2022 College Football Various Info Thread

[exploited17]

View attachment 40235

Would be an interesting discussion if there is a reason for this
Are certain teams winning or losing game one based in some sort of scheduling situation whether it is a home game, playing a crap team first game, being a huge favorite out the gate you don't care about dominating or an underappreciated team getting many points generally?

 

[Kaboom]

Boom, much appreciated. You are a wealth of info my friend!

Thank you MLB !!! appreciate it bro !

 

[Kaboom]

Would be an interesting discussion if there is a reason for this
Are certain teams winning or losing game one based in some sort of scheduling situation whether it is a home game, playing a crap team first game, being a huge favorite out the gate you don't care about dominating or an underappreciated team getting many points generally?

Very solid input EX ..... we would have to consider everything ......

 

[Kaboom]

What do you expect when a CFB team loses their opener AT HOME & AS A FAV.... then they are at Home again in game #2? . . . . . . How about a 32.3% ATS record going 21-44 for the home team

 

[fredo777]

Thanks for all the research.
Good luck this season.

 

[Kaboom]

Thanks for all the research.
Good luck this season.

Appreciate the stop in 51 !! ........ BOL this year

 

[Kaboom]

Maryland in 2021 ... 4-0 Ats vs Non Con

Buffalo in 2021 ... 0-4 Ats Away Games

Play

9 / 3 ......$10 Maryland - 21

 

[Kaboom]

Since 2010 (the L12Y) how many times have the Commodores been an Away Fav???

Record 5-1 SU / 4-2 Ats

Aug 27th Line Vandy - 7

Lean ML Vandy here ....... use in a few parlays

 

[VegasKnows]

Maryland, looking at 2021 and 2019, throwing out covid year 2020.
In 2021 as a fav of -10 or higher 2-0 ATS by an avg of 11.5 pts past the spread. As a dog of +10 or more 4-0 ATS by an avg of 14.1 pts past the spread.
In 2019, again 2-0 as -10 or more fav by an avg of 38 pts past the spread. As a dog of +10 or more 3-1 ATS by an avg of 18 pts past the spread for the 3 wins ATS. (Last game of season they covered against Mich St., lost by 3 pts as +21.5 dog)

So when Maryland big fav they pour it on, when big dog they wilt big time! The key is run stopping defenses. In 2019 the terps played at Penn St game #4. Lions had a terrific defense. Line opened at -7 PSU and I jumped on it. Then line dropped to -6.5 and I really jumped on it and parlayed it with Ohio St. Lions won 59-0. Best payday I've had in some years!!
Good Luck!!!

 

[Kaboom]

Maryland, looking at 2021 and 2019, throwing out covid year 2020.
In 2021 as a fav of -10 or higher 2-0 ATS by an avg of 11.5 pts past the spread. As a dog of +10 or more 4-0 ATS by an avg of 14.1 pts past the spread.
In 2019, again 2-0 as -10 or more fav by an avg of 38 pts past the spread. As a dog of +10 or more 3-1 ATS by an avg of 18 pts past the spread for the 3 wins ATS. (Last game of season they covered against Mich St., lost by 3 pts as +21.5 dog)

So when Maryland big fav they pour it on, when big dog they wilt big time! The key is run stopping defenses. In 2019 the terps played at Penn St game #4. Lions had a terrific defense. Line opened at -7 PSU and I jumped on it. Then line dropped to -6.5 and I really jumped on it and parlayed it with Ohio St. Lions won 59-0. Best payday I've had in some years!!
Good Luck!!!

My kind of work Vegas ..... Excellent stats !!

 

[VegasKnows]

Interesting little stat, not sure what value it has this year.

When you think of Ohio State you think of Stroud throwing for 400 yds at a 70+% clip. Yet in 2021;

Ohio State did not cover the spread vs Minn., Oregon, Tulsa, Penn St, Neb., Michigan, and Utah in 2021-22. Lost to Oregon and Michigan.

Utah, Michigan, Oregon, Tulsa, and Minn. had a better rush yards per game average than Ohio State offense.

Outliers Nebraska held Buckeyes to 90 yds rushing while Penn St allowed 165 yds.

Every team the Buckeyes covered the spread had less rushing yds per game avg for the season than the Buckeyes.
It's really all about the big boys in the trenches and how well you run the ball and how well you stop the run.

---Buckeyes need to stop the run better--they brought in Knowles.
---Buckeyes need to run the ball better--Ryan Day hires Justin Frye to help with offensive line.
If these two get it done, lookout!!!

 

[Kaboom]

The Buckeyes are absolutely loaded again and are 17-11-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite under Ryan Day.

 

[Kaboom]

Interesting little stat, not sure what value it has this year.

When you think of Ohio State you think of Stroud throwing for 400 yds at a 70+% clip. Yet in 2021;

Ohio State did not cover the spread vs Minn., Oregon, Tulsa, Penn St, Neb., Michigan, and Utah in 2021-22. Lost to Oregon and Michigan.

Utah, Michigan, Oregon, Tulsa, and Minn. had a better rush yards per game average than Ohio State offense.

Outliers Nebraska held Buckeyes to 90 yds rushing while Penn St allowed 165 yds.

Every team the Buckeyes covered the spread had less rushing yds per game avg for the season than the Buckeyes.
It's really all about the big boys in the trenches and how well you run the ball and how well you stop the run.

---Buckeyes need to stop the run better--they brought in Knowles.
---Buckeyes need to run the ball better--Ryan Day hires Justin Frye to help with offensive line.
If these two get it done, lookout!!!

Great stuff bro ! .......... thx !

 

[Bama25]

What do you expect when a CFB team loses their opener AT HOME & AS A FAV.... then they are at Home again in game #2? . . . . . . How about a 32.3% ATS record going 21-44 for the home team

Makes sense, the public will stay on them, and some double down the next week. Sounds ligit to me.

 

[Bama25]

I think the NIL business will filter into the players being vocal this year. I can see the offensive linemen voicing a real challenge on the unfairness due to positions. It's coming, and they are right. The line is vital to success, but not in the spotlight.

 

[Kaboom]

Aug 27 12:30 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Nebraska / Northwestern) Under 51 -120 for Game (buying ½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.83 USD

Under 55.5−110.... Total
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $13.36
North Texas
UTEP
Aug 27, 2022, 8:05:00 PM

Aug 27 04:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Illinois / Wyoming) Under 45 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD


Sep 01 07:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Tennessee / Ball State) Under 69 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD

Sep 01 07:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF (Pittsburgh / West Virginia) Under 53 -140 for Game (buying 1½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.00 USD

Sep 01 08:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Purdue / Penn St) Under 56 -140 for Game (buying 1½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.00 USD

Sep 01 09:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Minnesota / New Mexico St) Under 57 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD

Sep 03 12:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Boston College / Rutgers) Under 51 -140 for Game (buying 1½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.00 USD

Sep 03 07:30 PM EST - Football NCAAF (North Texas / SMU) Under 70 -140 for Game (buying 1½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.00 USD

Sep 03 12:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF (East Carolina / NC State) Under 57 -140 for Game (buying 1½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.00 USD

Sep 03 10:30 PM EST - Football NCAAF (Oregon St / Boise St) Under 60 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD

Sep 03 10:30 PM EST - Football NCAAF (Washington / Kent State) Under 61 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD

Under 49−110... Total
Wager: $7.00To Pay: $13.36
Arizona
San Diego State
Sep 3, 2022, 2:30:00 PM

Sep 03 07:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF (So Mississippi / Liberty) Under 54½ -140 for Game (buying 1½ points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.00 USD

Sep 03 03:30 PM EST - Football NCAAF (Arkansas / Cincinnati) Under 53 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD

Sep 05 08:00 PM EST - Football NCAAF - (Georgia Tech / Clemson) Under 50 -130 for Game (buying 1 points)


Risk 7.00 USD

Win 5.38 USD

I will likely play each game above

1st half Under as well .... same $7 Play

also

Games on fence ...that I may add Under Plays

9/1 ... LT / MO
9/1 ...CM / OK ST

all 9/3 Games

Lou / Syr
Buff / Mary
Mia O / Kentucky
BG / Ucla
Boise St / Ore St
Hou / Utsa
Wk / Haw

Last year 2021 .... a trend I'm following

but would like to just keep it to our personal twitter group .... per their request .....please do not ask to join the group because it's a political picked members
only..... as some of you may know...

The Trend went 24-5 / 84% Under Total

this trend was only games played from 8/28 to 9/4 last year

Do I expect a repeat ?

I highly doubt it ....but I'd be happy with 60% Under Total Winners !!!

There was no Totals for 1st Half on these games .... I didn't bother to figure that out ...

NOTE

Because I do this only as a hobby

I can buyout of my posted wagers at anytime

because of my only $7 Plays....just a heads up

BOL ...if thinking of tailing ..... your call gents

just sharing.

Boomer

 

[Kaboom]

Early season TOP 10 CFB matchups! Here are the August/ September CFB Top 10 matchups since 2004!!

The Favorites have gone 23-7 SU & 15-15 ATS

 

[Kaboom]

2021 Games Aug 28th to Sept 4th

CLOSING LINES ONLY CIRCA

Favs - 13.5 to - 19 ...... went 2-4 SU ...all SU Dog Winners / 1-5 Ats / all 6 Went UNDER TOTAL

Favs - 20 to - 29 .... went 4-0 SU / ATS .... Under Total went 3-1

so that's 9-1 Under Total when Closing Line ended between - 13.5 to -29 .....

Your call on what this year might bring ???

 

[VegasKnows]

FYI;

Wake Forest star QB Sam Hartman out indefinitely to undergo treatment for non-football related condition​

https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...treatment-for-non-football-related-condition/

 

[Kaboom]

FYI;

Wake Forest star QB Sam Hartman out indefinitely to undergo treatment for non-football related condition​

https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...treatment-for-non-football-related-condition/

Thx Vegas ...for the share