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SUNDAY, OCTOBER 31
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SAC at DAL 03:30 PM
SAC +4.5
U 218.0
+500 +500

POR at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA +1.5
U 230.5

+500 +500

UTA at MIL 07:00 PM
UTA -2.0
U 224.5

+500 +500

DET at BK 07:30 PM
BK -12.0
U 212.5
+500 +500

HOU at LAL 10:30 PM
LAL -11.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER NBA OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

10/31/2021.......7-3-0.......70.00%.....+18.50
10/30/2021.....7-15-0.......31.82%.......-47.50
10/29/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%......+17.50
10/28/2021.......4-6-0.......40.00%.......-13.00
10/27/2021.....6-14-0.......30.00%.......-47.00
10/26/2021.......2-7-1.......25.00%.......-28.50
10/25/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%........-8.00
10/24/2021.......4-2-0.......66.66%.......+9.00
10/23/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%.........-8.50
10/22/2021.......5-5-0.......50.00%........- 2.50
10/21/2021.......2-3-0.......40.00%........- 6.50
10/20/2021.....13-8-1.......61.90%.......+21.00
10/19/2021......1-3-0 .......25.00%........-11.50

TOTALS.........71-84-1........45.80%........-108.00


BEST BETS:

10/31/2021.......5-2-0.......71.42%........+14.00
10/30/2021.......1-9-0.......10.00%.........-41.50
10/29/2021.......8-2-0........80.00%.......+29.00
10/28/2021.......3-5-0........37.50...........-12.50
10/27/2021.......3-8-0........27.27%........-27.50
10/26/2021.......2-3-1........40.00%..........-6.50
10/25/2021.......3-3-0........50.00%.........- 1.50
10/24/2021.......2-2-0........50.00%.........- 1.00
10/23/2021.......1-5-0........16.66%........-.22.50
10/22/2021.......3-4-0........42.85%..........- 7.00
10/21/2021.......3-2-0........60.00%.........+ 4.00
10/20/2021.......8-3-0........72.72%........+23.50
10/19/2021.......1-2-0........33.33%..........- 6.00

TOTALS..........43-50-1.......46.23%.........- 55.50

UPDATED 10/31/2021
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— TCU/football coach Gary Patterson parted ways after 20 years.
— Patterson went 181-79 at TCU; they played in the 2011 Rose Bowl.
— Jazz 107, Bucks 95— Donovan Mitchell scored 28 for 5-1 Utah.
— Charlotte 125, Portland 113—LaMelo Ball had 25 points, 9 rebounds, 7 assists.
— Dallas 105, Sacramento 99- Luka Doncic had 23 points, 8 rebounds, 10 assists.
— NFL trade deadline is Tuesday; could be an interesting day.

Quote of the Day
“It is not who you play, it is when you play them.”
Bud Grant, talking about the NFL schedule

Monday’s quiz
Which former NFL coach, who coached in the Super Bowl, also played in the NBA?

Sunday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was managing the Giants in 2002, last time he managed in a World Series.

Saturday’s quiz
Brian Bosworth plays the sheriff in Dr Pepper commercials that are on TV all day during college football games.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

NJ Jets 34, Cincinnati 31:

— Cincinnati lost despite 12-yard edge in field position. .
— First time this year Bengals didn’t have had TD play of 31+ yards.
— Bengals averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of last 5 games.
— Bengals are 0-6 ATS in last six series games in Garden State.

— Jets scored two TD’s 0:49 late in 4th quarter for the win.
— Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards in his first NFL start.
— Last three years, Jets are 10-6 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four Jet games went over the total.

Tennessee 34, Indianapolis 31, OT:
— Titans scored defensive TD with 1:26 left in regulation to take lead.
— Tennessee won/covered six of last seven games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Titans gave up 27+ points in five of eight games (over 5-3).
— Over is 15-5 in Tennessee’s last 20 road games.
— Titans are 3-0 ATS in last three visits to Indianapolis.

— Colts scored TD with 0:22 left to send game to OT
— Wentz threw INT’s on two of Indy’s last four drives.
— Colts led 14-0 with 7:44 left in first quarter.
— Indy held star RB Henry to 68 yards on 28 carries.
— Last six years, Colts are 7-11-1 ATS in AFC South home games.

Buffalo 26, Miami 11:
— Miami lost last six games, giving up 31.7 ppg.
— Miami has given up 45 plays of 20+ yards, has only 26 themselves.
— Since 2012, Miami is 10-19 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Orchard Park.

— Bills’ first seven drives: 28 plays, 101 yards, 3 points.
— Bills’ last four drives: 39 plays, 219 yards, 23 points.
— Bills are 7-2 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
— Last five games, Bills are +13 in turnovers.
— Allen scored TD with 1:07 left to cover the spread.

Carolina 19, Atlanta 13:
— Carolina had no TD’s, kicked four FG’s on first seven drives.
— Gonzalez kicked FG’s of 57-51 yards.
— Under Rhule, Panthers are 9-3 ATS on the road.
— Carolina converted 10-17 on third down, Atlanta 3-10.

— Falcons were outgained 332-213; Carolina ran 72 plays, Atlanta 50.
— Atlanta is 0-3 SU at home, losing to Philly/Washington/Carolina.
— Atlanta is 2-8 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Last 3+ years, Atlanta is 10-16 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Philadelphia 44, Detroit 6:
— Eagles ran ball for 236 yards, threw only 16 passes.
— Philly went 3/out on first drive, scored on last seven drives.
— NFC East teams are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional road games.
— Eagles were favored for first time this season.

— Last six games, Lions were outscored 81-22 in first half.
— Detroit gave up at least 7.1 yards/pass attempt in every game.
— Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLWL vs spread.
— Since 2015, Detroit is 11-21 ATS as home underdogs.

LA Rams 38, Houston 22:
— Total yardage in first half: Rams 286, Houston 92
— Game was 38-0 after three quarters.
— Rams won last four games, scoring 32.5 ppg.
— Over is 6-2 in Rams’ games this year.

— Texans lost last seven games, giving up 31.4 ppg.
— Last five games, Texans are minus-8 in turnovers (3-11)
— They need to trade QB Watson for a lot of draft picks.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 10-23 ATS so far this season.
— First-time head coaches are 20-29 ATS this season.

Pittsburgh 15, Cleveland 10:
— Game was 3-3 at halftime.
— Pitt had TD drives of 78-83 yards in second half.
— Five of six Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Last five years, Steelers are 12-4 ATS as road underdogs.

— Last four games, Browns were outscored 74-36 in 2nd half.
— Browns converted 3-10 on 3rd down, 0-2 on 4th down.
— Cleveland is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Last eight years, Cleveland is 6-16 ATS in AFC North home games.

San Francisco 33, Chicago 22:
— 49ers never punted; scored 3 TDs, went 4-5 on field goals.
— 49ers averaged 11.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Last three years, 49ers are 13-7 ATS on road.
— NFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-3 ATS, 5-3 on road.

— Fields ran ball for 103 yards, threw for only 175.
— Chicago threw for more than 4.8 yards/attempt once in eight games.
— Chicago has been outscored 113-55 in second half of games.
— Chicago allowed 34-26-24-38-33 in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— All five of their losses this year are by 10+ points.

Seattle 31, Jacksonville 7:
— Jaguars lost 21 of their last 22 games.
— Jaguars didn’t have a play longer than 17 yards.
— Somehow, Jacksonville outgained Seahawks, 309-229
— Last 2+ years, Jacksonville is 13-20 ATS as underdogs.
— Jaguars converted 26 of last 81 third down plays.

— Seattle had 12-yard edge in field position, ran onside kick back for TD.
— Seahawks had ball four times in first half: two TD’s and a field goal.
— Last four years, Seattle is 12-9-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Seattle has 37 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 24.

New England 27, LA Chargers 24:
— NE scored TD on first drive; had 4 FG’s on 9 drives rest of game.
— Patriots had 17-yard edge in field position, plus a defensive score.
— Last four Patriot games went over the total.
— New England scored 33.8 ppg last four games, after 17.8 ppg in first four.

— Leading 17-16, Herbert threw pick-6 with 10:11 left in game.
— Chargers first 3 drives: 19 plays, 184 yards, 14 points.
— Chargers last 9 drives: 39 plays, 172 yards, 7 points.
— Third down conversions: NE 9-19, Chargers 4-12.

Denver 17, Washington 10:
— Washington had 2 FG’s blocked, had 2 other dry trips to red zone.
— Washington lost five of its last six games.
— Washington has covered once in eight games this year.
— Washington had ball on Denver 24 in last 1:00, failed to score.
— Last 2+ years, Washington is 8-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.

— Denver snaps a four-game losing skid.
— Three of their four wins were against a rookie or backup QB.
— Denver gave up 13 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
— 3rd down conversions: Denver 7-13, Washington 5-14.
— Six of eight Denver games stayed under the total.

New Orleans 36, Tampa Bay 27:
— Tampa Bay was minus-3 in turnovers; Brady threw a pick-6.
— Brady also threw for 375 yards, four TD’s.
— Bucs threw 41 passes, ran ball only 14 times.
— Bucs converted 8-13 on third down; Saints 5-14.
— Penalties: Tampa Bay 11-99, New Orleans 2-10

— Winston got hurt; 3rd-stringer Siemian is now Saints’ QB.
— Saints blew 23-7 lead, then scored 10 points in last 1:41 for the win.
— New Orleans won four of its last five games overall.
— Underdogs won/covered five of their seven games.
— Under Payton, Saints are 10-3-1 ATS as home underdogs.

Dallas 20, Minnesota 16:
— QB Cooper Rush wins his first NFL start (in his 4th year)
— Rush threw for 325 yards, two TD’s.
— Dallas is 7-0 ATS; their only loss was 31-29 at Tampa in Week 1.
— Cowboys lead NFC East by 3.5 games.
— Dallas is 12-4 ATS in last sixteen post-bye games.

— Minnesota has been outscored 60-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— 3rd down conversions: Dallas 7-14, Vikings 1-13
— Vikings scored TD on their first drive; it was their only TD.
— Four of Vikings’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Minnesota is 10-13 last 23 games with spread of 3 or less points.
 

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CLEVELAND is 10-34 ATS (-27.4 Units) after scoring 100 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 15-0 ATS (15 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Monday, November 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ Charlotte
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

San Antonio @ Indiana
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Antonio

Portland @ Philadelphia
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Portland is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

Chicago @ Boston
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Toronto @ New York
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Denver @ Memphis
Denver
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

Orlando @ Minnesota
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma City's last 24 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Toronto has won three straight games.
New York has covered the spread in four of its last six games.
New York has gone OVER the point total in four of its last six games.
 

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Hoop Trends for Monday, November 1
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Cleveland at Charlotte (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 7-0 ATS since Mar. 24 as a favorite of at least four points facing a team that was an underdog last game.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chicago at Boston (NBA League Pass, 7:30 p.m. ET)

-- Celtics are 0-7 OU since Jan. 30, 2013 with less than seven days of rest coming off a game that went to at least double overtime.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: San Antonio at Indiana (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 11-0 ATS since Nov. 27, 2017 when they're not a double-digit favorite coming off a game where they scored no more than 105 points and commutted at least 18 turnovers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SA at IND 07:00 PM

SA +2.5
U 216.0
+500 +500

CLE at CHA 07:00 PM

CHA -5.0
+500

WAS at ATL 07:30 PM

O 223.0
+500

CHI at BOS 07:30 PM

U 215.5
+500

TOR at NY 07:30 PM

O 208.0
+500

ORL at MIN 08:00 PM

ORL +9.0
+500

DEN at MEM 08:00 PM

U 213.0
+500
 

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NOVEMBER NBA OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:


BEST BETS:

11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:


UPDATED 11/01/2021
 

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ArmadilloSports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

College football conference trends:
AAC— Home teams are 17-6 ATS
Big 14— Road teams are 21-13 ATS
Big X— Favorites are 16-9 ATS
C-USA— Favorites are 18-10 ATS
MAC— Home favorites of more than 7 points are 0-8 ATS
Sun Belt— Home teams are 17-6 ATS

Quote of the Day
“We’re in the season now. We’ll do recruiting after the season – when it gets to recruiting time we can talk about recruiting.”
Florida football coach Dan Mullen

Tuesday’s quiz
Which two coaches won a Super Bowl coaching the Chiefs?

Monday’s quiz
Bud Grant coached the Vikings for 18 years; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers (1949-51), scooting 2.6 ppg.

Sunday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was managing the Giants in 2002, last time he managed in a World Series.


Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..plus NHL trends

13) Kansas City 20, NY Giants 17:
— Chiefs kicked 34-yard FG with 1:07 left for winning score.
— Giants have been outscored 61-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 23-8 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog.
— penalties: Giants 10-88, Chiefs 12-103

— Chiefs are 0-4 ATS at home this season.
— KC has only two TD’s on its last 18 drives.
— Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last seven games (-13)
— KC has 29 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 38.

12) What have you done for me lately?

TCU fires Gary Patterson? Why? Patterson is the winningest coach in TCU history (181-79), one of the greatest defensive minds of the modern era, creating a defense that was effective at shutting down air raid-type offenses that are so popular now.

“We’re with you win or tie, but we’re not that crazy about ties”

Thats basically how these programs act; Texas/Oklahoma are bolting for the SEC, so schools like TCU, Texas Tech will slide down the national ladder- they’re desperate for attention so they can recruit the better players in talent-rich Texas. Players win games, no doubt about that.

Would enjoy hearing Patterson as a TV analyst; am guessing he has a lot to say.

11) Four teams in AFC South have played 20 non-divisional games this season; they’ve been the underdog in 18 of those 20 games.

10) Jets QB Mike White threw for 405 yards, three TD’s in his first NFL start Sunday; he is the first QB since 1950 to throw for 400+ yards, 3+ TD’s in his first NFL start. Is the Jets QB of the future White or Zach Wilson? Jets could rake in some draft capital by trading the other one, and there are teams who desperately need a quarterback moving forward.

9) With 4:30 left Saturday night., Ole Miss is trailing Auburn 31-20; they have 4th down around the Auburn 18 or 20 yard line. They’re down 11 points, they need two scores. Kick the FG.

But Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin doesn’t think the way most people think; he goes for the first down and eventual TD, instead of the easy FG- they don’t get the first down, and the game was essentially over right there and then.

8) Ole Miss plays Liberty this week; visiting Flames are 7-2, led by former Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze, who went 42-26 in five years coaching the Rebels, winning the 2015 Sugar Bowl.

Freeze wound up quitting at Ole Miss because he used his school-issued cellphone to call escort services. Lesson of the Day, kids: if you’re going to call an escort service, use your own phone, not the one your employer is paying for.

7) NFL updates:
— Titans RB Derrick Henry (foot) is out 6-10 weeks.
— Saints QB Jameis Winston tore his ACL, is out for the year.
— Rams traded 2nd/3rd round picks to Denver, for LB Von Miller.

6) 27-year old WR Cyril Grayson caught a TD pass for Tampa Bay Sunday; he never played college football, he was a track sprinter at LSU. Grayson has bounced around NFL practice squads the last four years; he caught 8 TD passes as a senior in high school— Sunday was his first touchdown since then.

5) Cooper Rush was the winning QB for Dallas in Minnesota Sunday night; he is making $920,000 this year to be the Cowboys’ backup QB. Kirk Cousins is making $31M from the Vikings this season.

4) 68 teams have been up 3-2 in a World Series; those teams are 45-23 in those series.

3) Alabama has been one of the dominant teams in college football for a while now, but Sunday was Nick Saban’s 70th birthday; good luck to the athletic director who has to pick the coach who takes Saban’s place- that will likely happen sooner than later. Schools will start using Saban’s age against him in recruiting; similar thing happened to Bear Bryant back in the day.

He is such an excellent coach; the guy who replaces him has huge shoes to fill.

2) Late Saturday night, BYU beat Virginia 66-49; game ended at 1:55am here in the East. Cavaliers led this game 42-38 at halftime.

Virginia QB Armstrong, who has thrown for 3,557 yards, 27 TD’s this year, left this game late with an apparent rib injury. Cavaliers have this week off, host Notre Dame November 13.

1) RIP to former big league 2B Jerry Remy, who passed away this week at age 68. Remy had cancer for several years; he hit .275 in a 10-year playing career for Angels/Red Sox.

After his playing days, Remy gained notoriety as a TV analyst on Red Sox games; the team of Remy and play-by-play guy Don Orsillo was television gold- they were so great together, lot of laughter and good natured banter. RIP, sir.
 

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MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after a win in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last ...

LA LAKERS are 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 2







NBA

Tuesday, November 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Detroit
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Miami @ Dallas
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Sacramento @ Utah
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 12 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento

New Orleans @ Phoenix
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games

Houston @ LA Lakers
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Dallas has gone UNDER the point total in six straight games.
Miami has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
Miami has won 16 of its last 20 games when facing Dallas.
The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.

Phoenix has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games.
New Orleans has lost 10 of its last 11 games.
The point total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.
Phoenix has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing New Orleans
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 2
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIL at DET 07:00 PM
MIL -4.5
U 212.5

+500 +500

MIA at DAL 07:30 PM
MIA -2.5
U 209.5

+500 +500

SAC at UTA 09:00 PM
SAC +9.0
U 222.0

+500 +500

NO at PHO 10:00 PM
NO +11.0
U 214.5
+500 +500

HOU at LAL 10:30 PM
LAL -10.0
U 219.0
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NBA OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%..........-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:...............9-9-0..........50.00%..........-4.50


BEST BETS:

11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:...............9-7-0..........56.25%.........=6.50


UPDATED 11/01/2021
 

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ArmadilloSports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— Wake Forest @ North Carolina (-2)
— Liberty @ Ole Miss (-9.5)
— Baylor (-6.5) @ TCU
— USC @ Arizona State (-8)
— Mississippi State @ Arkansas (-5)
— SMU (-5.5) @ Memphis

Quote of the Day
“My mother always used to say: ‘The older you get, the better you get, unless you’re a banana.’”
Betty White

Wednesday’s quiz
Hank Stram won a Super Bowl with the Chiefs; which team did he coach after he left Kansas City?

Tuesday’s quiz
Hank Stram, Andy Reid are the two coaches won a Super Bowl coaching the Chiefs.

Monday’s quiz
Bud Grant coached the Vikings for 18 years; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers (1949-51), scooting 2.6 ppg.

********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….plus NBA trends

13) Two separate questions, not necessarily the same answer.

— Who is the best QB in NFL history?
— Which QB in NFL history has accomplished the most?

— Undoubtedly, Tom Brady has accomplished the most of any QB ever; seven Super Bowl titles, 600+ TD passes, you know the drill. His resume is indeed the best ever.
— But if they had a draft of every NFL player ever, with every player in his prime (real football, not fantasy football) who would you take first? Brady? Elway? Marino? Montana? Joe Pisarcik?

Lot easier to play QB now; they can’t get hit very much. Guys long time ago got pummeled by defenders, which is why careers were shorter. It is an interesting debate, for sure.

Myself, Elway would be my pick in that draft.

12) College football loses me a little with how they choose their playoff system with a poll; there is no way on God’s green earth that Cincinnati is the #6 team in the country, but money talks, so Alabama is #2, even with a loss. Oregon is #4, with a loss

11) Knicks played Toronto Tuesday nite, a commemoration of the NBA’s first-ever game 75 years ago. Knicks beat the Toronto Huskies 68-66 that night.

Back when I actually had a job, I worked for the Division of Criminal Justice for NY State; at one point, we had a deputy commissioner named Paul Schectman. Never met the guy, but saw him around the building— he is a lawyer in New York City now.

Turns out that his dad, Ossie Schectman, played in that New York-Toronto game, the first game in NBA history; he scored 11 points for the Knicks.

I remember someone telling me that way back when; I was skeptical, but it is true, Must be cool to be a part of history like that.

10) Russell Wilson had the pin removed from his injured finger, hopes to play next week, when the Seahawks visit Lambeau Field. Wilson played his senior year of college at Wisconsin.

9) Los Angeles Rams haven’t had a first-round draft pick since 2016; they don’t have another one until 2024- they trade draft picks to acquire proven, veteran players.

Rams only have four selections for the 2022 Draft, though they’ll pick up compensatory picks when guys like Von Miller move on in free agency. Interesting plan; they’ve had four winning seasons in a row, going on five, so it is working.

Used to know a guy who mocked me because I love to watch the draft; not sure why he cared what I did, but for some reason it bugged him. NFL is a multi-billion dollar business, and there are many different ways to approach it. Guess that is why it is so interesting to me.

8) Atlanta Hawks/Washington Wizards combined to go 45-45 on the foul lime the other night, only third time that has happened, with both teams taking 10+ shots, and making them all.

Shooting is in vogue in the NBA now, thanks in large part to the Curry/Thompson Warriors, and that is a good thing.

7) Circa Casino in Las Vegas has a survivor pool; pick one team a week, as long as they win, you stay in— think you can only pick the same team once a year.

There are 1,188 people left in the Circa pool; 871 people bit the dust when the Bengals lost in New Jersey Sunday. Lot of money at stake, interesting contest.

6) San Diego Padres starting playing baseball in 1969; Bob Melvin will be their 22nd manager. During that same time, Pittsburgh Steelers have had three head coaches.

5) At one point in 2007, Kirk Cousins, Nick Foles, Brian Hoyer were all QB’s at Michigan State; 14 years later, all three of them are still in the NFL. Foles wound up transferring to Arizona; hard to believe he didn’t get traded this week. He is better than some QB’s who are starting.

4) In a perfect world, the NFL would have no taunting penalties. None. Ever. Just run the play clock as soon as each play ends; if guys show off too much and their team gets a delay of game penalty, their coach will take care of it.

3) Minnesota Gophers are 6-2 this season, winning their last four games since they lost 14-10 at home to Bowling Green, as a 30-point favorite. Minnesota ran ball for 634 yards in their last two games. Good coaching job by PJ Fleck, keeping his team on track after such a hideous loss.

2) Mississippi State football coach Mike Leach went off on a tangent about Halloween candy last week (he doesn’t like candy corn); it led to an extended debate about everyone’s likes/dislike about candy, which was great. Good natured banter; we agreed to disagree.

Healthy debate without the hate; we need more of that in our world.

1) Braves 7, Astros 0:
— Atlanta win its first World Series since 1995.
— Fried threw six shutout innings.
— Soler, Swanson, Freeman homered for the Braves.

NBA trends (thru Tuesday’s games, except Hst-LAL)

Hawks (4-3)
:
— 3-0 ATS at home, 0-4 on road.
— Under 3-1 on road.

Celtics (2-5):
— Lost last three games.
— Over 3-1 last four games.
— Over 3-1 on road.
— 0-3 ATS as home favorite.
— 2-0 ATS as road favorite.

Nets (4-3):
— won three of last four games.
— Under 7-0
— 2-3 ATS at home
— All three losses by 13+ points.

Hornets (5-3):
— 2-3 in last five games
— Over 6-2, 4-0 at home
— 3-1 ATS on road.

Bulls (6-1):
— 4-1 ATS as a favorite.
— 3-1 ATS at home, 3-0 ATS on road.
— Under 3-1 at home

Cavaliers (4-4):
— Won four of last six games.
— Five of last six games stayed under.
— 5-1 ATS last six games, all as underdog.

Mavericks (4-3):
— Under 6-1
— Won three of four home games (1-3 ATS)

Nuggets (4-3):
— Under 6-1
— 1-2 ATS at home, 2-2 on road.

Pistons (1-6):
— 1-4 ATS on road.
— Four road losses are all by 15+ points.
— 1-4 ATS as an underdog.

Warriors (5-1):
— Last five games stayed under.
— Only loss was in OT to Memphis
— 1-2 ATS at home, 2-1 on road.

Rockets (1-5):
— Lost their last four games.
— Under 6-0
— 1-2 ATS at home, 2-1 on road.

Pacers (2-6):
— Over 3-1 on road, 1-3 at home
— 2-1 as home favorite, 0-2 as road favorite.
— Have three losses by 3 or less points.
— 1-3 ATS on road.

Clippers (2-4):
— 1-3 ATS at home.
— Under 5-1
— 1-3 ATS as favorite, 1-1 as underdog.

Lakers (2-3):
— won four of last five games
— under 3-1 last four at home
— 1-4 ATS at home.
— over 2-0 on road

Grizzlies (4-3):
— under 3-1 last four
— 5-2 ATS, 3-1 as road underdog.

Heat (6-1):
— won last five games
— under 4-2 last six games.
— 3-0 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— Only loss was in OT.
— Home wins by 42-17-15 points.

Bucks (4-4):
— lost 3 of last 4 games.
— won last three road games
— lost last three home games
— under 5-0 last five games

Timberwolves (3-3):
— lost three of last four games.
— under 6-0
— 1-4 ATS as favorite, 1-0 as underdog.

Pelicans (1-7):
— lost last four games
— 2-2 ATS home underdog, 2-2 road dog.
— under 3-1 on road

Knicks (5-2):
— won three of last four games.
— 2-1 ATS at home, 2-2 on road.
— over 5-2

Thunder (1-6):
— 2-1 ATS at home, 1-3 on road.
— under 4-0 on road, 1-2 at home

Magic (1-4):
— 0-2 ATS at home, 3-3 on road.
— over 6-2
— 0-2 ATS if they played night before

76ers (5-2):
— won last three games
— under 5-2
— 3-1 ATS when favored, 1-2 as underdog.

Suns (3-3):
— 1-3 ATS at home, 1-1 on road
— under 5-1, 4-0 at home

Trailblazers (3-4):
— 3-1 ATS at home, 0-3 on road.
— under 4-1 last five

Kings (3-4):
— 0-2 SU at home, 3-2 SU on road.
— under 4-2 last six games.

Spurs (2-5):
— lost five of last six games
— over 3-0 at home, 1-3 on road.

Raptors (5-3):
— won last four games (3-1 ATS)
— 1-4 ATS at home, 3-0 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games

Jazz (6-1):
— 2-1 ATS at home, 3-1 on road
— under 6-1
— only loss 107-99 at Chicago

Wizards (3-1):
— won three of last four games
— over last three games
— 3-0 ATS at home, 2-2 on road
 
Last edited:

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CLEVELAND is 17-44 ATS (-31.4 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a home underdog in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 113-79 ATS (26.1 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games since 1996.

ATLANTA is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 47-29 ATS (15.1 Units) in road games in road games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 305-255 ATS (24.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1996.

CHARLOTTE is 34-19 ATS (13.1 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Messages
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NBA

Wednesday, November 3


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Trend Report

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Portland @ Cleveland
Portland
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games

Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

New York @ Indiana
New York
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against New York
Indiana is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Boston @ Orlando
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Chicago @ Philadelphia
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Atlanta @ Brooklyn
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 14 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

Denver @ Memphis
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games
Memphis
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver

LA Clippers @ Minnesota
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games

Dallas @ San Antonio
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Dallas

Charlotte @ Golden State
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Charlotte

New Orleans @ Sacramento
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 15 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing New Orleans


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Brooklyn has gone UNDER the point total in seven straight games.
Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in four straight road games.


Charlotte has covered the spread in three of its last four road games.
Charlotte has gone OVER the point total in six of its last eight games.
Golden State has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
Golden State has won five of its last six games.
 

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