Betting Splits and Bowl Game Sharp Money Picks for Friday December 29

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12 p.m. ET: Clemson (-4, 44) vs Kentucky
This is the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl. Clemson (8-4) is ranked 22nd and ended the regular season with four straight wins, beating South Carolina 16-7 in the finale. Meanwhile, Kentucky (7-5) started the season 5-0 and went just 2-5 down the stretch, although the Wildcats upset Louisville in the regular season finale 38-31. This line opened with Clemson listed as high as a 7-point favorite. The public is laying the points with the Tigers. However, despite receiving 66% of bets we've seen Clemson fall from -7 to -4. This signals sharp reverse line movement on Kentucky plus the points. Kentucky is only receiving 34% of bets but 54% of money, a sharp contrarian bet split. Kentucky is at full strength while Clemson has a plethora of transfers and opt-outs, including WR Beaux Collins, OL Mitchell Mayes, S Andrew Mukuba, LB Jeremiah Trotter JR, CB Nate Wiggins and DL Ruke Orhorhoro. Kentucky star RB Ray Davis has elected to enter the NFL Draft but will play in today's game. Kentucky has buy-low value as an unranked dog vs a sell-high ranked favorite. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 48 to 44. The under is receiving 26% of bets but 62% of money, a notable sharp contrarian discrepancy. The forecasts calls for mid 50s with cloudy skies and 10-15 MPH winds at TIAA Bank field, home of the Jacksonville Jaguars.



2 p.m. ET: Notre Dame (-6, 41.5) vs Oregon State
This is the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl. Notre Dame (9-3) is ranked 16th and and went 4-1 down the stretch, crushing Stanford 56-23 in the regular season finale. On the flip side, Oregon State (8-4) is ranked 21st but lost their final two games, falling to Oregon 31-7 in the finale. This line opened with Notre Dame listed as a 10.5-point neutral site favorite. The public is laying the points with the Irish. However, despite receiving 68% of bets we've seen Notre Dame tumble from -10.5 to -6. This was caused respected sharp action grabbing the points with Oregon State, driven by a deluge of opt outs and transfers on the Notre Dame side. The Irish will be without stars QB Sam Hartman, RB Audric Estime and OL Joe Alt, plus their top three wide receivers, top two tight ends, two cornerbacks and more. Oregon State isn't quite at full strength, as QB DJ Uiagalelei has transferred and RB Damien Martinez was suspended, along with a few others. However, the most notable opt outs and transfers are on the Notre Dame side. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 47.5 to 40.5. The under is receiving 23% of bets but 43% of money, a sharp "low bets, higher dollars" bet split.
 

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