Last Week: 3-2 Even
Season: 32-25 +8 Units
This Week:
2U Wake -16.5 - This line stinks a bit, but I'll take it. Wake has pretty much been good for around 40 points a week, I think that will be fairly easy to maintain against Duke's defense. That makes the question on how many points does wake surrender? Yeah- they gave a boatload up to Army last week... so I gotta think that the Defense has been pissed all week and is coming out to show the world that was a fluke performance against an option team. Not to mention Duke hasn't been able to put up points against good competition this year.
1U Iowa +3.5 - Bounce back. I think Iowa wins this straight up, but give me 3 and a hook in this Big 10 west "Powerhouse" showdown. Iowa's defense has capitalized on mistakes all year and generated turnovers that put their offense in a position where they can actually score points. Wisconsin turns the ball over like no other. However, I do expect that Wisconsin will do everything they can to not let Mertz throw the ball to avoid turnovers. That screams Field goal game to me.
1U Michigan Under 51- *Disclaimer: I'm a Michigan fan*. It's no secret that Michigan likes to run the ball, Sparty has been decent against the run this year. Giving up 121 YPG and about 3.3 YPC. Now, I don't think they've faced an Offense like Michigan yet and I think Michigan will have some success on the ground. But I don't think it will be enough for them to blow the game open. On the other side of the ball, this should be the first strong rushing attack Michigan has faced. I look for both of these teams to pound the rock and for defenses to hold in the redzone.
1U Pitt -9. I thought this might be a multi-unit play, but with it being an ACC road game, I want to temper expectations. It's easy to see Pitt Pick apart the Miami Secondary, but I will admit- they've seemed to have improved some over the last few weeks. I still think Pitt gets theirs on Offense. But my thought is more on the other side of the ball. This Pitt Defense will be the best that Miami has seen yet under Van Dyke. The Pitt front should put enough pressure on the young QB to force him into some mistakes and lead them to a cover.
*Also eyeing Pitt TT Over. I saw it at 34.5 and missed it, looking for it to creep back below 35*
May have a few more in the AM.