Agree on Sparty- missed the 12.5 it’s dropped to 10.5 now… I still like it but man it would be Iowa football to win by 12 points- just kicking FGs all day.
however, I think there’s value on Sparty to win outright here. Iowa offense doesn’t have a pulse and their defense has to be exhausted after playing 90 some snaps last week
however, I think there’s value on Sparty to win outright here. Iowa offense doesn’t have a pulse and their defense has to be exhausted after playing 90 some snaps last week
Dinking and Dunking this week;
--ND -5.5 .25 units
--MICH ST +12.5 .25 units
--2-team teaser parlay; Minn -6.5 with Mich St +18.5 @ +115 .25 units (FanDuel, added 6 to Sparty and 5 to Minn) .25 u
--Same game prop parlay; Michigan's JJ McCarty over 232.5 passing with Corum under 94.5 yds rushing. +209 .25 u
--FanDuel offered a max play of $25 dollar parlay boost of 30%. Why not? Made it a teaser too. Mich -9.5, Okla -13.5, Wash -13.5 boosted to +251.
Not much of a teaser player, but this week I cannot get a good feeling so change it up a little.
Like the numbers on the little boost parlay. Could be wrong on Sparty, got two plays on them now. Either they come out swinging or go belly up.
Huskers not bad stopping the run, worse stopping the pass. Don't think the wind will factor the passing game too much and expect JJ to be slinging it and Corum about 75-85 yds.
The rest will be in-plays. Will try to post a few for what it's worth, won't count them to any record though. Record at 14-10.
--ND -5.5 .25 units
--MICH ST +12.5 .25 units
--2-team teaser parlay; Minn -6.5 with Mich St +18.5 @ +115 .25 units (FanDuel, added 6 to Sparty and 5 to Minn) .25 u
--Same game prop parlay; Michigan's JJ McCarty over 232.5 passing with Corum under 94.5 yds rushing. +209 .25 u
--FanDuel offered a max play of $25 dollar parlay boost of 30%. Why not? Made it a teaser too. Mich -9.5, Okla -13.5, Wash -13.5 boosted to +251.
Not much of a teaser player, but this week I cannot get a good feeling so change it up a little.
Like the numbers on the little boost parlay. Could be wrong on Sparty, got two plays on them now. Either they come out swinging or go belly up.
Huskers not bad stopping the run, worse stopping the pass. Don't think the wind will factor the passing game too much and expect JJ to be slinging it and Corum about 75-85 yds.
The rest will be in-plays. Will try to post a few for what it's worth, won't count them to any record though. Record at 14-10.
-ND -5.5 .25 units 
--MICH ST +12.5 .25 units
--2-team teaser parlay; Minn -6.5 with Mich St +18.5 @ +115 .25 units (FanDuel, added 6 to Sparty and 5 to Minn) .25 u
--Same game prop parlay; Michigan's JJ McCarty over 232.5 passing with Corum under 94.5 yds rushing. +209 .25 u
--FanDuel offered a max play of $25 dollar parlay boost of 30%. Why not? Made it a teaser too. Mich -9.5, Okla -13.5, Wash -13.5 boosted to +251.
3-2 with losing the little teaser boost play. +.5 units not counting the $25 donation.
Teaser lesson learned again. Teasers you win usually win ATS as mine did, no need to tease.
Game was too easily for Michigan. McCarthy didn't throw much and was pulled in the 3rd quarter.
Could have picked better games to win instead of these two gut wrenchers! ND wakes up at the end and then goes for two when the extra pt wins it for me! Sparty played actual football for 55 minutes and then decided to see how many points they could give away last 5. Was waiting for a pic-6 or scoop-n-score at the end to bust my play. Now why couldn't I have played Mich., or say Penn St, USC Over?? So much easier on the heart.
--MICH ST +12.5 .25 units
--2-team teaser parlay; Minn -6.5 with Mich St +18.5 @ +115 .25 units (FanDuel, added 6 to Sparty and 5 to Minn) .25 u
--Same game prop parlay; Michigan's JJ McCarty over 232.5 passing with Corum under 94.5 yds rushing. +209 .25 u
--FanDuel offered a max play of $25 dollar parlay boost of 30%. Why not? Made it a teaser too. Mich -9.5, Okla -13.5, Wash -13.5 boosted to +251.
3-2 with losing the little teaser boost play. +.5 units not counting the $25 donation.
Teaser lesson learned again. Teasers you win usually win ATS as mine did, no need to tease.
Game was too easily for Michigan. McCarthy didn't throw much and was pulled in the 3rd quarter.
Could have picked better games to win instead of these two gut wrenchers! ND wakes up at the end and then goes for two when the extra pt wins it for me! Sparty played actual football for 55 minutes and then decided to see how many points they could give away last 5. Was waiting for a pic-6 or scoop-n-score at the end to bust my play. Now why couldn't I have played Mich., or say Penn St, USC Over?? So much easier on the heart.
Early plays for week 6;
Grabbed that Mich line last night, -16.5 .25 units. See it up to -19.5 now. Like it much better under 17.
ND -7 -115 .25 units. Grabbed this one before it gets past 7 although expect it to linger at 7 or 7.5 maybe.
Purdue +3.5 -105. .25 units Purdue playing better than I thought pre-season. Iowa still Iowa. Grabbed it at +3.5.
Michigan needs to continue that business approach going to Minn.
Irish face 3rd tough game in a row. Think they get it going here.
Iowa with new QB now who did OK vs Sparty. Purdue should get enough points here to keep it close.
Grabbed that Mich line last night, -16.5 .25 units. See it up to -19.5 now. Like it much better under 17.
ND -7 -115 .25 units. Grabbed this one before it gets past 7 although expect it to linger at 7 or 7.5 maybe.
Purdue +3.5 -105. .25 units Purdue playing better than I thought pre-season. Iowa still Iowa. Grabbed it at +3.5.
Michigan needs to continue that business approach going to Minn.
Irish face 3rd tough game in a row. Think they get it going here.
Iowa with new QB now who did OK vs Sparty. Purdue should get enough points here to keep it close.
Adding Ohio State -19.5 .25 units. May add more later in the week and may take an alt line like -23.5 for ++ odds. Or maybe Over.
Ohio State off a bye under Ryan Day;
2022, Oct 22, OSU 54, Iowa 10. -29.5
2021, Oct 23, OSU 54, Indy 7. -21
2019, Nov 9, OSU 73, Maryland 14 -42.5
2019, Oct 18, OSU 52, NW 3. -26.5
(Did not include 2020 COVID cancellations.)
And I think Maryland is more flawed this year so let's go with a Horseshoe blowout.
On previous Purdue play of +3.5; Boilermakers for the first time last Sat had coach Walters calling defensive plays while DC Kane communicated from the booth. Same way he did it at Illinois last yr as their DC and when they were at SMU. This should continue this week at Iowa. Wasn't eye popping but there was improvement. Couple that with Purdue's Tyrone Tracy Jr moving from WR to RB this year. Saturday at ILL was the first time he received more than 10 carries. Believe he had like 21 for 112 yards. Recorded the game and was impressed with Tracy Jr.
I had Purdue as a last place team pre-season but now I like the progress. Will it be enough vs Iowa? Thinking it has a good chance.
Oh, and Tracy Jr, had transfered from Iowa after 2021 season. So a type of homecoming for him.
Ohio State off a bye under Ryan Day;
2022, Oct 22, OSU 54, Iowa 10. -29.5
2021, Oct 23, OSU 54, Indy 7. -21
2019, Nov 9, OSU 73, Maryland 14 -42.5
2019, Oct 18, OSU 52, NW 3. -26.5
(Did not include 2020 COVID cancellations.)
And I think Maryland is more flawed this year so let's go with a Horseshoe blowout.
On previous Purdue play of +3.5; Boilermakers for the first time last Sat had coach Walters calling defensive plays while DC Kane communicated from the booth. Same way he did it at Illinois last yr as their DC and when they were at SMU. This should continue this week at Iowa. Wasn't eye popping but there was improvement. Couple that with Purdue's Tyrone Tracy Jr moving from WR to RB this year. Saturday at ILL was the first time he received more than 10 carries. Believe he had like 21 for 112 yards. Recorded the game and was impressed with Tracy Jr.
I had Purdue as a last place team pre-season but now I like the progress. Will it be enough vs Iowa? Thinking it has a good chance.
Oh, and Tracy Jr, had transfered from Iowa after 2021 season. So a type of homecoming for him.
Tonight, trying a prop bet. Liberty's Salter to pass Over 204.5 yards @-114. FD .25 units
Sam Houston has a bad offense. Cannot run the ball and a shaky pass game. Their defense kept them in games vs BYU and AF. Passing teams like Houston and Jacksonville State killed them. Liberty runs about 65% of the time yet they do get their passing yards. Against SH expect the pass to be successful.
GL ALL!
Sam Houston has a bad offense. Cannot run the ball and a shaky pass game. Their defense kept them in games vs BYU and AF. Passing teams like Houston and Jacksonville State killed them. Liberty runs about 65% of the time yet they do get their passing yards. Against SH expect the pass to be successful.
GL ALL!
Adding another prop bet. Michigan's RB Blake Corum Under 90 yds rushing vs Minny. .25 units
Reasoning; Harbaugh said in September; Each individual guy, I treat them like I’m their dad, their agent. I want what’s best for their career,” Harbaugh proclaimed. “In the running back position, to make a long story short, I just don’t believe in a guy carrying the ball 30 times a game.”
"The lifespan of a back — their career — is maybe 8-9-10 years total including college? And while they’re not getting paid,” Harbaugh said. “I don’t want to take the tread off the tire. I’d like to keep the tread on the tire.”
In the Nebraska game coverted linebacker Kalel Mullings had 5 carries for 43 yards and td. Previous week 6 carries against Rutgers for 40 yds. So Mullings is becoming a third dependable option. Expect to see a little more of him tomorrow. Only if Corum breaks off a huge gainer or two will this pass 90 yards.
Reasoning; Harbaugh said in September; Each individual guy, I treat them like I’m their dad, their agent. I want what’s best for their career,” Harbaugh proclaimed. “In the running back position, to make a long story short, I just don’t believe in a guy carrying the ball 30 times a game.”
"The lifespan of a back — their career — is maybe 8-9-10 years total including college? And while they’re not getting paid,” Harbaugh said. “I don’t want to take the tread off the tire. I’d like to keep the tread on the tire.”
In the Nebraska game coverted linebacker Kalel Mullings had 5 carries for 43 yards and td. Previous week 6 carries against Rutgers for 40 yds. So Mullings is becoming a third dependable option. Expect to see a little more of him tomorrow. Only if Corum breaks off a huge gainer or two will this pass 90 yards.
Mich -16.5 .25 units. WIN
ND -7 -115 .25 units. LOSS
Purdue +3.5 -105. .25 units. LOSS
Ohio St -19.5 .25 units. WIN
Corum Under 90 yds rushing. .25 units. WIN
See Ohio St line going down. OK, adding;
Ohio St -17.5 @ -105. .25 units. WIN
Ohio St -17.5 with Purdue ML +110 parlay @ +310 .25 units. LOSS
Thursday; Salter Over 204.5 yds passing. WIN
4-3 yesterday. Overvalued Buckeyes and Irish and was lucky Terps gave it all away. Purdue had their chances but Iowa got the win. Michigan just taking care of business on the road, big spread vs Indy next week.
5-3 for the week.
22-15 overall.
ND -7 -115 .25 units. LOSS
Purdue +3.5 -105. .25 units. LOSS
Ohio St -19.5 .25 units. WIN
Corum Under 90 yds rushing. .25 units. WIN
See Ohio St line going down. OK, adding;
Ohio St -17.5 @ -105. .25 units. WIN
Ohio St -17.5 with Purdue ML +110 parlay @ +310 .25 units. LOSS
Thursday; Salter Over 204.5 yds passing. WIN
4-3 yesterday. Overvalued Buckeyes and Irish and was lucky Terps gave it all away. Purdue had their chances but Iowa got the win. Michigan just taking care of business on the road, big spread vs Indy next week.
5-3 for the week.
22-15 overall.
This weeks plays so far;
Rutgers -4.5 Have to fade Sparty on the road. .25 units
USC ml +106 Bet this on Sunday, wouldn't bet it now. Windy 20mph game. No regrets though. .25 units
Future plays; Grabbed Penn St +5.5 vs Ohio St on Oct 21st. (FanDuel) Just in case Buckeyes struggle at Purdue. .5 unit play
Others already mentioned, Wisc to win Big West +100 and Penn St RSW Over 10.5 @ +108
Lot of windy rainy games in Big10 country on Saturday. More plays 24hrs out after analyzing forecasts.
Rutgers -4.5 Have to fade Sparty on the road. .25 units
USC ml +106 Bet this on Sunday, wouldn't bet it now. Windy 20mph game. No regrets though. .25 units
Future plays; Grabbed Penn St +5.5 vs Ohio St on Oct 21st. (FanDuel) Just in case Buckeyes struggle at Purdue. .5 unit play
Others already mentioned, Wisc to win Big West +100 and Penn St RSW Over 10.5 @ +108
Lot of windy rainy games in Big10 country on Saturday. More plays 24hrs out after analyzing forecasts.
Adding; Ohio St -17.5 .25 units
Ohio St ml + Under 53.5 @-110 .25 units
Michigan/ Indy Under 45.5 .25 units
Bought back my Rutgers -4.5, all day rain in Piscataway, Sparty off a bye.......don't like it as much. FD cashout of full bet.
USC ml +106 .25 units
Ohio St offensive line received criticism from last weeks play, rightfully so. Believe they respond today. Purdue lost top O-lineman last week and emerging RB. QB Card played hurt against Iowa and was a punching bag for the Hawkeyes. Going with Buckeyes roll. Windy game, no rain forecasted.
Michigan game has the ugliest weather. Rain and wind over 15mph. Going for the Under here.
GL ALL!
Ohio St ml + Under 53.5 @-110 .25 units
Michigan/ Indy Under 45.5 .25 units
Bought back my Rutgers -4.5, all day rain in Piscataway, Sparty off a bye.......don't like it as much. FD cashout of full bet.
USC ml +106 .25 units
Ohio St offensive line received criticism from last weeks play, rightfully so. Believe they respond today. Purdue lost top O-lineman last week and emerging RB. QB Card played hurt against Iowa and was a punching bag for the Hawkeyes. Going with Buckeyes roll. Windy game, no rain forecasted.
Michigan game has the ugliest weather. Rain and wind over 15mph. Going for the Under here.
GL ALL!
