January 1st
Iowa Team Total over 13.5 (-140), 1*
Washington +4 (-110), 2*
Texas/Washington 1H over 31.5 (-105), 1*
There are a couple other bets I am eyeing tomorrow. I am considering LSU at anything under -10. I think LSU has enough athletes and talent on both sides of the ball to control this game. I know Daniels opted out, but we have seen teams like USC and Oklahoma run solid offense with their backups. A lot of these teams have highly touted backups who would have played if the teams they committed to had not acquired a better option in the transfer portal. Also, LSU is not the only team who will be without their best offensive player. Wisconsin running back Braelon Allen has opted out of this game as he prepares for the NFL draft. That is a big loss for the Badgers as Allen ran for over five yards a carry and just short of 1,000 yards despite missing a little time due to injury.
The game I really need to make a decision on is the Alabama game. It seems like the public is betting Alabama and the sharps are betting Michigan which is keeping the line at 1.5. I think the number is right, anywhere between 1 and 2.5 would make sense to me. I don't have to bet this game, but I will probably want some sort of action on it.
I think Iowa can muster up 14 points. Tennessee will certainly force some three and outs and probably a turnover or two. With that being said, they aren't an elite defense and Iowa should be able to put a couple TD drives together with a month to prepare. I wouldn't be surprised if Iowa's excellent defense sets up their offense with a short field and that will certainly help Iowa get to 14. I am betting that small because it is heavily juiced and Iowa could let me down, but it is a bet I believe has merit.
Lastly, Washington is very live against Texas. The game is being played indoors which should benefit Washington's high flying attack. It is going to be a major challenge for Texas's secondary to cover the top three receivers for the Huskies. I think both teams will have success executing their gameplan's they have been implementing over the past month in the first half. Once both team's make adjustments at halftime and things tighten up a bit in the second half, scoring could slow down. I think the Michigan game could be a bit of a grind early as both team's feel each other out, whereas this game could have fireworks early on. Washington has the better coach and quarterback and will be ahead or within a possession throughout this game.
I will add to my card tomorrow. GL!
