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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

National leaders in 2-point FG%:
62.8%- Gonzaga
60.9%- Belmont
59.6%- Wake Forest
58.9%- Oklahoma
58.9%- Vermont
57.4%- Wyoming

Quote of the Day
“(Dan Quinn) stays here because … every one of those three coaches have said they’d love to be the head coach of the Cowboys. Every one. Every one. So my point is that has, in my mind, a lot of logic as to why they might not take a job now rather than … wait and see how the cards go in the future………Mike (McCarthy) knows that someday, somebody other than him will be coach of the Cowboys,”
Jerry Jones

Saturday’s quiz
What actress played Joe Pesci’s girlfriend in My Cousin Vinny?

Friday’s quiz
Long time ago, Sacramento Kings were the Cincinnati Royals.

Thursday’s quiz
Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.

******************************

Saturday’s Den: Some random thoughts, and some college hoop trends

— Was watching the Australian Open tennis tournament couple weeks ago, and was reminded of something I witnessed several years ago.

This was 2007, 2008, something like that; I’m sitting at a hotel pool outside by myself, reading a college football magazine. There are two people in the pool, a couple that was close enough that I could hear their conversation.

They weren’t boyfriend/girlfriend; the guy was a tennis coach in Florida who was trying to convince the woman to send her tennis-playing teenage daughter to the guy’s tennis academy in Florida. This was in Saratoga, NY, so long haul for the kid to go to school in Florida.

They didn’t know/care that I could hear what they were saying- the daughter was hitting tennis balls off the board on the courts behind the hotel. Always wonder how all that played out, if the young lady wound up playing college tennis.

— Was watching a high school hoop game Thursday, IMG Academy in Florida against some team from California. Juwan Howard’s son plays for IMG; Howard is Michigan’s coach, so the kid is a long way from his family. I’m not a parent, so I’m not qualified to judge, but tough thing for a kid that young to go off by himself, especially since if he is really good at basketball, he is probably going to play for Michigan anyway, seeing how did dad is the coach there.

— We’ll be posting some prop bets for the Super Bowl early next week; prop bets became popular in the late 80’s/90’s, when over a 16-year stretch, only three Super Bowls were decided by less than 10 points. To make things more interesting for bettors, they came up with prop bets so you can have action, even if the game isn’t so great.

— One of the more interesting teams to follow the rest of the way in college hoop is Marquette, which is 16-7 in their first year under Shaka Smart- they’re experience team #350- 7 of their top 10 players are freshman, but they’re really good, fun to watch.

Here’s the thing: Smart’s VCU team got to the Final Four in 2011 as an 11-seed out of the CAA, making Smart a household name in his 2nd year as a head coach, but since then, his teams are 2-7 in NCAA tournament games- his last tournament win was in 2013, so there’s that. Smart lost his last five first round games; they were the higher seed four times.

— Just found out about this; there is an app called Cameo, where you can access thousands of celebrities and request a personalized video message for any occasion.

I’m talking just about anyone; lot of these people I’ve never heard of, but for a certain fee, they will send someone a personalized message.

Here are some prices:
— Bill Russell (the basketball legend) $650
— Jamie Farr (from MASH) $125
— John Calipari $399
— Loni Anderson (from WKRP in Cincinnati) $125

Imagine getting paid to make a 90-second clip to send to someone you don’t even know? Pretty good racket.

— Auburn’s football team has had 20 players, five assistant coaches leave since the end of their season; word came out this week that the head coach had a fling with a female assistant, so there are rumors that the coach could get fired, but they owe him $18.5M if they fire him, and having an affair isn’t going to let the school fire him for cause.

They already paid Gus Malzahn $21M to take a hike couple years ago, so if they fire this guy, they’d be paying two guys $40M NOT to coach for them.

— I’m assuming there is going to be a baseball season, so I’ve been listening to podcasts trying to get ready for the fantasy baseball season. Owners/players can’t seem to agree on what day it is, though, so spring training will probably be delayed. These people are not geniuses.

Listening to the podcast has been fun; there are several good players who are free agents, so have to speculate on their status— Kris Bryant, Nick Castellanos, Michael Conforto, Clayton Kershaw, Carlos Correa to name a few.

— San Francisco Dons haven’t been to the NCAA tournament since 1998; they haven’t won a tournament game since 1976, but they might get there this year. They’re 18-5, 5-3 in WCC, with some quality wins, fun team to watch- they pass well.

Finally, here are some trends for college basketball teams:

American:

UCF

— 0-3 ATS as an underdog, 4-3 as favorite.
Cincinnati
— 0-2 ATS as road favorite, 2-0 as road underdog
— 2-2 as home favorite.

East Carolina
— Lost last five games
— 1-0 ATS as favorite, 4-4 as underdog.

Houston
— 8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS, 2-2 home and away
— Favored by 11+ points in 7 of 8 games

Memphis
— 1-6 ATS last seven games.
— 1-6 ATS when favored, 0-3 as AF

South Florida
— 2-6 ATS
— Lost last four games SU
— 1-4 ATS as road underdog

SMU
— won last five games
— 4-1 ATS on road, 1-2 as home favorite.

Temple
— won five of last six games
— 6-1 ATS last seven games
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog.

Tulane
— 4-1 ATS as road underdog.
— 2-0-1 ATS when favored

Tulsa
— 1-8 SU in AAC
— 1-3 ATS as road underdogs.

Wichita State
— 1-0-1 ATS as underdog
— 2-3 as HF

ACC

Boston College

— 1-4 ATS last five games as an underdog.

Clemson
— 2-2 ATS home favorite, 3-3 road underdog.
— covered last three games

Duke
— 3-3 ATS home favorite, 3-1 road favorite
— 5-2 ATS last seven games.

Florida State
— lost last three games, by 14-13-11
— 0-6 ATS as favorite, 0-4 as home favorite

Georgia Tech
— lost four of last five games
— 1-4-1 ATS as a home underdog, 2-2 as road dog.

Louisville
— lost seven of last eight games
— 1-3 ATS as an underdog
— 1-6 ATS at home

Miami
— 5-2 ATS last seven games
— covered all four road games
— 4-0 ATS as an underdog

North Carolina
— 4-1 ATS as home favorite.
— 3-2 ATS as road favorite.

NC State
— lost five of last six games
— 2-4 ATS road underdog

Notre Dame
— won eight of last ten games
— 2-0-1 ATS home favorite
— 3-0 ATS road underdog

Pitt
— lost four of last five games
— 2-4 ATS road underdog
— 3-1 ATS home underdog

Syracuse
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog

Virginia
— 3-1 ATS last four home games

Virginia Tech
— 1-4 ATS home favorite
— 1-3 ATS road underdog.

Wake Forest
— covered five of last six games
— 4-1 ATS home favorite
— 3-1 ATS road underdog

Big 14

Illinois

— 4-2-1 ATS home favorite

Indiana
— won four of last five games
— 4-1 ATS home favorite
— 1-4 ATS on road

Iowa
— lost three of last four games
— lost four of five road games SU

Maryland
— 6-3 ATS as an underdog, 0-2 as a favorite

Michigan
— won four of last five games SU
— 1-3 ATS home favorite

Michigan State
— 2-3 ATS home favorite, 2-1 road favorite, 2-0 underdog

Minnesota
— lost seven of last eight games SU
— 0-5 ATS home underdog, 3-1 road underdog

Nebraska
— 0-11 SU in conference
— 3-3 ATS home underdog, 2-3 road underdog

Northwestern
— lost eight of last ten games
— 0-5-1 ATS at home, 3-2 on road

Ohio State
— split last six games SU
— 4-2 ATS as a favorite

Penn State
— 1-4 ATS as road underdog.

Purdue
— won last four games
— 2-3 ATS home favorite, 4-2 road favorite

Rutgers
— 4-0 ATS home underdog, 2-3 road underdog.

Wisconsin
— 5-3 ATS when favored
 

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ORLANDO is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) as a home underdog in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.




NBA

Saturday, February 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis @ Orlando
Memphis
Memphis is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

Phoenix @ Washington
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Washington
Phoenix is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

Miami @ Charlotte
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

New York @ LA Lakers
New York
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing New York
LA Lakers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Milwaukee @ Portland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home


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The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against the Lakers.
The total has gone OVER in ten of the last 15 Lakers' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Knicks' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between the Knicks and Lakers.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 5


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Hoop Trends for Saturday, February 5
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: New York at L.A. Lakers (ABC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 9-0 ATS since February 27 when the total is over 209 and they allowed at least 118 points last game.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Milwaukee at Portland (NBA League Pass, 10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 9-0 OU since November 28, 2017 with 2+ days rest against an unrested team that is not on a 5+ game losing streak.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Miami at Charlotte (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 9-0 OU since April 14 when they had at least 12 steals last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Hitters who hit the most home runs with Joe West as the umpire:
76- Barry Bonds
70- Dale Murphy
60- Mike Schmidt
55- Andres Galarraga
50- Jack Clark
49- Matt Williams

Quote of the Day
“No, I was never offered money like Brian (Flores) had mentioned. I think this is a totally different situation but has some similarities……..When you talk about incentivizing a four-year plan that led to the team not being able to play as well, that people benefited off of that — that’s different. But at the same time, it has some of the same similarities to it.”
Former Cleveland Browns coach Hue Jackson

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Dave, which fine actor played the President of the United States?

Saturday’s quiz
Marisa Tomei played Joe Pesci’s girlfriend in My Cousin Vinny.

Friday’s quiz
Long time ago, Sacramento Kings were the Cincinnati Royals.

********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday……..

13) Pac-12:
— Arizona State 87, UCLA 84 3OT— Bruins get swept on their Arizona trip.
— Arizona 72, USC 63— Arizona outscored Trojans 18-4 over final 6:38.
— Colorado 86, Oregon State 63— Beavers were in Elite 8 LY; they’re 3-17 TY.
— Arizona leads Pac-12 by two games in loss column.

12) Big X:
— Kansas 83, Baylor 59— Jayhawks won seven of their last eight games.
— Texas Tech 60, West Virginia 53— WVU has lost seven in a row; they’re #351 team on defensive boards. What would their record be if they still had Oscar Tshiebwe?
— Kansas has a 2-game lead, over Baylor/Texas Tech.

11) SEC:
— Auburn 74, Georgia 72— Tigers blew 15-point lead, scored last 4 points of game.
— Kentucky xx, Alabama xx— At one point, Alabama went 8:29 without a basket.
— Vanderbilt 75, LSU 66— Tigers lost six of last seven games.
— Auburn leads Kentucky by couple games.

10) Big 14:
— Rutgers 84, Michigan State 63— Knights shot 72% inside arc. Spartans split their last six games.
— Purdue 82, Michigan 76— Wolverines are 5-6 in last 11 games.
— Wisconsin 51, Penn State 49— Last two games, Badgers are 9-45 on arc.
— Illinois leads Purdue/Wisconsin by a game.

9) ACC:
— Duke 87, North Carolina 67— UNC’s last three losses were all by 20+ points.
— Wake Foresr 68, Florida State 60— Deacons start four seniors.
— Notre Dame 69, NC State 57— Notre Dame won 12 of last 14 games.
— Duke leads Notre Dame by a half-game, Wake Forest by a game (two in L column)

8) Big East:
— Villanova 85, UConn 74— Wildcats scored 1.27 ppp after trailing 5-0.
— Villanova star Gillespie hurt his ankle, is having x-rays Sunday.
— DePaul 69, Xavier 65— Musketeers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
— Providence has 2-game lead in loss column atop Big East standings.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— DePaul (+13.5) 69, Xavier 65
— NC-Greensboro (+10.5) 58, Furman 56
— Arizona State (+10) 87, UCLA 84, 3OT
— Idaho State (+9.5) 86, Montana 63
— Missouri (+8) 70, Texas A&M 66
— Penn (+7.5) 73, Cornell 68
— UMass (+7) 78, Rhode Island 67
— Montana State (+6.5) 78, Weber State 57
— Northeastern (+5) 58, Towson State 53

6) Big Sky
— Weber State/Montana both got upset.
— Southern Utah 84, Eastern Washington 72— SUU was down 17-4 early.
— Weber, Montana State, Southern Utah are all tied in loss column

5) Big West:
— Irvine 75, CSUN 70— Anteaters won their last four games.
— Fullerton 75, Bakersfield 61— Titans won eight of last nine games.
— Fullerton/Long Beach are tied for first at 7-1

4) Atlantic-14:
— Saint Louis 72, Dayton 61— Billikens win their fifth straight game.
— UMass 78, Rhode Island 67— UMass is shooting 39.6% on arc, #5 in country.
— Davidson leads Saint Louis by a game, Dayton/VCU by two games.

3) Missouri Valley:
— Northern Iowa 74, Drake 69 OT— Third OT game in last five Drake games.
— Valparaiso 79, Indiana State 72, 2OT— Valpo shot 59% inside arc.
— There are rumors that 5-16 Evansville will be firing its coach soon.
— Loyola is 8-2 atop MVC, game ahead of three others in loss column.

2) Conference USA:
— UAB 97, Middle Tennessee 75— Blazers won nine of their last 11 games.
— Texas-El Paso 72, Rice 70— Miners have won six games in a row.
— North Texas leads one division at 9-1; FAU (7-3) leads the other one.

1) Last time a Pac-12 team won the national title was Arizona, in 1997. Last time a Big 14 team won the national was Michigan State, in 2000.
 

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DETROIT is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 80-43 ATS (32.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.

BOSTON is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in the current season.

HOUSTON is 8-31 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season...
 

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NBA

Sunday, February 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Brooklyn @ Denver
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 13 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games when playing Brooklyn

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Cleveland
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Dallas
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

Boston @ Orlando
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

New Orleans @ Houston
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games at home

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Hawks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games.
The Mavericks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 matchups against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 Hawks' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Mavericks' games.


The Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
The Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight matchups against the Clippers.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten Clippers' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between the Bucks and Clippers.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

Six top prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks:
1) Cprbin Carroll, OF
2) Jordan Lawlar, SS
3) Alek Thomas, OF
4) Geraldo Perdomo, SS
5) Blake Walston, P
6) Ryne Nelson, P

Quote of the Day
” … It was like, ‘Well if I can get a swing on it and I can hit it then why would I take a drop?’ You’re never over … a 65-foot cliff. So it’s an unusual situation, normally if you’re walking into a hazard, you see a ball, you hit it out. [Caddie] Michael [Greller] hated it. He tried to talk me out of it three times. I don’t blame him, looking back. I’m just glad I made the par to make it worth it because I don’t think I would have made par with a drop, but if I made bogey it would have really not been worth it”
Jordan Spieth, after hitting a shot from an awkward lie on Saturday

Monday’s quiz
In the last ten NCAA tournaments, how many times has Gonzaga been a #1-seed?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Dave, Kevin Kline played the President of the United States.

Saturday’s quiz
Marisa Tomei played Joe Pesci’s girlfriend in My Cousin Vinny.

***************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Selection Sunday is only five weeks away; lot of studying to do between now and then (and packing for my first vacation in 2.5 years!!!). Anyway, the biggest question I have right now is, how good is Gonzaga?

— Gonzaga is 19-2, 8-0 in WCC; their three road wins in WCC were by 32-30-33 points.
— Beat Texas by 12, UCLA by 20, Texas Tech by 14; lost to Duke, Alabama.
— Zags are shooting 62.7% inside the arc, 37.9% on the arc.
— They defend well without forcing lot of turnovers; they gave up 84-91 points in the losses.

WCC is the #9 conference right now; some good teams, but it ain’t the SEC or Big X.

One of the many things we’ll be following the next few weeks.

12) USC basketball coach Andy Enfield played college ball a D-III Johns Hopkins; in his career, he made 431 of 466 free throws, which is 92.5%, the best %age ever.

Must be frustrating this year; Enfield was a great shooter, is a really good shooting coach, but this year’s Trojans are shooting 63.7% on the foul line, 351st out of 358 D-I teams.

11) People bust on the Rams because they trade all their first-round draft picks (for proven stars) but when you draft well and develop players, the system works.
— Nick Scott, starting safety— 7th round draft pick in 2019
— Travin Howard, starting LB— 7th round draft pick in 2018
— Kendall Blanton, tight end— undrafted free agent in 2019

Having a great GM is just as important as having a great coach; Rams have both, with Les Snead and Sean McVay.

10) Nuggets 124, Nets 104:
— Nikola Jokic had a triple-double, his 14th this season, 71st of his career, only six behind the great Wilt Chamberlain on that list. If you’re mentioned in the same sentence as Wilt, you’re pretty damn good.

Meanwhile, Nets have lost eight games in a row, are 2-9 without Kevin Durant in lineup.

9) Staying in Denver, Denver Broncos are for sale— guy who is a financial advisor for Denver in the deal is Steve Greenberg, son of baseball Hall of Famer Hank Greenberg.

Steve Greenberg was Fay Vincent’s deputy commissioner 30 years ago; he was instrumental in Denver getting a baseball expansion team (Colorado Rockies).

8) Los Angeles Clippers have won nine games this year when trailing by 10+ points; they’ve won four games after trailing by 20+, which is most in the NBA.
— Good news- They’re spunky and competitive
— Bad news- They fall behind a lot.

7) In the last few weeks, Michigan’s football coach tried pretty hard to become an NFL head coach; they’ve lost their offensive coordinator, and this weekend, they lost their defensive coordinator. Not a good sign for the Wolverines’ immediate future.

6) Niagara 80, Iona 71— Gaels’ first loss in 12 MAAC games. Better now than in March; they’ll need to win the MAAC tournament to get into March Madness for sixth straight time.

5) Loyola Chi 71, Missouri State 62:
— Loyola held Isiaih Mosley to 12 points; he had 40 in their first meeting.
— Ramblers lead MVC by game over Northern Iowa/Drake.

4) Wyoming 61, Fresno State 59:
— Cowboys won 4th game in row; they’re 10-1 in last 11 games.
— Wyoming’s last five wins were all by 7 or less points.

3) Providence 71, Georgetown 52:
— Hoyas led 30-27 at halftime.
— Friars won seven in row, 15 of last 16 games.
— Georgetown has lost 11 games in a row; no idea where they’ll turn for a head coach if they decide to fire Patrick Ewing, the best player in Georgetown history. Hoyas are a mess, and are 26-54 in Big East games under Ewing.

2) Miami Dolphins hired Yale graduate Mike McDaniel as their new head coach; he comes from the 49ers, he has a 15-year coaching resume, but was 49ers’ OC for only one year.

Nine head coach openings; seven have been filled, all by Caucasians, as NFL teams give the middle finger to Brian Flores and his lawsuit. Saints/Texans are the last two teams with a head coach opening. Roger Goodell’s press conference this week should be very interesting if neither one of those teams hire a minority head coach.

1) August 1, 1986, the first time I ever stepped foot inside a casino. Pretty good day; I was visiting my sister in Los Angeles and we drove thru the desert to Las Vegas, where it was 112 degrees when we showed up. Stepped into a sportsbook and my head was spinning; sports/numbers are my thing. This was heaven on earth.

I go up to the counter to bet on the Mets, who were playing the Montreal Expos- can’t remember who was pitching for the Mets, but Floyd Youmans was pitching for Montreal. Give the guy my bet and he is smiling:

“Great pick buddy, but the game started 90 minutes ago.”

I had forgotten to set my watch to the western time zone; game was in the 5th inning.

Whoops.
 

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CHARLOTTE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus horrible offensive teams - scoring <=104 points/game in the current season.




NBA

Monday, February 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Charlotte
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home

Miami @ Washington
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

Phoenix @ Chicago
Phoenix
Phoenix is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home

Golden State @ Oklahoma City
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oklahoma City's last 16 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

New York @ Utah
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New York

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The Suns are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Bulls are 4-6 ATS in their last ten matchups against Phoenix.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last ten Suns' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six matchups between Chicago and Phoenix.
 

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MONDAY, FEBRUARY 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MIA at WAS 07:00 PM
MIA -6.0
+500

TOR at CHA 07:00 PM
TOR -1.0
+500

GS at OKC 08:00 PM
GS -12.5
+500

PHO at CHI 08:00 PM
PHO -8.0
+500

NY at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -8.0
O 218.5
+500 +500
 

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FEBRUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS!

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

02/07/2022...............3-3-0............50.00%..................-1.50
02/04/2022...............9-8-1............52.94%.................+1.00
02/03/2022...............5-7-0............41.67%.................-13.50
02/02/2022...............7-8-2............47.06%...................-9.00
02/01/2022...............8-6-0............57.14%..................+7.00

TOTALS..................29-29-3............50.00%%...............-14.50


BEST BETS:

02/07/2022.............2-2-0..............50.00%..................-1.00
02/04/2022.............6 -5-0.............54.54%..................+2.50
02/03/2022.............3 -4 -0............42.85%...................-7.00
02/02/2022............12-11-0............52.17%...................-0.50
02/01/2022...............5-4-0.............55.55%.................+3.00

TOTALS..................28-26-0............51.85%..................-3.00


UPDATED 02/07/22
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

— Houston Texans are expected to name Lovie Smith their new coach.
— New Orleans Saints are expected to name Dennis Allen their new coach.
— Virginia 69, Duke 68— Cavaliers were +10 in turnovers (5-15)
— Texas 79, Kansas 76— Texas outscored Kansas 7-0 in last minute.
— Montana State 72, Idaho State 53— Bobcats have won nine in a row.
— Tennessee’s 3rd-leading scorer, Oliver Nkamhoua, is out for year (ankle)

Quote of the Day
“It’s all over the place. It can get hot because we’re passionate about this. I’m passionate about finding a way to address the issues, and I’m passionate about the sport. If that means someone raises their voice or uses a word that is four letters long, so be it. But ultimately we’re meeting, we’re talking. Sometimes it’s prettier than others.”
Pitcher Andrew Miller, talking about the MLB labor negotiations

Tuesday’s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played college football for which school?

Monday’s quiz
In last ten NCAA tournaments, Gonzaga has been a #1-seed four times.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Dave, Kevin Kline played the President of the United States.

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Sampling of Super Bowl prop bets

Keep in mind, the menu of prop bets put out by the Westgate SuperBook is 40-45 pages. Ton of stuff, traditional bets and weird stuff. Lot of action.

13) Rams are -4.5, with total of 48.5

Money line is Rams -200, Bengals +175

12) Over/under for Rams’ points: 26.5, Bengals 21.5.

11) Will either team score three straight times?
Yes -190. No +170

10) What will happen first, a touchdown (-125) or a sack (-105)?

9) Will either team score in first 6:30 of the game?
Yes even, No -120

8) Will either team score in last 2:00 of first half?
Yes -310, No +260

7) Will either team score in last 3:30 of game?
Yes -165, No +145

6) Longest touchdown of the game: 42.5 yards (-110 both ways)

5) Will there be a lead change in 4th quarter?
Yes +250, No -300

4) Longest made field goal of game: 46.5 yards (-110 both ways)

3) Distance of the first touchdown of the game: 7.5 yards (-110 both ways)

2) Largest lead of game, by either team: 14.5 points (-110 both ways

1) Passing yards for Matthew Stafford: 285.5 yards

Again, you can bet on just about anything Sunday; over/under on the length of the national anthem, to start with. Just about anything.

Be careful with your money, please.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread since 1996.

ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 55-38 ATS (13.2 Units) vs. losing teams in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

NEW YORK is 52-33 ATS (15.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 19-40 ATS (-25 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Tuesday, February 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Philadelphia
Phoenix
Phoenix is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Phoenix is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Phoenix

Indiana @ Atlanta
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Boston @ Brooklyn
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
Memphis
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Houston @ New Orleans
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games

Detroit @ Dallas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Detroit is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Dallas's last 20 games at home
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

New York @ Denver
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

Milwaukee @ LA Lakers
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Sacramento
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Orlando @ Portland
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Orlando


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last eight Celtics' games.
The Nets are 8-1 ATS in their last nine matchups against Boston.
The Celtics are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The Nets are 1-7 ATS on their last eight games.


The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Bucks' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight matchups between the Lakers and Bucks.
 

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