AFC/NFC Championship

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1/28 12:00PM
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01/28 3:30PM
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And…..those are my bets with the pointspreads that I actually received at the time I placed them.
 

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After a late-regular-season lag, K.C. (13-6 SU/11-7-1 ATS) is on a 4-0 SU and ATS surge. Still, The SuperBook opened AFC Championship Game odds at Baltimore -3.5 (even), Kansas City +3.5 (-120).

"The Ravens are power-rated higher than K.C., and they're at home," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said shortly after the odds posted. "Kansas City's offense hasn't put it together against a healthy defense all year. And Baltimore has just smoked every good team it's played this season."
 

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The Lions are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games and, generally speaking, have been a spread-covering machine since the middle of last season.

Now, third-seeded Detroit travels to No. 1 seed San Francisco. The SuperBook opened the 49ers -7 on its NFC Championship Game odds board.

"We didn't want to open up south of 7 if we could avoid it," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said. "We'll need Detroit for sure. I'm sure we'll get some wiseguy action on Detroit +7. But we still will likely be overwhelmed with San Francisco money."

About 75 minutes after opening Lions-49ers, The SuperBook backed up to San Fran -6.5.

"We basically wanted to take some Lions money to chop into our inevitable decision. We will certainly need Detroit," Michaelson said. "If Deebo Samuel gets announced in, this thing will skyrocket."
 

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I didn’t bet either total but here’s little line info regarding both games as of Sunday evening.

KC/BAL - The total opened at 45.5 in The SuperBook's NFL odds conference championship market. That number was on the move quickly, dropping a point to 44.5 within 10 minutes

DET/SF - The SuperBook opened the total at 51.5 in its NFL odds conference championship market. There was almost immediate movement to 52. However, that met some resistance in the market. Less than an hour after opening, the total is down to 51.
 

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SF line at Circa now -7 (-115).

49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that there's no fracture in Samuel's left shoulder, but the wideout is still in pain, and his status for Sunday's NFC Championship Game versus the Lions is to be determined, David Lombardi of The Athletic reports.
 

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I lean to SF but fear Samuels, even if he plays, will be ineffective or be out before halftime. ALSO SF is not the defensive team they were last yr, even with the same players. They lost a top notch DC Demeco Ryans and now have knucklehead Steve WIlks, 18 jobs in 22 years or something like that... not fond of Detroit in this spot, either by the way.

GL!
 

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I lean to SF but fear Samuels, even if he plays, will be ineffective or be out before halftime. ALSO SF is not the defensive team they were last yr, even with the same players. They lost a top notch DC Demeco Ryans and now have knucklehead Steve WIlks, 18 jobs in 22 years or something like that... not fond of Detroit in this spot, either by the way.

GL!
This line could toggle from 6.5 to 7 to 6.5 all week. I'd take SF at -7 but glad to have them a half lower. Some may have lost confidence in them after the GB game but it's just that, one game. Det didn't exactly blow the doors off TB either.
 
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SF line at Circa now -7 (-115).

49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that there's no fracture in Samuel's left shoulder, but the wideout is still in pain, and his status for Sunday's NFC Championship Game versus the Lions is to be determined, David Lombardi of The Athletic reports.
He won’t play
And if he starts he will find an excuse not to play the whole game
Can you say Cheerleader
That guy is a bust
Gl
 

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The BAL line now -4 flat at Circa. That's very telling to me that it didn't move the other direction.
 

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Ok. Thanks
 

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I'm torn on the AFC game leaning Balty but maybe the better play is O44. SF should win by 10+, love that bet. I should have bet it earlier in week, best I'm seeing now is -7 @-105
 

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I'm torn on the AFC game leaning Balty but maybe the better play is O44. SF should win by 10+, love that bet. I should have bet it earlier in week, best I'm seeing now is -7 @-105
I think both games will have clear cut winners. They've been the best 2 teams all season. The lines this week should tell everyone that but some get enamored in the past. GL this week.
 

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