Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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WASHINGTON is 168-169 ATS (42.7 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 93-46 ATS (22.5 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 1-10 ATS (-10.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, November 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Carolina
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Philadelphia @ New Jersey
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

San Jose @ Chicago
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Boston
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Toronto @ Anaheim
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Anaheim is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games


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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


WAS at CAR 01:00 PM
CAR -155
U 5.5
+500 +500

TB at MIN 02:00 PM
TB -105
U 5.5
+500 +500

VAN at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -275
U 5.5
+500 +500

SJ at CHI 07:00 PM
CHI -125
U 5.5
+500 +500

PHI at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ -145
U 6.0
+500 +500

TOR at ANA 08:00 PM
TOR -180
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/28/2021.........5-7-0........41.67%........-16.25
11/27/2021.........7-9-0........43.75%........-21.25
11/26/2021.......8-10-0........44.44%........-20.75
11/24/2021.......11-6-1........63.89%.......+18.75
11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:........140-127-3.........52.43%..........-93.25


BEST BETS:

11.28/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%.......-12.00
11/27/2021..........4-7-0...........36.36%.......-17.00
11/26/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%.......-13.00
11/24/2021..........2-3-1...........40.00%........-6.00
11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.......- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........72-85-3............45.85%.........-79.75


UPDATED 11/28/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Interesting Week 13 NFL spreads:
— Dallas (-5.5) @ New Orleans
— Arizona (-7) @ Chicago
— Denver @ Kansas City (-9.5)
— Baltimore (-3) @ Pittsburgh
— San Francisco (-2.5) @ Seattle
— Minnesota (-7) @ Detroit

Quote of the Day
“Sweat equity is the most valuable equity there is. Know your business and industry better than anyone else in the world. Love what you do or don’t do it.”
Mark Cuban

Monday’s quiz
In the classic movie All the President’s Men, which famous actors played writers Woodward and Bernstein?

Sunday’s quiz
Green Bay beat the Chiefs 35-10 in the first Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
Neil Armstrong was the first man to walk on the moon, in 1969.

*********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Tennessee 13:

— Tennessee ran ball for 270 yards, but was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Titans averaged only 3.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Patriots had 10 drives; three TD’s, tried six field goals
— New England had TD drives of 37-56-21 yards.
— Patriots had 17-yard edge in field position.

— New England won seven of last eight games, scoring 33.1 ppg.
— Patriots scored 135 points in winning last three home games.
— Since 2015, New England is 30-14-3 ATS as home favorites.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England has 22 takeaways in last eight games (+15)

NJ Jets 21, Houston 14:
— Jets outscored Houston 10-0 in second half.
— Jets ran ball for 157 yards, outgained Texans 266-202.
— Six of last eight Jet games went over the total.
— Jets have been outscored 68-24 in first quarter, 189-65 in first half.

— Texans in second half: 21 plays, 45 yards, 3 first downs.
— Houston is 2-8 ATS last ten games as home favorites.
— Under is 7-2 in Texans’ last nine games.
— Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.

NY Giants 13, Philadelphia 7:
— Eagles turned ball over four times on 10 drives (minus-4)
— Philly averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly ran ball for 215.2 ypg last five games (98.6 ypg previous five)
— Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.

— Giants won their last three home games.
— Eagles outgained Giants 332-264.
— Giants are 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

Tampa Bay 38, Indianapolis 31:
— Fournette had 131 total yards, four TD’s.
— Tampa Bay ran ball for 142 yards (5.3 yards/carry).
— Bucs have 42 TD’s on 117 drives this season.
— Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.

— Indianapolis led 24-14 at halftime.
— Bucs in 2nd half: 30 plays, 222 yards, 24 points.
— Colts turned ball over three times in five 2nd half drives.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Atlanta 21, Jacksonville 14:
— Atlanta was perfect in red zone (21 points/3 drives)
— Atlanta is 4-2 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Falcons led seven of last nine games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 176-89 in second half.

— Jacksonville converted 9-16 on 3rd down, outgained Atlanta 357-332.
— Jaguars are 7-14 ATS in last 21 home games.
— Last five games, Jacksonville was outscored 77-21 in first half.
— Jaguars lost 24 of their last 26 games.

Miami 33, Carolina 10:
— Newton was 5-21 passing, with two INT’s; not good.
— Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.

— Dolphins won last four games, giving up 11.5 ppg.
— Miami gave up four TD’s on opponents’ last 47 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or less points in their wins.
— Dolphins are 0-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
— Miami is 22-12-3 ATS in last 36 home games.

Cincinnati 41, Pittsburgh 10:
— Steelers are 0-2-1 in last three games, giving up 41-41 points in last two.
— Bengals took opening kickoff, drove 75 yards for quick 7-0 lead.
— Bengals led 31-3 at halftime after a pick-6 with 0:23 left in half.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games on artificial turf.

— Cincy’s first four drives: 34 plays, 226 yards, 24 points.
— Mixon ran ball for 165 yards, two TD’s.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last six games.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincinnati won three of last four series games.

Denver 28, LA Chargers 13:
— Chargers lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
— LA’s first four drives: 21 plays, 64 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Last five games, Chargers lost field position by 8+ yards four times.

— Denver is 25-7 ATS in their last 32 post-bye games
— Surtain broke game open with third quarter pick-6.
— Nine of 11 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.6 ppg in losses.

San Francisco 34, Minnesota 26:
— Over is 5-0 in Vikings road games this year.
— Nwangwu ran a kickoff back 99 yards for a Viking TD.
— Minnesota has been outscored 91-22 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Minnesota has led by 7+ points in every game this year.

— 49ers won four of their last five games.
— San Francisco outgained Vikings 423-323.
— Last three games, 49ers ran ball for 156-171-208 yards.
— Niners had 10-yard advantage in field position.

Green Bay 36, LA Rams 28
— Rams were 0-3 in November, giving up 28-31-36 points.
— Stafford threw a pick-6 all three of those games.
— Last three games, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last seven games, LA converted only 28-83 on 3rd down.

— Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
— Green Bay started three drives inside Rams’ 30-yard line.
— Pack is 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last three years, Green Bay is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss.

Baltimore 16, Cleveland 10:
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in six of last seven games.
— Cleveland ran ball 17 times for only 40 yards.
— Last four games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
— Browns are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC North road games.

— Jackson threw INT’s on 3 straight drives in 2nd quarter.
— NFL teams had lost 52 games in row when throwing 4+ INTs.
— Baltimore’s last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
— Ravens won 23 of last 27 series games.

— USC hired 38-year old Lincoln Riley as its new football coach; Riley went 55-10 in his time coaching the Sooners. Unclear if Oklahoma’s bolting to the tougher SEC was a factor in Riley’s decision to jump ship.

Baseball signings:
— Toronto signed P Kevin Gausman to a 5-year, $110M deal.
— Texas signed SS Marcus Semien to a 7-year, $175M deal.
— Rangers also signed P Jon Gray for four years, $56M
— Marlins gave P Sandy Alcantara a 5-year, $65M extension.
— Minnesota gave OF Byron Buxton a 7-year, $100M deal.
 

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BUFFALO is 12-5 ATS (6.5 Units) after losing their previous game in overtime in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 23-10 ATS (12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.4 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 29


onTuw1h.png





NHL

Monday, November 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle @ Buffalo
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games
Seattle is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

Arizona @ Winnipeg
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home

Vancouver @ Montreal
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Pittsburgh @ Calgary
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 29
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SEA at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +115
O 5.5

+500 +500

VAN at MON 07:30 PM
MON -135
O 5.5
+500 +500

ARI at WIN 07:30 PM
WIN -310
+500

PIT at CAL 09:00 PM
CAL -140
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/29/2021.........2-5-0........28.57%........-28.25
11/28/2021.........5-7-0........41.67%........-16.25
11/27/2021.........7-9-0........43.75%........-21.25
11/26/2021.......8-10-0........44.44%........-20.75
11/24/2021.......11-6-1........63.89%.......+18.75
11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:........142-132-3.........51.82%.........-121.50


BEST BETS:

11/29/2021..........1-3-0...........25.00%......-11.00
11.28/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%.......-12.00
11/27/2021..........4-7-0...........36.36%.......-17.00
11/26/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%.......-13.00
11/24/2021..........2-3-1...........40.00%........-6.00
11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.......- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........73-88-3............45.34%.........-90.75


UPDATED 11/29/2021
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Conference championship games this weekend:
Big X— Oklahoma State (-5) vs Baylor
Pac-12— Utah (-3) vs Oregon
AAC— Cincinnati (-10.5) vs Houston
SEC— Georgia (-6.5) vs Alabama
ACC— Pittsburgh (-3) vs Wake Forest
Big 14— Michigan (-10.5) vs Iowa

Quote of the Day
“When we met with the team today, I communicated to our players that our program is about them. It will always be bigger than any one person. And just as it’s always been, Oklahoma football is positioned for greatness.”
Oklahoma AD Joe Castiglione

Tuesday’s quiz
Only one NFL team hasn’t tried a 2-point conversion this year; which one?

Monday’s quiz
In the classic movie All the President’s Men, Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman played writers Woodward and Bernstein.

Sunday’s quiz
Green Bay beat the Chiefs 35-10 in the first Super Bowl.

*******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Washington 17, Seattle 15:
— Seahawks scored TD with 0:15 left, but 2-point play failed.
— DK Metcalf caught only one pass for 13 yards.
— Seattle is 3-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn’t.
— Six of Seahawks’ last seven games stayed under the total.

— Washington is 3-0 since its bye, scoring 24.3 ppg.
— Washington is 8-4-1 in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Washington is 13-7 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— Five of last six Washington games stayed under the total.

12) Max Scherzer signed a 3-year, $130M deal with the Mets Monday, as billionaire owner Steve Cohen opens his wallet to improve his ballclub. Mets have spent $258M or so on free agents in the last four days.

11) Texas Rangers are also spending a lot of money; they gave 2B Marcus Semien $175M Sunday, then gave SS Corey Seager a 10-year, $325M deal Monday.

Part of reason playing in Texas appeals to free agents is the tax status there; Rangers play 81 home games, nine in Houston, nine in Seattle and three in Tampa, all states with zero tax status for athletes. That’s 102 games, nearly two-thirds with zero tax status. It matters.

10) If I’m a free agent pitcher, I’d want to know if the universal DH is going to be a thing, before I picked my next employer. Hopefully the universal DH will become official this winter.

Seattle Mariners signed P Robbie Ray to a 5-year, $115M deal Monday.

9) Oklahoma Sooners had a rough few days:
— Football coach Lincoln Riley jumped to USC
— Backup QB Spencer Rattler entered the transfer portal
— A hotshot high school QB who committed to Oklahoma de-commited. Wonder where he is going to wind up (USC?)

8) Minnesota 100, Indiana 98– Domantas Sabonis had 16 points, 25 rebounds, 10 assists for the Pacers; he is the first NBA player with 25 rebounds and 10 assists in a game since Maurice Lucas in 1980.

7) When Michigan plays Iowa this weekend in the Big 14 title game, it’ll be the first time the Wolverines have played in the championship game. Was surprised when I heard that. Hell, Northwestern’s even played in two of them.

Big 14 started playing a league championship game in 2011.

6) Random stat: over the last three football seasons, Big 14 teams are 17-4 ATS when playing teams from the MAC. There were no meetings in 2020 because of COVID, so that is 17-4 over two seasons.

5) Drew Brees is keeping busy since he retired from the NFL; he works for NBC, has an endorsement deal with Lowe’s, has stock in an online betting company, and now has a deal where he reads Bible verses on pray.com

Interesting contrast; not lot of people get paid for reading the Bible while also endorsing sports betting.

4) One of the funnier parts of NFL games is when an official throws a flag for pass interference, then one or two other refs throw a flag too, selling the call to make it look like an obvious foul.

3) Dallas Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy tested positive for COVID, will miss Thursday night’s game in New Orleans.

2) Florida Gators hired U of Louisiana coach Billy Napier to be its next football coach; Napier is 39-12 coaching the Ragin’ Cajuns- he will coach them in the Sun Belt title game this week, then is off to Gainesville.

1) LSU hired football coach Brian Kelly away from Notre Dame; Kelly was 113-40 in South Bend— he won more games there than Knute Rockne. Notre Dame made the national playoff two of last three years- they’re 11-1 this year, ranked 6th in country.
 

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NEW JERSEY is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 13-0 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the las...

DETROIT is 1-20 ATS (-21 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 93-47 ATS (21.5 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 15-2 ATS (12.1 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 3-9 ATS (-6.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 93-77 ATS (8.3 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.
 

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Messages
16,458
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NHL

Tuesday, November 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Washington @ Florida
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Florida
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Washington
Florida is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

San Jose @ New Jersey
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Columbus @ Nashville
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Columbus's last 12 games
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Tampa Bay @ St. Louis
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Carolina @ Dallas
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Carolina is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Anaheim @ Los Angeles
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Anaheim is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Anaheim


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
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Messages
104,060
Tokens
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DET at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -225
+500

SJ at NJ 07:00 PM
O 5.5
+500

WAS at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -135
U 6.0
+500 +500

ARI at MIN 08:00 PM
ARI +290
+500

TB at STL 08:00 PM
O 5.5
+500

CLB at NAS 08:00 PM
O 5.5
+500

CAR at DAL 08:30 PM
O 5.5
+500

ANA at LA 10:30 PM
U 5.5
+500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,060
Tokens
NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/30/2021.........4-5-0........44.44%........-12.75
11/29/2021.........2-5-0........28.57%........-28.25
11/28/2021.........5-7-0........41.67%........-16.25
11/27/2021.........7-9-0........43.75%........-21.25
11/26/2021.......8-10-0........44.44%........-20.75
11/24/2021.......11-6-1........63.89%.......+18.75
11/23/2021.........3-2-0........60.00%........+4.50
11/22/2021.........8-4-0........66.67%.......+15.75
11/21/2021.........7-7-0........50.00%........-12.00
11/20/2021.........9-9-0.........50.00%........-12.50
11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:........146-137-3.........51.59%.........-134.75


BEST BETS:

11/30/2021..........3-4-0...........42.85%......-6.50
11/29/2021..........1-3-0...........25.00%......-11.00
11.28/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%.......-12.00
11/27/2021..........4-7-0...........36.36%.......-17.00
11/26/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%.......-13.00
11/24/2021..........2-3-1...........40.00%........-6.00
11/23/2021..........1-3-0...........33.33%.......- 5.50
11/22/2021..........5-2-0...........71.42%.....+14.00
11/21/2021..........6-3-0...........66.66%.....+14.50
11/20/2021..........2-4-0...........33.33%......-10.50
11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........76-92-3............45.23%.........-97.25


UPDATED 11/30/2021
 

Member
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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,458
Tokens
Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

Some of the leading 3-point shooting teams in college ball:
2) Colorado State (Lipscomb is 1st)
3) Purdue
4) Davidson
5) Jacksonville State
6) South Dakota State
7) Loyola-Chicago

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know what there is to address. Like I said, for a guy that keeps his head down and very rarely ever answers his phone or does anything like that, I don’t talk to a whole lot of people. So there is nothing. That’s the crazy thing. It’s all whatever is being said out there and different things. So there is no speculation. Is the (Notre Dame) job open? I guess it is. But I wouldn’t know if somebody didn’t tell me.”
Cincinnati football coach Luke Fickell

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Brett Favre play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals are the only NFL team hasn’t tried a 2-point conversion this year.

Monday’s quiz
In the classic movie All the President’s Men, Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman played writers Woodward and Bernstein.

*****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Average salary for an NFL head coach is $6.7M; there are now eight college coaches who make more than that, as schools jockey to lure big-name coaches to their school, while players bolt from one place to another, trying to find their way to the NFL. Strange times we live in.

12) Fresno State football coach Kalen DeBoer bolted to Washington to become the Huskies’ new coach; few hours later, Fresno’s quarterback Jake Haener entered the transfer portal- wonder where he is going.

11) Unclear who will coach Notre Dame in their bowl game, now that Brian Kelly has bolted to Baton Rouge.

10) Alabama is a 6.5-point underdog to Georgia in the SEC title game Saturday; it ends a streak of 92 straight games where the Crimson Tide was favored to win, dating back to 2015.

9) Ohio State 71, Duke 66:
— Second time in five nights the #1 team in country got beat.
— Duke didn’t score for the last 4:29 of the game.
— Buckeyes survived 11-22 shooting on foul line.
— This result helps to explain why Duke avoids pre-conference road games, at all costs.

8) Over their last four games, New England outscored opponents 63-0 in second half.

7) IF Javier Baez signed a 4-year, $140M contract with the Detroit Tigers; lot of money flying around this week, between baseball and college football coaches.

6) Nevada sportsbooks took in $1.1B in bets during October, breaking the previous single-month record of $786.5M wagered during September.

5) Former Michigan/Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez will be named football coach at Jacksonville State, a I-AA team that beat Florida State earlier this fall. Gamecocks are moving up to I-A and the Sun Belt Conference for the 2023-24 season.

Rodriguez’s coaching resume:
2001-07— 60-26 at West Virginia
2008-10— 15-22 at Michigan
2012-17— 43-35 at Arizona

I would be remiss if I didn’t point out that Jacksonville State is the alma mater of Dieter Brock, a quarterback who led the Rams to the NFC West title in 1985, his only season in the NFL, after he had a great CFL career.

4) In three seasons as a pro, Zion Williamson has played in 85 NBA games; he’s missed 81 games with injury. As the old saying goes, the best ability is…….availability.

3) Group that owns the Boston Red Sox bought the NHL’s Pittsburgh Penguins this week; things could get awkward in Beantown if Bruins/Penguins ever cross paths in the playoffs.

2) Colorado 80, Stanford 76:
— First conference game of this year’s college basketball season.
— Stanford led 21-10 early, but was minus-9 (15-6) in turnovers.

1) When the clock strikes midnight Wednesday, baseball is expected to slip into a lockout, which is exactly what the sport doesn’t need. This week has been fun, with free agent signings and some trades; that’s what the sport needs, not lawyers quibbling over how to divide their millions that they make year after year.

Here’s my solution:
— Expand the playoffs
— Add Sunday doubleheaders to condense the regular season
— Universal DH
— Ban shifts.

Shake hands, and play ball, it isn’t that difficult.
 

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Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
16,458
Tokens
PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season.

TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.

SEATTLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

OTTAWA is 0-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 166-117 ATS (37.3 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less since 1996.

EDMONTON is 98-106 ATS (-48.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 1


KxVBmsj.png





NHL

Wednesday, December 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ NY Rangers
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Rangers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Seattle @ Detroit
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Ottawa
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver

Colorado @ Toronto
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Vegas @ Anaheim
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Anaheim is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games

Pittsburgh @ Edmonton
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,060
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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at NYR 07:00 PM
PHI +167
U 6.0
+500 +500

SEA at DET 07:30 PM
DET -110
U 5.5
+500 +500

COL at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -120
+500

VAN at OTT 07:30 PM
U 5.5
+500

PIT at EDM 10:00 PM
EDM -130
O 6.0
+500 +500

VEG at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA +140
U 5.5

+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,060
Tokens
DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/01/2021 5-3-0 62.50% +9.00


TOTALS:

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:


UPDATED 12/01/2021
 

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