Week 14 Champ week, WF vs Vegas again?

[Codebreaker]

Pitt catching 2 points vs Wake Forrest?

This is like the 3rd time Vegas pulls a number with Wake that is a surprise. UNC -2.5 vs Wake, UNC covered by 1/2 a point, in a game with the total ending at 100+

Vegas is begging you to take Pitt +2, is this UNC all over again? Or is it Iowa last week catching +3 vs Nebraska?

The over is 71.5 so I hope they have fresh light bulbs in the score board.

My eyes say take Pitt+2, my eyes also said take UVA -7 vs VT. But, I did also say VT's only chance was if the game came in under, it did.

I'm going to play the O/U in this game, just need to think about it for a few days.

 

[Codebreaker]

The key to beating WF is just what Clemson did. On defense you have to crash that mesh point with DL penetration at the POA. Pitts front 7 is pretty good, the issue is their secondary is bad. WF will torch Pitts secondary if they do not get penetration with the front 7.

Wake knows exactly how CU slowed their offense down and will prepare to prevent penetration at the POA. Clemson has a better D cord and better talent in the front 7 then Pitt does. Early thing to watch is DL penetration into Wakes backfield. Pitt may have to blitz more then Clemson to attack the mesh point, WF QB is good enough to make them pay.

Pitts offense should be able to get 40 on Wakes defense. The key will be Pitts front 7. If Wake blocks them, they will get to 40 also.

 

[crownreserve]

Over look good I

 

[Codebreaker]

Houston +10

Have to think about these two:

Oregon catching points VS Utah, Vegas is begging you to take Utah,

Bama +6, yes they want you on Bama

 

[Codebreaker]

SDSU -5

 

[Codebreaker]

ULL catching points at home? Yeah I'm in

Ull +3

 

[Codebreaker]

Going with Utah -2.5. Opened at -3 Vegas was begging for money on Oregon, they are getting it. I liked Utah before I saw the line. I'm going with Vegas, give me some of that public $$

 

[MLB]

I see PITT -3. I already took Wake fully expecting the line to settle around a pk.

 

[Codebreaker]

Bama vs UGA Under 50.5

I played on a defense with very similar stats as UGA's they will hold Bama to less then 17 points. Bama will need pts off TO's, special teams, and defense. Kirby knows this and will focus on preventing non offensive points.

Both teams have only gone over in games where they have scored 40 or more points. I just don't see either team over 30 points here, unless there are 5 TO's.

 

[Codebreaker]

At 50.5 this will be the lowest total game Bama has played in this season. 50.5 is about the mean for UGA games.

Neither team will have much success running the ball. Chunk yards will come thru the air. a PI call or 2 will be critical here.

Long sustained drives will be at a premium in this game. Bama's offense will be lucky to get to 17. The key will be Bama's D getting pentation and giving Bennett trouble. Holding UGA's offense under 20 is the key for Bama.

Get this game close into the 4th Q and the pressure is on Kirby.

With a focused big game effort (Saban's specialty) Bama can hold UGA to under 20. TAM is the only game Bama gave up 40 to.

If UGA gets to 20 in the 1st half, Bama is in big trouble. Points will be very difficult vs UGA's defense in 2nd half.

 

[Kaboom]

The key to beating WF is just what Clemson did. On defense you have to crash that mesh point with DL penetration at the POA. Pitts front 7 is pretty good, the issue is their secondary is bad. WF will torch Pitts secondary if they do not get penetration with the front 7.

Wake knows exactly how CU slowed their offense down and will prepare to prevent penetration at the POA. Clemson has a better D cord and better talent in the front 7 then Pitt does. Early thing to watch is DL penetration into Wakes backfield. Pitt may have to blitz more then Clemson to attack the mesh point, WF QB is good enough to make them pay.

Pitts offense should be able to get 40 on Wakes defense. The key will be Pitts front 7. If Wake blocks them, they will get to 40 also.

Super solid info Code ...thank you .... feel WF will try to short pass the crap and run the ball a bit more to keep Pickett off the field .... I lean the better coach here ...imo .... WF

 

[Codebreaker]

Thanks, This will be one of the most entertaining games this week. Vegas opened Pitt as a +2 point dog, they were begging for Pitt money. Well, they got tons of it, Pitt now -3 pt fav.

Pitt has the better defense, Pickett will score 40+ in this game. Wakes defense has improved but not enough to stop a 1st round QB. The key will be WF ability to pass block Pitts front 7. Pitts pass D is horrific, expose those guys in space, (Wakes specialty) and let the gashing begin.

Wakes QB is no slouch, he has size, experience and keeps a cool head. If Wake can scheme to give him time, unlike vs Clemson. Wake will score 40+ too. I agree WF has the better coach, he will need to earn his $$ late in the 4th Q. That is where this game is heading.

As a gambler, I don't want to be entertained, I want to win early and move on. This will not be a early winner.

If WF can give their QB time the over 71.5 will hit before 4th Q

 

[Codebreaker]

Georgia has done a great job of protecting Bennett so far this season, and without a great running game. UGA averages .7 sacks a game. Bama avg 3.6 sacks per game. Thus Bennett has only thrown .8 picks per game. Bama's D averages 1.1 picks per game.

Saban is coming after Bennett, he comes after every QB, but in this case Bama cannot win this game in a shootout. UGA has to be held under 20 points, anything lower increases Bama's odds of winning SU.

We need to see how Bennett reacts with Crimson draped all over him. I suspect he will fold at points in this game. Bennett is no runner, he'll either take the sack or throw the ball away. He will also be facing the best secondary he's faced all season. WR's will be challenged at the LOS, making it even harder for Bennett.

UGa's defense will show up and hold Bama under 20 points. Young will need to convert 3rd downs with his feet. That keeps Bennett on the sidelines and improves Bama's field position.

Neither team will have much of a running game no matter who the RB is, its a wash.

 

[Codebreaker]

The better teams flat out won yesterday. I knew Bama's defense was stout and Bennett would get challenged, he threw 2 picks and was sacked 3 times. Young is the best player in college FB, he has instincts that UGA;s defense hadn't seen all season. Both teams rushing game were stuffed as expected. Saban is a big game master, Obrian called a good game, to hang 41 on UGA.

Cincy just would not be denied, taking Houston +10.5 was a loser, but the right call it would win 7-10 times.

Mich v Iowa I stayed away, The Harbaugh factor kept me away. Turns out even he can't derail this team from its destiny. Iowa just has no QB, 3 points for 4 q's?

Pitt's defense attacked Wake as I described and was successful. Hartman had 4 picks in 2nd half. Pitt scored 40 on Wake as expected. Wake was scoreless for 3 Q's. They just could not match up with Pitts front 7. No idea how Vegas opened this game Pitt +2.

Congrats to Cincy for making playoffs, now they get to face Bama or UGA. If It's UGA, Cincy will be lucky to get 10 points, Bama will hang 50 on them. Lil brother about to get humiliated.