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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 11
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ORL at LAC 03:30 PM
LAC -8.5
U 214.0

+500 +500

UTA at WAS 07:00 PM
UTA -6.5
U 220.5

+500 +500

SAC at CLE 08:00 PM
CLE -6.0
+500

DEN at SA 08:30 PM
SA +1.0
+500

GS at PHI 08:30 PM
GS -3.0
U 212.5

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............54-64-1...........45.76%............-93.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............32-51-0................38.55%..........-120.50


UPDATED 12/11/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

Some interesting bowl spreads:
— Texas A&M -7 vs Wake Forest
— Miami -2.5 vs Washington State
— Penn State -2 vs Arkansas
— Ohio State -6.5 vs Utah
— Baylor -1.5 vs Ole Miss
— Kansas State -1.5 vs LSU

Quote of the Day
“Don’t walk in front of me, I may not follow.
Don’t walk behind me, I may not lead.
Walk beside me, and be my friend.”
Albert Camus

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Casino, what famous comedian played one of Robert DeNiro’s henchmen?

Saturday’s quiz
Chris Paul played his college basketball at Wake Forest.

Friday’s quiz
Minnesota Vikings have played in four Super Bowls; Fran Tarkenton started three of them; Joe Kapp started the other game, Super Bowl IV

**********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday……..

Big day of college basketball today; there is lot of stuff going on all over the country. We’re trying to learn as much as possible, as we head towards the holidays.

13) Arizona 83, Illinois 79:
— These teams could see each other again in Final Four.
— Lot of runs by both teams; a plus-minus chart would be interesting.
— Illinois played six guys 10:00+; Arizona only played eight guys total.
— Illinois was 16-36 on arc; they led by 13 in first half.

12) Minnesota 75, Michigan 65:
— Minnesota’s subs play fewest minutes in country- Gophers are 8-1.
— Michigan shot 62% inside arc, 3-18 on arc.
— Minnesota hired Ben Johnson March 22; at that time, they had one player— everyone else hit the transfer portal.

11) Colorado State 66, Mississippi State 63:
— If you had the Rams being one of the last seven unbeaten teams in the country, then go buy a freakin’ lottery ticket.
— Miss State led this game by 7 with 6:25 left to play.
— Colorado State is shooting 43.8% on arc, best in country- they were 11-26 in this game.
— Rams are #17 continuity team in country, which is fueling their hot start.

10) Eastern Michigan 92, Florida International 88, 4OT’s:
— FIU led by 13 points with 7:20 left in regulation.
— Foul shots: EMU 24-40, FIU 10-18.
— FIU had four guys play 44:00+, including two subs.

9) Xavier 83, Cincinnati 63:
— Surprisingly easy win in this crosstown rivalry.
— Musketeers were up 15 at half; they outscored Cincy 28-12 on foul line.
— Xavier is 9-1, with four top 100 wins.

8) TCU 68, Texas A&M 64:
— Aggies went 8-18 on foul line; not good.
— TCU blew 12-point first half lead, but they’re 8-1 now.
— Horned Frogs won their fifth straight game.

7) Navy 17, Army 13:
— Middies (+7) post the upset, holding Army to 196 rushing yards, which isn’t a lot for them.
—This game stayed under the total for the 16th year in a row- total was only 34.

6) Georgetown 79, Syracuse 75:
— Syracuse is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’ve played the #16 schedule in country so far, which is very unlike them.
— Orange has the #236 eFG% defense in country, which isn’t good.
— Syracuse subs played a total of 19:00 in this game.

5) South Dakota State 77, Washington State 74:
— Jackrabbits get an impressive upset on the road- they were 10-16 on arc.
— Wazzu was 9-35 on arc- they lost three of last five games, after a 5-0 start.
— Big win for the Summit League; games like this help a league’s profile.

4) Notre Dame 66, Kentucky 62:
— Kentucky is 0-2 away from Rupp Arena; they were 2-19 on arc.
— Wildcats led 52-48 with 8:15 left in game.
— Notre Dame had lost its previous four D-I games.

3) Oregon Ducks hired 35-year old Dan Lanning as their new head coach; he had been the DC at Georgia. Lanning will stay with Georgia thru the national playoffs, which seems like a bad idea, seeing how his replacements are already on Georgia’s staff.

2) Penn State hired former Miami head coach Manny Diaz as their new DC; one of the quirks of the coaching carousel is this: Had Mario Cristobal stayed in Oregon, Diaz would still be Miami’s head coach and Penn State would be hiring a different defensive coordinator.

1) Alabama 83, Houston 82:
— Last game of day was one of the best; very intense.
— Alabama outscored Houston 24-11 on foul line.
— Crimson Tide shot 59% inside the arc.
 

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NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games after allowing 95 points or less in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Sunday, December 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 18 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Brooklyn @ Detroit
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Dallas

New Orleans @ San Antonio
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Minnesota @ Portland
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Portland is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Orlando @ LA Lakers
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 12


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Hoop Trends for Sunday, December 12
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Orlando at L.A. Lakers (NBA League Pass, 9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 0-13 ATS since March 20 coming off a double-digit win.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Minnesota at Portland (NBA League Pass, 9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 9-0 OU since May playing with at least two days rest.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Milwaukee at New York (NBA League Pass, 12:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-9 ATS since January 10 as a home dog of more than 2 points.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 12
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

BK at DET 06:00 PM
DET +7.0
U 211.5
+500 +500

DAL at OKC 07:00 PM
DAL -4.0
U 207.5
+500 +500

NO at SA 07:00 PM
NO +2.0
U 220.5

+500 +500

MIN at POR 09:00 PM
MIN +1.5
O 222.0

+500 +500

ORL at LAL 09:30 PM
ORL +10.0
U 220.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............60-68-1...........46.87%............-85.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............36-54-0................40.00%..........-117.00


UPDATED 12/12/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Chiefs -3.5 @ Chargers
— Raiders @ Cleveland -6.5
— Patriots @ Indianapolis -2
— Washington @ Philadelphia -4
— Jets @ Miami -8.5
— Dallas -10.5 @ Giants

Quote of the Day
“The best way to teach your kids about taxes is by eating 30 percent of their ice cream.”
Bill Murray

Monday’s quiz
Which four colleges has Urban Meyer coached?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Casino, Don Rickles played one of Robert DeNiro’s henchmen.

Saturday’s quiz
Chris Paul played his college basketball at Wake Forest.

************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cleveland 24, Baltimore 22:

— Lamar Jackson hurt his ankle on first play of 2nd quarter, didn’t return.
— Down 24-6 at half, Ravens had ball at midfield at end, with chance to win.
— Ravens were 1-12 on third down, Cleveland 6-13.
— Last five weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.

— Cleveland’s first four drives: 28 plays, 210 yards, 12 first downs, 17 points.
— Browns ran fumble back for TD in last minute of first half.
— Almost an epic collapse by the Browns; they led 24-3 at one point.
— Just fifth win for Browns in last 27 games vs Baltimore.

Dallas 27, Washington 20:
— Cowboys led this game 24-0 at halftime.
— Dallas had one offensive TD, on a 41-yard drive.
— Cowboys had a defensive TD that made score 18-0.
— Last 10 years, Dallas is 17-11 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Cowboys covered five of last seven visits here.

— Heinicke hurt his knee in 4th quarter, Chad Allen was QB at end.
— Washington had 34 total yards, 4 first downs in first half.
— Washington had 4 turnovers, converted 3-14 on third down.
— Washington is 4-10 ATS in last 14 NFC East home tilts.

Kansas City 48, Las Vegas 9:
— Chiefs ran fumble in for a TD on first play of the game.
— Raiders’ first six drives: 4 first downs, 3 turnovers, no points.
— Raiders lost five of last six games, outscored 102-54 in second half.
— Raiders converted only 22 of last 80 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.

— Chiefs won last five games, giving up 10.8 ppg.
— Chiefs outscored foes 91-16 in first half of those games.
— Kansas City is 7-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 15 takeaways in last four games (+11)
— Kansas City won 15 of last 18 series games.

New Orleans 30, NJ Jets 9:
— Saints end their five-game losing skid.
— New Orleans ran ball for 203 yards
— Saints are 18-8 ATS last 26 games as road favorites.
— New Orleans is 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games vs AFC opponents.

— Jets lost five of their last six games.
— Jets gave up 34.4 ppg in their last eight games.
— Jets have been outscored 223-89 in first half this season.
— Jets are 15-26 ATS last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Last eight games, Jets are minus-11 in turnovers

Tennessee 20, Jacksonville 0:
— Jaguars lost five in row, 26 of their last 28 games.
— Jacksonville has eight losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 67 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-19 in turnovers (5-24)
— Jaguars are 8-17-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.
— Last five games, Jacksonville was outscored 103-28 in first half.
— 12 of their last 13 games stayed under the total.

— Tennessee had four INT’s, was +4 in turnovers.
— Jaguars ran ball eight times for 8 yards. For the whole game.
— Tennessee won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Nashville.

Atlanta 29, Carolina 21:
— Atlanta took lead for good on a pick-6 in second quarter.
— Falcons had 10-yard edge in field position.
— Atlanta is 5-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-5 if it gives up 26+.
— Falcons led eight of last 11 games at halftime.

— Carolina lost eight of last ten games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-8 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers are 7-13 ATS last 20 games as home favorites.
— Falcons are 5-1 ATS in last six visits to Charlotte.
— Last four Carolina games went over the total.

Seattle 33, Houston 13:
— Seahawks ran for 193 yards, threw for 260.
— Seahawks averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Seattle was 7-13 on third down, Houston 3-13.
— Seattle is 5-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn’t.

— Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
— Game was 16-13 at halftime; Houston was blanked in 2nd half.
— Fairbairn kicked a 61-yard FG.
— Texans are 6-11 ATS last 17 games as home underdogs.
— Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games coming off a loss.

San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 23 OT
— 49ers led 20-6 with 10:00 left in game.
— Kittle caught 13 passes for 151 yards and a TD.
— Last five games, 49ers outscored opponents 95-51 in first half.
— 49ers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Last four games, 49ers are +7 in turnovers (11-4).

— Bengals had TD drives of 87-66 yards in 4th quarter, to force OT.
— Chase caught TD passes of 17-32 yards to end those drives.
— SF drove 75 yards in seven plays for TD after Cincy kicked FG in OT
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 otherwise.
— Bengals lost four of last six games, after a 5-2 start.

Tampa Bay 33, Buffalo 27, OT
— Tampa Bay led 24-3 at halftime.
— Buffalo scored 17 points in last 9:07 to force OT.
— Perriman caught 58-yard TD pass from Brady to end game.
— Bills converted 2-13 on third down, Tampa Bay 8-16.
— Buccaneers are 8-3-1 as home favorites with Brady at QB.

— Bucs’ first five drives: 40 plays, 301 yards, 24 points.
— Bucs in rest of regulation: 31 plays, 121 yards, 3 points.
— Buffalo ran for 173 yards (9.1 yards/carry)
— Bills’ only 3/out the whole game was their one drive in OT.
— Buffalo QB Allen was wearing walking boot after game, will have MRI Monday.

Denver 38, Detroit 10:
— Detroit had 7 practice squad guys active, due to COVID issues.
— Lions were minus-2 in turnovers, averaged 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Detroit scored TD, kicked FG on its first three drives.
— Lions’ last six drives: 42 plays, 181 yards, no points.

— Denver ran for 184 yards, converted 8-12 on third down.
— Broncos were perfect in red zone (35 points/five drives)
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-5 if it doesn’t.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.8 ppg in losses.

LA Chargers 37, NY Giants 21:
— Giants have been outscored 81-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
— Last four games, Giants scored five TD’s on 42 drives.
— Giants trailed 37-7 with 5:00 left, scored two TD’s in garbage time.

— First nine drives, Chargers scored four TD’s, kicked three FG’s.
— LA outgained Giants 423-316, averaged 8.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Chargers converted 25 of last 52 third down plays.
— Over is 4-1 in Chargers’ last five home games.
— LA is 6-1 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.

Green Bay 45, Chicago 30:
— Bears led this game 27-21 at halftime.
— Bears in 2nd half: 26 plays, 81 yards, 3 points.
— Chicago had TD plays of 46-54 yards, had 97-yard punt return for TD.
— Chicago lost seven of last eight games (1-7 ATS)
— Bears are 5-11 ATS in last sixteen road games.

— Packers’ last six drives: 39 plays, 295 yards, 31 points.
— Green Bay scored on pick-6 in 2nd quarter, to go up 14-10.
— Green Bay is 15-6 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Packers won/covered all six home games TY.
— Green Bay is 8-1-1 ATS this season, coming off a win.
 

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CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.

INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Monday, December 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami @ Cleveland
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Golden State @ Indiana
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games

Sacramento @ Toronto
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

Milwaukee @ Boston
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Boston
Milwaukee is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

Houston @ Atlanta
Houston
Houston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

Philadelphia @ Memphis
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Charlotte @ Dallas
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Washington @ Denver
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Phoenix
Phoenix is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Phoenix
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Golden State has won 13 of its last 14 games when facing a team with a losing record.
Golden State has covered the spread in nine straight games when facing the Central Division.
Golden State has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last nine games.
 

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Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games.
Phoenix has won 19 straight games when playing as the favorite.
Phoenix has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 13
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


HOU at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -10.0
O 226.5
+500 +500

MIL at BOS 07:30 PM
MIL +1.0
U 222.5

+500 +500

PHI at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM +4.0
U 210.0

+500 +500

CHA at DAL 08:30 PM
CHA +2.5
O 216.0

+500 +500

WAS at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -3.5
U 215.5
+500 +500

PHO at LAC 10:30 PM
PHO -2.5
O 211.5

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............64-73-3...........46.71%............-91.80


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............39-60-1................39.39%%..........-135.00


UPDATED 12/13/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Week 15 NFL spreads:
— Packers -4.5 @ Baltimore
— Titans -2 @ Pittsburgh
— Texans @ Jacksonville -3
— Falcons @ San Francisco -8.5
— Bengals @ Denver 1.5
— Vikings -3.5 @ Chicago

Quote of the Day
“That’s not a part of my job to worry about that. I play football. Guys in this locker room have done a great job of staying focused. I hate to even say that when we played like that because it doesn’t look like it, but really we’ve got a great locker room and everyone’s stayed together and stayed focused. We’re all just doing whatever we can to go try to win some games.”
Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence

Tuesday’s quiz
Paul Giamatti is one of the stars of the Showtime series Billions; what was his late father very famous for?

Monday’s quiz
Urban Meyer was head coach at Bowling Green, Utah, Florida, Ohio State.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Casino, Don Rickles played one of Robert DeNiro’s henchmen.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) LA Rams 30, Arizona 23:
— Rams were missing five starters (COVID)
— Kupp caught 13 passes for 123 yards.
— Beckham caught six passes for 77 yards.
— Jefferson caught a 52-yard TD; his father is Arizona’s WR coach.
— Under McVay, LA is 7-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Murray threw for 383 yards, ran for 61 more, but threw two INTs.
— Arizona had two empty trips to the red zone.
— Cardinals are 7-0 SU on road, only 3-3 at home.
— Rams won ten of last 11 series games.
— LA covered its last seven visits to Arizona.

12) Was watching Houston-Alabama college basketball game the other night; #13 on Houston was getting lot of rebounds (he wound up with 13), but the TV analyst said something I’ve never heard before on a broadcast.

During a break in play, one of the refs came over to the TV table and asked how many rebounds number 13 on Houston had. Is he supposed to be thinking about that?

The game had a controversial ending on a goaltending (non-) call; Alabama won by a point; the Houston coaches turned a trash can over on the way off the floor, and tossed some folding chairs, creating a mess in one corner of the arena.

On his way to the locker room, one of the Houston players picked up the chairs, put the trash back in the trash can, and made himself a star on social media. Good for him.

11) NFL trends:
— Last three games, Steelers were outscored 61-6 in first half.
— Last three games, Houston was outscored 44-0 in second half.

10) SEC has six basketball teams in the nation’s top 25; unusual for them. kenpom.com has the SEC as the #3 conference this season, their highest ranking since 2007.

9) Arizona Wildcats are off to a 9-0 start, a top 10 team under first-year head coach Tommy Lloyd; they have eight foreigners on their squad.

Do teams with lot of foreigners (Saint Mary’s fits into this category) play better on the road, since so many of their players are so far from home anyway? Just wondering.

8) FOX analyst Mark Schlereth was working an NFL game Sunday; he doesn’t like flea flickers- one teams ran three of them Sunday and Schlereth wasn’t having it. He was a lineman in his playing days, so he prefers smashmouth football to trickery.

7) Buffalo Bills have seven wins by 15+ points, but they’re 0-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.

6) Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert is the first QB ever to have 30+ touchdown passes in his first two seasons in the NFL.

5) Have been hearing lot of rumbling about Chicago Bears’ coach Matt Nagy, so I looked up some numbers:
— Bears under Nagy: 32-29, two playoff berths.
— Bears in the four years before Nagy: 19-45

This will the Chicago’s first losing season under Nagy; they’ve started a rookie QB in nine of their 13 games (2-7).

Too much change can be a bad thing. Bears dumped Lovie Smith; he went 29-19 in his last three years as head coach, then they missed the playoffs the next five years, until Nagy got them there.

That said, maybe the guy who drafted Mitch Trubisky instead of Patrick Mahomes should be nervous about his job— he is still the Bears’ GM.

4) Chicago Bulls’ next two games have been postponed; ten Bulls are on the COVID list.

3) College quarterbacks in the transfer portal:
— Oklahoma’s Spencer Rattler- transferred to South Carolina
— USC’s Kevon Slovis
— Auburn’s Bo Nix

2) Eddie George ran for 10,441 yards in NFL career, scoring 78 touchdowns; these days, he is the head coach at Tennessee State. His defensive coordinator at Tennessee State is Brandon Fisher, whose father Jeff was George’s coach with the Titans.

Tennessee State’s tight ends coach is Cody Harkey, who played tight end for the Rams for five years under Jeff Fisher.

1) I’m flipping channels the other day, and there is a chess tournament on; when I was in junior high, I loved chess, was halfway decent at it. Chess does not make for good TV, but it is a very interesting game.

By the way, there is a chess app on my phone now, and I pretty much suck at it. Apparently I was much smarter when I was 12.
 

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GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the current season.

TORONTO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 14


CM6LHVX.png





NBA

Tuesday, December 14

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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Brooklyn
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Brooklyn is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

Golden State @ New York
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 10 games on the road
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games

Phoenix @ Portland
Phoenix
Phoenix is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Portland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Phoenix


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Warriors are 1-4 ATS across the last five games.
The Knicks are 1-5 ATS across the last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Warriors' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven Knicks' games.


The Blazers are 1-4 ATS across the last five games.
The Suns are 1-4 ATS across the last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Blazers' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four straight Suns' games.
 

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Hoop Trends for Tuesday, December 14
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Golden State at New York (TNT, 7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-10 ATS since January 10 as a home dog of more than 2 points.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Golden State at New York (TNT, 7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-7 OU since January 2020 when they are not 13+ point dogs and are coming off a home loss by at least 15 points. These have gone under by 23.9 ppg.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Phoenix at Portland (TNT, 10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 7-0 ATS since 2013-14 as a home dog of less than seven points when they scored more than 95 points last game and are facing an unrested team.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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