, one of our most prominent Congressmen is also named Adam Schiff. Weird coincidence.

3) Long time ago, 2004 or so, I got to watch a Chiefs-Giants preseason game from the press box at Giants Stadium. Good way to watch a game.

Before the game, they have a free buffet for the press (yes, this website is considered press) and I was on line to eat- the Chiefs radio crew was right behind me.

I actually felt guilty that I was on line in front of Len Dawson, the Chiefs QB who led them to two of the first four Super Bowls. Not guilty enough to give up my spot on line, though.

That was a fun night; also met Dick Vermeil and Al Saunders that night; they were both coaches for the Rams when they won the Super Bowl a few years before that. All in all, a fun night.

2) If you have Showtime, Billions makes its season premiere January 23; the Ray Donovan movie premieres January 14.

1) RIP to coach John Madden, who passed away Tuesday at age 85.

Madden coached the Raiders for ten years, going 112-39-7. Oakland won Super Bowl XI over the Vikings. He was a Hall of Fame coach who became even bigger as a broadcaster and spokesman for the wildly popular video game bearing his name.

RIP, coach.
 

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NEW JERSEY is 1-17 ATS (-17.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

FLORIDA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 17-8 ATS (10.6 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 15-22 ATS (-20.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in December games in the current season.
 

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NHL

Wednesday, December 29


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Trend Report
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New Jersey @ Buffalo
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

NY Rangers @ Florida
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Nashville @ Washington
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games at home

Edmonton @ St. Louis
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Seattle
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games

Vancouver @ Anaheim
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver


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Thursday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in points by kickers:
136— Matt Gay Rams/Nick Folk, NE
124— Greg Joseph, Minn
123— Tyler Bass, Buff
122— Daniel Carlson, LV
120— Evan McPherson, Cin
118— Greg Zuerlein Dal/Jake Elliott, Phil

Quote of the Day
“I understood their (initial) decision and I respected it. I really had to sit back and think and try to not become too emotionally attached to what they were deciding to do. I had to sit down and really evaluate things and see it from their perspective, meaning the organization and my teammates……..I knew the consequences. I wasn’t prepared for them, by no stretch of imagination.”
Kyrie Irving

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Wednesday’s quiz
First Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight plays Ray’s father.

**********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Pittsburgh Steelers social media has been buzzing this week; the Steelers are 7-7-1 with two weeks left, Ben Roethlisberger looks to be retiring, things aren’t looking up in Steel City.

Some fans are clamoring for Mike Tomlin to be fired; the guy has never had a losing season. Meanwhile, Bill Cowher was inducted into the Hall of Fame last summer.

A comparison:
Bill Cowher:
regular season 149-90-1
playoffs 12-9
Super Bowl 1-1

Mike Tomlin:
regular season 152-84-2
playoffs 8-8
Super Bowl 1-1

Looks pretty similar to me.

12) Last seven weeks, teams are 7-0 SU/ATS the week after playing the Denver Broncos. Denver played the Raiders last week.

11) Oklahoma City Thunder rookie Josh Giddey had a game last week where he grabbed ten rebounds, dished out 10 assists, but didn’t score any points. None. Zero, Bupkis.

He’s the first player with a double-double on zero points since Norm Van Lier in 1971.

10) Auburn 70, LSU 55:
— First loss in 13 games for LSU.
— Auburn sprinted out to a 21-4 lead.
— LSU shot 28.6% for the game.

9) Alabama 73, Tennessee 68:
— Tennessee played without two starters.
— Teams combined to make only 14-60 3-pointers.
— Gurley scored 20 points in 32:00 off bench for Alabama.

8) Air Force 49, Utah State 47:
— Falcons were a 13-point home underdog in their Mountain West opener.
— Bad loss for 9-5 Utah State (now has losses to teams #198/#278)

7) Oklahoma 47, Oregon 32:
— Sooners led 30-3 at halftime, coasted to an easy win.

— Oklahoma ran ball for 322 yards.
— Bob Stoops’ son Drake caught a TD pass.
— Favorites have covered last nine bowl games.

6) Clemson 20, Iowa State 13:
— Clemson converted 9-18 third down plays.
— This snaps 12-game bowl losing streak for ACC teams.
— Cheez-Its make enough $$$ to sponsor a bowl? Never liked them much.

5) Maryland 54, Virginia Tech 10:
— Maryland opened scoring with a 92-yard punt return.
— Terps outscored Va Tech 30-0 in second half.
— Taulia Tagovailoa (Tua’s brother) was 20-24/265 passing.

4) NFL tidbits:
— Sam Darnold will start at QB for Carolina this week.
— Sam Ehlinger (no NFL passes) will start for the Colts if Carson Wentz doesn’t.
— Vikings’ WR Adam Thielen (ankle) is out this week.

3) I belong to AARP; you can save some money by belonging (15% off every time you eat at Denny’s, for example), so the AARP Magazine comes to my house every month.

Felt really old this week when the magazine came and Michael J Fox was on the cover; Alex Keaton is over 55 too? I think George Clooney was on last month’s cover.

Oy.

2) Former Seattle Mariners’ 3B Kyle Seager retired Wednesday; he hit 35 homers LY, knocked in 101 runs, but hit only .212, with a .285 OB%.

Seager played his entire 11-year big league career with the Mariners.

1) Sports handicapping has never been easy, but the COVID era has made it way harder; you never know who is going to play, from game-to-game. Right now, there are five NBA coaches on the COVID list.

Handicapping bowls has always been kind of random; which team is motivated to win, what players/coaches have one foot out the door to their next destination. Throw in the COVID issues and it is often a guessing game. Proceed at your own risk.
 

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FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored in the current season.

MONTREAL is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 212-248 ATS (-60.8 Units) off a road win since 1996.

VANCOUVER is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in December games in the current season.
 

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NHL

Thursday, December 30


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Montreal @ Carolina
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Nashville @ Columbus
Nashville
Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Tampa Bay @ Florida
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games at home

Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Calgary @ Seattle
Calgary
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 22 games

Vancouver @ Los Angeles
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games

Philadelphia @ San Jose
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Jose is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Philadelphia


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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in rushing yards:
1,626— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
1,159— Joe Mixon, Cin
1,143— Nick Chubb, Clev
1,067— Dalvin Cook, Minn
984— Najee Harris, Pitt
937— Derrick Henry, Tenn

Quote of the Day
“I don’t ever speak in definites or guarantees. That’s just not what I’ve ever done or who I am. But looking at the bigger picture, I would say that all signs are pointing that this could be it.”
Ben Roethlisberger, hinting at his retirement

Friday’s quiz
Who was the Steelers’ starting QB before Ben Roethlisberger?

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

Wednesday’s quiz
First Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum.

**************************************

Friday’s Den: Some suggestions to make the (sports) world better

It is easy to sit here and criticize everything, so before I sit here and criticize everything, here are some good ideas that have been put into play:

— NHL, NFL moving their drafts around the country— Anything that gets the fans closer to the league is a good thing. NHL started this; NFL kind of stumbled into it, but it helps them.

I’m guessing the NFL Draft in Las Vegas this spring should be fun.

— Hard Knocks in season— Brilliant idea they’re doing this year for the first time. The more people see behind the curtains, the better for the league’s business. Plus, the Colts are hot now, so it makes the show more interesting.

— Whoever put the TV camera in the end zone pylon deserves a raise; gives us an interesting view of the action.

— Baseball adding the Wild Card needed to happen, now they want to expand the playoffs further, maybe to 14 teams.

Why? To make more money from the networks (that’s the answer to every question)

Some suggestions to make the (sports) world a better place:
Non-sports stuff:
— More game shows, less of these BS talk shows where the hosts stage arguments so they can yell at each other. Game shows were excellent, made people at home think some.

— We need to respect each other more; just because we disagree about something doesn’t mean we have to hate each other. Agree to disagree, but maintain respect for each other. Debating stuff can be fun.

Sports stuff
Baseball

— Universal DH is a must. Why?
a) Pitchers suck at hitting
b) Pitchers get hurt hitting/running bases
c) DH’s make more $$$ than relief pitchers; the players’ union likes the DH.
d) More offense equals a more interesting game.

— Banning shifts. Why?
a) Line drives in the gap are more fun to watch than having every guy swing for the fences.
b) More balls in play equals quicker games, more action.
c) Great fielding plays make for better highlights, which attract fans.

— Allow draft picks to be traded.
a) This will give smart teams (maybe with less $$$) to outwit rich, impatient teams.
b) Gives fans/media more stuff to talk about.
c) Anything that keeps baseball in the forefront of conversation is a good thing.

— Market the game better. How?
a) Create an NFL Films-type group that produces a Hard Knocks show where we can see some of the inner workings of baseball. It would be great.
b) Imagine last cuts in spring training? Would be good television.
c) Trade negotiations at the deadline? It would be like watching Moneyball all over again.
d) Show Winter League games from Central America.
e) Get rid of all TV blackouts; you WANT people to watch baseball.

— Geographic realignment. Why?
a) Create more local rivalries— Padres TV guys were complaining that every time they visit Dodger Stadium, they pass thru Anaheim, yet they rarely play the Angels.

b) More rivalries mean bigger crowds, better TV ratings, more $$$
c) Reduce travel costs.
e) All five California teams in one division; those teams would play 119 of their 162 games in California.

— Market ALL the teams, not just New York, Boston and the Dodgers.
a) Every team has to appear on Sunday Night baseball every so often.
b) Mike Trout is really good; put the Angels on national TV more.

c) Houston/San Diego are big cities; show the Astros/Padres more on national TV.

— Make Wild Card playoffs best-of-3. One game just doesn’t cut it; you fight for six months to make the playoffs, then lose one game and you’re out. 2 out of 3 would be better, plus it gives the other playoff teams a few days to rest up for their playoffs.

— Showing games from Japan/Korea in the mornings wouldn’t be a bad idea, either.

Basketball
— Let kids go straight from high school to the NBA, the way it was when Lebron James was in high school. Kids going to college for one year is a farce.

— They’ve turned college basketball into a glorified version of AAU; players transfer at the drop of a hat. Kid at a mid-major makes two layups in a row, he wants to play in the ACC. Not too sure how to fix it, but having obvious pro prospects skip college altogether would help.

— Shorten NBA playoff series, make series best-of-5, increase the drama. Upsets now and then are a good thing, like the NCAA tournament.

— I’m curious to see how this play-in tournament is going to work. It’ll shorten the regular season by four games

— Big East should host their conference tournament at Butler’s Hinkle Fieldhouse one year, the gym where they filmed the end of Hoosiers. You have Butler in your league, take advantage of it.

Football
— No more Thursday Night Football, except for Week 1 and Thanksgiving. Instead, they should have Monday night doubleheaders, 7:00/10:30 kickoffs. It would be popular. Football wasn’t meant to be played on three days’ rest.

— Add a second bye week for each NFL team, play a 19-week schedule with 17 games, and have the Super Bowl on Sunday of Presidents’ Day weekend, when everyone is off on Monday.

— Add the AAF’s onside kick rule, when instead of an onside kick, the kicking team gets the ball on their own 35-yard line, 4th-and-15. They get the first down the keep the ball; the onside kick rule they use now isn’t good. Too hard for a recovery by the kicking team.

— If a kickoff goes thru the goal posts, the kicking team gets one point.

— Higher seed in playoffs chooses their opponent in playoffs; they do this in the G-League and it is a good idea. Would make for a good TV show when they choose their opponents.

— College football needs to change their recruiting calendars, to end the insanity of the coaching carousel before bowl season. What happened this fall was embarrassing, schools throwing $$$ at coaches, just before the early recruiting period.

Too many bowl games with lame duck coaches and quarterbacks transferring as soon as they’re not the starter anymore.

— College football playoffs should be 12 teams; cut out some of these low-level bowl games which mean nothing.

These are just suggestions, but they would improve things.
What do you think? Have any ideas?
 

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NEW JERSEY is 2-16 ATS (-15.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 11-6 ATS (10.2 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 31-18 ATS (18.9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

PETER LAVIOLETTE is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp (Coach of Washington).




NHL

Friday, December 31


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Trend Report
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Edmonton @ New Jersey
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home

Anaheim @ Vegas
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

NY Rangers @ Tampa Bay
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Rangers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Rangers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers

Washington @ Detroit
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
17,209
Tokens
Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in tackles:
170— Bobby Wagner, Sea
166— Foyesade Oluokun, Atl
155— Jordyn Brooks, Sea
148— Roquan Smith, Chi
142— C.J. Mosley, NYJ
138— Denzel Perryman, LV

Quote of the Day
“Everybody needs a passion. That’s what keeps life interesting. If you live without passion, you can go through life without leaving any footprints.”
Betty White

Saturday’s quiz
Where is the Gator Bowl football game played?

Friday’s quiz
Tommy Maddox was the Steelers’ starting QB before Ben Roethlisberger.

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

*********************************

Saturday’s Den: Happy New Year, everyone…….

13) Alabama 27, Cincinnati 6:
— Alabama had 8 of the top 38 picks in last year’s NFL Draft, but here they are again, playing for the national title. Nick Saban is the best college coach ever.
— Total yardage: Alabama 482, Cincinnati 218
— Yards rushing: 301-74. Not a fun game to watch.

12) Georgia 34, Michigan 11:
— SEC started 0-5 in bowl games, but now it is Georgia-Alabama for the national title.
— Dawgs outgained Michigan, 521-328
— Georgia converted 10-16 third down plays.

11) Wake Forest 38, Rutgers 10:
— Wake Forest is smallest school in country with a Power 5 football team.
— Last six years, Demon Deacons are 45-30 SU.
— How come no one talks about Dave Clawson for bigger $$$ jobs?

Whats the deal with starting bowl games at 11am? That means the pregame meals are at 7am, which isn’t normal. No game should start before noon, local time.

10) Central Michigan 24, Washington State 21:
— Pac-12 teams are 0-4 in bowl games this season, 4-9 ATS in last 13 bowls.
— Good TV exposure on CBS for the MAC’s Chippewas.
— It rained at the Sun Bowl, which pretty much sums up the last two years.

9) Purdue 48, Tennessee 45 OT:
— Fantastic game, probably best bowl this year, maybe best game all season.
— In a 3:23 span of 4th quarter, each team scored 14 points.
— Total yardage: Tennessee 666, Purdue 627
— Vols had 14 penalties for 128 yards.

8) Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell turned down offers to play D-III college football and walked on at Purdue; in 2017, he was the 8th-string (out of nine) QB- he played WR on the scout team.

At the start of the 2019 season, he was still only the 4th-string QB, but he didn’t transfer, he hung in there, and this year he threw for 3,712 yards, 28 TD’s. Good for him.

Reading Twitter during the 4th quarter/OT of this game was fun; everyone was watching it. Troy Aikman even tweeted about it. Purdue won the game, but both teams won, in terms of exposure and how recruits view their program.

7) Wisconsin 20, Arizona State 13:
— Badgers killed off last 9:57 of this game with a 19-play, 90-yard drive.
— Wisconsin threw only 15 passes, but averaged 9.1 yards/attempt.

6) South Carolina 38, North Carolina 21:
— Gamecocks had TD passes of 69-66 yards in first 7:15 of this game.
— Total yardage: 543-333, South Carolina.
— UNC began season as a top 10 team; they finish season 6-7.

5) Am reading a book written by Chris Andrews, who runs the sportsbook at SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas; two years ago, when 49ers-Chiefs played in Super Bowl, when SouthPoint posted the props for the game, not the spread but the props, they took $150,000 in action in the first 25 minutes after they were posted. People love prop bets.

4) Was watching the East Tennessee-Chattanooga basketball game Thursday night; it was weird, the voice on the game was a split-second ahead of the picture. Announcer would say a shot was good, before it went thru the hoop on the screen.

3) RIP Betty White, who passed away Friday at age 99, three weeks before her 100th birthday.

Betty White had a great career; she danced on a TV show in Los Angeles in freakin’ 1939!!! In the 70’s, she was a co-star on the Mary Tyler Moore show. She was in a bunch of shows after that; she is the oldest person ever to host Saturday Night Live.

Betty White was funny as hell when women on TV weren’t expected to be funny; in real life, she was married to game show host Allen Ludden, who hosted Password. She was actually in the Odd Couple episode where Felix/Oscar are on Password; they lost to Betty and her partner.

RIP ma’am.

2) Rams’ WR Cooper Kupp played I-AA football at Eastern Washington; he comes from a football background; his dad was a QB who was drafted by the Giants in the 5th round of the 1990 Draft- he got into one NFL game, going 3-7 for 23 yards for the Cardinals in a 1991 game.

Kupp’s grandfather played 11 years as a lineman in the NFL, for the Saints/Cowboys.

1) I hope all of you have a Happy New Year; 2021 was better than 2020 (it didn’t take much); hopefully 2022 will be a lot better than both those years. Thanks for reading.
 

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Messages
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BUFFALO is 5-28 ATS (-20.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 2-13 ATS (-11.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (6.2 Units) in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 2-12 ATS (-11.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

OTTAWA is 10-8 ATS (12.8 Units) against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 0-5 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 2-11 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 70-88 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
 

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